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READINGS, LEARNINGS AND MY JOURNEY.




NEW ON THE SITE


SIGNALS OF A RECESSION

July 24, 2023

All recessions is precipitated by debt. But since there’s no way to affirm this
phenomenon (e.g. if we observe it, then the regulator must have been able to
observe and stomp this down), then we need to look elsewhere for signals. Hence
we look for human euphoria, for things that will change our lives and […]


FATALITY OF INFORMATION

November 7, 2022

The only thing worse than no information is bad information. It does not have to
be wrong, but can be superficial or missing the forrest for the trees. This
equally applies in decision-making as well as in the sciences. The in the former
bad information leads one to disregard the inherent uncertainties of the world
[…]


HERD MENTALITY

September 2, 2022

There’s comfort being in a herd. But there’s also comfort being in herded group
of turkey. As in the last job craze, there’s greed, competition and FOMO that’s
pushing people to jump ships and swim with the tide. As the world goes, events
have a way of slaughtering the excited herd, whether in revolutions, civil […]


THE IMPORTANCE OF ADHERING TO A PRINCIPLE

August 28, 2022

We are often told to gage the sentiment and pulse of a market. Buy when it is
low and sell when it is high. The trick is that we are rendered often less
astute because the judgment is self-referential. When we are part of a larger
breathing and moving organism, how are we best positioned […]


MY CRYPTO THESIS – 2022

August 20, 2022

Crypto fundamentally represents an open, decentralized protocol that resists
centralization, censorship and center failures that the modern financial
institutions have proven to be. As money, it resists government tampering and
the slow erosion of the commons by the value shift to the entrenched interests,
whether through taxation or inflation. Its present use cases seem bogus. […]


ON SECOND-LEVEL THINKING

August 20, 2022

Howard Marks has commented profusely on the importance of second-level thinking.
Yes. First-layer thinking is the market. Only by understanding where and truly
what the market believes, can we then remotely get the chance to beat the
market. — In this world turbocharged with “information highways”, you have
gotten smarter but so has the market. […]


PERSONAL PRINCIPLES FOR 2022

August 12, 2022

1. Everything that matters is in the relationships. Everything gets done only
through relationships, everywhere. Your life’s quality will be defined by the
quality of your relationships, professional and personal. The only thing that
can never get over-invested in is relationships. 2. Your reputation is your
everything. Protect it at all costs. Never run risk […]


PRINCIPLES TO UNDERSTAND THE 2022 WORLD

August 6, 2022

1. Inequality only increases. War and revolutions redistributes. Commerce only
cements existing power. There will be a few showdogs like Elon Musk from rags to
riches. But the power system is set up to entrench, not to equalize.¹ The
flattening of platforms of information flow only increases wealth and power
aggregation. Only the best get […]



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