thepennyhawk.com
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44.206.21.131
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Submitted URL: https://events-c.mb.moneymorninglive.com/z/f2lotf00z?uid=f9a22c97-a388-41b7-89b4-5ae4357cc040&mid=1f20db9c-4fef-4c02-b5cf-aed0539843dc&ut...
Effective URL: https://thepennyhawk.com/dont-short-the-qqq-short-this-instead/?bsft_aaid=09f02da4-16a1-47d4-ad98-a6ed4bf41305&bsft_eid=6...
Submission: On May 25 via api from BE — Scanned from DE
Effective URL: https://thepennyhawk.com/dont-short-the-qqq-short-this-instead/?bsft_aaid=09f02da4-16a1-47d4-ad98-a6ed4bf41305&bsft_eid=6...
Submission: On May 25 via api from BE — Scanned from DE
Form analysis 5 forms found in the DOM
GET /
<form action="/" role="search" method="get" class="form search-form disabled clearfix" id="headerSearchForm">
<input name="s" type="text" class="form-control form-control-lg" placeholder="Search...">
<button type="submit" value="Search" class="btn" disabled="">Go</button>
</form>POST https://thespeedyapp.com/signup
<form id="speedyTwo_signup_39297" class="speedyTwo_signup speedyTwo_signup_1375 speedyTwo_signup_full speedyTwo_signup-sms" action="https://thespeedyapp.com/signup" method="POST">
<input type="hidden" name="key" value="cec0dbfdb730f718f39ee1df517c0cf2307c292ff0544bbe">
<input type="hidden" value="1375" name="boxId">
<div id="speedyTwoFlexSms_1375" class="speedyTwo-email-input-full-css">
<input type="email" class="form-control speedyTwo_email_input speedyTwo_email_input_full" id="speedyTwo_email_input_39297" aria-describedby="emailHelp" name="email" style="" value="" placeholder=" Email">
<div class="iti iti--allow-dropdown">
<div class="iti__flag-container">
<div class="iti__selected-flag" role="combobox" aria-owns="iti-0__country-listbox" aria-expanded="false" tabindex="0" title="United States: +1" aria-activedescendant="iti-0__item-us-preferred">
<div class="iti__flag iti__us"></div>
<div class="iti__arrow"></div>
</div>
<ul class="iti__country-list iti__hide" id="iti-0__country-listbox" role="listbox">
<li class="iti__country iti__preferred iti__active" tabindex="-1" id="iti-0__item-us-preferred" role="option" data-dial-code="1" data-country-code="us" aria-selected="true">
<div class="iti__flag-box">
<div class="iti__flag iti__us"></div>
</div><span class="iti__country-name">United States</span><span class="iti__dial-code">+1</span>
</li>
<li class="iti__divider" role="separator" aria-disabled="true"></li>
<li class="iti__country iti__standard" tabindex="-1" id="iti-0__item-ca" role="option" data-dial-code="1" data-country-code="ca">
<div class="iti__flag-box">
<div class="iti__flag iti__ca"></div>
</div><span class="iti__country-name">Canada</span><span class="iti__dial-code">+1</span>
</li>
<li class="iti__country iti__standard" tabindex="-1" id="iti-0__item-us" role="option" data-dial-code="1" data-country-code="us">
<div class="iti__flag-box">
<div class="iti__flag iti__us"></div>
</div><span class="iti__country-name">United States</span><span class="iti__dial-code">+1</span>
</li>
</ul>
</div><input required="" class="form-control speedyTwo_phone speedyTwo_phone_full" id="speedyTwo_phone_39297" type="tel" name="phone" autocomplete="off" placeholder="(201) 555-0123" data-intl-tel-input-id="0">
</div>
<div class="courier-list-disclaimer-full-css">
<input class="courier-disclaimer-chk-full-css" type="checkbox" name="sms_disclaimer_check" id="speedyTwo_sms_disclaimer_check_39297"> By checking this box, you are expressly consenting to be texted about investing news, trade alerts and
marketing communications from Money Map Press about <i> Penny Hawk Alerts </i> at the phone number you provide on this form, even if the phone number is on a corporate, state or national do not call list. You also consent and unconditionally
agree to our <a href="https://moneymorninglive.com/page/privacy-policy" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-auth="NotApplicable"><strong>Privacy Policy</strong></a> and
<a href="https://moneymorninglive.com/page/text-messaging-terms" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-auth="NotApplicable"><strong>Terms of Use</strong></a>, including the arbitration provision and class action waiver contained
therein. Your consent is not required to make a purchase. Msgs may be sent using automated technology. Message frequency varies. Msg&data rates may apply. Text HELP for HELP and Text STOP to STOP.
</div>
<input type="submit" class="speedyTwo_submit phone_submit" id="speedyTwo_submit_39297" value="Sign Up"
style="background: rgb(224, 77, 16); color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-family: inherit; font-weight: inherit; border-color: inherit; border-width: inherit; box-shadow: inherit; text-shadow: inherit;">
<div class="speedyTwo_phone_error" id="speedyTwo_phone_error_39297" data-count="0"></div>
<div class="speedyTwo_sms_disclaimer_error"></div>
</div>
<div class="speedyTwo_email_error" data-count="0"></div>
<link rel="stylesheet" href="https://thespeedyapp.com/css/intlTelInput.css">
<input type="hidden" value="" name="full_number" id="speedyTwo_full_number_39297">
<input type="hidden" value="" name="sms_disclaimer" id="speedyTwo_sms_disclaimer_39297">
<input type="hidden"
value=""\n <input class=\"courier-disclaimer-chk-full-css\" type=\"checkbox\" name=\"sms_disclaimer_check\" id=\"speedyTwo_sms_disclaimer_check_39297\">\n By checking this box, you are expressly consenting to be texted about investing news, trade alerts and marketing communications from Money Map Press about <i> Penny Hawk Alerts </i> at the phone number you provide on this form, even if the phone number is on a corporate, state or national do not call list. You also consent and unconditionally agree to our <a href=\"https://moneymorninglive.com/page/privacy-policy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-auth=\"NotApplicable\"><strong>Privacy Policy</strong></a> and <a href=\"https://moneymorninglive.com/page/text-messaging-terms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-auth=\"NotApplicable\"><strong>Terms of Use</strong></a>, including the arbitration provision and class action waiver contained therein. Your consent is not required to make a purchase. Msgs may be sent using automated technology. Message frequency varies. Msg&amp;data rates may apply. Text HELP for HELP and Text STOP to STOP.\n ""
name="loadtime_disclaimer" id="speedyTwo_loadtime_disclaimer_39297">
<input type="hidden" value="" name="dynamic_redirect" id="speedyTwo_dynamic_redirect_39297">
<input type="hidden" value="1685057335" name="loaded">
<input type="hidden" value="" name="seer_id">
<input type="hidden" value="" name="referrer">
<input type="hidden" value="text" name="after_signup" id="speedyTwo_after_signup_type_39297">
<input type="hidden" value="" name="mailing_id">
<input type="hidden" value="" id="speedyTwo_cookie_name">
<input type="hidden" value="" id="speedyTwo_cookie_value">
<div class="form-group speedyTwo-form-last">
<label for="websiteform">Website</label>
<input type="text" class="form-control website-form" id="websiteform" aria-describedby="website" name="website" style="max-width: 500px">
<!-- <small id="emailHelp" class="form-text text-muted">Please Enter your email below</small> -->
</div>
<div class="form-group speedyTwo-form-last">
<label for="messageform">Message</label>
<input type="text" class="form-control message-form" id="messageform" aria-describedby="message" name="message" style="max-width: 500px">
<!-- <small id="emailHelp" class="form-text text-muted">Please Enter your email below</small> -->
</div>
<!-- this used to be where the button would be FOR NON INLINE LAYOUT-->
<script defer="">
//set the initial order
var maxW = window.matchMedia("(max-width: 1350px)");
var flexContainers = document.querySelectorAll('*[id^="speedyTwoFlex_"] :nth-child(2)');
// var flexContainersSms = document.querySelectorAll('*[id^="speedyTwoFlexSms_"] :nth-child(3)');
//listen for width changes, assess order
maxW.addEventListener('change', function(width) {
if (width.matches) {
var flexContainers = document.querySelectorAll('*[id^="speedyTwoFlex_"] :nth-child(2)');
// var flexContainersSms = document.querySelectorAll('*[id^="speedyTwoFlexSms_"] :nth-child(3)');
}
});
jQuery.each(jQuery('.speedyTwo_signup'), function(key, value) {
let randomNum = Math.floor(Math.random() * Math.floor(50000));
jQuery('#speedyTwo_submit_').attr('id', 'speedyTwo_submit_' + randomNum);
jQuery('#speedyTwo_email_input_').attr('id', 'speedyTwo_email_input_' + randomNum);
jQuery('#speedyTwo_full_number_').attr('id', 'speedyTwo_full_number_' + randomNum);
jQuery('#speedyTwo_sms_disclaimer_').attr('id', 'speedyTwo_sms_disclaimer_' + randomNum);
jQuery('#speedyTwo_loadtime_disclaimer_').attr('id', 'speedyTwo_loadtime_disclaimer_' + randomNum);
jQuery('#speedyTwo_signup_').attr('id', 'speedyTwo_signup_' + randomNum);
jQuery('#speedyTwo_dynamic_redirect_').attr('id', 'speedyTwo_dynamic_redirect_' + randomNum);
jQuery('#speedyTwo_after_signup_type_').attr('id', 'speedyTwo_after_signup_type_' + randomNum);
jQuery('#speedyTwo_phone_').attr('id', 'speedyTwo_phone_' + randomNum);
jQuery('#speedyTwo_phone_error_').attr('id', 'speedyTwo_phone_error_' + randomNum);
jQuery('#speedyTwo_sms_disclaimer_check_').attr('id', 'speedyTwo_sms_disclaimer_check_' + randomNum);
let input = document.querySelector("#speedyTwo_phone_" + randomNum);
let scriptload = "https://thespeedyapp.com" + "/js/utils.js";
let itit = window.intlTelInput(input, {
// any initialisation options go here
utilsScript: scriptload,
formatOnDisplay: true,
onlyCountries: ["us", "ca"],
}, gatherInformation(randomNum));
jQuery('#speedyTwo_phone_' + randomNum).on('change', function() {
let number = itit.getNumber(intlTelInputUtils.numberFormat.E164);
let disc = jQuery('#speedyTwo_sms_disclaimer_' + randomNum);
jQuery('#speedyTwo_full_number_' + randomNum).val(number);
if (disc.length > 0) {
disc.val(JSON.stringify(jQuery('#speedyTwo_sms_disclaimer_check_' + randomNum).parent().html()));
}
}).keypress(function(e) {
let regex = new RegExp("^[0-9\-\(\)\.\ ]");
let str = String.fromCharCode(!e.charCode ? e.which : e.charCode);
if (regex.test(str)) {
return true;
}
e.preventDefault();
return false;
});
jQuery('#speedyTwo_submit_' + boxid).on('click', function(e) {
let error = itit.getValidationError();
getValidationError(e, error, jQuery('#speedyTwo_phone_' + randomNum), randomNum);
});
});
// get more info if the validation has failed e.g. too long/too short
// NOTE that isPossibleNumberWithReason returns a i18n.phonenumbers.PhoneNumberUtil.ValidationResult
function getValidationError(e, error, phone, randomNum) {
if (error === intlTelInputUtils.validationError.INVALID_COUNTRY_CODE) {
e.preventDefault();
let phone_message = "This is not a valid country";
jQuery('#speedyTwo_phone_error_' + randomNum).text(phone_message).data('count', '1');
phone.css("border", "1px solid red");
} else if (error === intlTelInputUtils.validationError.TOO_SHORT) {
e.preventDefault();
let phone_message = "The phone number is too short for the selected country";
jQuery('#speedyTwo_phone_error_v' + randomNum).text(phone_message).data('count', '1');
phone.css("border", "1px solid red");
} else if (error === intlTelInputUtils.validationError.TOO_LONG) {
e.preventDefault();
let phone_message = "The phone number is too long for the selected country.";
jQuery('#speedyTwo_phone_error_' + randomNum).text(phone_message).data('count', '1');
phone.css("border", "1px solid red");
} else if (error) {
console.log(error);
e.preventDefault();
let phone_message = "This phone number is not valid.";
jQuery('#speedyTwo_phone_error_' + randomNum).text(phone_message).data('count', '1');
phone.css("border", "1px solid red");
}
}
function gatherInformation(randomNum) {
var loadtimeDisclaimer = jQuery('#speedyTwo_loadtime_disclaimer_' + randomNum);
if (loadtimeDisclaimer.length > 0) {
loadtimeDisclaimer.val(JSON.stringify(jQuery('#speedyTwo_sms_disclaimer_check_' + randomNum).parent().html()));
}
var loadTime = Math.floor(new Date().getTime() / 1000);
jQuery('input[name="loaded"]').val(loadTime);
jQuery('input[name="referrer"]').val(document.referrer);
function readCookie(name) {
var nameEQ = name + "=";
var ca = document.cookie.split(';');
for (var i = 0; i < ca.length; i++) {
var c = ca[i];
while (c.charAt(0) == ' ') c = c.substring(1, c.length);
if (c.indexOf(nameEQ) == 0) return c.substring(nameEQ.length, c.length);
}
return null;
}
var seerid = readCookie('seerid');
if (seerid != undefined) {
jQuery('input[name=seer_id]').val(seerid);
}
}
</script>
</form>POST https://thepennyhawk.com/wp-admin/admin-ajax.php?action=wpdAddSubscription
<form action="https://thepennyhawk.com/wp-admin/admin-ajax.php?action=wpdAddSubscription" method="post" id="wpdiscuz-subscribe-form">
<div class="wpdiscuz-subscribe-form-intro">Notify of </div>
<div class="wpdiscuz-subscribe-form-option" style="width:40%;">
<select class="wpdiscuz_select" name="wpdiscuzSubscriptionType">
<option value="post">new follow-up comments</option>
<option value="all_comment">new replies to my comments</option>
</select>
</div>
<div class="wpdiscuz-item wpdiscuz-subscribe-form-email">
<input class="email" type="email" name="wpdiscuzSubscriptionEmail" required="required" value="" placeholder="Email">
</div>
<div class="wpdiscuz-subscribe-form-button">
<input id="wpdiscuz_subscription_button" class="wpd-prim-button" type="submit" value="›" name="wpdiscuz_subscription_button">
</div>
<input type="hidden" id="wpdiscuz_subscribe_form_nonce" name="wpdiscuz_subscribe_form_nonce" value="5a61db502c"><input type="hidden" name="_wp_http_referer"
value="/dont-short-the-qqq-short-this-instead/?bsft_aaid=09f02da4-16a1-47d4-ad98-a6ed4bf41305&bsft_eid=613e34c9-87e3-1876-b4fe-b6a4305a2806&utm_medium=email&utm_source=blueshift&bsft_clkid=3abe6325-7243-4ddf-8e31-a7b6b6e329ff&bsft_uid=f9a22c97-a388-41b7-89b4-5ae4357cc040&bsft_mid=1f20db9c-4fef-4c02-b5cf-aed0539843dc&bsft_utid=f9a22c97-a388-41b7-89b4-5ae4357cc040-10MINMON&bsft_mime_type=text&bsft_ek=2023-05-25T21%3A30%3A50Z&bsft_lx=5%29&bsft_tv=2&pk=aa9e56dfab8835637adf1ae94aacc879&utm_campaign=20230525_daily_10MINMON_NL&vid2=6178af506d6bdce5ec45aff92584b7e3ea063727bd64f364612efea07b37f2aad4fb90722beb436518a2e22d498bcf9f">
</form>POST
<form class="wpd_comm_form wpd_main_comm_form" method="post" enctype="multipart/form-data">
<div class="wpd-field-comment">
<div class="wpdiscuz-item wc-field-textarea">
<div class="wpdiscuz-textarea-wrap ">
<div class="wpd-avatar">
<img alt="guest" src="https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/?s=56&d=mm&r=g" srcset="https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/?s=112&d=mm&r=g 2x" class="avatar avatar-56 photo avatar-default" height="56" width="56" loading="lazy">
</div>
<div id="wpd-editor-wraper-0_0" style="">
<label style="display: none;" for="wc-textarea-0_0">Label</label>
<div id="wpd-editor-0_0" class="ql-container ql-snow">
<div class="ql-editor ql-blank" data-gramm="false" contenteditable="true" data-placeholder="Be the First to Comment!">
<p><br></p>
</div>
<div class="ql-clipboard" contenteditable="true" tabindex="-1"></div>
<div class="ql-tooltip ql-hidden"><a class="ql-preview" target="_blank" href="about:blank"></a><input type="text" data-formula="e=mc^2" data-link="https://example.com"
data-video="Embed URL"><a class="ql-action"></a><a class="ql-remove"></a></div>
<div class="ql-texteditor"><textarea id="wc-textarea-0_0" required="" name="wc_comment" class="wc_comment wpd-field" style="display: none;"></textarea></div>
</div>
<div id="wpd-editor-toolbar-0_0" class="ql-toolbar ql-snow">
<button title="Bold" class="ql-bold" type="button"><svg viewBox="0 0 18 18">
<path class="ql-stroke" d="M5,4H9.5A2.5,2.5,0,0,1,12,6.5v0A2.5,2.5,0,0,1,9.5,9H5A0,0,0,0,1,5,9V4A0,0,0,0,1,5,4Z"></path>
<path class="ql-stroke" d="M5,9h5.5A2.5,2.5,0,0,1,13,11.5v0A2.5,2.5,0,0,1,10.5,14H5a0,0,0,0,1,0,0V9A0,0,0,0,1,5,9Z"></path>
</svg></button>
<button title="Italic" class="ql-italic" type="button"><svg viewBox="0 0 18 18">
<line class="ql-stroke" x1="7" x2="13" y1="4" y2="4"></line>
<line class="ql-stroke" x1="5" x2="11" y1="14" y2="14"></line>
<line class="ql-stroke" x1="8" x2="10" y1="14" y2="4"></line>
</svg></button>
<button title="Underline" class="ql-underline" type="button"><svg viewBox="0 0 18 18">
<path class="ql-stroke" d="M5,3V9a4.012,4.012,0,0,0,4,4H9a4.012,4.012,0,0,0,4-4V3"></path>
<rect class="ql-fill" height="1" rx="0.5" ry="0.5" width="12" x="3" y="15"></rect>
</svg></button>
<button title="Strike" class="ql-strike" type="button"><svg viewBox="0 0 18 18">
<line class="ql-stroke ql-thin" x1="15.5" x2="2.5" y1="8.5" y2="9.5"></line>
<path class="ql-fill" d="M9.007,8C6.542,7.791,6,7.519,6,6.5,6,5.792,7.283,5,9,5c1.571,0,2.765.679,2.969,1.309a1,1,0,0,0,1.9-.617C13.356,4.106,11.354,3,9,3,6.2,3,4,4.538,4,6.5a3.2,3.2,0,0,0,.5,1.843Z"></path>
<path class="ql-fill" d="M8.984,10C11.457,10.208,12,10.479,12,11.5c0,0.708-1.283,1.5-3,1.5-1.571,0-2.765-.679-2.969-1.309a1,1,0,1,0-1.9.617C4.644,13.894,6.646,15,9,15c2.8,0,5-1.538,5-3.5a3.2,3.2,0,0,0-.5-1.843Z"></path>
</svg></button>
<button title="Ordered List" class="ql-list" value="ordered" type="button"><svg viewBox="0 0 18 18">
<line class="ql-stroke" x1="7" x2="15" y1="4" y2="4"></line>
<line class="ql-stroke" x1="7" x2="15" y1="9" y2="9"></line>
<line class="ql-stroke" x1="7" x2="15" y1="14" y2="14"></line>
<line class="ql-stroke ql-thin" x1="2.5" x2="4.5" y1="5.5" y2="5.5"></line>
<path class="ql-fill" d="M3.5,6A0.5,0.5,0,0,1,3,5.5V3.085l-0.276.138A0.5,0.5,0,0,1,2.053,3c-0.124-.247-0.023-0.324.224-0.447l1-.5A0.5,0.5,0,0,1,4,2.5v3A0.5,0.5,0,0,1,3.5,6Z"></path>
<path class="ql-stroke ql-thin" d="M4.5,10.5h-2c0-.234,1.85-1.076,1.85-2.234A0.959,0.959,0,0,0,2.5,8.156"></path>
<path class="ql-stroke ql-thin" d="M2.5,14.846a0.959,0.959,0,0,0,1.85-.109A0.7,0.7,0,0,0,3.75,14a0.688,0.688,0,0,0,.6-0.736,0.959,0.959,0,0,0-1.85-.109"></path>
</svg></button>
<button title="Unordered List" class="ql-list" value="bullet" type="button"><svg viewBox="0 0 18 18">
<line class="ql-stroke" x1="6" x2="15" y1="4" y2="4"></line>
<line class="ql-stroke" x1="6" x2="15" y1="9" y2="9"></line>
<line class="ql-stroke" x1="6" x2="15" y1="14" y2="14"></line>
<line class="ql-stroke" x1="3" x2="3" y1="4" y2="4"></line>
<line class="ql-stroke" x1="3" x2="3" y1="9" y2="9"></line>
<line class="ql-stroke" x1="3" x2="3" y1="14" y2="14"></line>
</svg></button>
<button title="Blockquote" class="ql-blockquote" type="button"><svg viewBox="0 0 18 18">
<rect class="ql-fill ql-stroke" height="3" width="3" x="4" y="5"></rect>
<rect class="ql-fill ql-stroke" height="3" width="3" x="11" y="5"></rect>
<path class="ql-even ql-fill ql-stroke" d="M7,8c0,4.031-3,5-3,5"></path>
<path class="ql-even ql-fill ql-stroke" d="M14,8c0,4.031-3,5-3,5"></path>
</svg></button>
<button title="Code Block" class="ql-code-block" type="button"><svg viewBox="0 0 18 18">
<polyline class="ql-even ql-stroke" points="5 7 3 9 5 11"></polyline>
<polyline class="ql-even ql-stroke" points="13 7 15 9 13 11"></polyline>
<line class="ql-stroke" x1="10" x2="8" y1="5" y2="13"></line>
</svg></button>
<button title="Link" class="ql-link" type="button"><svg viewBox="0 0 18 18">
<line class="ql-stroke" x1="7" x2="11" y1="7" y2="11"></line>
<path class="ql-even ql-stroke" d="M8.9,4.577a3.476,3.476,0,0,1,.36,4.679A3.476,3.476,0,0,1,4.577,8.9C3.185,7.5,2.035,6.4,4.217,4.217S7.5,3.185,8.9,4.577Z"></path>
<path class="ql-even ql-stroke" d="M13.423,9.1a3.476,3.476,0,0,0-4.679-.36,3.476,3.476,0,0,0,.36,4.679c1.392,1.392,2.5,2.542,4.679.36S14.815,10.5,13.423,9.1Z"></path>
</svg></button>
<button title="Source Code" class="ql-sourcecode" data-wpde_button_name="sourcecode" type="button">{}</button>
<button title="Spoiler" class="ql-spoiler" data-wpde_button_name="spoiler" type="button">[+]</button>
<div class="wpd-editor-buttons-right">
<span class="wmu-upload-wrap" wpd-tooltip="Attach an image to this comment" wpd-tooltip-position="left"><label class="wmu-add"><i class="far fa-image"></i><input style="display:none;" class="wmu-add-files" type="file" name="wmu_files[]"
accept="image/*"></label></span>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="wpd-form-foot" style="display:none;">
<div class="wpdiscuz-textarea-foot">
<div class="wpdiscuz-button-actions">
<div class="wmu-action-wrap">
<div class="wmu-tabs wmu-images-tab wmu-hide"></div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="wpd-form-row">
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Go
DON’T SHORT THE QQQ!! SHORT THIS INSTEAD…
As I’m sure all of you know a friend of mine – Kenny Glick – continues to make
the claim that we are in a bull market.
He says to avoid shorting the Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (QQQ) because the
market is never going to go down…
Me being a notorious bear in today’s market, I’ve been hesitant to agree with
him, but after spending a day pondering the idea and sentiment behind his
statement – I think I’m ready to say that I agree with him… sort of.
You see all ETFs do not trade equally, and this simple lesson will teach you how
to either leverage or avoid a market hot spot.
So, when I was a young kid, they had this announcement on the TV just ahead of
the 10:00 news every night that asked parents “It’s 10:00, do you know where
your kids are?”. It was a simple and effective “rule” in the “book of
parenting”.
There’s an equally simple rule from my Book of ETF Investing… Do you know the
ETF you’re trading?
If you don’t, you need to… Especially in this Bifurcated Market
Over my 25+ years of trading, I’ve had trades that have gone well and some not
so much, all based on a single headline.
For a short-term trader, a headline can make the difference between a good or an
epic trade. Take NVIDIA today. Their earnings headlined popped the stock more
than 30% at its highs of the day. That’s an EPIC headline trade.
QQQ popped almost 2% on the news.
For the investors that had no idea NVIDIA was reporting earnings, it’s a
windfall.
For those shorting the QQQ because it just feels “too lofty” – it’s a gut
punch. But it gets worse for those bears when you look at the breadth of the
QQQ gains.
So, how can you go about avoiding the headline risk, taking yourself away from
the hard euphoria-causing drug that is an unwarranted rally you’re seeing in
QQQ?
Sign up for SMS so you never miss special events, exclusive offers, and weekly
bonus trades
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Well, your best option is to dig into an ETF that doesn’t allow a select few
companies to carry its water…
In this case, I’d suggest the iShares Russell 200 ETF (IWM) – full disclosure,
I’m short the IWM right now and it’s making me some serious cash.
The IWM CJ, really?
YES! It opened the day’s trading more than one percent lower.
But, why? Well, a few reasons. First, the IWM does a better job of representing
the real market.
The market is struggling with faults over banking failures.
The market is struggling with failures over a slowdown in the consumer, the same
consumer that drives 70% of our economy.
And yes, the market that is struggling with the very real likelihood of a
recession.
By the way, that last point? Germany officially announced that their economy
was officially in a recession this morning, the night after Fitch announced that
the U.S. Debt was on credit watch. Of course, none of that matters because
A.I.
Why you shouldn’t even think about shorting the QQQs.
As of today, there are only 25 companies in the Nasdaq 100 that are up 20% or
more for the year. It’s what we’ve all been talking about. The returns from
the QQQ rally have come from a very defined group of stocks. One step further,
you can’t stop that small group of stocks. They’re a freight train. To short
them at this FOMO moment would be the equivalent of picking up a penny in front
of a turbocharged steamroller.
STOP TRYING!
Instead, if you’re a trend trader like me, find the trend – and the ETF – that
matches the reality of the market THAT WON’T GET TOSSED AROUND BY A HANDFUL OF
COMPANIES.
Look at the top holdings in the QQQ, it’s no wonder they’re dragging the index
higher like a toddler with a rag doll.
The result of the FOMO trade focusing on the top five or six companies in the
QQQ is an index that is trading 24.7% higher year-to-date. Compared to the S&P
500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial Index – boasting returns of 7.8% and
-0.2% respectively – you can see how shorting the FOMO trade just doesn’t make
sense.
But for just one minute let’s ask the question… what if you were worrying about
the things I described above. The economy, inflation, the consumer, a downgrade
of debt or anything else that this market is running past to grab a hold of some
of that A.I. goodness? How would you approach the market?
Well, I’ve got you covered.
Here’s the Russell 2000 Index (IWM). I’ve told my readers that this is one of
the most important indices in the market right now. Hell, we talked about why
just a few days ago. It all has to do with risk and how much risk investors are
willing to take and let’s face it, they’re not taking risks by buying QQQ.
Just the opposite. “traders” are flocking to the “safety trade” that the QQQ
represents. Don’t let anyone fool you by telling you that they’re taking a risk
buying the FOMO Frenzy of A.I. right now. Do you know why?
“Investors love the group think”. And that’s all the current rally in the QQQ
is because of group think. I’ll talk to you next week about the dangers of
group think, but for now, let’s return to the IWM.
Here are the top 10 holdings of the IWM, you’ll note right off the bat that you
probably don’t recognize them. That’s because they’re not part of the FOMO
rally, they’re part of the economy.
Note the total weight of this group is 3.5% compared to the 50%+ of the QQQ’s
top ten. This indicates that the IWM gets away from “headline risk”, a simple
and effective concept that gives the trader trying to prepare for an uncertain
outlook the edge.
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BREAKOUT WATCHLIST
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Sept 17, 2021: Buy RGBP for a limit of $0.05. Add a 7% trailing stop when the
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Sept 22, 2021: Buy WSTRF for a limit of $2.75. Add a 10% trailing stop when the
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Published
May 25 2023
by Penny Hawk Staff
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