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Skip to Main Content SUBMIT A TIP RECEIVE DAILY NEWS ACCOUNT Menu * News * * Latest News * * Finra Sidelines Ex-Morgan Stanley Manager For One Month Over Inherited Account Violations * * UBS CEO Bets on Wealthfront to Be Key Driver of Growth in U.S. * * Nasdaq Index Poised for the Worst January in Its 50-Year Existence * * RIA NewEdge Lures $15-Mln UBS Team, Ex-Merrill Star Pat Dwyer * Close * Advisor Moves * * Hightower Pursues Two Defectors For Allegedly Wooing Clients to New Firms * * Rockefeller Lands $4.4 Million Merrill Team in Chicago * * Morgan Stanley Nabs UBS Broker with $371-Mln Book in FL, Loses to LPL in NJ * * Wells Fargo Hires $2-Mln J.P. Morgan Advisors Broker in Los Angeles * Close * Enforcement * * Finra Sidelines Ex-Morgan Stanley Manager For One Month Over Inherited Account Violations * * Costly Affairs: Ex-UBS Broker Stole $5.8M from Client, SEC Claims * * Morgan Stanley Reaches $60 Million Settlement in Data Breach Suit * * Finra Dings Ex-Morgan Stanley Broker in Inherited Account Coding Case * Close * Markets * `Nothing Safer Than Cash’: Tech Rout Puts Silicon Valley on Edge * ‘Any News Is Bad News’ as Earnings Fail to Save Equity Bulls * ‘50 Cent’ Profited From Volatility Jump, Wells Fargo Says * ‘Beaten Down’ ETF Is a Way to Play Inverted Curve, BofA Says * Close * Opinion * * Sirianni’s 2022 Predictions: The Year of The Great Entrepreneur Revival * * Why Only a Huge Shock Will Deter Risk-Taking Investors * * Sirianni: Toxic Culture * * Opinion: Coronavirus – What Advisors Need to Know * Close * Fintech News * * UBS “Committed” to Finishing Broker Workstation Revamp Despite Delays, CFO Says * * Wells Fargo Advisors Rolls Out eMoney Planning Tool for Brokers * * Fintech Firm Apex Clearing Agrees to Go Public Via SPAC * * Merrill Systems Hiccuped on Thursday as Stocks Slid * Close * From the Publisher * * Sirianni’s 2022 Predictions: The Year of The Great Entrepreneur Revival * Tony Sirianni Interviews Ken Cella — Principal, Client Strategies Group at Edward Jones * * Sirianni: Death of the Trainee * Welcome to AdvisorHub RIA * * From the Publisher: Sirianni’s Predictions for 2021 * Seven Questions with Tony Sirianni: Josh Rogers, Founder and CEO, Arete Wealth * * Seven Questions with Tony Sirianni: Phil Hildebrandt, Principal, CEO of Segall Bryant & Hamill * An AdvisorHub Interview with Christian Hyldahl, President of Varium Investment Partners * Close * Close * Deals & Comp * Recruiting Wire * Breakaway Center * Resources * Resources Home * Practice Management Resources * Transition Resources * Fintech Resources * Fintech Product Directory * Institute * Boutique * Events * Close * AH TV * AH Magazine * Podcasts * RIA Center * Asset Manager Hub * Culture Survey close X Search for: Search BENJAMIN F. EDWARDS: COMPANIES LESS IMPACTED BY INFLATION COULD BE A SMART CHOICE AMID MARKET VOLATILITY by Bill Hornbarger, CIO, Benjamin F. Edwards | Resources | Benjamin F. Edwards | No Comments Share This The recent decline in U.S stocks , particularly against the backdrop of surging Covid cases, has left many investors unnerved. Tuesday (Jan. 18), the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down more than 540 points, a number that is sure to capture the attention of anyone who watches the markets. Veterans of equity investing know that one can always find reasons to worry about market levels. In the current cycle, heightened inflation, a looming change in the monetary policy regime, and the ongoing pandemic have all been cited as reasons to be wary of stocks. The S&P 500 has posted three consecutive years of positive returns, and it has been more than two decades since it was able to post a fourth (1999). Earnings and earnings growth will be key in our opinion to the market going forward. We are currently in fourth-quarter earnings season and earnings are expected to grow approximately 20%. However, we believe the markets will be more selective and look for companies and industries that will be less impacted by the current heightened inflation. After the strong markets of the last decade and the strong rebound from the 2020 Covid bear market, investors are concerned that another precipitous decline could be right around the corner. In our experience, bear markets are often triggered by events and not just the fact the markets have been strong for an extended period. Recent examples include the Global Financial Crisis (2008-2009) and the forced recession and shutdown of the economy in early 2020 due to the pandemic. While an event could emerge at any time to shake confidence, the environment for stocks is still positive: earnings and the economy are growing, monetary policy, while changing, is still relatively loose, and investors remain interested in stocks with bond yields below the rate of inflation. A few things that we feel investors should be mindful of in the current environment of increased volatility: * Corrections happen and are a healthy and normal part of any stock market cycle. Using the definition of 10% for a correction, they happen on average approximately every 18 months and staying invested through them is important. * Stock declines improve the prospects for forward returns from that point. We firmly believe that price matters and a decline in price and valuation can make for a more attractive entry point. * Despite the recent decline, the S&P 500 remains less than 5% from its record high. * Historically, the S&P 500 index has been resilient around the start of Fed hiking cycles. Although the index has returned -6% on average during the three months following the first hike of recent cycles, the weakness has been short-lived as returns average +5% during the six months following the first hike. Moreover, the S&P 500 P/E is typically flat during the 12 months around the first hike. * Not all stocks move at the same time or the same direction. So far this year, The S&P 500 Growth index is down slightly more than 5% while its value counterpart is up over 1% YTD. * Don’t ignore the “base effect.” The higher the indices climb, the larger the point (as opposed to percentage) swings are. On Black Monday (Oct.19, 1987) the DJIA fell 508 points or 22.6%, the worst single day for the U.S. market in history. Tuesday’s (Jan. 182022) 543-point decline by comparison was a percentage loss of 1.5%. No one likes volatility, but it is a necessary part of stock investing. Stocks have been one of the best performing asset classes over the long-term and to realize those returns, investors must accept volatility and periodic corrections. Actively managing risk through asset allocation and disciplined rebalancing can help investors weather those periods. Another key attribute of successful investing is remaining resistant to panic and euphoria and many investors might be inclined to liquidate a part or all of their stocks in these environments. History has shown a disciplined approach to rebalancing into that volatility has been a winning strategy. With the markets still near record-high levels, and with abundant liquidity, it remains an opportune time to ensure that one’s portfolio is aligned with their individual risk and return objectives and tolerances. MORE ABOUT BENJAMIN F. EDWARDS LIKE THIS ARTICLE? LET ADVISORHUB COME TO YOU! SIGN UP Share This EXPLORE THESE PODCASTS AllIndependence The must listen-to podcast for financial advisors by Tony Sirianni. Guests to include: -Ron Kruszewski -Shirl Penney -Penny Pennington -Eric Clarke and many more Valuable information and insight for entrepreneurs and financial advisors. There’s a new breed of modern advisors who want to make a difference and do something meaningful. LPL Financial Research Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick and guests discuss current market trends and outlooks, and share insightful projections each week. Michael Kitces and Carl Richards discuss financial advising topics. 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Jan 20, 2022 * INDUSTRY UPDATE ON 2022: 11 TRENDS DESTINED TO IMPACT ADVISORS AND THEIR BUSINESSES Dec 16, 2021 * INDUSTRY UPDATE ON MERRILL’S PROJECT THUNDER: TOO LITTLE TOO LATE? Nov 4, 2021 RECENT EPISODES FROM THE POWERING INDEPENDENCE PODCAST FROM DYNASTY FINANCIAL PARTNER * GETTING THE INSIDE SCOOP ON THE INDEPENDENT SPACE: A CONVERSATION WITH BEN HARRISON Aug 23, 2021 * HOW TO FIND AND KEEP THE BEST TALENT WITHIN YOUR ORGANIZATION Jul 8, 2021 RESOURCE CATEGORIES Practice Management Transition Fintech Resources * About Us * Contact Us * Advertise * Events * Careers GET OUR NEWSLETTER Industry focused content and breaking news. SIGN UP CONTACT US EMAIL US 1707 Post Oak Blvd. #484 Houston, TX 77056 © 2022 AdvisorHub * |Terms of Use * |Privacy Policy * |Advertise * |Careers * Facebook * Linkedin * Twitter Back to top