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Newsletters * FX & Money Markets Now! (Asia) * FX & Money Markets Now! (Europe) * FX & Money Markets Now! (N America) * Central Bank Markets Now! * Economic Data Calendar * Month ahead Data Calendar CONTINUUM ECONOMICS ACTIONABLE INDEPENDENT RESEARCH INTEGRATED ANALYSIS OF MACROECONOMICS, MARKETS AND POLICY CLARITY OF VISION IN UNCERTAIN TIMES Take a 14-Day FREE Trial ABOUT US Continuum Economics is a leading independent macroeconomic, policy and financial markets research firm. Our worldwide client base consists of over 600 banks, asset managers, corporations, central banks and government organisations. Research is produced from our London, New York and Singapore research centres for a global audience. Best FX, EM and Technical Analyst Team of the Year Best EM Research Best FX, FI, EQ and Multi-Asset Research OUR CLIENTS 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. ASSET MANAGEMENT CENTRAL BANK #1 CENTRAL BANK #2 CORPORATE HEDGE FUND & PRIVATE EQUITY PUBLIC SECTOR RISK MANAGEMENT PRIVATE BANKING & WEALTH MANAGEMENT SALES & TRADING - ASIA #1 SALES & TRADING - ASIA #2 SALES & TRADING - EUROPE #1 SALES & TRADING - EUROPE #2 SALES & TRADING - MEA & LATAM SALES & TRADING - NORTH AMERICA BROKERAGE E-COMMERCE AWARDS -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- OUR RESEARCH * MACROECONOMIC, POLICY & MARKETS RESEARCH * FX & FIXED INCOME FLOWS, COMMENTARY AND STRATEGIES * TECHNICAL ANALYSIS * DATA CALENDARS * NEWSLETTERS * COUNTRY INSIGHTS * QUARTERLY WEBINARS * DIRECT ACCESS KEY ELEMENTS * CENTRAL BANK RESEARCH Covering 20 Central Banks (10 Developed Markets + 10 Emerging Markets). Forecasts interest rates, economic trends, policy thinking for 1-2 years * QUARTERLY OUTLOOK Quarterly review of the investable world (15 chapters (over 70+pages) looking 1-2 years ahead * MACRO RESEARCH Daily research on economic, policy and market related issues from 20 Developed Markets & Emerging Markets economies we cover * MACRO STRATEGY Monthly integrated overview of our asset allocation views in a multi-asset framework, with supporting research articles * SCENARIO ANALYSIS Alternative forecasts FROM baseline, highlights risks from a qualitative and quantitative perspective using NiGEM model * LONG TERM THEMES 2 year+ assessment of structural issues/themes driving markets, frequently updated - our most read piece CENTRAL BANK RESEARCH Covering 20 Central Banks (10 Developed Markets + 10 Emerging Markets). Forecasts interest rates, economic trends, policy thinking for 1-2 years QUARTERLY OUTLOOK Quarterly review of the investable world (15 chapters (over 70+pages) looking 1-2 years ahead MACRO RESEARCH Daily research on economic, policy and market related issues from 20 Developed Markets & Emerging Markets economies we cover MACRO STRATEGY Monthly integrated overview of our asset allocation views in a multi-asset framework, with supporting research articles SCENARIO ANALYSIS Alternative forecasts FROM baseline, highlights risks from a qualitative and quantitative perspective using NiGEM model LONG TERM THEMES 2 year+ assessment of structural issues/themes driving markets, frequently updated - our most read piece -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SAMPLE CONTENT BRAZIL’S SOVEREIGN DEBT: WHAT CAN IT SUSTAIN? DECEMBER 23, 2021 / PRISCILA ROBLEDO Twelve years since the Eurozone fell into the GFC, economists and financial markets are in... CAN ACTION SA MAKE THE TRANSITION FROM LOCAL TO NATIONAL ELECTIONS IN 2024? DECEMBER 15, 2021 / FRANCESCA BEAUSANG Twelve years since the Eurozone fell into the GFC, economists and financial markets are in... KEY ELEMENTS * G10 FX MARKET STRATEGY Coverage of G10 FX market in the coming 1-day to 1-week using economic/technical analysis and market psychology to formulate forward-looking forecasts on key exchange rates. * ECONOMIC DATA COMMENTARY Previews & Reviews of key monthly and quarterly economic data releases in select G10 and Emerging Market countries. * FX & FIXED INCOME STRATEGY 4 Daily Strategies with 1d/1wk horizon. Forward-looking strategies use a variety of techniques. Coverage is G10 FX/Rates across Developed Markets and Emerging Markets (Asia, EEMEA, Latam) * MACRO STRATEGY Intraday updates on news, flows and psychology that are influencing key exchange rates. * CENTRAL BANK COVERAGE Covering 20 Centrals Banks (10 Developing Markets + 10 Emerging Markets). Forecasts interest rates, economic trends, policy thinking for 1-2 years * G10 FX MARKET STRATEGY Coverage of G10 FX market in the coming 1-day to 1-week using economic/technical analysis and market psychology to formulate forward-looking forecasts on key exchange rates. ECONOMIC DATA COMMENTARY Previews & Reviews of key monthly and quarterly economic data releases in select G10 and Emerging Market countries. FX & FIXED INCOME STRATEGY 4 Daily Strategies with 1d/1wk horizon. Forward-looking strategies use a variety of techniques. Coverage is G10 FX/Rates across Developed Markets and Emerging Markets (Asia, EEMEA, Latam) MACRO STRATEGY Intraday updates on news, flows and psychology that are influencing key exchange rates. CENTRAL BANK COVERAGE Covering 20 Centrals Banks (10 Developing Markets + 10 Emerging Markets). Forecasts interest rates, economic trends, policy thinking for 1-2 years -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SAMPLE CONTENT FX WEEKLY STRATEGY - N AMERICA DECEMBER 27TH-31ST DECEMBER 23, 2021 / MIKE GALLAGHER Twelve years since the Eurozone fell into the GFC, economists and financial markets are in... EUROPE SUMMARY AND HIGHLIGHTS THURSDAY DECEMBER 9, 2021 DECEMBER 09, 2021 / RICHARD LOVIE Twelve years since the Eurozone fell into the GFC, economists and financial markets are in... KEY ELEMENTS * MULTI-ASSET COVERAGE OF 40+ INSTRUMENTS Intraday, Daily, Weekly/monthly coverage across FX, Rates, Indices covering over 40 instruments * SHORT-TERM 1-3 day forward-looking technical view across FX Developed and Emerging Markets, Selected Fixed Income, Equities and Commodity markets * MULTI-WEEK TECHNICAL Views for the next 1 to 3 months, using daily/weekly and monthly charts to provide a medium-term chart based perspective. * QUARTERLY CHARTBOOK Comprehensive multi-asset view (FX/Rates/Equities and Commodities) on key markets with a 3-month time horizon. * * MULTI-ASSET COVERAGE OF 40+ INSTRUMENTS Intraday, Daily, Weekly/monthly coverage across FX, Rates, Indices covering over 40 instruments SHORT-TERM 1-3 day forward-looking technical view across FX Developed and Emerging Markets, Selected Fixed Income, Equities and Commodity marekts MULTI-WEEK TECHNICAL Views for the next 1 to 3 months, using daily/weekly and monthly charts to provide a medium-term chart based perspective. QUARTERLY CHARTBOOK Comprehensive multi-asset view (FX/Rates/Equities and Commodities) on key markets with a 3-month time horizon. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SAMPLE CONTENT CHART AUD/USD UPDATE: GAINS TO FADE TOWARDS 0.7200/10 DECEMBER 15, 2021 / MIKE MACDONALD Twelve years since the Eurozone fell into the GFC, economists and financial markets are in... CHART USD/JPY UPDATE: CRITICAL RESISTANCE AT 110.80 SEPTEMBER 24, 2021 / MIKE MACDONALD Twelve years since the Eurozone fell into the GFC, economists and financial markets are in... KEY ELEMENTS * COMPREHENSIVE DATA COVERAGE 665 releases are covered each month across 46 countries. * MEDIANS FOR ECONOMIC DATA Central market expectations of forthcoming economic data. * UPCOMING EVENTS Key events such as Central Bank policy meetings, speeches and elections are covered. * HISTORICAL DATA History available on all datasets * * COMPREHENSIVE DATA COVERAGE 665 releases are covered each month across 46 countries. MEDIANS FOR ECONOMIC DATA Central market expectations of forthcoming economic data. UPCOMING EVENTS Key events such as Central Bank policy meetings, speeches and elections are covered. HISTORICAL DATA History available on all datasets -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- KEY ELEMENTS * FX AND MONEY MARKETS NOW! Coverage of G10 currencies including majors & major crosses, with Asia, Europe and North America published editions * ASIAN MARKETS NOW! Coverage of Emerging Markets Asia FX market using economic, technical analysis and psychology. * CENTRAL BANK MARKETS NOW! Monthly coverage of G20 Central Bank views FX AND MONEY MARKETS NOW! Coverage of G10 currencies including majors & major crosses, with Asia, Europe and North America published editions ASIAN MARKETS NOW! Coverage of Emerging Markets Asia FX market using economic, technical analysis and psychology. CENTRAL BANK MARKETS NOW! Monthly coverage of G20 Central Bank views -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MARKETS NOW: FX AND MONEY (NORTH AMERICA) APRIL 22, 2021 / ADRIAN SCHMIDT The USD was net little changed in the European morning... KEY ELEMENTS * QUARTERLY COUNTRY RISK SCORES Across 174 countries, with associated scores on key pillars and over 100 factors and sub factors per country to provide a rich data set. Also includes shadow risk ratings to warn of prospective rating changes. * EASY TO DOWNLOAD DATA From the Continuum Economics website. * ANALYSIS ON THE COUNTRY SCORES And the economic picture they show on structural fundamental issues. * LEVERAGE OUR INSIGHT View key visualisations developed and curated by our team of economists and strategists. * CREATE VISUALISATIONS Generate your own charts, indices and dashboards and share them with colleagues. * INTEGRATE DATA SETS Integrate data directly into risk models, to create custom risk measures. QUARTERLY COUNTRY RISK SCORES Across 174 countries, with associated scores on key pillars and over 100 factors and sub factors per country to provide a rich data set. Also includes shadow risk ratings to warn of prospective rating changes. EASY TO DOWNLOAD DATA From the Continuum Economics website. ANALYSIS ON THE COUNTRY SCORES And the economic picture they show on structural fundamental issues. LEVERAGE OUR INSIGHT View key visualisations developed and curated by our team of economists and strategists. CREATE VISUALISATIONS Generate your own charts, indices and dashboards and share them with colleagues. INTEGRATE DATA SETS Integrate data directly into risk models, to create custom risk measures. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Download PDF KEY ELEMENTS * QUARTERLY OUTLOOK WEBINARS Multiple presenters on our key forecasts across major economies and financial markets. * ANNUAL THEMES WEBINAR Presentation of 1-3 year themes across economic, policy and financial market issues for the global economy and major regions. * * * * QUARTERLY OUTLOOK WEBINARS Multiple presenters on our key forecasts across major economies and financial markets. ANNUAL THEMES WEBINAR Presentation of 1-3 year themes across economic, policy and financial market issues for the global economy and major regions. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GLOBAL OUTLOOK: JABS, JOBS AND INFLATION SWABS MARCH 22, 2021 Vaccine rollout is creating a path toward an easing of restrictions and social distancing and a second leg to the global economic recovery. GLOBAL OUTLOOK: LIGHT AT THE END OF THE COVID TUNNEL DECEMBER 09, 2020 While a Winter COVID19 wave in Europe/U.S. is the late 2020 focus, vaccine approval and rollouts will dominate 2021. KEY ELEMENTS * ASK AN ANALYST VIA WEBSITE Via website ask a question to submit questions on specific research report * ASK AN ANALYST BY EMAIL/PHONE Via phone/email ask an analyst a question on any topic * PREMIUM DIRECT ACCESS VIDEO Video webinar conference to your team on an agreed topic/agenda * PREMIUM DIRECT ACCESS F2F F2F meeting with one or a team on an agreed topic/agenda * * ASK AN ANALYST VIA WEBSITE Via website ask a question to submit questions on specific research report ASK AN ANALYST BY EMAIL/PHONE Via phone/email ask an analyst a question on any topic PREMIUM DIRECT ACCESS VIDEO Video webinar conference to your team on an agreed topic/agenda PREMIUM DIRECT ACCESS F2F F2F meeting with one or a team on an agreed topic/agenda -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- OUR RESEARCH APPROACH Building on analysis of national balance sheets, Continuum Economics follows a rigorous, systematic approach to deciphering the dynamics of the global economy, unearthing opportunities and identifying risks that traditional research can miss. Medium-term (6mth-2yr) forecasts/research is complemented by long-term (2-10yr) forecasts and themes. Scenario Analysis combined with our proprietary country risk model ‘Country Insights’ covering 174 countries, meets the needs of asset and wealth managers, central bank and government organisations, risk professionals, private equity and corporations. Short-term tactical analysis covering key financial markets, accompanied by comprehensive economic and policy insights, technical analysis and intelligence on market psychology and flows are synthesised into actionable daily/weekly strategies. This research has been widely used by sales and trading teams in banks, alongside hedge funds and active asset managers since 1994. IN THE MEDIA IN THE MEDIA ARTICLE 14 July 2021 MIKE GALLAGHER, MD MACRO AND STRATEGY ON CNBC DISCUSSING FED POLICY AND OUR RECENT GLOBAL MARKETS OUTLOOK MIKE GALLAGHER MANAGING DIRECTOR VIDEO 25 May 2021 CHARU CHANANA ON BLOOMBERG TV DISCUSSING ECONOMIC OUTLOOK FOR SINGAPORE AND INDONESIA CHARU CHANANA LEAD ECONOMIST ASIA ARTICLE 20 May 2021 CHARU CHANANA ON CHANNEL NEWS ASIA (CNA) WITH COMMENTARY ON INDIA'S COVID CRISIS CHARU CHANANA LEAD ECONOMIST ASIA VIDEO 14 May 2021 MIKE GALLAGHER ON CNBC TALKING ABOUT US FED MONETARY POLICY FOLLOWING STRONGER-THAN-ANTICIPATED U.S. INFLATION DATA. MIKE GALLAGHER MANAGING DIRECTOR Previous Next -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- RESEARCH PACKAGES THEMATIC RESEARCH PROFESSIONAL Suggested for: ✓ Asset Management ✓ Risk Management ✓ Public Sector ✓ Private Equity ✓ Corporate ✓ E-Commerce Macroeconomic, Policy & Markets Research (Pro) FX & Fixed Income Flows, Commentary and Strategies (Pro) Technical Analysis Data Calendars Newsletters (Base) Country Insights Quarterly Webinars Direct Access TAKE A 14-DAY FREE TRIAL THEMATIC PROFESSIONAL TACTICAL RESEARCH PROFESSIONAL Suggested for: ✓ Sales and Trading ✓ Execution Desk Macroeconomic, Policy & Markets Research (Base) FX & Fixed Income Flows, Commentary and Strategies (Pro) Technical Analysis Data Calendars Newsletters (Pro) Country Insights Quarterly Webinars Direct Access TAKE A 14-DAY FREE TRIAL TACTICAL PROFESSIONAL THEMATIC AND TACTICAL PRO Suggested for: ✓ All Professionals Macroeconomic, Policy & Markets Research (Pro) FX & Fixed Income Flows, Commentary and Strategies (Pro) Technical Analysis Data Calendars Newsletters (Pro) Country Insights Quarterly Webinars Direct Access TAKE A 14-DAY FREE TRIAL ALL PROFESSIONAL -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SAMPLE CONTENT LONGER TERM THEMATIC RESEARCH BRAZIL’S SOVEREIGN DEBT: WHAT CAN IT SUSTAIN? December 23, 2021 / Priscila Robledo 2021 saw an improvement in Brazil’s sovereign debt metrics. Although the expected debt... CAN ACTION SA MAKE THE TRANSITION FROM LOCAL TO NATIONAL ELECTIONS IN 2024? December 15, 2021 / Francesca Beausang Herman Mashaba, the right-wing Action SA leader, has borrowed from Navalny's smart vot... BOJ TO REINFORCE DOVISH POLICY December 06, 2021 / Cephas Kin Long Yung The Bank of Japan’s Dec. 17 meeting will likely maintain the key message to avoid any ... SHORTER TERM TACTICAL RESEARCH FX WEEKLY STRATEGY - N AMERICA DECEMBER 27TH-31ST December 23, 2021 / Mike Gallagher CHART AUD/USD UPDATE: GAINS TO FADE TOWARDS 0.7200/10 December 15, 2021 / Mike Macdonald EUROPE SUMMARY AND HIGHLIGHTS THURSDAY DECEMBER 9, 2021 December 09, 2021 / Richard Lovie -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HOW WE DELIVER OUR DATA * DESKTOP/MOBILE/TABLET * NEWSLETTER * EMAIL ALERTS * NOTIFICATIONS * BLOOMBERG * REFINITIV WHITE LABELLING CUSTOM NEWSLETTERS Continuum Economics research & analysis delivered in a bespoke publication either directly to your client base or for hosting on your platform. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 24-hour real-time technical analysis of financial markets covering around 80 instruments across FX (both developed and emerging markets), Fixed Income Rates, Equities and commodities delivered in real-time. ECONOMIC DATA & EVENTS CALENDAR Clients around the world, big and small, use our online economic data calendar to track upcoming data releases, key market events, market holidays, and bond auctions, with market impact assessment. E-COMMERCE INTEGRATIONS Custom Solutions: Many of our clients use our XML based APIs and RSS feeds to integrate subsets of our research directly into their own trading platforms, websites and intranets. We work with our customers to develop customised solutions that suits their needs. Our E-commerce solutions are typically used by: Trading Platforms A number of corporate and investment banks, and online brokerages have differentiated their on-line trading solutions, by integrating Continuum Economics independent research, technical analysis and economic data calendars into their services. Providing their customers with pre-trade decision support, workflow integration and market intelligence to support decision making and risk management. Media and Market Intelligence Business newspapers and financial market intelligence vendors integrate our economic data calendars to provide their customers with greater awareness of upcoming economic data releases and market events, ensuring they are better informed. OUR E-COMMERCE CLIENTS 1. 2. 3. E-COMMERCE INTEGRATION OF CONTINUUM ECONOMICS TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CHARTS INTO BANK’S OWN CHARTING APPLICATION INTEGRATION OF FX RESEARCH INTO A CO-MINGLED RESEARCH WINDOW IN BANKS’ TRADING PLATFORM -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- OUR CUSTOMER SEGMENTS SALES & TRADING Value short term views of financial markets, psychology and reaction to data, events in real-time, with intraday Technical Analysis across markets, framed within key themes and views ASSET MANAGEMENT Value research to make informed investment decisions. Our Global Outlook, monitoring of country policies and asset class performance, help identify opportunities and risks across DM and EM CENTRAL BANKS CBs value our independent view on how markets interpret their policies. Our Global Outlook, Country Insight risk scoring and scenarios analysis, identify risks across DM and EM CORPORATE Corporations value our macro research, country risk tools and markets coverage to improve risk management when navigating the hazards of operating in a globalized world PUBLIC SECTOR Public Sector and Dev Finance organisations seek understand economic conditions, and relative risks around the world, when making long term policy, or sovereign lending decisions PRIVATE EQUITY/HEDGE FUNDS PE and Hedge funds value the quality and breadth of our macro, policy and markets coverage, when evaluating investment project risks and trading strategies RISK MANAGEMENT Risk departments at banks, insurers and multinationals value our Country Insights risk tools, macro and policy research, to monitor global risks impacting their organizations ECOMMERCE Firms integrate our data calendars, technical analysis reports and newsletters into trading platforms, websites and intranets to deliver actionable research to staff and clients BROKERAGES Online-Brokerages empower clients to make better trading and investment decisions, by integrating our actionable research into their online platforms -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- OUR RESEARCH TEAM Click to view profiles 1. 2. 3. Francesca Beausang Senior Economist EM Europe Charu Chanana Lead Economist Asia Mike Gallagher Managing Director Grant Hixon Lead Economist Mike Macdonald Senior Technical Strategist Adrian Schmidt Senior FX Strategist David Sloan Senior Economist - North America Andrew Wroblewski Senior Economist Western Europe Alex Ng Asia Economist PakLai Ng Technical Analyst Priscila Robledo Economist - Americas Richard Lovie Sub Editor Anoop Bindra Martinez Economist, Western Europe WEBINARS WEBINARS VIDEO 22 March 2021 GLOBAL OUTLOOK: JABS, JOBS AND INFLATION SWABS VIDEO 09 December 2020 GLOBAL OUTLOOK: LIGHT AT THE END OF THE COVID TUNNEL VIDEO 22 September 2020 GLOBAL OUTLOOK: A VACCINE FOR GROWTH VIDEO 16 June 2020 GLOBAL OUTLOOK: CLIMBING BACK Previous Next VIEW FULL SEARCH RESULTS VIEW FULL SEARCH RESULTS Search for any key word, e.g., a country, a central bank, a financial market, or an analyst’s name AUTHORS Adrian Schmidt Senior FX Strategist Andrew Wroblewski Senior Economist Western Europe UK, Eurozone Charu Chanana Lead Economist Asia Asia David Sloan Senior Economist North America Francesca Beausang Senior Economist EM Europe Grant Hixon Lead Economist Global Quantitative Macroeconomics Mike Gallagher Managing Director Macroeconomics and Strategy Mike Macdonald Senior Technical Strategist Alex Ng Asia Economist Anoop Bindra Martínez Economist Western Europe Add to favorites × WHAT TYPE OF CONTENT WOULD YOU LIKE TO RECEIVE ALERTS FOR? 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