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Accessibility statementSkip to main content Search Navigation Democracy Dies in Darkness Subscribe Sign in Advertisement Close The Washington PostDemocracy Dies in Darkness Climate & Environment Climate Solutions Hurricane season Global warming World impacts Global emissions Extreme heat Biden's actions Capital Weather Gang HURRICANE NICOLE MAKES LANDFALL IN FLORIDA AS WINDS INCREASE, WATERS RISE STORM IS FORECAST TO DELIVER HEAVY RAIN ALONG ENTIRE EAST COAST By Matthew Cappucci and Jason Samenow Updated November 10, 2022 at 3:31 a.m. EST|Published November 9, 2022 at 10:07 a.m. EST Play Florida braces for Huricane Nicole 1:43 Subtitle Settings Font Default Mono Sans Mono Serif Sans Serif Comic Fancy Small Caps Font Size Default X-Small Small Medium Large X-Large XX-Large Font Edge Default Outline Dark Outline Light Outline Dark Bold Outline Light Bold Shadow Dark Shadow Light Shadow Dark Bold Shadow Light Bold Font Color Default Black Silver Gray White Maroon Red Purple Fuchsia Green Lime Olive Yellow Navy Blue Teal Aqua Orange Default 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% Background Default Black Silver Gray White Maroon Red Purple Fuchsia Green Lime Olive Yellow Navy Blue Teal Aqua Orange Default 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% As Nicole reached hurricane strength, a dangerous storm surge was expected along Florida's east coast, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said Nov. 9. (Video: Reuters) Listen 8 min Comment on this story Comment 592 Gift Article Share Nicole made landfall on the east coast of Florida early Thursday morning after it had intensified into a Category 1 hurricane Wednesday evening. Conditions were deteriorating as the storm approached, with the worst expected overnight into early Thursday morning. 10 steps you can take to lower your carbon footprintArrowRight It made landfall on North Hutchinson Island, about 140 miles north of Miami, with maximum sustained winds of 75 miles per hour, the National Hurricane Center said at 3 a.m. The National Hurricane Center predicted the unusually late-season hurricane would unleash a dangerous storm surge, or rise in ocean water above normally dry land, very heavy rain and damaging winds gusts. And such conditions were underway Wednesday night. Story continues below advertisement Reports of coastal flooding increased earlier in the day as winds gusted over 60 mph and downpours intensified. The incoming storm surge had already damaged docks, boardwalks and some buildings. Advertisement Ahead of the storm, the surge threat prompted mandatory evacuations in several coastal areas, including Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach County, where Donald Trump was staying. The former president did not plan to leave, an adviser said, although his club was closed. The surge was forecast to increase Wednesday night into Thursday morning, peaking up to 4 to 5 feet above ground level, as the core of Nicole came ashore. While the surge could be Nicole’s biggest hazard, especially for coastal areas, inland flooding from heavy rain and power outages from strong winds were also forecast. Story continues below advertisement The blow to Florida’s Atlantic coastline was expected to be just the first act for the large and fast-moving storm. After sweeping ashore between West Palm Beach and Melbourne, the storm was forecast to quickly head toward Tampa early Thursday, enter the Gulf of Mexico, make a second landfall on Florida’s Big Bend in the evening and then work its way up the East Coast Friday. STORM EFFECTS SO FAR Water levels began rising along Florida’s east coast Tuesday, and, by Wednesday, social media video showed the ocean already overwhelming beaches, leading to coastal erosion and flooding. Advertisement Martin County, Fla., which includes Stuart, reported flooded roads Wednesday afternoon because of the incoming surge. Social media also revealed images of flooding around Palm City, Jupiter and Lantana. Story continues below advertisement Around Daytona Beach, video emerged of sea walls destroyed and a beach safety building collapsed into the ocean. A condo building in Daytona Beach Shores was evacuated amid fears of collapse due to erosion. At 10 p.m. Eastern, Nicole’s peak winds were 75 mph after having just made landfall on Grand Bahama Island four hours earlier when it was declared a hurricane. Centered 75 miles east of West Palm Beach, Nicole was moving west-northwest at 13 mph. In its 10 p.m. discussion, the Hurricane Center wrote that the storm had little time left to strengthen before making landfall. Satellite view of Nicole on Wednesday afternoon. Because of its origins as a subtropical system, possessing some of the characteristics of mid-latitude cyclones, the storm’s wind field was enormous. In fact, tropical-storm-force winds exceeding 40 mph extended outward up to 485 miles from the storm’s core. Advertisement Story continues below advertisement Through 10 p.m., winds had gusted over 60 mph in Daytona Beach, Stuart Beach and Cape Canaveral, according to AccuWeather. WARNINGS AND EVACUATIONS Play Nicole expected to hit Florida as Category 1 hurricane 1:05 Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) on Nov. 9 announced that Tropical Storm Nicole is expected to hit Florida's east coast as a Category 1 hurricane. (Video: Reuters) Hurricane warnings spanned from near Boca Raton to Daytona Beach, including Palm Beach, Port St. Lucie and the Space Coast. Tropical storm warnings extended as far north as Charleston, S.C., and were also expanded to include the Florida Gulf Coast from near Fort Myers to Tallahassee. Storm surge warnings for a “life-threatening” rise in ocean water stretched from North Palm Beach northward to southeastern Georgia midway between Jacksonville and Savannah. Mandatory evacuation orders were issued Tuesday for vulnerable zones of Palm Beach and Volusia counties in Florida in anticipation of the surge. St. Lucie, Brevard, St. Johns, Indian River and Martin counties advocated voluntary evacuation for some. Zones of greatest concern include barrier islands, mobile homes and homes in areas prone to flooding. In Miami Beach, Robert Wright wrangles beach furniture. (Michael Robinson Chavez/The Washington Post) The National Weather Service wrote that the surge could have “significant impacts,” especially from Palm Beach northward, with damage to buildings, marinas, docks and piers, as well as the washing out of roads and major beach erosion. Advertisement Story continues below advertisement Storm surge warnings also covered coastal regions from north of Tampa Bay through the Big Bend on Florida’s west coast, where up to 4 or 5 feet of shoreline inundation was possible, mainly on Thursday. Where will Nicole hit hardest? Here’s the outlook for 13 cities. FLORIDA IMPACT Simulated radar for Nicole between midnight Wednesday and 5 a.m. Thursday. The storm was expected to deliver a host of effects: * The entire Atlantic coast of Florida north of the storm’s center was to expect gusts of 35 to 65 mph. Near where the core of Nicole’s circulation moves ashore, a few gusts flirting with 75 mph were possible. Such gusts could cause some tree and minor structural damage, as well as power outages. * North of the storm’s center, onshore winds were expected to push water against the coastline and cause flooding. Near and north of Palm Beach as well as in the Big Bend area, a spike of 3 to 5 feet in water levels was anticipated. * A widespread 2 to 5 inches of rain with localized 6-inch totals was forecast for much of the Florida Peninsula and the Big Bend. Ordinarily this would be unremarkable for Florida, but many locations were still reeling from flooding left over from Hurricane Ian’s assault on the state in late September. The St. Johns River, already at flood stage, was expected to rise further. * A few tornadoes were likely north of the storm’s center, primarily within small, low-topped thunderstorm cells that pivot ashore. The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center highlighted a level 2 out of 5 “slight risk” of severe weather. Tropical storm conditions were also possible between Tampa and Mexico Beach, Fla., on Thursday. RAINFALL ON THE EAST COAST Nicole was headed west because of a blocking dome of high pressure at the mid-latitudes that had been exerting a southward push on it. By Thursday morning, that high was forecast to shift offshore, allowing Nicole to turn northward ahead of an approaching low-pressure system over the Midwest. That low was swinging a cold front east. The front was expected to help focus moisture from Nicole, which was to stream northward. A widespread 2 to 4 inches of rain was forecast up the Appalachians as a result. It was unclear if the higher terrain or the cities to the east along Interstate 95 would see the jackpot totals; that would be ironed out once Nicole’s path became more certain. The storm was forecast to retain gusty winds as it transitioned from a tropical to a mid-latitude storm. Advertisement Story continues below advertisement “Isolated flash, urban, and small stream flooding will also be possible on Friday in the Southeast through the southern and central Appalachians, including the Blue Ridge Mountains, and extending northward through west-central Pennsylvania into western New York by Friday night,” the Hurricane Center wrote. RARE NOVEMBER LANDFALL November is an unusual month for a hurricane to strike Florida. In fact, only three hurricanes on record have made landfall in the United States in November, and only one after Nov. 4: Kate, on Nov. 21, 1985. That hurricane struck the Florida Panhandle. Before that, you’d have to go back to an unnamed Category 2 hurricane that hit Miami on Nov. 4, 1935. Story continues below advertisement If Nicole were to maintain its strength until landfall, it would become the latest-occurring hurricane on record on the east coast of Florida, tweeted Phil Klotzbach, a tropical weather researcher at Colorado State University. Nicole became the third hurricane to form so far this month in the Atlantic, meaning 2022 is now tied with 2001 for most November Atlantic hurricanes on record, according to Klotzbach. Nicole followed Lisa and Martin, which also reached hurricane strength. Advertisement Despite Nicole’s unusual lateness, the 2022 season was still running slightly behind average, defying expert predictions of an active season. From a standpoint of ACE, or accumulated cyclone energy, the season to date was lagging 22 percent behind historical averages; ACE is a product of storm intensity and duration, and quantifies how much energy from warm ocean waters storms churn through. Bryan Pietsch, Tim Craig and Josh Dawsey contributed to this report. 592 Comments GiftOutline Gift Article Subscribe to comment and get the full experience. Choose your plan → View more Loading... Advertisement MOST READ Climate & Environment Go to Next Page * 1 Where will Nicole hit hardest? Here’s the outlook for 13 cities. * 2 Storm in Plains to unleash blizzard conditions and hefty snowfalls * 3 As wealthy nations take heat for warming planet, coalition unveils lofty plan * 4 Climate talks in Egypt overshadowed by shouting matches over human rights * 5 Analysis|A climate change report card for the world 2022 HEAT TRACKER 3890-degree days so far Average Year-To-Date40Yearly Average40Record Most67 (1980,2010)Record Fewest7 (1886,1905)Last Year48 Advertisement TOP STORIES Climate Change Reporting on Earth’s changing climate and the people trying to find solutions to one of the biggest challenges of our era. As wealthy nations take heat for warming planet, coalition unveils lofty plan Climate talks in Egypt overshadowed by shouting matches over human rights U.N. climate talks off to tense start as nations feud over damage Refresh Try a different topic Sign in or create a free account to save your preferences Advertisement MOST READ * 1 Trump team pushes to delay 2024 launch as DeSantis star rises in GOP * 2 Midterm elections live updates: Georgia Senate race between Walker and Warnock headed to Dec. 6 runoff * 3 Trump called a protest. No one showed. 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