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WORLD WITHOUT RUSSIA


Details 17 March 2022 Vladislav Inozemtsev


The war unleashed by Vladimir Putin in Ukraine will have grave consequences for
Russia—political, economic, cultural. However, contrary to the Kremlin’s
thinking, Russia’s importance on the world stage, which is being rapidly
reconsidered today, is in fact not so great. Modern Russia is beginning to fade
into the past.

Details Analysis



A BIG WAR IN UKRAINE: THE KREMLIN’S GOALS AND CONSEQUENCES FOR WORLD POLITICS


Details 16 March 2022 Mykola Vorobiov

On February 24, the Russian army crossed the Ukrainian border in several
directions simultaneously, thus beginning a full-scale invasion of Ukraine. The
Kremlin employed most of its armed forces—around 130,000 people, according to
various estimates—that had accumulated along the Ukrainian border over the past
four months.

Details Analysis



RUSSIAN JEWS: A COMPLICATED NARRATIVE


Details 08 March 2022 Dmitry Shlapentokh

Last October former Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev wrote an article
focusing on Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, an ethnic Jew. Medvedev
mocked and insulted him, implying that Zelensky is a treacherous Jew and a
disgusting person. The article was criticized for anti-Semitism and attempts at
undermining Zelensky’s political status in Ukraine, but it also reflects
complicated attitudes toward Jews in the Soviet Union and Russia.


ANALYSIS


FROM VICTOR TO AGGRESSOR: A METAMORPHOSIS

Details 03 March 2022 Ekaterina Mishina

On February 24, Russia launched a full-scale war against Ukraine under the
pretenses of “demilitarization” and “denazification” of the country. Legal
scholar and professor at the Free University Ekaterina Mishina analyzes the
legal aspects of the war and looks at the cultural ramifications of the actions
of the Russian Federation, which, by President Putin’s will, has turned from a
victor nation into an aggressor nation.


KREMLIN PROPAGANDA GOES TO WAR

Details 01 March 2022 Michael Wasiura

For weeks leading up to February 24, as Russian military equipment moved into
position around Ukraine’s borders and as U.S. government spokespersons warned of
an “imminent” attack, foreign and domestic Russia analysts did not expect that
an actual war was about to begin. Many pointed to the lack of a “rally around
the flag” propaganda campaign as evidence that the Kremlin was not preparing the
public for a potentially generation-defining conflict. This expectation was a
mistake. The Kremlin propaganda’s goal was not to rally support, but to suppress
opposition. At least for now, this campaign has been a success.


IS THE KREMLIN READY TO REJECT THE MINSK ACCORDS?

Details 21 February 2022 Mykola Vorobiov

Following the three-month escalation along the Ukrainian border, the Kremlin
must resort to unpopular decisions—such as recognition of the self-proclaimed
Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics—in order to save face both before its own
citizens and the collective West. Despite the colossal pressure, Kyiv is
refusing to abide by the Minsk Accords on Moscow’s terms, and that means that
the Kremlin’s blackmail may result in real military action. However, further
escalation is unlikely in the upcoming few months: most likely, the Kremlin will
continue destabilizing the situation inside Ukraine.


OPINIONS


WAR AND GAS




Details 14 February 2022 Vladislav Inozemtsev

Is the surge in natural gas prices in Europe this winter related to the
escalation in Ukraine following Putin’s ultimatum to the West and threat of war?
According to economist Vyacheslav Inozemtzev, director of the Center for
Research on Post-Industrial Societies (Moscow), the answer to this question is
not as straightforward as it might appear.


SMOKE AND MIRRORS: WESTERN MISPERCEPTIONS OF RUSSIA IN UKRAINE

Details 11 February 2022 Ofer Fridman, Vera Michlin-Shapir

The consensus among Western politicians and experts is that the Kremlin is
gearing up for war, which could be prevented by either deterrence or
negotiations. However, recent research shows that policymaking discourse in both
Russia and the West is “full of mutual misperceptions, mirror imaging, and
attribution of non-existent intentions and capabilities.” One of the main
reasons for possible misinterpretation of the Kremlin’s intentions in Ukraine is
rooted in differences between the U.S. and Russian strategic cultures.


HOW THE KREMLIN IS PREPARING FOR WAR

Details 09 February 2022 Michael Wasiura

Since March 2021, when the first reports of a military buildup at the
Russia-Ukraine border appeared, the Kremlin has continued taking steps to shape
the battlespace, both in physical reality and in the information sphere. While
Western observers seem to view a Russian invasion as almost inevitable,
Ukrainian officials call for a toning down of the incendiary rhetoric. In his
op-ed for IMR, Michael Wasiura, a U.S. political analyst based in Moscow,
explains why there are reasons to believe that the Kremlin is preparing for war.


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TRENDING

 * Smoke and mirrors: Western misperceptions of Russia in Ukraine
 * How Kremlin propaganda distorts reality inside Russia
 * Russia’s negotiations with the U.S., NATO, and the OSCE: “The window of
   diplomacy” remains open, for now
 * How the Kremlin is preparing for war
 * CEPA–IMR joint event: COVID-19 and information warfare


NEWS

 * WAR IN UKRAINE: the world is at the critical junction, urgent action is
   needed now IMR's president Pavel Khodorkovskiy calls for immediate action to
   shelter Ukraine's sky and prevent a humanitarian catastrophe.
 * IMR’s statement on the situation in Ukraine  
 * CEPA–IMR joint event: COVID-19 and information warfare On December 15, the
   Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA), in collaboration with the
   Institute of Modern Russia (IMR), hosted a panel discussion on the findings
   and lessons learned from the recently released reports “Jabbed in the Back”
   and “The Rise and Fall of Sputnik V.” Dalia Bankauskaitė, Ben Dubow, Olga
   Khvostunova, and Vera Michlin-Shapir shared their views on how Russia and
   China engaged in information warfare during the COVID-19 pandemic. James
   Lamond moderated the discussion.

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