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Election markets
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2024 Elections Forecast
The first regulated prediction market in the U.S.
Election in
6

Day
5

Hr
35

Min
59
Sec
President
Senate
Odds (%) in map
Trump
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
▲ 2
Live forecast
Harris
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
▼ 2

270 to win


ALAKAZCOFLGAINKSMEMNNCNDOKPASDTXWYMOWVILNMARCAIAKYMIMSMTNYOHORTNUTVAWAWINESCIDNVLAASGUMPPRVI
Who has momentum?
kalshi.com/elections
Odds of victory over time

Swing states
kalshi.com/elections
Pennsylvania
19 electoral votes
Trump
Harris
59%

41%
Wisconsin
10 electoral votes
Trump
Harris
56%

44%
Michigan
15 electoral votes
Trump
Harris
50%

50%

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Nevada
6 electoral votes
Trump
Harris
65%

35%
Georgia
16 electoral votes
Trump
Harris
71%

29%
Arizona
11 electoral votes
Trump
Harris
73%

27%
Balance of Power
kalshi.com/elections

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Party to win the Senate
Republican
Democratic
85%

15%

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Party to win the House
Republican
Democratic
51%

49%

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Republican sweep chances
45%

55%

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Democratic sweep chances
11%

89%

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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Trending markets
kalshi.com/elections

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