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Department of Humanities, Social and Political Sciences
Center for Comparative and International Studies
International Conflict Research
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ETH Zurich D-GESS CIS ICR


WELCOME

The International Conflict Research (ICR) group at ETH Zurich conducts research
on international and domestic conflict around the world under the leadership of
Prof. Lars-Erik Cederman. In recent years, the group’s members have been
investigating the role of ethnic groups in conflict processes, especially civil
war. Our current research focus is on the link between ethnic inequality and
conflict, as introduced by the book Inequality, Grievances and Civil War. The
broader research agenda covers macro-historical processes such as nationalism,
state-formation and democratization. To support this research, we collect and
integrate data on ethnic groups and conflict, such as the EPR dataset, which can
be accessed through the GROWup online web platform.


WAR IN UKRAINE – BACK TO THE 19TH CENTURY?



Recently, nationalist leaders have staked claims on lost territories in order to
restore the glory of former empires. Our group believes that this rise in
revanchist nationalism poses a threat to geopolitical stability and explain its
views in a series of blog posts and newspaper articles:

 * Cederman, Lars-Erik with Yannick Pengl. 2022. “Alte Muster.” Süddeutsche
   Zeitung (25 May).
 * Cederman, Lars-Erik with Yannick Pengl. 2022. “War in Ukraine – back to the
   19th century?” ETH Zukunftsblog (24. May).
 * Cederman, Lars-Erik. 2022. “Ein Weckruf zur Überwindung der westlichen
   Nachlässigkeit.” Tagesanzeiger (April 24).
 * Cederman, Lars-Erik, Guy Schvitz and Seraina Rüegger. 2022. “Taking
   Nationalists Seriously: Historical Grievances and Revisionist Warfare.”
   Political Violence at a Glance (March 21).
 * Cederman, Lars-Erik and Yannick Pengl. 2022. “Verrückter Despot oder
   rationale Nationalist?” NZZ am Sonntag (27 February).
 * Cederman, Lars-Erik. 2021. “The Empire Strikes Back.” ETH Zukunfsblog
   (January 24).


CSHAPES 2.0, EPR 2021, AND GROWUP UPDATE



CShapes 2.0 has been extended with over 60 years of history about borders and
capitals of independent states and dependent territories. You can conveniently
access the data by interactively visualizing them or through its R package. EPR
2021 now gives you up-to-date, comprehensive, and refined coverage of ethnic
group's access to state power as well as their spatial settlements. These series
of datasets has been integrated in an updated version of the GROWup federated
data portal, giving you access to a plethora of indicators, including the latest
calibrated nightlight measurements.


NATIONALIST STATE TRANSFORMATION AND CONFLICT (NASTAC) PROJECT FUNDED BY ERC
ADVANCED GRANTS 2017



How does nationalism change the state? As part of his ERC Advanced Grant,
Lars-Erik Cederman, Professor of International Conflict Research, proposes a new
theory of nationalist state transformation. He aims to test this theory using
historical maps and archival data selected using machine learning. In the ERC
project, he examines how states emerge, how nationalism alters external borders
and inner structures, and how such processes interact with warfare. Cederman
plans to use the results to estimate the extent to which particular political
reform proposals – such as territorial division or power sharing – can reduce
emerging risks of conflict. The findings will be especially relevant to
multi-ethnic states.

The ICR group is a member of the Center for Comparative and International
Studies (CIS) and collaborates with researchers worldwide through various
research projects.

   
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