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News News All NewsCompaniesIndexesCurrency / ForexCommoditiesCryptocurrenciesETFInterest RatesEconomyThemesSectors EUROPEAN MIDDAY BRIEFING: STOCKS FIRMER AS EUROZONE INFLATION DROPS 11/30/2022 | 06:19am EST SEND BY MAIL : Name : First name : From* : To* : (You can enter multiple email addresses separated by commas) Message : *Required fields MARKET WRAPS Stocks: Stocks in Europe held solid gains on Wednesday with sentiment buoyed by hopes that China could backtrack on its zero Covid-19 policy and after data showed the annual rate of inflation in the eurozone fell in November for the first time since mid-2021. Commerzbank said the latest CPI print came in at a lower-than-expected 10%, increasing the likelihood the European Central Bank will opt for raising interest rates by 50 basis points at its December meeting. This would mark a slowdown from the 75bp increases implemented in the last two meetings. However, it still isn't safe to say that inflation has passed its peak as high volatility of energy prices prevent a reliable forecast, Commerzbank said. Moreover, the core inflation rate--which excludes the more volatile categories of food and energy--is unlikely to peak until mid-2023. "The ECB's goal of pushing the inflation rate back to just under 2% on a sustainable basis seems a long way off." Stocks to Watch Air Liquide's medium-term growth potential is underpinned by opportunities in energy transition including its focus on hydrogen, carbon capture and storage and energy upgrading, Deutsche Bank said, adding that green growth aims to boost the company's share price. Air Liquide is expected to modestly increase its capital expenditure in the coming years, focusing on investments that are presold to customers, ensuring its growth remains low-risk, Deutsche Bank said. It said Air Liquide has the potential of achieving an estimated 5% compound annual growth rate in sales with earnings per share of 11% between 2023 and 2025. BASF may continue to face consensus downside risk in 2023, but its shares shouldn't be too negatively affected, Deutsche Bank said. It believes the large majority of downgrades have already been made and that crucially, most, if not all investors are already aware of future cuts. Deutshe Bank's data over the past 30 years show that BASF's stock inflection point is often during the fastest consensus downgrades. "Overall, we see enough upside potential in the name in the coming 12 months and reiterate our buy recommendation." Economic Insight Slowing inflation in Spain and Germany is supportive of a downshift in the pace of the European Central Bank's interest-rate rise in December, BNP Paribas Markets 360 said. "While far from being a done deal," the data support BNP's view that the ECB will slow the pace of the rate rise to 50 basis points at the December meeting from 75 bps. "With underlying price pressures remaining elevated, however, we continue to expect the ECB to keep hiking until policy rates are well into restrictive territory," BNP said, forecasting the deposit rate--currently at 1.50%--peaking at 3% by the end of the first quarter of 2023. Read ECB's Terminal Rate Could Be Above 3%, Higher Than Market Pricing Read Eurozone Inflation Expected to Fall in November U.S. Markets: Stock futures were a touch firmer as traders looked ahead to Jerome Powell's speech and awaited a big batch of important economic data during the rest of the week. The data docket on Wednesday for the Fed's perusal includes the November ADP employment report, real GDP data, the November Chicago PMI report, pending home sales for October and the Fed's Beige Book. One of the Fed's most closely watched inflation gauges, the personal consumption expenditures index, will be published on Thursday, followed on Friday by the nonfarm payrolls report. Forex: Eurozone inflation data for November are expected to show an easing in price pressures but this is unlikely to materially move the euro, ING said. "The impact of the inflation story on the EUR/USD has been, predictably, limited. External factors and dollar dynamics continue to drive the pair's performance, and we see downside risks today given that Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak later [1800 GMT]." A fall in EUR/USD below 1.0300 could fuel more downside momentum, taking the pair to the 1.0200-1.0250 levels seen earlier this week, ING said. --- The dollar has been under less selling pressure lately, but U.S. ADP jobs data and a speech by Jerome Powell could leave it vulnerable to further weakness, UniCredit Research said. Investors "could return to selling the U.S. unit" if ADP data show an additional deceleration in U.S. net job creation. More critically, when Powell discusses the economic outlook and the U.S. labor market later, any hints of the Fed slowing the pace of rate rises might prove negative for the dollar, although month-end position adjustments could help offset this, UniCredit said. Read Dollar Heads For Biggest Monthly Loss Since 2010 Bonds: German 10-year Bund yields are expected to trade range-bound in the first quarter of 2023 before falling to 1.70% in the second to third quarter, Mizuho said, maintaining its end-2022 target of 2%. The flattening of the bond curve is more likely to be sustained in Germany than in the U.S., Mizuho said, as it sees a high likelihood of a recession. "In the near-term, even on a downside inflation miss, we don't sense that this would necessarily be the trigger for a large re-steepening." Energy: Oil prices held minor gains in early European trading, helped by a drawdown in U.S. crude stockpiles, but any rise for now has been tapered by the expectation OPEC+ will keep production flat at its meeting on Sunday. Metals: Base metals were under pressure, while gold gained, as investors continued to weigh China's Covid-19 rules and any possible shifts in U.S. monetary policy. Investors in Asia were weighing "Covid-zero evolutions in China ahead of a much-anticipated speech from Jerome Powell," according to SPI Asset Management. Gold, which is up 7% this month, "looks headed for its biggest monthly gain since May 2021 after the latest U.S. CPI reading sent dollar bulls cowering for cover," SPI added. DOW JONES NEWSPLUS EMEA HEADLINES Eurozone Inflation Eased in November, but Further Rate Rises Likely The annual rate of inflation in the eurozone fell in November for the first time since mid-2021 as energy prices dropped. However, the slowdown isn't likely to stop the European Central Bank from increasing interest rates further, economists warned. Consumer-price inflation across the 19 countries that share the euro has increased since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and the Kremlin's decision to weaponize the country's vast stores of energy to undermine European support for Kyiv. OPEC+ Leans Toward Maintaining Flat Production, Delegates Say OPEC and other big oil producers are likely to decide to keep output levels flat at their meeting Sunday, the group's delegates said, amid mounting concerns over returning Covid-related lockdowns in China and lingering uncertainty over Russia's ability to pump. The 13-member Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and a separate group of producers led by Russia-collectively as OPEC+-are leaning toward approving the same production levels agreed to in October, when they greenlighted a 2 million barrels a day output cut, the delegates said. Sunday's meeting was planned to take place in person at OPEC's headquarters in Vienna, but it will now be held remotely to avoid negative media scrutiny, the delegates said. Rio Tinto Expects Steady Iron-Ore Shipments in 2023 Rio Tinto PLC said it expects iron-ore shipments from its Australian mines to be steady year over year in 2023, and for aluminum output to rise. The world's largest iron-ore producer on Wednesday said it expects to ship between 320 million metric tons and 335 million metric tons of the steelmaking ingredient next year. It reiterated guidance for exports at the low end of the same range in 2022. SAS 4Q Net Loss Widened on Jet Fuel Costs, Currency Effects SAS AB on Wednesday reported a widened net loss in its fiscal fourth quarter as jet-fuel prices and foreign-exchange effects weighed, and said it is cautious about the winter season due to prevailing global uncertainty. The Scandinavian airline reported a net loss of 1.24 billion Swedish kronor ($117.2 million) in the fiscal fourth quarter to Oct. 31 compared with a loss of SEK744 million a year earlier as revenue rose to SEK10.65 billion from SEK5.76 billion. Hennes & Mauritz to Book 4Q Restructuring Charge of Around $76 Mln Sweden's Hennes & Mauritz AB said Wednesday that it expects to book a restructuring charge of just over 800 million Swedish kronor ($75.6 million) in the fourth quarter related to its cost-cutting program. The fashion retailer has previously outlined plans to reduce annual administrative and overhead costs by around SEK2 billion in a move that will see the loss of 1,500 jobs. Ukraine's Power Shortages Force Millions of Refugees Into Lengthier Exile Russia's attacks on Ukraine's civilian infrastructure are forcing millions of Ukrainian refugees who intended to return home to stay put, prolonging their ordeal and straining Europe's ability to absorb one of the biggest flows of migrants in decades. Moscow's repeated strikes on power stations and heating equipment have caused rolling blackouts in Ukraine and deprived millions across the country of power, heating and running water amid subzero temperature. As it struggles to keep the lights on, Kyiv is now urging Ukrainian refugees to stay where they are for now. Ukraine War's Economic Ripples Sow Discord Between Washington, Allies WASHINGTON-Trans-Atlantic ties are starting to fray as French President Emmanuel Macron and other European leaders chafe at new U.S. policies they say compound economic woes fueled by the war in Ukraine and the resulting energy crisis. (MORE TO FOLLOW) Dow Jones Newswires 11-30-22 0618ET Stocks mentioned in the article ChangeLast1st jan. AIR LIQUIDE 0.30% 138.56 -0.58% AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR / EURO (AUD/EUR) 0.06% 0.65261 1.34% AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR / US DOLLAR (AUD/USD) 0.16% 0.68121 -7.95% AUSTRALIAN MINES LIMITED 0.00% 0.058 -71.71% BASF SE -0.56% 48.245 -21.47% BNP PARIBAS 0.09% 53.47 -12.08% BRENT OIL 0.67% 87.09 6.82% BRITISH POUND / EURO (GBP/EUR) 0.24% 1.16069 -2.75% BRITISH POUND / US DOLLAR (GBP/USD) 0.30% 1.21154 -11.71% More Results CANADIAN DOLLAR / EURO (CAD/EUR) -0.09% 0.714388 2.40% CANADIAN DOLLAR / US DOLLAR (CAD/USD) -0.02% 0.74554 -6.96% COMMERZBANK AG -1.82% 7.856 19.69% DEUTSCHE BANK AG -0.26% 10.098 -8.13% EURO / US DOLLAR (EUR/USD) 0.07% 1.04369 -9.20% FLOKI INU (FLOKI/USD) 0.00%0.00% GOLD 0.23% 1777.97 -4.40% INDIAN RUPEE / EURO (INR/EUR) 0.15% 0.011825 0.58% INDIAN RUPEE / US DOLLAR (INR/USD) 0.10% 0.012304 -8.77% NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR / US DOLLAR (NZD/USD) 0.35% 0.63389 -9.37% RIO TINTO PLC -0.04% 5588 14.17% S&P GSCI ALUMINUM INDEX 0.51% 157.4262 -15.65% S&P GSCI GOLD INDEX 1.73% 1042.33 -3.59% SAS AB (PUBL) -2.05% 0.593 -52.52% SILVER -1.07% 22.122 -8.92% UNICREDIT S.P.A. -1.83% 12.786 -3.84% US DOLLAR / EURO (USD/EUR) -0.07% 0.958157 10.13% US DOLLAR / RUSSIAN ROUBLE (USD/RUB) 1.87% 61.15 -18.83% WTI 0.23% 80.698 1.55% Latest news 04:08aRECKITT : JP Morgan gives a Buy rating MD 04:08aSYMRISE AG : JP Morgan remains Neutral MD 04:07aJapan views joint Russian-Chinese air drills as a 'threat' AQ 04:07aCREDIT SUISSE GROUP AG : JP Morgan reiterates its Neutral rating MD 04:06aLONDON MARKET OPEN: Stocks higher on hopes rate hikes will slow AN 04:06aFirst Lady Weah Solidifies Partnership AQ 04:05aRussia's Lavrov says European security body is hobbled by West RE 04:04aUnited Insurance : Board Of Directors-(UNIN)-2022-12-01 PU 04:04aHousing Bank For Trade And Finance : Disclosure of NAV-(THBK)-2022-12-01 PU 04:04aVocento S A : Conference Call 9M22 PU Latest news MOST READ NEWS 1Gold hits 2-week high on hopes of smaller U.S. rate hikes 2AB INBEV : JP Morgan gives a Buy rating 3U.S. CFTC chair to be questioned over FTX collapse by lawmakers 4Asian stocks jump after Powell hints at rate hike slowdown 5Sasol expects 20% profit jump as oil prices offset lower coal output More news HOT NEWS XPENG INC. +47.28% XPeng Expects Fourth-Quarter Vehicle Deliveries to Halve; Posts Wider Quarterly Loss CROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS. -14.75% Crowdstrike Holdings warning sparks selloff in cybersecurity stocks WORKDAY INC. +17.17% Workday Up Over 13%, Best Performer in the Nasdaq 100 So Far Today -- Data Talk BROOKFIELD ASSET MAN. +3.87% SBB Sells 49% Stake in Property Portfolio to Brookfield For Up To $983 Million BRP INC. +3.66% Transcript : BRP Inc., Q3 2023 Earnings Call, Nov 30, 2022 NATIONAL BANK OF CAN. -2.53% TSX notches 5.3% gain in November on peak inflation hopes More news World Europe America Asia S&P 500 4080 +3.09% DOW JONES 34590 +2.18% NASDAQ 100 12030 +4.58% TSX COMP 20453 +0.87% FTSE 100 7586 +0.18% DAX 14456 +0.41% CAC 40 6741 +0.04% EURO STOXX 50 3983 +0.46% MSCI CHINA 61 +0.69% TOPIX 1986 +0.04% MSCI EMERGING 980 +0.84% MSCI WORLD 2738 +0.61% MSCI EUROPE 149 +0.65% STOXX EU 600 443 +0.76% DAX 14456 +0.41% CAC 40 6741 +0.04% FTSE 100 7586 +0.18% BEL 20 3694 +0.25% AEX 731 +0.96% SMI 11240 +1.00% FTSE MIB 24748 +0.56% IBEX 35 8395 +0.38% OMX SWEDEN 2125 +1.09% OMX NORDIC 40 2223 +1.39% WIG INDEX (PLN) 56444 +0.69% S&P 500 4080 +3.09% DOW JONES 34590 +2.18% NASDAQ 100 12030 +4.58% NASDAQ CMP 11468 +4.41% TSX COMP 20453 +0.87% TSX VENTURE 591 +2.09% MEXICO-IPC 51671 +2.95% BOVESPA 112486 +1.42% COLOMBIA INDEX 280 +0.26% CHILE INDEX 521 +2.52% MSCI PERU 6093 +3.76% MERVAL 169363 +1.75% MSCI LATIN AM. 2233 +2.27% NIKKEI 225 28226 +0.92% TOPIX 1986 +0.04% KOSPI CMP 2480 +0.30% MSCI CHINA 61 +0.69% HANG SENG 18736 +0.75% SHENZHEN A 2138 +1.26% SHANGHAI A 3318 +0.45% TWSE 50 11572 +1.11% SET 1635 +0.68% SENSEX 30 63100 +0.67% MSCI SINGAPORE 5718 +1.19% SYDNEY ASX 7354 +0.96% MSCI PACIFIC 150 +1.81% Pre-market (Indicative prices) DOW JONES -0.21% S&P 500 -0.14% NASDAQ 100 -0.35% More Indexes My Watchlist My previous session (0) Most popular (20) ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LIMITED +9.64% NETFLIX, INC. +8.75% NVIDIA CORPORATION +8.21% META PLATFORMS, INC. +7.89% MICROSOFT CORPORATION +6.16% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VOLKSWAGEN AG -0.41% BAYER AG -0.69% BASF SE -0.99% LVMH MOËT HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE -1.35% My lists Rankings -- Amérique du Nord -- DOW JONES Mexico IPC Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Composite Russell 2000 Toronto TSX US 500 -- Europe -- AEX AEX All Shares AMX ASCX ASE ATX BEL 20 BEL All Shares BEL Mid Bel Small CAC 40 CAC Large 60 CAC Mid & Small CAC Mid 60 CAC Next 20 CAC Small DAX Euro Stoxx 50 Finland OMXH 25 FTSE 100 FTSE-MIB IBEX 35 MDAX OMX Copenhagen 20 OMX Nordic 40 OMX Oslo 20 PEA (Liste Indicative) PEA PME PSI 20 Rusland RTS S&P United Kingdom SBF 120 SDAX SMI SRD France SRD Long Only Stoxx Europe 600 Stoxx Italy 20 Stoxx Italy 45 Stoxx Italy TMI Sweden OMXS 30 Swiss Market (Mid Cap) Total Return Index - CHF Swiss Market (SMI) Gross Total Return Index - CHF Swiss Middle Companies Total Return Index - CHF TecDAX WIG 20 -- Asia, Pacific -- -- Amérique du Sud -- Caracas Ibovespa MSCI EM LATIN AMERICA -- Middle East -- CASE 30 Tel Aviv 35 -- Asie, Pacifique -- ASX 200 Hang Seng KOSPI Composite MSCI Pacific ex Japan Nifty 100 Nifty 50 Nifty 500 Nikkei 225 SENSEX 30 SET 50 Shanghai Composite Solar Value Chain Taiwan TWSE Tokyo TOPIX ESTEE LAUDER +9.70% NETFLIX, INC. +8.75% HEWLETT PACKARD ENTERPRISE COMPANY +8.54% ETSY, INC. +8.38% NVIDIA CORPORATION +8.21% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VIATRIS INC. -1.34% PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES COMPANY -1.99% HORMEL FOODS CORPORATION -2.47% CHARLES RIVER LABORATORIES INTERNATIONAL, INC. -4.56% NETAPP, INC. -5.82% Created with Highstock 6.2.0FinancialsFinancialsIndustrialsIndustrialsConsumerNon-CyclicalsConsumerNon-CyclicalsEnergyEnergyConsumerCyclicalsConsumerCyclicalsTechnologyTechnologyHealthcareHealthcareUtilitiesUtilitiesBasicMaterialsBasicMaterialsRealEstateRealEstate Loading... More Top / Flop Rankings -- Amérique du Nord -- DOW JONES Mexico IPC Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Composite Russell 2000 Toronto TSX US 500 -- Europe -- AEX AEX All Shares AMX ASCX ASE ATX BEL 20 BEL All Shares BEL Mid Bel Small CAC 40 CAC Large 60 CAC Mid & Small CAC Mid 60 CAC Next 20 CAC Small DAX Euro Stoxx 50 Finland OMXH 25 FTSE 100 FTSE-MIB IBEX 35 MDAX OMX Copenhagen 20 OMX Nordic 40 OMX Oslo 20 PEA (Liste Indicative) PEA PME PSI 20 Rusland RTS S&P United Kingdom SBF 120 SDAX SMI SRD France SRD Long Only Stoxx Europe 600 Stoxx Italy 20 Stoxx Italy 45 Stoxx Italy TMI Sweden OMXS 30 Swiss Market (Mid Cap) Total Return Index - CHF Swiss Market (SMI) Gross Total Return Index - CHF Swiss Middle Companies Total Return Index - CHF TecDAX WIG 20 -- Asia, Pacific -- -- Amérique du Sud -- Caracas Ibovespa MSCI EM LATIN AMERICA -- Middle East -- CASE 30 Tel Aviv 35 -- Asie, Pacifique -- ASX 200 Hang Seng KOSPI Composite MSCI Pacific ex Japan Nifty 100 Nifty 50 Nifty 500 Nikkei 225 SENSEX 30 SET 50 Shanghai Composite Solar Value Chain Taiwan TWSE Tokyo TOPIX WORKDAY INC. +17.17% BAIDU, INC. +8.99% NETFLIX, INC. +8.75% MARVELL TECHNOLOGY GROUP LTD +8.41% NVIDIA CORPORATION +8.21% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PALO ALTO NETWORKS, INC. -0.36% ACTIVISION BLIZZARD, INC. -0.52% ZSCALER, INC. -1.04% CROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS, INC. -14.75% Created with Highstock 6.2.0Consumer Non-CyclicalsConsumer Non-CyclicalsTechnologyTechnologyHealthcareHealthcareIndustrialsIndustrialsConsumerCyclicalsConsumerCyclicalsUtilitiesUtilities Loading... More Top / Flop Currency / Forex USD / EUR 0.9582 -0.14% USD / CAD 1.3423 +0.06% USD / MXN 19.2857 +0.11% USD / BRL 5.1851 0.00% USD / INR 81.2830 -0.09% USD / CNY 7.0760 -0.17% USD / JPY 136.4650 -0.65% USD / AUD 1.4676 -0.22% USD / KRW 1300.6200 -0.08% USD / HKD 7.7842 -0.26% USD / GBP 0.8254 -0.34% USD / CHF 0.9436 -0.03% Forex Commodities GOLD 1777.84 +0.26% CRUDE OIL (WTI) 80.70 +0.19% CRUDE OIL (BRENT) 87.10 +0.62% SILVER 22.13 -0.95% PLATINUM 1038.50 -0.03% Commodities Cryptocurrencies BITCOIN 17097.1000 -0.38% ETHEREUM 1281.5700 -1.03% RIPPLE 0.3988 -2.23% Cryptocurrencies CATEGORIES * Indexes * Equities * Currencies * Commodities * Trackers / ETF * News * Analysis FREE SERVICES * Watchlists * Virtual Portfolios * Newsletters and notifications * New member SOLUTIONS * European Portfolio * USA Portfolio * Asian Portfolio * Stock Screener * Stock Picks * Investment Themes * Investment Style * Subscribe as customer STOCK EXCHANGE EDITIONS * English (USA) * English (UK) * English (Canada) * Deutsch (Deutschland) * Deutsch (Schweiz) * Español * Français (France) * Français (Suisse) * Italiano * Nederlands (Nederland) * Nederlands (België) ABOUT * Surperformance SAS * Contact * Legal information Copyright © 2022 Surperformance. 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