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AHMED DAWOUD * About Me * Resume * Projects * Publications * Blog * Contact me Ahmed Dawoud 2023 Ahmed Dawoud Economist Data Analyst Business Process Analyst Business Intelligence Specialist AHMED DAWOUD Results-oriented economist with expertise in data analysis, economic research, and policy formulation. Proven track record of collecting, analyzing, and communicating complex economic data. Skilled in building interactive dashboards to communicate analytical results. Hands-on experience in applying causal models using DoWhy and EconML to drive informed decision-making. Collaborative team player experienced in leading projects with government agencies, NGOs, international organizations, and the private sector. LinkedIn, Tableau, Kaggle Download CV WHAT I DO ECONOMIC RESEARCH As a skilled economist, I am proficient in economic research, data analysis, and policy formulation. I specialize in utilizing advanced statistical methods to derive actionable insights from complex economic data, ensuring that my work is both insightful and impactful. WEB SCRAPING I build efficient web scraping tools capable of collecting thousands of economic records. In 2021, these tools significantly enhanced productivity by saving more than 21,000 working hours, which would have otherwise been spent on manual data collection. DATA ANALYSIS My strong data analysis skills, enhanced by my proficiency in a variety of analytical tools such as Python, R, Tableau, and Excel, enable me to excel at extracting meaningful insights from intricate datasets. These insights are invaluable for informed decision-making. TEACHING AND TRAINING I am dedicated to developing practical data science and machine learning tutorials, aimed at guiding junior data analysts. My focus is on achieving an ideal balance between economic theory and real-world application. TESTIMONIALS I have worked with Ahmed for a year and a half at ECES. He is such a committed, hard-working, dedicated high caliber with extraordinary mathematical and analytical skills and a superb ability to process and analyze data. Dalya Mokhtar N - Gage Consulting I worked with Ahmed for almost one year and a half. I found him a conscientious and hard working professional. He is also a very cooperative team member, incredibly generous with his time and expertise. Hoda El-Abbadi Central Bank of Egypt Ahmed is the person you depend on to get the job done on time. He dedicates the required effort to make sure that team members are on the same page and the outcomes are being delivered on time. khaled Wahid ECES I was lucky to work with Ahmed on 3 months data science project. His techniques, tips and tricks revolutionized our analytical skills, I hope we contribute together in more projects as there is a lot to learn from him Abdallah El-lawah dnata - Dubai In the short time I’ve worked with Ahmed, I’ve learned a great deal and gained valuable insights from his expertise. I highly recommend working with him in any future endeavors he pursues. His skills, dedication, and collaborative nature make him a valuable asset to any team. Aya Saleh ECES Working under Dawoud has been a privilege. His passion for excellence and ability to empower others stands out. He consistently motivates his team to reach their full potential, providing guidance that combines deep understanding with genuine support. Yousef Nasr ECES RESUME 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE EDUCATION 2017 - PRESENT Online Self Study DATA ANALYSIS Earned several certifications and expanded knowledge through extensive reading in impact evaluation, causal inference, web scraping, data analysis, and machine learning from renowned institutions such as MIT, Google, Udacity, and DeepLearning.ai 2013 - 2017 Cairo University ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS Bachelor's degree in economics and statistics from the faculty of economics and political science, Cairo university - Grade: very good with honors EXPERIENCE JAN 2023 - PRESENT ECES HEAD OF DATA ANALYTICS I established and led a team of five junior and mid-level researchers, successfully securing $100,000 in funding from the National Bank of Egypt. Our projects, in collaboration with the American University in Cairo and the Ministry of Higher Education, are dedicated to creating data analytics tools that bridge the gap between economic research and data analysis JAN 2021 - DEC 2022 ECES SENIOR ECONOMIST Trained and evaluated causal and predictive models using Python and R. Built interactive dashboards using Tableau. Implemented large-scale web scraping systems using Beautiful Soup and Selenium. These systems save over 1,000 hours of data collection work every month. Led research projects with international organizations such as the World Bank and the USAID. SEP 2017 - DEC 2020 ECES ECONOMIST Wrote over 200 daily economic reports, providing timely insights on the latest economic developments in Egypt. Authored 6 research papers and 1 policy brief, spanning diverse economic areas such as manufacturing, exportation, taxation, social justice, and the labor market. Wrote 3 comprehensive reports covering the impact of COVID-19 on agriculture, population growth, and the informal sector JUN 2016 - AUG 2017 Eda2at ECONOMIC EDITOR Wrote more than 50 reports that analyzed the economic situation in Egypt and MENA region in a simplified way that a non-specialized reader can understand Wrote more than 50 reports that analyzed the economic situation in Egypt and MENA region in a simplified way that a non-specialized reader can understand TECHNICAL SKILLS ECONOMIC RESEARCH 95% STATISTICAL ANALYSIS 80% CAUSAL INFERENCE 90% DATA CLEANING 90% DATA VISUALIZATION 98% DATA STORYTELLING 95% REPORT WRITING 95% TOOLS PANDAS 95% NUMPY 80% MATPLOTLIB 95% SEABORN 95% EXCEL 85% TABLEAU 80% DOWHY 85% ECONML 85% SCIKIT LEARN 80% TENSORFLOW 70% CERTIFICATES GOOGLE DATA ANALYTICS Eight courses, developed by Google, that include hands-on, practice-based assessments ADVANCED DATA ANALYSIS Perform data cleaning, data visualization, data analysis including A/B testing with hands-on real life projects DEEP LEARNING SPECIALIZATION Network architectures such as Convolutional Neural Networks, Recurrent Neural Networks, LSTMs, and Transformers ADVANCED MACHINE LEARNING Pandas, Nump, Matplotlib, Seaborn, and Scikit Learn (wide range of machine learning algorithms) PORTFOLIO PROJECTS, CONFERENCES, AND WORKSHOPS * All * Community Service * Economics * Job Market * Teaching CO-FOUNDING THE COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION IN NITEMA VILLAGE Community Service NBE TRAINING Teaching ANALYSIS OF THE FREELANCE JOB LANDSCAPE IN EGYPT Job Market DETAILED ANALYSIS OF THE GENDER PAY GAP IN EGYPT Job Market DEMAND FOR JOBS IN EGYPT – Y2Q1 Job Market DEMAND FOR JOBS IN EGYPT – FOURTH QUARTER Job Market POVERTY IN EGYPT Economics DEMAND FOR JOBS IN EGYPT – THIRD QUARTER Job Market DEMAND FOR JOBS IN EGYPT – SECOND QUARTER Job Market DEMAND FOR JOBS IN EGYPT – FIRST QUARTER Job Market SOUND BUDGETING IN EGYPT Economics EXPORT MAP FOR FOOD PRODUCTS Economics PROPERLY ADDRESSING THE POPULATION FILE IN EGYPT Economics TAXATION OF DIGITAL ECONOMY Economics PUBLICATIONS RESEARCH PAPERS, REPORTS, AND POLICY BRIEFS NOV 2023 ERF ABDEL LATIF, A., ET AL. STABILIZATION AND ADJUSTMENT IN MENA: THE CASE OF EGYPT. WORKING PAPER NO. 1663, NOVEMBER 2023. ERF. Egypt has been repeatedly undergoing the very same problems of the persistent debt burden, the large budget deficit, and limited exports, among others, way before all the recent shocks and international disruptions. This all points to the fact that the problems are deeper than what meets the eye. Given the importance and missing focus on this deeper level of problems, the study chooses to focus on the internal challenges. Paper Link NOV 2023 ECES DAWOUD, A., S. BAHAA, AND R. SEIF EL-DINE. BUSINESS PROCESS ANALYSIS OF EXPORTING AND IMPORTING FEW SPECIFIC PRODUCTS: EXPORT OF READYMADE GARMENTS (RMG). ECES-WP230-E, 2023. This study aims to comprehensively assess both the formal and informal procedures associated with the export process of a specific set of products. In this analysis, ECES has employed the Business Process Analysis (BPA) Model issued by the UN Centre for Trade Facilitation and Electronic Business (UN/CEFACT). Notably, this marks the first time in Egypt that a globally standardized modeling language has been used, enabling a comparative evaluation of Egypt’s export processes on a global scale. Paper Link SEPT 2021 ECES DAWOUD. A, AND R. SEIF EL-DINE. SOUND BUDGETING AS A DRIVER OF CHANGE: A DETAILED COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS IN LIGHT OF BEST INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS AND PRACTICES. ECES-WP219, 2021. This paper seeks to study the extent of the soundness of managing the government budget, which, if properly prepared, could act as a key driver of change in Egypt. The study examines the extent of consistency between the budget on the one hand and the constitution and the state’s economic and social plan on the other hand. Section II of the study conducts a detailed comparative analysis of revenues and expenditures during the period 2010/2011 – 2021/2022 (various years), as well as an evaluation of projects funded by grants and loans. Paper Link JAN 2022 ECES DAWOUD, A. QUANTITATIVE ESTIMATION OF THE IMPACT OF THE CORONA PANDEMIC ON POPULATION GROWTH IN EGYPT. ECES, VIEW ON THE CRISIS, EDITION 20, 2020. As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, health systems around the world have focused their efforts on responding to the crisis and combating the pandemic. This came at the expense of usual basic health services, including reproductive and sexual health services, of which family planning is at the heart. This paper estimates the impact of service disruption due to COVID-19 on population growth in Egypt. Paper Link JUNE 2021 ECES DAWOUD. A, AND R. SEIF EL-DINE. EGYPT’S READYMADE GARMENTS AND HOME TEXTILE INDUSTRY: SPECIFIC PROPOSALS TO SOLVE INDUSTRY PROBLEMS GIVEN THE GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS SITUATION. WP218, 2021 This working paper discusses the importance and current status of Egypt’s ready-made garments and home textiles industry. It sheds light on the main challenges facing this industry compared to selected competitive countries. Finally, it concludes by offering a set of proposed measures that are based on the constraints facing the industry and in light of international experiences of countries that have achieved remarkable progress in it. Paper Link DEC 2020 G20 ABDEL LATIF. A, AND A. DAWOUD. PROPERLY ADDRESSING INFORMALITY IN THE ARAB WORLD: NATURE, SEVERITY, AND POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS. G20 POLICY BRIEFS, 2020. Informality has been a persistent feature of Arab economies. We approach informality from the worker’s perspective, starting with the necessary preconditions for specific policy recommendations. The proposal emphasizes the importance of combining the right incentives and sensible checks and balances. The incentives typically work on two parallel tracks: slowing down the pace of informality and tackling the stock through a set of well-integrated policies. Brief Link DEC 2020 ECES DAWOUD, A. IMPACT OF THE CORONA PANDEMIC ON AGRICULTURE IN EGYPT. ECES, VIEW ON THE CRISIS, EDITION 24, 2020. The agricultural sector is one of the most important sectors of the Egyptian economy, as it represents 11.2 percent of GDP and employs about 23.8 percent of total labor in Egypt. This paper estimates the impact of COVID crisis on the overall sector performance in Egypt. Paper Link APRIL 2020 ECES DAWOUD, A. HOW COVID19 IS DISRUPTING THE INFORMAL SECTOR IN EGYPT. ECES, VIEW ON THE CRISIS, EDITION 7, 2020. Understanding the repercussions of the Corona crisis on those working in the informal sector in Egypt, whether individuals or companies, requires a disciplined scientific understanding of the nature of this sector, its dynamics, and the fundamental changes it has undergone in recent decades, as well as how it responded and interacted with the economic crises Egypt has gone through previously, and finally, the repercussions on the sector's role in the COVID crisis. Paper Link AUG 2019 ECES DAWOUD. A, AND A. ABDEL LATIF. THE IDEAL INSTITUTIONAL SET UP OF THE POPULATION FILE IN EGYPT. ECES-WP203- A, 2019. This paper seeks to identify key factors for a successful population policy in Egypt. For this purpose, the first section overviews eight leading international experiences in population to find the main contributors to the demographic transition in each of these experiences. Section 2 assesses Egypt's management of the population file from 1930s to 2019 divided into six periods, to identify the main reasons for success or failure in each period separately. Finally, the third section compares the most important features of the Egyptian experience with those of the international experiences, concluding with a proposed optimum institutional form. Paper Link APRIL 2018 ECES FARAHAT. R, AND A. DAWOUD. INDECISIVENESS OF PUBLIC OFFICIALS: THE PROBLEM AND SOLUTIONS. ECES-WP192, 2018 This study aims to provide legal solutions for the problem of indecisiveness by comparing the criminal liability of a civil servant with the civil responsibility of the board members of joint stock companies. Findings suggest that a legislation is needed to protect public officials and employees from being penalized for their decisions, provided that the relevant conduct is legitimate and does not entail corruption. Paper Link BLOG BLOG POSTS, ARTICLES, AND VIEWS Causal Inference 18 Jul 2024 DOUBLE MACHINE LEARNING: ADVANCING CAUSAL INFERENCE WITH MACHINE LEARNING TECHNIQUES Causal Inference 18 Jul 2024 DOUBLY ROBUST METHODS IN CAUSAL INFERENCE: A POWERFUL APPROACH TO ESTIMATING TREATMENT EFFECTS Causal Inference 18 Jul 2024 UNDERSTANDING S, T, AND X LEARNERS: META-LEARNERS FOR CAUSAL INFERENCE LLMs 12 Jun 2024 DEMYSTIFYING BERT: AN INTUITIVE DIVE INTO TRANSFORMER-BASED LANGUAGE MODELS Data Analysis 09 Jun 2024 MASTERING PANDAS: A COMPREHENSIVE STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE TO EFFICIENT DATA ANALYSIS Causal Inference Learning English 05 Jun 2024 HARNESSING THE POWER OF TEXT EMBEDDINGS FOR CAUSAL INFERENCE Causal Inference 05 Jun 2024 UNVEILING DOUBLE/DEBIASED MACHINE LEARNING (DML): A PRACTICAL GUIDE Causal Inference 03 Jun 2024 INTRODUCTION TO TESTING DAG VALIDITY: LOCAL MARKOV AND EDGE DEPENDENCE TESTS Data Analysis Machine Learning 22 May 2024 CAUSAL ML BOOK: SUMMARY OF KEY CONCEPTS FROM CHAPTER 5 Data Analysis Machine Learning 21 May 2024 UNDERSTANDING NEYMAN ORTHOGONALITY IN HIGH-DIMENSIONAL LINEAR REGRESSION Data Analysis Machine Learning 20 May 2024 PENALIZED REGRESSION METHODS: LASSO, RIDGE, ELASTIC NET, AND LAVA EXPLAINED Data Analysis Machine Learning 20 May 2024 BALANCING COMPLEXITY AND ACCURACY: VARIABLE SELECTION IN LASSO Data Analysis Machine Learning 20 May 2024 WHY LASSO DOES NOT GUARANTEE CORRECT VARIABLE SELECTION? A THOROUGH EXPLANATION Data Analysis Machine Learning 20 May 2024 APPROXIMATE SPARSITY EXPLAINED: WHY SHOULD WE USE LASSO WITH HIGH DIMENSIONAL DATA? Causal Inference Data Analysis Machine Learning 16 May 2024 SINGULAR VALUE DECOMPOSITION (SVD): DEFINITIONS AND APPLICATIONS IN PYTHON? Causal Inference Data Analysis Machine Learning 14 May 2024 UNDERSTANDING OLS IN HIGH-DIMENSIONAL SETTINGS: INSIGHTS AND PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS Causal Inference Data Analysis Learning English 14 May 2024 DETAILED EXPLANATION OF PARTIALLING-OUT AND THE FRISCH-WAUGH-LOVELL (FWL) THEOREM Causal Inference Machine Learning 14 May 2024 CHAPTER 1 SUMMARY: APPLIED CAUSAL INFERENCE POWERED BY ML AND AI Learning English 09 May 2024 COOKING UP LANGUAGE SKILLS: LEARNING ENGLISH WITH RATATOUILLE? Data Analysis 08 Apr 2024 PYTHON FOR DATA ANALYSIS: A BRIEF BOOK REVIEW FROM A PERSONAL PERSPECTIVE Data Analysis 01 Apr 2024 BASICS OF GENERATING DATE RANGES AND RESAMPLING IN PYTHON Data Analysis 26 Mar 2024 MASTERING DATA ANALYSIS WITH PANDAS GROUPBY FUNCTION Data Analysis 29 Feb 2024 MASTERING COMPLEX DATA WITH PANDAS: ADVANCED READ_CSV ARGUMENTS Data Analysis 27 Feb 2024 INTRODUCING OUR INITIAL PYTHON PACKAGE: ECES EG WEATHER Data Analysis 26 Feb 2024 KEY PERFORMANCE INSIGHTS FROM “PYTHON FOR DATA ANALYSIS (CHAPTERS 1-4)” AI 26 Feb 2024 THE RISE OF THE AI-POWERED WORKFORCE: AUTOMATION, AND UPSKILLING Data Analysis 23 Feb 2024 ENHANCING ECONOMIC RESEARCH WITH OOP: A LEAP FORWARD AT ECES AI 21 Feb 2024 THE IMPERATIVE OF TRUST IN THE AGE OF GENOMIC DATA AI 21 Feb 2024 EMPOWERING AFRICA: BUILDING THE ENTIRE VALUE CHAIN FOR AI DEVELOPMENT Machine Learning 19 Feb 2024 PART 3 – TOP SCIKIT LEARN TIPS FOR BUILDING EFFICIENT MACHINE LEARNING WORKFLOWS Data 19 Feb 2024 SAM ALTMAN ON THE FUTURE OF AI: A WORLD OF POTENTIAL AND RESPONSIBILITY Machine Learning 06 Feb 2024 PART 2 – TOP SCIKIT LEARN TIPS FOR BUILDING EFFICIENT MACHINE LEARNING WORKFLOWS Machine Learning 01 Feb 2024 PART 1 – TOP SCIKIT LEARN TIPS FOR BUILDING EFFICIENT MACHINE LEARNING WORKFLOWS Data Analysis 20 Jan 2024 LEVEL UP YOUR PYTHON: ESSENTIAL TECHNIQUES FOR EFFICIENT DATA MANIPULATION Data Analysis 18 Jan 2024 FROM BEGINNER TO PRO: PANDAS HACKS FOR STREAMLINED DATA PROCESSING Learning English 15 Jan 2024 I DON’T RECOMMEND WHAT WE DID FOR MOST COMPANIES: UNCONFUSE ME WITH BILL GATES Data Analysis 14 Jan 2024 FROM SPREADSHEETS TO SUPERPOWERS: UNLEASHING THE ECONOMIC POWER OF NUMPY Data Analysis 12 Jan 2024 UNLOCKING DATA MANIPULATION WITH VECTORIZATION AND CUSTOM FUNCTIONS IN PANDAS Data Analysis 12 Jan 2024 UNLEASHING THE POWER OF DATA RESHAPING IN PANDAS: 5 ESSENTIAL FUNCTIONS Data Analysis 12 Jan 2024 UNLOCKING DATA INSIGHTS WITH PANDAS: ESSENTIAL FUNCTIONS FOR DATA EXPLORATION Data Analysis 12 Jan 2024 UNLOCKING PANDAS’ FULL POTENTIAL: ADVANCED TECHNIQUES FROM SCIPY 2023 Learning English 09 Jan 2024 HOW AI CAN HELP YOU TURN AN IDEA INTO THE NEXT GREAT APP Learning English 08 Jan 2024 WHAT HAPPENS AS WE DIE? | KATHRYN MANNIX Learning English 21 Nov 2023 THE EXCITING JOURNEY TOWARD AGI | ILYA SUTSKEVER | TED Learning English 15 Nov 2023 ILYA: THE AI SCIENTIST SHAPING THE WORLD Learning English 13 Nov 2023 ENGLISH LEARNING | WHY U.S. ELITES SUPPORT ISRAEL NO MATTER WHAT? Learning English 06 Nov 2023 HOW TO MAKE LEARNING AS ADDICTIVE AS SOCIAL MEDIA | LUIS VON | TED Learning English 25 Oct 2023 ENGLISH LEARNING | PUBLIC DEBT: HOW MUCH IS TOO MUCH? Learning English 24 Oct 2023 ENGLISH LEARNING | AMERICAN PRISONER TRAPPED IN IRAN | 60 MINUTES Learning English 23 Oct 2023 ENGLISH LEARNING | BASSEM YOUSSEF ON JON STEWART | 2022 MARK TWAIN PRIZE Learning English 23 Oct 2023 ENGLISH LEARNING | SLANG ENGLISH: HOW TO SPEAK LIKE AMERICANS? Learning English 17 Oct 2023 ENGLISH LEARNING | THE MINIMUM WAGE: DOES IT HURT WORKERS? | THE ECONOMIST Learning English 16 Oct 2023 ENGLISH LEARNING | PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN: THE 2023 INTERVIEW | 60 MINUTES Learning English 14 Oct 2023 ENGLISH LEARNING | BILL GATES: THE 2021 60 MINUTES INTERVIEW Learning English 14 Oct 2023 ENGLISH LEARNING | AI REVOLUTION| DAVID BYRNE | 60 MINUTES Learning English 12 Oct 2023 ENGLISH LEARNING | WHAT TO EXPECT FROM QUANTUM TECH | JACK HIDARY | WEF Learning English 11 Oct 2023 LEARNING ENGLISH | “GODFATHER OF AI” GEOFFREY HINTON | MACHINES COULD TAKE OVER! Learning English 10 Oct 2023 ENGLISH LEARNING: HOW WE CAN THINK ABOUT TECH | WEF Learning English 09 Oct 2023 ENGLISH LEARNING: WHAT IS SYNTHETIC BIOLOGY? | AMY WEBB | WEF Learning English 08 Oct 2023 ENGLISH LEARNING: THE TRUTH ABOUT INFLATION | UBS ECONOMIST PAUL DONOVAN | WEF Learning English 07 Oct 2023 WHAT IS AI? | COMPUTER SCIENTIST STUART RUSSELL | WEF Learning English 07 Oct 2023 FROM BEGINNER TO ADVANCED, TAKING MY ENGLISH SKILLS TO COMPLETELY NEW LEVELS Data 15 Mar 2023 HOW LARGE LANGUAGE MODELS WILL EMPOWER ECONOMIC ANALYSIS? Data 15 Mar 2023 10 DIFFERENT USE CASES WHERE CHATGPT-4 CAN BE USEFUL IN ECONOMICS View on News 21 Sep 2022 THE EGYPTIAN ECONOMY HAS TRIPLED IN SIZE OVER THE PAST 6 YEARS: MISLEADING STATISTICS? Agriculture - COVID 19 11 Mar 2022 FOLLOW-UP ON THE EFFECTS OF COVID-19 ON THE AGRICULTURE SECTOR View on News 27 Nov 2019 25.5% INCREASE OF TRADE BETWEEN EGYPT AND NILE BASIN COUNTRIES IN 2018 View on News 06 Nov 2019 LACK OF DEVELOPERS NEW CITIES A MAJOR REASON FOR THEIR LACK OF SUCCESS? View on News 25 Sep 2019 PLAN TO ATTRACT SMALL AND AMBITIOUS COMPANIES TO THE NILE STOCK EXCHANGE – HOW EFFECTIVE IS IT? View on News 03 Sep 2019 EGYPT’S POPULATION GROWTH LOWEST IN 10 YEARS – IS IT ACCURATE? View on News 17 Jul 2019 THE IMPACT OF TAXING STOCK EXCHANGE TRANSACTIONS: COMMENT ON NEW DECISIONS View on News 17 Apr 2019 IS EGYPT READY FOR THE DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION? – SEVERAL TECHNICAL ISSUES SHOULD BE CONSIDERED View on News 24 Jan 2018 THE MINISTRY OF HEALTH AGREES TO RAISE THE PRICES OF 30 PHARMACEUTICAL DRUGS See All Posts CONTACT ME GET IN TOUCH +20 010 95 754 699 GIZA - EGYPT ADAWOUD@ECES.ORG.EG CONSULTATIONS AVAILABLE