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* DÓLAR BNA$116,25↑0,22% * DÓLAR BLUE$199,00↓-0,50% * DÓLAR CCL$195,37↑0,04% * DÓLAR SOLIDARIO$191,81↑0,22% Men? * Últimas noticias * Dólar * Mercados Online * Criptomonedas * Fintech * Economía y Política * Finanzas y Mercados * Negocios * Columnistas * Internacionales * Financial Times * Información general * Apertura * InfoTechnology * Actualidad * Gadgets * Innovacion * Mundo CIO * IT Business * Entreprenerds * Criptomonedas * Clase * RPM * PYME * Transport y cargo * Golf * Edición electrónica • * Newsletters • * Eventos Cronista • * MediaKit * otros * * * * * Finanzas y Mercados Ingresá SECCIONES * Inicio • * Últimas noticias • * Dólar • * Dólar Blue • * Bitcoin • * Mercados online • * Edición Electrónica • * Newsletters * otros BUSCÁCERRAR 1. Cronista 2. Finanzas y Mercados 3. BCRA ANÁLISIS A FONDO EL BCRA ES EL PRINCIPAL DEUDOR DEL MERCADO: SUPERA POR 10% AL PÚBLICO Y EMPRESAS EL TOTAL DE LELIQ Y PASES ES DE $ 4,7 BILLONES, CONTRA $ 4,3 BILLONES DE PRÉSTAMOS. NO HAY DEMANDA PARA LOS PESOS DEL SISTEMA. EL ÚNICO TOMADOR FIRME ES EL TESORO, QUE ESTÁ NECESITADO DE REDUCIR LA ASISTENCIA MONETARIA * Whatsapp * Facebook * Twitter * Linkedin * e-Mail * Comentarios * Más GUILLERMO LABORDA Actualizado el 28/03/2022 09:40 ESCUCHAR 3:00 minutos Leer más tarde Leer más tarde Las Letras de Liquidez del Banco Central (Leliq) ya superan cómodamente al total de créditos otorgados por bancos al público y a las empresas. Al 23 de marzo, último dato informado por el BCRA, el total de Leliq y pases en circulación ascendió a $ 4,7 billones, un 10% más que los $ 4,3 billones otorgados en préstamos. Estos datos muestran que el dinero que capta el sistema financiero por depósitos tiene como principal destinatario al mismo Banco Central y no a las personas y empresas argentinas como sucede en una economía normal. Desde otro punto de pista, el total de los depósitos en bancos asciende a $ 10,5 billones de los cuales el 45% tiene como destino inmediato la compra de una Leliq. Las entidades financieras no tienen cómo descargar los pesos que obtienen de fondeo dado que la demanda de crédito del sector privado no es significativa en el actual contexto de incertidumbre de la economía doméstica y tasas de interés en alza. Adicionalmente sobreabundan las regulaciones del BCRA sobre el financiamiento a empresas tanto por los límites a las tasas de interés que se cobran como al direccionamiento de líneas de crédito. Un elemento adicional es el "crowding out" o desplazamiento del Tesoro Nacional al sector privado. Es que el otro gran competidor por los pesos en circulación es el ministro de Economía, Martín Guzmán, que se comprometió con el FMI a ajustar en cámara lenta su rojo fiscal con una meta del 2,5% del PBI en 2022 para el déficit primario. Dado que el financiamiento de ese rojo fiscal vía "la maquinita" de imprimir billetes, mayor emisión por el BCRA, está limitada al 1% del PBI, el resto del financiamiento, vendrá de una fuerte emisión de títulos de deuda en pesos. Así los grandes tomadores de créditos hoy en la Argentina son Miguel Pesce y Martín Guzmán. Observando cómo están compuestos los $ 4,3 billones existentes en créditos al sector privado, se observa que la mayor parte, $ 1,2 billones, es vía financiamiento a tarjetas de crédito. Luego siguen $ 1,1 billones en Documentos, $ 748.000 millones en créditos personales y $ 452.000 millones en Adelantos. El crédito a largo plazo en la Argentina es inexistente: los hipotecarios representan tan sólo 302.000 millones de pesos. Desde el BCRA sostienen que gradualmente harán caer el stock de Leliq y que bancos pasen a destinar esos fondos a financiar al sector privado. Pero a corto plazo aparenta ser una ilusión dado la escasa demanda de crédito privado. Las Leliq representan una suerte de colchón de última instancia para que Guzmán pueda financiarse. Lo más probable, entonces, es que el BCRA haga caer el stock de Leliq pero para que ellos fondos pasen a financiar al Tesoro. Pero ese pase no es gratis: en términos monetarios implica una expansión de la base monetaria que se trasladará a los precios. Pero la inflación hoy no es necesariamente un problema para el equipo económico. Hasta podría decirse que es un aliado, dada la necesidad de licuar el gasto público. Tags relacionados * BCRA * leliq * MonedasVariaciónVentaCompra * DÓLAR BNA→0,00% $115,50 Compra$109,50 * DÓLAR BLUE→-0,99% $200,00 Compra$197,00 * DÓLAR CDO C/LIQ↓-1,89% $202,52 Compra$198,85 * EURO→0,24% $121,49 Compra$121,44 * REAL→-0,91% $23,05 Compra$23,04 LAS MÁS LEÍDAS DE FINANZAS Y MERCADOS Ver más 1 DÓLAR BLUE HOY: A CUÁNTO COTIZA ESTE DOMINGO 27 DE MARZO 2 DÓLAR BLUE HOY: A CUÁNTO COTIZA ESTE LUNES 28 DE MARZO 3 DÓLAR: SUBIÓ EL BLUE Y SE AMPLÍO LA BRECHA, PERO CEDIERON LOS FINANCIEROS 4 OBLIGACIONES NEGOCIABLES RINDEN 10% EN DÓLARES: CUÁL CONVIENE COMPRAR 5 DÓLAR BLUE HOY: A CUÁNTO COTIZA ESTE SÁBADO 26 DE MARZO LA CITY Todos los jueves Suscribite a nuestro Newsletter Recibí las novedades sobre el mundo de las finanzas y los mercados en tu email. ¿Qué dice la City? Email: Suscribite DESTACADAS DE HOY DÓLAR BLUE HOY: A CUÁNTO COTIZA ESTE LUNES 28 DE MARZO LA LISTA NEGRA DE WARREN BUFFETT: POR QUÉ DEJÓ DE HACER NEGOCIOS EN ESTE PAÍS INVERSIONES TRAS LA SUBA DE LA TASA, ESTO PAGAN POR UN PLAZO FIJO DE $ 100.000 Noticias del día Mercados ¿NUEVO RALLY? LOS BONOS SUBEN HASTA 2% TRAS EL ACUERDO CON EL FMI El riesgo país inicia la semana en 1798 puntos, lo cual supone un valor elevado dado el acuerdo sellado con el Fondo. JULIÁN YOSOVITCH OFERTA LABORAL ARCOR OFRECE EMPLEO: QUÉ TRABAJADORES BUSCA Y CÓMO POSTULARSE Economía y Política UCRANIA AGRADECIÓ EL ENVÍO DE AYUDA HUMANITARIA PERO INSISTE CON DOS RECLAMOS A LA ARGENTINA MARTÍN DINATALE DANIEL R. VIOLA LOS DEPORTISTAS RUSOS TRAS LA GUERRA EN UCRANIA: ¿HÉROES O TRAIDORES? LAS MÁS LEÍDAS Ver más 1 VACUNAS PFIZER Y MODERNA: DESCUBREN UN NUEVO EFECTO SECUNDARIO, ¿CÓMO ES Y CUÁLES SON LOS SÍNTOMAS? 2 ENTRADAS DADDY YANKEE EN ARGENTINA 2022: CUÁNDO SALEN A LA VENTA Y POR QUÉ SE RETIRA DE LA MÚSICA 3 DÓLAR BLUE HOY: A CUÁNTO COTIZA ESTE DOMINGO 27 DE MARZO 4 DÓLAR BLUE HOY: A CUÁNTO COTIZA ESTE LUNES 28 DE MARZO 5 AUH, SUAF Y JUBILADOS ANSES: CALENDARIO DE PAGO DE ABRIL CON CAMBIOS, ¿CUÁNDO COBRO? OFERTA LABORAL ARCOR OFRECE EMPLEO: QUÉ TRABAJADORES BUSCA Y CÓMO POSTULARSE La sorpresa de los Oscar 2022 CODA, LA PELÍCULA QUE GANÓ EL OSCAR: DE QUÉ SE TRATA Y DÓNDE VERLA LA CIBERGUERRA ENTRE RUSIA Y UCRANIA TAMBIÉN AFECTÓ A AMÉRICA LATINA: POR QUÉ SE VEN CADA VEZ MÁS ATAQUES Opinión FINANCIAL TIMES: EL VERDADERO PRECIO DEL MOVIMIENTO ANTIVACUNAS SIMON KUPER Internacionales MÁS ALLÁ DEL PETRÓLEO: ALARMANTE PRONÓSTICO PARA LA ECONOMÍA DE RUSIA POR LA GUERRA EN UCRANIA RECIBÍ NUESTROS NEWSLETTERS Las Claves del dia Lo importante que tenes que saber para empezar el día. IT Daily Las últimas tendencias en tecnología. Todos los días. El semáforo El análisis semanal del director del diario, Hernán De Goñi. Todos los sábados. Hacia dónde vamos Columnas exclusivas de nuestros editores. Todos los domingos. 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LAS MÁS LEÍDAS 1 VACUNAS PFIZER Y MODERNA: DESCUBREN UN NUEVO EFECTO SECUNDARIO, ¿CÓMO ES Y CUÁLES SON LOS SÍNTOMAS? 2 ENTRADAS DADDY YANKEE EN ARGENTINA 2022: CUÁNDO SALEN A LA VENTA Y POR QUÉ SE RETIRA DE LA MÚSICA 3 DÓLAR BLUE HOY: A CUÁNTO COTIZA ESTE DOMINGO 27 DE MARZO ÚLTIMAS NOTICIAS LA LISTA NEGRA DE WARREN BUFFETT: POR QUÉ DEJÓ DE HACER NEGOCIOS EN ESTE PAÍS BITCOIN EN ALZA: LAS 5 CRIPTOS PARA EMPEZAR A INVERTIR ESTA SEMANA APROVECHANDO EL MERCADO BULLISH TRAS LA SUBA DE LA TASA, ESTO PAGAN POR UN PLAZO FIJO DE $ 100.000 TAGS * Dólar * Dólar Blue * Criptomonedas * Bitcoin * Fintech * Merval * Quiniela * Calendario de feriados * AFIP * Paritarias * Inversiones INFORMACIÓN * Contáctenos * Media Kit * Suscribite * Quiénes Somos OTROS SITIOS * * * * * cronista.com es propiedad de El Cronista Comercial S.A Director: Hernán de Goñi Registro de propiedad intelectual: 56576959 N° de edición: 9.357 - 28 de Marzo de 2022 Copyright 2021 cronista.com - Todos los derechos reservados - Términos y Condiciones - Políticas de Privacidad - www.cronista.com | Tel:+54 11 7078-3270 Av. 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