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TRUMP ALLIES PLAN NEW SWEEPING ABORTION RESTRICTIONS

His supporters are seeking to attack abortion rights and abortion access from a
variety of angles should he regain the White House, including using a
long-dormant law from 1873.

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Anti-abortion activists participate in the annual March For Life event in
Washington last month.Credit...Kenny Holston/The New York Times


By Lisa Lerer and Elizabeth Dias

Feb. 17, 2024, 5:05 a.m. ET
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it sent to your inbox.

Allies of former President Donald J. Trump and officials who served in his
administration are planning ways to restrict abortion rights if he returns to
power that would go far beyond proposals for a national ban or the laws enacted
in conservative states across the country.

Behind the scenes, specific anti-abortion plans being proposed by Mr. Trump’s
allies are sweeping and legally sophisticated. Some of their proposals would
rely on enforcing the Comstock Act, a long-dormant law from 1873, to criminalize
the shipping of any materials used in an abortion — including abortion pills,
which account for the majority of abortions in America.

“We don’t need a federal ban when we have Comstock on the books,” said Jonathan
F. Mitchell, the legal force behind a 2021 Texas law that found a way to
effectively ban abortion in the state before Roe v. Wade was overturned.
“There’s a smorgasbord of options.”

Mr. Mitchell, who represented Mr. Trump in arguments before the Supreme Court
over whether the former president could appear on the ballot in Colorado,
indicated that anti-abortion strategists had purposefully been quiet about their
more advanced plans, given the political liability the issue has become for
Republicans.



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“I hope he doesn’t know about the existence of Comstock, because I just don’t
want him to shoot off his mouth,” Mr. Mitchell said of Mr. Trump. “I think the
pro-life groups should keep their mouths shut as much as possible until the
election.”


Image

Mr. Trump hasn’t publicly embraced a nationwide abortion ban, but some allies
and supporters are exploring ways to go around Congress to attack abortion
rights.Credit...Sean Rayford for The New York Times


The New York Times reported on Friday that Mr. Trump had told advisers and
allies that he liked the idea of a 16-week national abortion ban but that he
wanted to wait until the Republican primary contest was over to publicly discuss
his views.

It’s unclear whether Mr. Trump will pursue turning that idea into a more
concrete proposal. He has not publicly embraced a national ban, which would be
unlikely to win sufficient support in Congress. Such legislation would also
affect only a small fraction of abortions, given that nearly 94 percent happen
in the first trimester, before 13 weeks of pregnancy, and would present
obstacles for women who experience severe complications later in pregnancy.

Since Roe v. Wade was overturned in the Dobbs decision in 2022, many leading
anti-abortion groups have pushed Mr. Trump to endorse a national abortion ban at
15 weeks of pregnancy, which they are casting as a politically moderate
position. Some anti-abortion activists, who have been among Mr. Trump’s
strongest supporters, privately say that although they would support a federal
abortion ban, they see little chance that such legislation would become law in
the next few years. They are examining other options.



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In policy documents, private conversations and interviews, the plans described
by former Trump administration officials, allies and supporters propose
circumventing Congress and leveraging the regulatory powers of federal
institutions, including the Department of Health and Human Services, the Food
and Drug Administration, the Department of Justice and the National Institutes
of Health.

The effect would be to create a second Trump administration that would attack
abortion rights and abortion access from a variety of angles and could be
stopped only by courts that the first Trump administration had already stacked
with conservative judges.

“He had the most pro-life administration in history and adopted the most
pro-life policies of any administration in history,” said Roger Severino, a
leader of anti-abortion efforts in Health and Human Services during the Trump
administration. “That track record is the best evidence, I think, you could have
of what a second term might look like if Trump wins.”

Policies under consideration include banning the use of fetal stem cells in
medical research for diseases like cancer, rescinding approval of abortion pills
at the F.D.A. and stopping hundreds of millions in federal funding for Planned
Parenthood. Such an action against Planned Parenthood would cripple the nation’s
largest provider of women’s health care, which is already struggling to provide
abortions in the post-Roe era.

The organizations and advocates crafting these proposals are not simply outside
groups expressing wish lists of what they hope Mr. Trump would do in a second
administration. They are people who have spent much of their professional
careers fighting abortion rights, including some who were in powerful positions
during Mr. Trump’s administration.



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In his first term, Mr. Trump largely outsourced abortion policy to socially
conservative lawyers and aides. Since he left office, some of those people have
remained in Mr. Trump’s orbit, defending him in court, suggesting policy plans
well beyond issues like abortion and attending events at Mar-a-Lago, his private
club and residence in Florida.


Image

The anti-abortion activist Frank Pavone says he has received support when he
visits Mar-a-Lago, Mr. Trump’s home in Palm Beach.Credit...Zack Wittman for The
New York Times


Frank Pavone, an anti-abortion activist whom Pope Francis removed from the
priesthood for “blasphemous communication,” said he had discussed abortion
policy at several poolside receptions at Mar-a-Lago.

“When I’m there at Mar-a-Lago,” he said, “I get strong affirmation from everyone
I meet there for my work.”



Mr. Trump has not publicly addressed the extensive list of possible
anti-abortion executive actions or the enforcement of the Comstock Act. Yet, Mr.
Trump’s official blessing may not matter if his former aides and their networks
are returned to key positions in the federal bureaucracy.



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“The question will then become what can be done unilaterally at the executive
branch level, and the answer is quite a bit,” Mr. Mitchell said. “But to the
extent to which that’s done will depend on whether the president wants to take
the political heat and whether the attorney general or the secretary of Health
and Human Services are on board.”

Abortion opponents are enmeshed throughout the ecosystem of organizations that
are suggesting policies for the next conservative administration. Russell T.
Vought, a former senior Trump administration official who ran the Office of
Management and Budget, is celebrated by the anti-abortion movement for
successfully blocking funds for Planned Parenthood during the Trump
administration. He now runs a think tank with close ties to the former president
that has backed arguments in a Supreme Court case attempting to undo the 2000
approval of mifepristone, a widely used abortion medication.


Image

Packages of mifepristone and misoprostol are prepared for mailing to
patients.Credit...Jackie Molloy for The New York Times


Some activists and former aides have tried to downplay their plans. Speaking at
a church in Gallup, N.M., last spring, anti-abortion activists rallied the crowd
to support a local ordinance that would require compliance with the Comstock Act
but referred to the law solely by its statute number, 18 U.S.C. 1461 and 1462.

In a plan released by a coalition that has been drawing up America First-style
policy plans, nicknamed Project 2025, the Comstock Act is also referred to only
by the statute number.



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“Following the Supreme Court’s decision in Dobbs, there is now no federal
prohibition on the enforcement of this statute,” the plan states. “The
Department of Justice in the next conservative Administration should therefore
announce its intent to enforce federal law against providers and distributors of
such pills.”

The plan also cites the statute number in a footnote justifying its
recommendation that the F.D.A. stop “promoting or approving mail-order abortions
in violation of longstanding federal laws that prohibit the mailing and
interstate carriage of abortion drugs.”

Students for Life, an anti-abortion group, is not actively pushing Mr. Trump for
a gestational ban, at any number of weeks. The group is instead focused on
executive actions and changing policies though federal agencies, which they view
as both more effective and more politically achievable. “This is probably the
first election where D.O.J., H.H.S., F.D.A. are big-ticket items,” said Kristi
Hamrick, a strategist for the group.

When a donor in Ohio recently expressed concern that Mr. Trump personally did
not care about ending abortion, Kristan Hawkins, the president of Students for
Life, offered reassurance. “We haven’t come across a campaign staffer yet who
doesn’t share our values,” she said of Mr. Trump’s campaign.

Some allies think a second Trump administration could move even faster than
before to advance anti-abortion measures because Roe is no longer a roadblock.



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As president, Mr. Trump in 2019 announced a 440-page rule that strengthened
“conscience protections” for health care workers who opposed abortion on
religious grounds. The measure allowed medical providers to refuse care if it
conflicted with their personal beliefs, and it took over a year to put in place.
But at the time, Mr. Severino said, H.H.S. had to consider comments against the
rule noting that abortion was a constitutional right under Roe.

“Those arguments are now gone,” Mr. Severino said. “You cannot say that it is a
federal constitutional right to abortion, so that would simplify the rule-making
process significantly.”

Similarly, limits to fetal tissue research could also come much more quickly.
“It took longer than necessary to get a resolution on that,” he said. “The
vetting and the testing and the argumentation has been done already once
before.”


Image

Supporters of abortion rights protested outside the federal building and
courthouse in Amarillo, Texas, where a lawsuit against abortion pills was argued
last year.Credit...Meridith Kohut for The New York Times


Polling indicates that plans banning or severely restricting abortion would most
likely be deeply unpopular. Since Roe fell, support for legalized abortion has
gained support. Only about 8 percent of American adults oppose abortion with no
exceptions.



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Biden administration officials say they have reached the limits of their powers
to restore federal abortion rights. They have pushed Congress to pass
legislation that would restore federal abortion rights, but the legislation has
repeatedly failed to garner enough support in the Senate.

For more than a decade, Republicans have been trying to enact a federal ban on
abortions after 20 weeks. That legislation, too, has failed to gain enough
traction to pass.

“Congress isn’t going to pass a ban, but the Comstock Act is already on the
books,” said Mary Ziegler, a law professor and a historian of abortion at the
University of California, Davis. “As interpreted in this way, it doesn’t have
any exceptions — it applies at conception. It’s any abortion, full stop.”

Ms. Ziegler said such an action would certainly face litigation from liberal
groups and abortion providers that could end up before the country’s highest
court.

Even the advocates are uncertain how far the courts and the public will allow
them to go. Some groups have argued for immediate enforcement of Comstock.
Others are more cautious about how to enforce it in a politically palatable way.
Mr. Mitchell said he believed the enforcement of Comstock would have to ensure
provisions to protect the life of a pregnant woman and to address how to care
for miscarriages.



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The Comstock Act made it a federal crime to send or deliver “obscene, lewd or
lascivious” material through the mail or by other carriers, specifically
including items used for abortion or birth control. The 1973 ruling in Roe,
which recognized a federal right to an abortion, largely relegated the law to
constitutional history.

Beyond reactivating the Comstock Act, conservatives believe they can roll back
much of what the Biden administration has done to try to protect abortion
rights. One example is a plan to eliminate guidance from the Biden
administration requiring federally funded hospitals to perform lifesaving
abortions, even in the 16 states with near-total bans. They also float ideas
about how the Justice Department could direct U.S. attorneys not to prosecute
people who violate laws prohibiting the obstruction of clinic entrances.

Republican gains in the courts could help lock in their goals. Many executive
actions are undone or redone when a new administration takes power. But former
officials, including Mr. Severino, are hopeful that the Supreme Court will rule
soon to eliminate the Chevron deference, which he said could allow regulations
they enact to remain in place even if a Democratic president were elected in the
future.

Abortion rights leaders have little doubt that a second Trump administration
would go as far as possible to limit abortion rights and access. While their
organizations are publicly hammering Republicans for embracing national bans,
they quietly worry more about the damage Mr. Trump could materially do to their
cause through executive actions.

“He’s trying to masquerade in public as a moderate,” said Mini Timmaraju,
president of Reproductive Freedom for All, formerly NARAL Pro-Choice America.
“It’s mind-blowing that anyone would imagine he wouldn’t do worse in a second
term.”

She added, “He’s going to do whatever Jonathan Mitchell wants.”



Lisa Lerer is a national political reporter for The Times, based in New York.
She has covered American politics for nearly two decades. More about Lisa Lerer

Elizabeth Dias is The Times’s national religion correspondent, covering faith,
politics and culture. More about Elizabeth Dias

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