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HomeFarm BusinessQuotes and thoughts for today’s agriculture: Part 1
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QUOTES AND THOUGHTS FOR TODAY’S AGRICULTURE: PART 1
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Kohl takes a look at "Greenflation" and why you will want to keep cash
available.
David Kohl | Jul 20, 2022
Suggested Event
Farm Progress Show
Aug 30, 2022 to Sep 01, 2022
My travel and engagement with groups and individuals at events allows me to look
for nuggets and perspectives that could impact business or one's lifestyle.
Let's take the opportunity to examine and expand upon these themes.
THE RULE OF 72 IN REVERSE
One of the powerful tools used in investing is the rule of 72. Quite simply,
divide any rate of return into 72 and the result is the number of years it will
take for the investment to double. For example, $100 invested at an 8 percent
rate of return would double approximately every nine years.
Related: Watch for tight corn supply
With inflation being in the headlines, this rule can also illustrate how buying
power can be reduced. Headline inflation, which includes food and energy, is
well over 8 percent. Using the Rule of 72, one dollar of buying power will be
worth $0.50 in nine years. This is why one objective in investing is to meet or
exceed the rate of inflation to create increasing wealth or purchasing power.
WHY CASH?
Why keep cash around in an inflationary environment if it is losing purchasing
power quickly? Cash can quickly be deployed as a defensive mechanism so that one
does not have to liquidate assets at discounted prices during the down cycle.
These assets could be stocks, real estate, machinery, equipment, or livestock.
On the other hand, one can purchase discounted assets at possibly 30 percent
less with cash when others are not in the position to do so. This is why Warren
Buffett, the Oracle of Omaha, maintains certain levels of cash.
“GREENFLATION”
Related: Farmers are tougher than the farm
The rapid transition towards green energy to reduce carbon emissions is very
inflationary. The swift disinvestment of fossil fuels to green energy creates
supply and demand imbalances. Wars, geopolitics, and supply chain bottlenecks
only create untimely imbalances which fuels even more inflation. Areas of the
globe, such as Europe and Scandinavia, are rapidly moving in that direction with
an eye over their shoulder for the consequences of the conflict nearby. Some
areas of the world, such as Southeast Asia and China, have placed the priority
of zero carbon emissions behind business and economic growth. These
transformation imbalances will create periodic inflationary episodes with
negative impacts in certain parts of the globe.
FOOD FOR THOUGHT
The manufacturing of cement, steel, plastic, and ammonia accounts for 25 percent
of all carbon emissions with no large-scale fossil fuel alternatives. These “big
four” are essential to business, industry, and the growth of personal wealth.
Two Tesla charging stations at a Walmart supercenter will use more electricity
from the grid than the entire Walmart supercenter. Stay tuned for the next
edition which will include more quotes and perspectives.
Source: David Kohl, which is solely responsible for the information provided and
is wholly owned by the source. Informa Business Media and all its subsidiaries
are not responsible for any of the content contained in this information asset.
TAGS: Finance farm business, agriculture,
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