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Submitted URL: http://manifold.lol/
Effective URL: https://manifold.markets/EmmaLiddell/during-manifoldlol-will-the-audienc?r=RW1tYUxpZGRlbGw
Submission: On June 11 via api from BE — Scanned from DE
Effective URL: https://manifold.markets/EmmaLiddell/during-manifoldlol-will-the-audienc?r=RW1tYUxpZGRlbGw
Submission: On June 11 via api from BE — Scanned from DE
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MANIFOLD US PoliticsNewsBrowseAboutApp Sign up Get แน600 play money Sign inDarkLight (auto) Back 7 During manifold.lol, which topics will the audience laugh at a joke about? #Manifest Emma Liddell 41 แน10k resolved Jun 9 1D 1W 1M ALL 06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMJun 0903 AM06 AM09 AM0%25%50%75%100% Open options Sort: High % Search Resolved YES Gambling Addiction Resolved YES Weird Sex Resolved YES Abortion Resolved YES Rationalists Resolved YES Unaligned AI Resolved YES "Liquidity" Resolved YES Finance Resolved YES Ben Pace Resolved YES E/acc Resolved YES Soylent Resolved YES Fucking a dead cow Resolved YES Denying reality Resolved YES Number 27478384 Resolved YES Yud's hat Resolved YES Jimmy Carter Resolved YES Loss Resolved YES Minecraft Resolved YES Sex (any kind) Resolved YES This answer Resolved YES Bid ask spreads Show 36 more answers RELATED QUESTIONS [Add options] What will be voted the funniest out-of-context Manifold comment at the end of 2024? The All Memeing Eye โ ๏ธ Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive? Predictor ๐ฅ 46% chance Is Manifold Cringe? chris (strutheo) POLL Will Manifold think Manifold is Cringe? chris (strutheo) 73% chance Will manifold.love ever be a billion dollar business? Isaac King 1% chance How many types of drugs will I willingly consume at the next Manifest? chris (strutheo) Which users will attend a Manifest in 2025? [ADD RESPONSES] chris (strutheo) Will there be another Manifest conference held in 2025? chris (strutheo) 80% chance Will Manifest 2025 have someone more famous than Nate Silver? Conflux 22% chance Will Manifest 2025 be hosted at Lighthaven? case 70% chance How many manifest babies born before 2028 Quinn Will Manifold function at this time? Chris V Does Manifold like Ben Shapiro? Keenen W 1% chance Will manifold.love be seen as a mistake by the Manifold community at the end of 2024? Isaac King 76% chance Will Manifold kill the part of itself that's cringe, or the part that cringes? Plasma Ballin' Will my follow-up covid test be positive? Jonathan Ray 41% chance Who will get funding because of their pitch at Manifest 2024? hath Will Lighthaven be capable of hosting a Manifest/LessOnline style event in June 2025? nikki 69% chance Best Manifest Out Of Context Quote Joshua ๐๐ฎ๐ What question will I use my free crystal on? ๐๐ฎ๐ N.C. Young Will the second Manifest be better than the first? Isaac King 82% chance Show more Manifold.lol is a comedy event taking place on Saturday night at Manifest. During the event, we will rotate through all attendees who want to give a stand-up set or standalone joke. Attendees can go as many times as they wish. Attendees are not required to present any jokes or stand-up. The judge(s) will, at their sole collective discretion, determine which jokes 'the audience' has laughed at and which topics the joke(s) were about. Please add options to this market! Sign up Get แน600 play money WHAT IS THIS? Are our forecasts accurate? Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. By using the combined wisdom of thousands of users, we outperform real-money platforms. For example, in the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all prediction markets and were in line with FiveThirtyEightโs performance. What are the odds? The odds are the chance that the event happens. The odds are set by traders who have insight into the question weighted proportional to their confidence (bet size) and how correct they've been in the past (balance). Why should I bet? By betting, you can win prize points which are redeemable for real cash charity donations Betting on questions provides accurate answers of important real, world questions. Get started for free! No credit card required. RELATED QUESTIONS [Add options] What will be voted the funniest out-of-context Manifold comment at the end of 2024? The All Memeing Eye โ ๏ธ Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive? Predictor ๐ฅ 46% chance Is Manifold Cringe? chris (strutheo) POLL Will Manifold think Manifold is Cringe? chris (strutheo) 73% chance Will manifold.love ever be a billion dollar business? Isaac King 1% chance How many types of drugs will I willingly consume at the next Manifest? chris (strutheo) Which users will attend a Manifest in 2025? [ADD RESPONSES] chris (strutheo) Will there be another Manifest conference held in 2025? chris (strutheo) 80% chance Will Manifest 2025 have someone more famous than Nate Silver? Conflux 22% chance Will Manifest 2025 be hosted at Lighthaven? case 70% chance How many manifest babies born before 2028 Quinn Will Manifold function at this time? Chris V Does Manifold like Ben Shapiro? Keenen W 1% chance Will manifold.love be seen as a mistake by the Manifold community at the end of 2024? Isaac King 76% chance Will Manifold kill the part of itself that's cringe, or the part that cringes? Plasma Ballin' Will my follow-up covid test be positive? Jonathan Ray 41% chance Who will get funding because of their pitch at Manifest 2024? hath Will Lighthaven be capable of hosting a Manifest/LessOnline style event in June 2025? nikki 69% chance Best Manifest Out Of Context Quote Joshua ๐๐ฎ๐ What question will I use my free crystal on? ๐๐ฎ๐ N.C. Young Will the second Manifest be better than the first? Isaac King 82% chance Show more ๐ TOP TRADERS #NameTotal profit1 Vincent Rowold แน4922 Adam แน3673 Justin แน1024 M แน625 Logan Daniels แน62 7 Comments 41 Holders 238 Trades Open options Sort by: Open options Newest The All Memeing Eye โ ๏ธ 2d Open options Is there a transcript? I find it pretty unbelievable that people laughed at the cow sex, number, and meta options 3 replies Emma Liddell (edited) 2d Open options @TheAllMemeingEye I can give a summary for those jokes. The cow sex joke involved making the audience first bet on which of two punchlines a not-yet-told joke was going to have - "a wild goose chase" or "barking up the wrong tree", and then telling the audience the joke. My notes for the joke (not quite a transcript, my delivery was different): "A friend of mine flamed out at his tech job so he and his wife moved to work on a ranch. It was good at first but his wife started complaining they never had sex anymore. When she asked him why, he blamed it on being distracted by an animal on the farm. Suspicious, she hires a private eye to tail her husband. After a few days, the PI reports back: 'Every day, there's this wild goose that sneaks into the slaughterhouse and tries to steal the beef. Your husband spends hours chasing it around. The only way he can scare it off is by barking at it like a dog until it flies into a tree, and then barking from the base of the tree more until it flies away from the property. Frequently though, he guesses the wrong tree and the bird keeps returning. The wife asks, 'So how do we fix my sex life? Does he stop the wild goose chase or does he stop barking up the wrong tree?' The PI's response: Either of those would help but my biggest suggestion is that he stops fucking the dead cow." The joke being that neither earlier option was the actual punchline. The number one - not my joke - involved a guy being given the number of a woman at a bar. It was pretty long so I'm skipping important setup but the punchline was his housemate pointing out the number was clearly fake because it only had 8 digits. The meta one involved a bit about identifying the bets that were going to resolve false. 1 The All Memeing Eye โ ๏ธ 2d Open options @EmmaLiddell right, thanks ๐ John Bennett 1d Open options @TheAllMemeingEye The context that they were reaching so hard to make the random things funny did in fact make it funny. Metahumor. 1 Open options The All Memeing Eye โ ๏ธ 3d Open options Does it resolve no or n/a if a topic doesn't come up? 1 reply Emma Liddell 2d Open options @TheAllMemeingEye It will resolve no 1 Open options ClubmasterTransparent 3d Open options Has this resolved? Open options RELATED IN MANIFEST Manifest 2024 Prop Bets Joshua The Crystal Coin Flip case -50% 1dNO See more Manifest questions MORE RELATED QUESTIONS [Add options] What will be voted the funniest out-of-context Manifold comment at the end of 2024? The All Memeing Eye โ ๏ธ Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive? Predictor ๐ฅ 46% chance Is Manifold Cringe? chris (strutheo) POLL Will Manifold think Manifold is Cringe? chris (strutheo) 73% chance Will manifold.love ever be a billion dollar business? Isaac King 1% chance How many types of drugs will I willingly consume at the next Manifest? chris (strutheo) Which users will attend a Manifest in 2025? [ADD RESPONSES] chris (strutheo) Will there be another Manifest conference held in 2025? chris (strutheo) 80% chance Will Manifest 2025 have someone more famous than Nate Silver? Conflux -28% 1d22% chance Will Manifest 2025 be hosted at Lighthaven? case +17% 1d70% chance How many manifest babies born before 2028 Quinn Will Manifold function at this time? Chris V Does Manifold like Ben Shapiro? Keenen W 1% chance Will manifold.love be seen as a mistake by the Manifold community at the end of 2024? Isaac King 76% chance Will Manifold kill the part of itself that's cringe, or the part that cringes? Plasma Ballin' Will my follow-up covid test be positive? Jonathan Ray -9% 1d41% chance Who will get funding because of their pitch at Manifest 2024? hath Will Lighthaven be capable of hosting a Manifest/LessOnline style event in June 2025? nikki -4% 1d69% chance Best Manifest Out Of Context Quote Joshua ๐๐ฎ๐ What question will I use my free crystal on? ๐๐ฎ๐ N.C. Young Will the second Manifest be better than the first? Isaac King +10% 1d82% chance WHAT IS THIS? Are our forecasts accurate? Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. By using the combined wisdom of thousands of users, we outperform real-money platforms. For example, in the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all prediction markets and were in line with FiveThirtyEightโs performance. What are the odds? The odds are the chance that the event happens. The odds are set by traders who have insight into the question weighted proportional to their confidence (bet size) and how correct they've been in the past (balance). Why should I bet? By betting, you can win prize points which are redeemable for real cash charity donations Betting on questions provides accurate answers of important real, world questions. Get started for free! No credit card required. MANIFEST QUESTIONS Manifest 2024 Prop Bets Joshua The Crystal Coin Flip case NO RELATED QUESTIONS [Add options] What will be voted the funniest out-of-context Manifold comment at the end of 2024? The All Memeing Eye โ ๏ธ Will Manifold function at this time? Chris V Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive? Predictor ๐ฅ 46% chance Does Manifold like Ben Shapiro? Keenen W 1% chance Is Manifold Cringe? chris (strutheo) POLL Will manifold.love be seen as a mistake by the Manifold community at the end of 2024? Isaac King 76% chance Will Manifold think Manifold is Cringe? chris (strutheo) 73% chance Will Manifold kill the part of itself that's cringe, or the part that cringes? Plasma Ballin' Will manifold.love ever be a billion dollar business? Isaac King 1% chance Will my follow-up covid test be positive? Jonathan Ray 41% chance How many types of drugs will I willingly consume at the next Manifest? chris (strutheo) Who will get funding because of their pitch at Manifest 2024? hath Which users will attend a Manifest in 2025? [ADD RESPONSES] chris (strutheo) Will Lighthaven be capable of hosting a Manifest/LessOnline style event in June 2025? nikki 69% chance Will there be another Manifest conference held in 2025? chris (strutheo) 80% chance Best Manifest Out Of Context Quote Joshua Will Manifest 2025 have someone more famous than Nate Silver? Conflux 22% chance ๐๐ฎ๐ What question will I use my free crystal on? ๐๐ฎ๐ N.C. Young Will Manifest 2025 be hosted at Lighthaven? case 70% chance Will the second Manifest be better than the first? Isaac King 82% chance How many manifest babies born before 2028 Quinn Scroll to top PoliticsNewsBrowseAboutSign in