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 1. Home A/C Summary
    
    
    
 2. Macro Research
    
 3. NikkoAM ETFs product update
    
    


NIKKOAM ETFS PRODUCT UPDATE

As the US Federal Reserve accelerates the reduction of its monthly bond
purchases and signals three interest rate hikes in 2022, here's what Nikko AM
has to say about its impact on Singapore's growth this year as it provides
updates on a few of its ETFs.

 * NIKKO ASSET MANAGEMENT

 * |

 * PUBLISHED ON 07 FEB 2022
   



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FUND SPECIFIC NEWS/MARKET ANALYSIS


1. NIKKO AM SINGAPORE STI ETF

The Straits Times Index rose 2.91% in December
Singapore stocks turned in gains for December, despite news that the US Federal
Reserve would accelerate the reduction of its monthly bond purchases and
signalling three interest rate hikes in 2022. Anxiety about the Omicron COVID-19
variant also eased, with the Singapore government loosening COVID-19 workplace
restrictions, which will allow 50% of fully-vaccinated employees to return to
the office from 1 January. The city-state is also pressing forward with its
vaccination programme, having extended vaccination to children aged five to 11,
as well as expanding its vaccine booster programme to include those aged 18 to
29.


For the month, the Straits Times Index (STI) grew 2.91% on a total return (TR)
basis in Singapore dollar (SGD) terms. In terms of sectors, financials and
utilities were the best performers, returning 6.53% and 6.38% respectively on a
month-on-month (MoM) TR basis. At the other end of the spectrum, information
technology and industrials were the worst performers, returning -1.08% and
-1.00% respectively (on a TR basis) for the month.


Of the 30 component stocks in the index, DBS Group Holdings, Sembcorp Industries
and United Overseas Bank were the three best performers in December with MoM TR
gains of 9.34%, 6.38% and 5.61% respectively. Conversely, Dairy Farm
International Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings and Jardine Matheson Holdings
were December’s worst performing STI stocks, with MoM TR losses of 9.87%, 5.32%
and 4.42% respectively.


Sembcorp Industries’ UK unit to build Europe’s largest battery energy storage
system
Singapore-based energy and utilities group Sembcorp Industries announced on 14
December that its wholly owned subsidiary in the United Kingdom (UK)—Sembcorp
Energy UK—plans to construct Europe's largest energy storage system at its
Wilton International industrial site. The development of this 360-megawatt (MW)
battery energy storage system will also make a significant contribution to the
UK’s Net Zero targets by ensuring the resilience of the electricity network and
further facilitate the accelerating growth of renewables. In separate news,
another unit of Sembcorp Industries, Sembcorp Utilities, has teamed up with
Vietnam’s BCG Energy to develop up to 1.5 gigawatts of wind and solar renewable
energy projects in Vietnam. The first phase of the collaboration will involve an
initial investment of US dollar (USD) 30 million to develop a 550 MW portfolio
of nearshore and onshore wind assets across three provinces. Sembcorp Industries
was one of the best performing STI-component stocks in December.


Jardine Matheson upsized its share repurchase programme
In an announcement made on 8 December, Hong Kong-based multinational
conglomerate Jardine Matheson Holdings (JMH) revealed plans to double the amount
of its share buyback scheme to USD 500 million. Previously, JMH launched a share
buyback programme in end-September to repurchase up to USD 250 million of shares
by 30 June 2022. JMH mentioned that it was very close to achieving this target
and reiterated that the purpose of the share buyback plan was to reduce the
capital of the company, in line with Jardine Matheson Group's previously
announced capital allocation policy. Jardine Matheson Holdings was one of the
worst performing STI-component stocks in December.








2.  NIKKO AM-STRAITSTRADING ASIA EX JAPAN REIT ETF 

Asian REITs had a mixed month

Asian stocks tracked gains in Wall Street during December, despite the US
Federal Reserve saying that it would end its bond-buying programme in March and
signalling three interest rate hikes in 2022 to tackle persistent inflation.
However, easing worries about the impact of the COVID-19 Omicron-variant did
support market sentiment. Overall, regional REITs had a mixed month, with the
FTSE EPRA Nareit Asia ex Japan REITs 10% Capped Index returning 0.81% in SGD
terms for the month. The FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trusts Index gained
1.63% in SGD terms, while the Hang Seng REIT Index Total Return fell 0.67% in
Hong Kong dollar (HKD) terms. In comparison, general equities in Asia returned
1.27% in US dollar (USD) terms in December, according to the MSCI AC
Asia-ex-Japan index. The US 10-year treasury yields expanded while the Singapore
10-year government bond yield compressed over the month.

At the sector level, specialised and healthcare REITs were the best performers
in December, while retail and office REITs were the worst performers. At the
individual REIT level, Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust, First REIT and
Keppel DC REIT were the best performers in December. Conversely, Embassy Office
Parks REIT, Sunlight REIT and Manulife US REIT were the worst performers for the
month.




Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust to merge with Mapletree Commercial Trust

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MNACT), a Singapore-listed North
Asia-focused REIT, is set to be absorbed by Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT) via
a proposed merger announced on 31 December. The combined entity, to be named
Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust, will constitute 18 commercial assets across
Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan and South Korea, with assets under management
of approximately SGD 17.1 billion. Mapletree’s new flagship commercial REIT is
also expected to have a market capitalisation of around SGD 10.5 billion, making
it one of Asia’s largest REITs. To be completed via a trust scheme, the merger
will see shareholders in MNACT receive a scheme consideration of SGD 1.1949 for
each unit held. MNACT owners can opt to receive either 0.5963 new MCT units at
an issue price of SGD 2.0039 apiece, or a combination of 0.5009 consideration
units and SGD 0.1912 in cash. Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust was one of
the best performing Asian REITs in December.




Manulife US REIT completed acquisition of three US office properties

Manulife US REIT—Asia’s first pure-play US office REIT—has officially completed
its proposed acquisition of three office park assets in Phoenix and Portland in
the United States, which was first announced at end-November. The three
properties (Tanasbourne Commerce Centre, Park Place and Diablo Technology Park)
were purchased for a combined USD 201.6 million and will boost the REIT’s
exposure to high-growth markets and tenants, especially in the technology and
healthcare sectors. Manulife US REIT’s portfolio occupancy has now increased to
91.3% while the weighted average lease expiry across the enlarged portfolio went
up to 5.2 years. Manulife US REIT will fund its proposed acquisition through a
combination of loans and proceeds from a private placement, which closed at USD
0.649 per unit. Manulife US REIT was one of the worst performing Asian REITs in
December.





3. ABF SINGAPORE BOND INDEX FUND

Singapore Government Securities (SGS) outperformed US Treasuries (USTs) in
December
US Treasuries (USTs) saw yields ended marginally higher at 1.51% in December. US
non-farm payroll printed at 210,000 for the month of November, below market
consensus of roughly 570,000. Despite the downside surprise, the unemployment
rate fell to 4.2% from 4.6%. On the other hand, the CPI surprised on the upside
at 6.8% while US core CPI printed 4.9%. During the December Federal Open Market
Committee (FOMC) meeting, the FOMC announced that it will ramp up the speed at
which it pares its bond purchases which will lead to the end of their
quantitative easing programme a few months earlier than expected. The updated
FOMC projection showed that most officials expect to raise rates about three
times in 2022. Meanwhile, concerns about a new COVID-19 variant (Omicron) rose,
as Omicron-related cases spread rapidly in various countries.



SGS outperformed USTs in December, with 10-year SGS yields down 5 bps to 1.64%.
Long-dated SGS yields rose towards month-end, with the 30-year SGS yield ending
December 17 bps higher at 2.09%, ahead of a busy SGS issuance schedule in
1Q2022, concentrating on mid-dated SGS securities. The outperformance of SGS has
been supported by: (1) a reduction in SGS Market Development (MD) bond duration
supply in 2022, especially in the first half, when no long end (>10 years) SGS
MD auction is scheduled; (2) the Monetary Authority of Singapore’s (MAS) plan to
issue a new long end SGS (Infrastructure) bond around mid-2022 based on market
conditions via debt syndication, which is likely to match demand from structural
investors; and (3) as the MAS allowed the SGD to appreciate by slightly raising
the SGD nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) slope in October 2021, with
expectations of further foreign exchange policy tightening in 2022. Government
bonds underperformed sub-sovereign securities, with the Markit iBoxx ABF
Singapore Govt Total Return (TR) Index returning at -0.22%, compared to -0.01%
monthly returns for the Markit iBoxx ABF Singapore Sub-Sovereigns TR Index.





Property curbs introduced to help cool the housing market

Singapore introduced residential property curbs for the first time since 2018 to
cool a surge in home prices over the past year. This did not come as a surprise,
as the MAS had highlighted elevated leverage risks as rates rise in its 2021
Financial Stability Review. Tighter measures include higher additional stamp
duties (Additional Buyer's Stamp Duty) for second and subsequent properties, as
well as lowering of the total debt servicing ratio (TDSR) from 60% to 55%. The
government also intends to release additional land supply, which should
alleviate the tight market with less than one year worth of supply for the mass
market segment.

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