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GM GETS SOME LOVE: STREET CALLS OF THE WEEK
By Investing.com (Garrett Cook)Stock MarketsDec 10, 2023 08:59AM ET
www.investing.com/analysis/gm-gets-some-love-street-calls-of-the-week-200644270
GM Gets Some Love: Street Calls of the Week
By Investing.com (Garrett Cook) | Dec 10, 2023 08:59AM ET
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Here is your Pro Recap of the top takeaways from Wall Street analysts for the
past week: upgrades for GM and First Solar and downgrades for Albemarle, PayPal,
and Take-Two Interactive.
InvestingPro subscribers always get first dibs on market-moving rating changes.
Unlock the potential of InvestingPro for up to 60% off this Cyber Monday
Extended Sale and never miss out on a market winner again.
GENERAL MOTORS UPGRADED
What happened? On Monday, Mizuho upgraded General Motors (NYSE:GM) to Buy with a
$42 price target.
What’s the full story? The brokerage house opined that sentiment on GM was at a
bottom, as weak consumer demand, coupled with the 25% United Auto Workers (UAW)
wage hikes, and challenges in its Cruise and electric vehicle (EV) segments were
reflected in 10-year valuation lows.
The analysts wrote that the UAW strike was in the rearview mirror, production
had resumed, and they saw idiosyncratic catalysts for the company, such as: 1)
2024 estimated $1.5 billion UAW wage increases fully offset with ~$2 billion in
fixed cost reductions, 2) refreshed EV ‘Smart Ramp’ focused on profitability, 3)
pausing money-losing Cruise investments, 4) 2024 a better production year
post-strike interruptions, and 5) $10 billion share repurchase buys back at
least ~10% of shares outstanding over 12 months.
Mizuho wrote that with the stock trading near 10-year trough valuations, they
felt compelled to upgrade GM to Buy.
Buy at Mizuho means “Stock's total return is expected to appreciate above the
average total return of the analyst's industry coverage universe, on a
risk-adjusted basis, over the next 12 months. “
How did the stock react? General Motors opened the regular session at $32.80 and
closed at $33.08, a gain of 2.22%.
ALBEMARLE DOWNGRADED
What happened? On Tuesday, Piper Sandler downgraded Albemarle Corp (NYSE:ALB) to
Neutral with a $128 price target.
What’s the full story? Piper shared they had recognized the substantial
deterioration in global lithium markets, which had been hit by oversupply and
weak demand amid the Covid-19 pandemic.
The analysts said that they believed that the current market conditions would
undermine any significant rebound in the pricing environment for at least the
next few quarters, leading to further earnings erosion and estimate reduction
for both companies. Piper also noted that they had updated their models, price
decks, and price targets (PTs) for Albemarle and Livent (NYSE:LTHM) as a result
of this slide and a weaker near- and mid-term outlook for lithium markets,
especially for batteries and EVs. The firm downgraded both names.
Piper sees limited upside potential for both stocks, and they prefer exposure
through other battery materials plays.
Neutral at Piper means “Anticipated to perform in line relative to the median of
the group of stocks covered by the analyst.”
How did the stock react? ALB opened the regular session at $116.22 and closed at
$113.34.
cyber monday
PAYPAL DOWNGRADED
What happened? On Wednesday, BofA downgraded PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) to Neutral
with a $66 price target.
What’s the full story? BofA led their note writing that they did not think
PayPal is broken, but that it will take time to fix. The analysts believe shares
had traded up from the lows following PayPal’s modest third-quarter beat along
with new CEO Alex Chriss’ fresh messaging around profitable growth and increased
urgency around execution.
However, the analysts share that they see 2024 as a transition year, as a new
CEO and CFO seek to earn Street credibility while driving sustained improvements
in top-line metrics, especially total payment volume (TPV) growth, which
faltered under prior management.
BofA made clear to share that PayPal still had a strong brand, balance sheet,
and scale, but that they expected shares to be range-bound near-term, with
valuation providing downside support.
Neutral at BofA means “Neutral stocks are expected to remain flat or
increase in value and are less attractive than Buy rated stocks .”
How did the stock react? Shares fell nearly 2% promptly as the intel circulated,
hitting an early premarket low of $56.66 . PayPal opened the regular session at
$57.83 and closed at $58.51.
TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE DOWNGRADED
What happened? On Thursday, BofA downgraded Take-Two Interactive Software Inc
(NASDAQ:TTWO) to Neutral with a $170 price target.
What’s the full story? BofA believes fiscal year 2025 (FY25) consensus
estimates, which assume a Grand Theft Auto 6 (GTA 6) launch by March 2025, could
fall by ~20% before August 2024.
The analysts wrote that not all investors were willing to extend duration beyond
15 months, and that not enough was known about the quality of GTA 6, based on
the December 5th trailer and September 2022 leak footage, to underwrite a
multi-billion dollar run rate for GTA Online, the online component of the GTA
franchise.
Further, Bofa penned that based on investor inquiry patterns, participation had
broadened meaningfully since the stock bottomed a year ago, which dampened
downside price risk, but that they did not see significant further upside
potential for now.
Neutral at BofA means “Neutral stocks are expected to remain flat or
increase in value and are less attractive than Buy rated stocks .”
How did the stock react? Take-Two opened the regular session at $157.26 and
closed at $154.20, a loss of 1.98%.
FIRST SOLAR UPGRADED
What happened? On Friday, Morgan Stanley upgraded First Solar Inc (NASDAQ:FSLR)
to Overweight with a $237 price target.
What’s the full story? Morgan Stanley said that they saw an attractive
risk-reward skew for the stock with a 3:1 bull/bear ratio, after the 20%
sell-off over the past three months. The analysts wrote First Solar offered one
of the strongest risk-adjusted earnings profile with its sold out position
through 2026, which, when combined with its cost hedging, should result in 17
percentage points of relatively low-risk margin expansion through 2026, before
accounting for investment tax credit (ITC) benefits.
Morgan Stanley noted the stock was trading at 7.2x their 2025 earnings per share
(excluding ITC benefit), which was 66% below its average pre-ITC
price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 21.6x fiscal year 3 EPS according the
research note.
The analysts value the stock at $237, based on a 7.0x enterprise value to
earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EV/EBITDA) or
14.0x P/E multiple on their 2026 earnings estimates, which derived a $143 per
share core equity value, and added $94 per share of equity value derived from a
simple discounted cash flow (DCF) of the ITC benefits.
Overweight at Morgan Stanley means “The stock's total return is expected to
exceed the average total return of the analyst's industry (or industry team's)
coverage universe, on a risk-adjusted basis, over the next 12-18 months.”
How did the stock react? Shares spiked higher as per usual in the thinly traded
premarket session. First Solar opened the regular session at $150.30 and closed
at $145.40.
cyber monday
GM Gets Some Love: Street Calls of the Week
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GM Gets Some Love: Street Calls of the Week
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Central Banks Interest Rates Next Meeting FED5.50%Dec 13,
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2023 RBA4.35%Jan 02, 2024 BOC5.00%Jan 24, 2024 RBNZ5.50%Feb 28,
2024 BOJ-0.10%Dec 19, 2023 CBR15.00%Dec 15, 2023 RBI6.50%Feb 08,
2024 PBOC3.45% BCB12.25%Dec 13, 2023
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