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POST ../64/should-you-hodl-bitcoin

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  <span class="qa-q-view-avatar-meta">
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      <a href="../64/should-you-hodl-bitcoin" class="qa-q-view-what" itemprop="url">asked</a>
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        <span class="qa-q-view-when-data"><time itemprop="dateCreated" datetime="2022-10-23T07:20:40+0000" title="2022-10-23T07:20:40+0000">Oct 23</time></span>
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      <span class="qa-q-view-where">
        <span class="qa-q-view-where-pad">in </span><span class="qa-q-view-where-data"><a href="../Top+coins" class="qa-category-link">Top coins</a></span>
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        <span class="qa-q-view-who-data"><span itemprop="author" itemscope="" itemtype="https://schema.org/Person"><a href="../user/admin" class="qa-user-link" itemprop="url"><span itemprop="name">admin</span></a></span></span>
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          <span class="qa-q-view-who-points-pad">(</span><span class="qa-q-view-who-points-data">5.6k</span><span class="qa-q-view-who-points-pad"> points)</span>
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  <div class="qa-q-view-content qa-post-content">
    <a name="64"></a>
    <div itemprop="text">
      <p id="mntl-sc-block_1-0" class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html"
        style="direction: ltr; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 1.75rem; counter-reset: section 0; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;">First, know your
        memes.&nbsp;HODL&nbsp;began as a typo for the word "hold" on a&nbsp;bitcointalk.com forum, and the crypto community found it so amusing that they now use "HODL" as a term to denote holding (rather than selling) one's cryptocurrency.&nbsp;</p>
      <div id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-1" class="comp mntl-sc-block mntl-sc-block-adslot mntl-block" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;"></div>
      <p id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-2" class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html"
        style="direction: ltr; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 1.75rem; counter-reset: section 0; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;">In December 2017,
        bitcoin brought seasonal cheer to investors as its price gathered pace and broke records. The heady run-up in its price had bitcoin enthusiasts making wild forecasts about its price down the line.&nbsp;Three months later into 2018, their
        prognoses were gloomier. The cryptocurrency’s price was down by more than two-thirds from its&nbsp;December high and roughly 47 percent off from the start of the year.</p>
      <div id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-3" class="comp mntl-sc-block mntl-sc-block-adslot mntl-block" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;"></div>
      <p id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-4" class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html"
        style="direction: ltr; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 1.75rem; counter-reset: section 0; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;">Since, bitcoin has
        been known for its wild fluctuations in price—volatility that bitcoin investors have come to expect, although that doesn't make it any less anxiety-inducing when money is involved. If bitcoin were a stock, its price movement this year would
        be cause for serious concern.</p>
      <div id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-5" class="comp mntl-sc-block mntl-sc-block-adslot mntl-block" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;"></div>
      <p id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-6" class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html"
        style="direction: ltr; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 1.75rem; counter-reset: section 0; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;">Naturally, bitcoin’s
        price movements have forced investors to reconsider their opinion about the cryptocurrency. Here’s a brief recap of the bull and bear case for bitcoin. Should you HODL?</p>
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POST ../64/should-you-hodl-bitcoin

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  <span class="qa-a-item-avatar-meta">
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        <span class="qa-a-item-when-data"><time itemprop="dateCreated" datetime="2022-10-23T07:21:46+0000" title="2022-10-23T07:21:46+0000">Oct 23</time></span>
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        <span class="qa-a-item-who-data"><span itemprop="author" itemscope="" itemtype="https://schema.org/Person"><a href="../user/admin" class="qa-user-link" itemprop="url"><span itemprop="name">admin</span></a></span></span>
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      <div class="qa-a-selected-text">Best answer</div>
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    <div class="qa-a-item-content qa-post-content">
      <a name="65"></a>
      <div itemprop="text">
        <h2 id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-10" class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-heading mntl-sc-block-heading"
          style="direction: ltr; box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 1.625rem; font-weight: bolder; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); margin: 0px 0px 0.5rem; font-family: Cabin-semi-bold, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.05px;"><span style="color:#2ecc71"><span
              style="box-sizing:border-box" class="mntl-sc-block-heading__text">The Bear Case for Bitcoin&nbsp;</span></span></h2>
        <p id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-11" class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html"
          style="direction: ltr; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 1.75rem; counter-reset: section 0; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;">Several factors are
          weighing on the current price of bitcoin. For starters, a steady stream of hacks and scandals from within the cryptocurrency ecosystem has ensured that the currency's reputation as a venue for criminal activities persists. The most
          prominent example in 2019 was the case of the Japanese exchange&nbsp;Coincheck, where hackers made off with $500 million worth of cryptocurrency. The price for bitcoin slid along with that of other cryptocurrencies. The introduction of
          bitcoin futures (and the entry of institutional money into its ecosystem) was supposed to cut back on volatility.</p>
        <p class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html"
          style="direction: ltr; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 1.75rem; counter-reset: section 0; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;"></p>
        <p id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-15" class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html"
          style="direction: ltr; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 1.75rem; counter-reset: section 0; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;">Online platforms,
          which&nbsp;enthusiastically embraced bitcoin after its launch, have joined bitcoin bears and imposed restrictions or dropped cryptocurrencies&nbsp;from their ecosystems altogether. Alphabet Inc.'s subsidiaries Google (GOOG), Facebook Inc.
          (FB), Twitter Inc. (TWTR), and Reddit are among some of the big names that have curbed cryptocurrency ads and have all but blocked bitcoin payments.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>
        <div id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-16" class="comp mntl-sc-block mntl-sc-block-adslot mntl-block" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;"></div>
        <p id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-17" class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html"
          style="direction: ltr; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 1.75rem; counter-reset: section 0; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;">Even positive news
          comes with an undercurrent of skepticism. For example, bitcoin’s transaction fees, whose high price was considered a deterrent to mass adoption, fell. But that decline was accompanied by a corresponding slide in volumes. Technological
          solutions, such as the adoption of the Lightning Network and Segregated Witness, were supposed to be a panacea to bitcoin’s scaling problems because they&nbsp;speed&nbsp;up the network. But among&nbsp;other problems, they currently are
          responsible for processing only a minuscule amount of transactions.</p>
        <div id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-18" class="comp mntl-sc-block mntl-sc-block-adslot mntl-block" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;"></div>
        <h2 id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-19" class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-heading mntl-sc-block-heading"
          style="direction: ltr; box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 1.625rem; font-weight: bolder; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); margin: 0px 0px 0.5rem; font-family: Cabin-semi-bold, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.05px;"><span style="box-sizing:border-box"
            class="mntl-sc-block-heading__text">The Bull Case for Bitcoin&nbsp;</span></h2>
        <p id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-20" class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html"
          style="direction: ltr; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 1.75rem; counter-reset: section 0; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;">The primary bull
          case for bitcoin is based on the virtues of patience. It points to the cryptocurrency’s previous price action as proof that bitcoin’s price will rise again.&nbsp;</p>
        <div id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-21" class="comp mntl-sc-block mntl-sc-block-adslot mntl-block" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;"></div>
        <p id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-22" class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html"
          style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 1.75rem; counter-reset: section 0; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;"></p>
        <div style="direction: ltr;"><span style="letter-spacing:0.05px">Among the most prominent proponents of this theory is noted analyst Thomas Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, who advises holding bitcoin. “Market timing is
            generally discouraged in traditional equity investing. If an investor missed out on the 10 best days (for S&amp;P 500) each year, the annualized return drops to 5.4 percent (ex-10 best), from 9.2 percent. In other words, the case for buy
            and hold equities is the opportunity cost of missing out on the 10 best days,” he wrote.</span></div>
        <p>&nbsp;</p>
        <div id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-23" class="comp mntl-sc-block mntl-sc-block-adslot mntl-block" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;"></div>
        <p id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-24" class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html"
          style="direction: ltr; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 1.75rem; counter-reset: section 0; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;">He applied the same
          logic and wrote that annual returns for bitcoin drop&nbsp;to 25 percent annually if investors remove the 10 highest performing days each year from the equation. In fact, according to Fundstrat data, bitcoin’s returns are negative if one
          excludes the top 10 day gains. Lee has a midyear price target of $20,000 and an end-of-year target of $25,000 for bitcoin.&nbsp;</p>
        <div id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-25" class="comp mntl-sc-block mntl-sc-block-adslot mntl-block" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;"></div>
        <p id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-26" class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html"
          style="direction: ltr; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 1.75rem; counter-reset: section 0; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;">Recent actions by
          governments and regulatory agencies also indicate a thawing&nbsp;of positions related to cryptocurrency in the future. New&nbsp;bitcoin ETFs&nbsp;also introduce further liquidity into bitcoin’s ecosystem. Technical developments within
          bitcoin’s network also point to a brighter future. The list of nodes accepting Lightning Network is increasing. Large platforms, such as Coinbase, have begun implementing SegWit technology. For believers in a future rise of bitcoin’s
          price,&nbsp;these measures may help avoid the problems that plagued bitcoin as its price skyrocketed last year and may ensure a firmer support level for future gains.&nbsp;</p>
        <div id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-27" class="comp mntl-sc-block mntl-sc-block-adslot mntl-block" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;"></div>
        <h2 id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-28" class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-heading mntl-sc-block-heading"
          style="direction: ltr; box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 1.625rem; font-weight: bolder; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); margin: 0px 0px 0.5rem; font-family: Cabin-semi-bold, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.05px;"><span style="box-sizing:border-box"
            class="mntl-sc-block-heading__text">The Bottom Line&nbsp;</span></h2>
        <p id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-29" class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html"
          style="direction: ltr; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 1.75rem; counter-reset: section 0; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;">The bulls are of the
          opinion that bitcoin’s price follows a predictable pattern based on previous trends and that it will rise again. The bears, however, point to increasingly negative sentiment and scandals associated with the original cryptocurrency to make
          their case for selling bitcoin.&nbsp;</p>
        <div id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-30" class="comp mntl-sc-block mntl-sc-block-adslot mntl-block" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;"></div>
        <p class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html"
          style="direction: ltr; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 1.75rem; counter-reset: section 0; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;"></p>
        <p id="mntl-sc-block_1-0-31" class="comp mntl-sc-block finance-sc-block-html mntl-sc-block-html"
          style="direction: ltr; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 1.75rem; counter-reset: section 0; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.05px;"><em
            style="box-sizing:border-box">Investing in cryptocurrencies and other Initial Coin Offerings (“ICOs”) is highly risky and speculative, and this article is not a recommendation by Investopedia or the writer to invest in cryptocurrencies or
            other ICOs. Since each individual's situation is unique, a qualified professional should always be consulted before making any financial decisions. Investopedia makes no representations or warranties as to the accuracy or timeliness of
            the information contained herein. As of the date this article was written, the author does not own cryptocurrency.</em></p>
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          <a href="../129/what-factors-impact-bitcoin-price">What factors impact Bitcoin price?</a>
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SHOULD YOU HODL BITCOIN?


0 votes

asked Oct 23 in Top coins by admin (5.6k points)

First, know your memes. HODL began as a typo for the word "hold" on
a bitcointalk.com forum, and the crypto community found it so amusing that they
now use "HODL" as a term to denote holding (rather than selling) one's
cryptocurrency. 



In December 2017, bitcoin brought seasonal cheer to investors as its price
gathered pace and broke records. The heady run-up in its price had bitcoin
enthusiasts making wild forecasts about its price down the line. Three months
later into 2018, their prognoses were gloomier. The cryptocurrency’s price was
down by more than two-thirds from its December high and roughly 47 percent off
from the start of the year.



Since, bitcoin has been known for its wild fluctuations in price—volatility that
bitcoin investors have come to expect, although that doesn't make it any less
anxiety-inducing when money is involved. If bitcoin were a stock, its price
movement this year would be cause for serious concern.



Naturally, bitcoin’s price movements have forced investors to reconsider their
opinion about the cryptocurrency. Here’s a brief recap of the bull and bear case
for bitcoin. Should you HODL?

 * crypto
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1 ANSWER

0 votes

answered Oct 23 by admin (5.6k points)
 
Best answer


THE BEAR CASE FOR BITCOIN 

Several factors are weighing on the current price of bitcoin. For starters, a
steady stream of hacks and scandals from within the cryptocurrency ecosystem has
ensured that the currency's reputation as a venue for criminal activities
persists. The most prominent example in 2019 was the case of the Japanese
exchange Coincheck, where hackers made off with $500 million worth of
cryptocurrency. The price for bitcoin slid along with that of other
cryptocurrencies. The introduction of bitcoin futures (and the entry of
institutional money into its ecosystem) was supposed to cut back on volatility.



Online platforms, which enthusiastically embraced bitcoin after its launch, have
joined bitcoin bears and imposed restrictions or dropped cryptocurrencies from
their ecosystems altogether. Alphabet Inc.'s subsidiaries Google (GOOG),
Facebook Inc. (FB), Twitter Inc. (TWTR), and Reddit are among some of the big
names that have curbed cryptocurrency ads and have all but blocked bitcoin
payments.  



Even positive news comes with an undercurrent of skepticism. For example,
bitcoin’s transaction fees, whose high price was considered a deterrent to mass
adoption, fell. But that decline was accompanied by a corresponding slide in
volumes. Technological solutions, such as the adoption of the Lightning Network
and Segregated Witness, were supposed to be a panacea to bitcoin’s scaling
problems because they speed up the network. But among other problems, they
currently are responsible for processing only a minuscule amount of
transactions.




THE BULL CASE FOR BITCOIN 

The primary bull case for bitcoin is based on the virtues of patience. It points
to the cryptocurrency’s previous price action as proof that bitcoin’s price will
rise again. 





Among the most prominent proponents of this theory is noted analyst Thomas Lee,
head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, who advises holding bitcoin.
“Market timing is generally discouraged in traditional equity investing. If an
investor missed out on the 10 best days (for S&P 500) each year, the annualized
return drops to 5.4 percent (ex-10 best), from 9.2 percent. In other words, the
case for buy and hold equities is the opportunity cost of missing out on the 10
best days,” he wrote.

 



He applied the same logic and wrote that annual returns for bitcoin drop to 25
percent annually if investors remove the 10 highest performing days each year
from the equation. In fact, according to Fundstrat data, bitcoin’s returns are
negative if one excludes the top 10 day gains. Lee has a midyear price target of
$20,000 and an end-of-year target of $25,000 for bitcoin. 



Recent actions by governments and regulatory agencies also indicate a thawing of
positions related to cryptocurrency in the future. New bitcoin ETFs also
introduce further liquidity into bitcoin’s ecosystem. Technical developments
within bitcoin’s network also point to a brighter future. The list of nodes
accepting Lightning Network is increasing. Large platforms, such as Coinbase,
have begun implementing SegWit technology. For believers in a future rise of
bitcoin’s price, these measures may help avoid the problems that plagued bitcoin
as its price skyrocketed last year and may ensure a firmer support level for
future gains. 




THE BOTTOM LINE 

The bulls are of the opinion that bitcoin’s price follows a predictable pattern
based on previous trends and that it will rise again. The bears, however, point
to increasingly negative sentiment and scandals associated with the original
cryptocurrency to make their case for selling bitcoin. 





Investing in cryptocurrencies and other Initial Coin Offerings (“ICOs”) is
highly risky and speculative, and this article is not a recommendation by
Investopedia or the writer to invest in cryptocurrencies or other ICOs. Since
each individual's situation is unique, a qualified professional should always be
consulted before making any financial decisions. Investopedia makes no
representations or warranties as to the accuracy or timeliness of the
information contained herein. As of the date this article was written, the
author does not own cryptocurrency.





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