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Wednesday, February 14, 2024
Today’s Paper
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N.Y. 3rd District Special Election

 * Tom Suozzi Wins
 * Results
 * Takeaways
 * A Playbook for Democrats
 * G.O.P. House Majority Shrinks

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IN NEW YORK WIN, DEMOCRATS SENSE A PIVOT ON IMMIGRATION AND BORDER POLITICS

Tom Suozzi’s victory, coming after congressional Republicans killed a bipartisan
border security package, could provide Democrats with a road map to shoring up
two political vulnerabilities.

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Tom Suozzi, who won New York’s special House election on Tuesday, delivering his
victory speech in Woodbury, N.Y.Credit...Anna Watts for The New York Times


By Shane Goldmacher

Feb. 14, 2024Updated 5:29 p.m. ET
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it sent to your inbox.

A victory in a New York special election on Tuesday injected Democrats with
fresh optimism that the party might have found some of the basic ingredients to
neutralize immigration and the border as political issues, which party officials
have privately seen as among their deepest areas of vulnerability in 2024.

The success in the race for a House seat by former and now future Representative
Tom Suozzi — a Democrat whom Republicans had pilloried as “Sanctuary Suozzi” —
came in a corner of the country, Long Island, that had been increasingly hostile
to Democrats in the last two years. And Mr. Suozzi won after he frontally and
repeatedly addressed a topic that his party has sometimes tried to shy away
from.

With border crossings surging to record highs in recent months and more than
170,000 migrants arriving in New York City, Republicans had hoped to use
immigration to paint Mr. Suozzi as unacceptably beyond the mainstream. The
leading G.O.P. super PAC spent roughly $3 million on two television ads that
said Mr. Suozzi had “rolled out the red carpet for illegal immigrants.”

But in the final 10 days of the race, an analysis from AdImpact, the
media-tracking firm, showed that Democrats were actually airing more ads than
Republicans on immigration, with Mr. Suozzi’s campaign running clips of an
appearance he once made on Fox News in which he was introduced as “one of the
Democrats” backing I.C.E., the immigration enforcement agency.



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Mr. Suozzi’s victory came only days after congressional Republicans had
torpedoed bipartisan legislation on Capitol Hill that would have cracked down on
unlawful migration across the border with Mexico. Donald J. Trump, the
front-runner for the Republican presidential nomination, had lobbied
aggressively against the bill, insisting that its passage would help Democrats
as he hoped to preserve the border crisis as a cudgel to hit President Biden
with this fall.

That bipartisan deal’s failure did not feature prominently in advertising in
this House race. But Mr. Suozzi did speak about it as he took some unusually
hard-line stances for a Democrat, including calls to temporarily shut down the
border and deport migrants who assault the police.

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Shane Goldmacher is a national political correspondent, covering the 2024
campaign and the major developments, trends and forces shaping American
politics. He can be reached at shane.goldmacher@nytimes.com. More about Shane
Goldmacher

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