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International politics


NETANYAHU BLACKMAILS BIDEN: ISRAEL'S LAST CHANCE

The Israel Defense Forces command said plans for an offensive in Lebanon were
‘approved and validated’. Does this correspond to reality, or was this the
Israeli prime minister's way of trying to give an ultimatum to the U.S.?
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Photo by Alie Skowronski for the Forward

By Louis Keene June 24, 2024



After Hezbollah posted a 9-minute video shot by a terrorist drone on its
channels on Tuesday, June 18, showing industrial and military facilities in
Haifa, the Israel Defense Forces retaliated with a PR strike.

The IDF Press Service released a photo of the meeting of top generals discussing
military strategy, noting that “as part of the assessment of the situation,
operational plans for the offensive in Lebanon were approved and endorsed, and
decisions were made to continue improving the readiness of troops on the
battlefield.”

As Jonathan Conricus, a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of
Democracies and former IDF spokesman, told Fox News Digital, “This represents
another step toward a significant escalation. The IDF has been preparing troops
for combat scenarios in Lebanon for months now, which means that it has now also
approved plans, plans for strategic maneuvers, how to attack Hezbollah in
Lebanon on the ground and, of course, in the air.”

“It means that we are one step closer to war, and this should sound the alarm in
Beirut, in Washington, in Paris, in London and in Berlin, and of course in all
other regional capitals, because it means that Israel is signaling to the world
that patience is running out and that action must be taken to ensure the safety
of Israeli civilians.”







Here we need to understand this: first, the military always prepares scenarios
for different scenarios of combat, so that in the vaults of the IDF, there is
more than one plan for war with a hostile environment, and this is just one of
them. Second, warning the enemy of your real plans is foolish, to say the least,
and Israeli generals are not idiots after all. Third, this is just part of the
larger information war now being waged by Jerusalem, primarily with the Biden
administration.

The exchange of pleasantries from both sides followed immediately after a visit
by Amos Hochstein, a senior adviser to U.S. President Joe Biden, who met with
officials in Lebanon and Israel in another attempt to prevent the conflict from
escalating. Hochstein told reporters in Beirut on Tuesday that it was a ‘very
serious situation’ and that a diplomatic solution was urgently needed to prevent
a larger war.

Opposing sides are constantly raising the stakes. Israel hits Tehran's embassy
in Damascus, in response follows Iran's demonstrative strike on Israeli
territory. Now Jerusalem says it is ready to invade Lebanon, where Iran's proxy
Hezbollah operates.

Everything that is happening must be looked at through the prism of the November
U.S. presidential election. 8 million American Jews are an important yet very
active segment of the U.S. electorate with very strong lobbying capabilities.
Historically, they tend to vote for the Democratic Party, which means they are
now Biden voters.







However, another part of the Democrat electorate – leftists, globalists, Arab
Americans, progressive youth – is now coming out with pro-Palestinian and
anti-Israel positions. Numerous rallies and protests, including on the campuses
of major American universities, vividly illustrate this.

And that's the part of the audience that Biden is now targeting more. That is
why the White House is constantly putting pressure on Jerusalem – restricting
arms shipments under the pretext of concern for the preservation of Palestinian
lives in Gaza, proposed plans for a ‘peace settlement’ in which Israel's
interests are not taken into account in any way. Washington is offering a
cease-fire and a hostage exchange for Hamas fighters in Israeli jails. For
Jerusalem, it is essentially a defeat in a war, something it cannot do.

At the same time, the Israelis are well aware that without U.S. help they have
no chance at all in confronting Iran, Hezbollah and Hamas. Hence Netanyahu's
attempts to blackmail Washington with his promises to launch a large-scale war
in the Middle East, something the U.S. absolutely does not want. But Biden can't
go along with Israel either, as he will simply lose any chance of winning the
election.

It is possible that in this way Netanyahu is trying to play into the hands of
Republicans and Trump, who are sympathetic to Israel, in the hope of gaining
strong support for the war on terrorists. But one must realize that the
Democrats still have enough tools in their hands to try to remove an Israeli
prime minister they don't like from power. At the same time, they have such
plans and do not hide them. Whether Netanyahu can hold on to power for at least
another six months is a big question.




RELATED

 * Student groups at Baruch College stage protest against Hillel, adding to
   growing trend (JTA)
 * Queens College has been a model of Muslim-Jewish cooperation. Can it stay
   that way after Oct. 7? (Forward)





Louis Keene is a staff reporter at the Forward covering religion, sports and the
West Coast. He writes the weekly California Briefing and can be followed on
Twitter @thislouis.




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