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Voices


IF BIDEN WANTS TO IMPROVE RELATIONS WITH CHINA, HE SHOULD LOOK TO THE MIDDLE
EAST

THE GULF COUNTRIES AND ISRAEL ARE AS IMPORTANT NOW FOR US-CHINA RELATIONS AS
EUROPEAN COUNTRIES WERE FOR US-SOVIET RELATIONS DURING THE COLD WAR


Joshua Jahani
New York
Tuesday 17 August 2021 14:57
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Related video: Joe Biden refuses to take questions after Afghanistan statement

President Biden’s first moves in the Middle East — bombing Iran-backed militias
in Syria, for instance, while de-prioritizing much of the rest of the region —
neglect the bigger picture of a region that is leading the world out of the
pandemic. And with the first US-China meeting under the Biden administration
getting off to a tough start this week, that’s more important than you might
think.

The Gulf states and Israel provide an opportunity for the US to participate in a
global economy that will be more centered on the Middle East than it was before
the virus. This future must be a cornerstone of US policy, as well the legacy
issues around security.




Covid has threatened the mature economies of the US and Europe, accelerated
China’s inevitable rise, and given opportunity to the region’s often more agile
and adaptable countries.



There are few countries in the world who have (almost) put the pandemic behind
them and are on good terms with both the US and China. Those are the countries
who are set to lead the world in the 21st century. They are almost exclusively
in the Middle East.



The rise of the Middle East as a gateway between the US and China presents an
opportunity for Biden to re-engage with Beijing through the neutral soil of
Israel and the Gulf states. Biden should not be afraid of celebrating and
building on the diplomatic progress achieved under the Trump administration
through the end of the GCC rift and the Abraham accords.


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Being the “new Europe” is something that Middle Eastern leaders are
understandably motivated by, particularly in light of their relations with both
DC and Beijing. Europe was the middle ground for the Soviet-US Cold War, and the
Middle East is the same for the China-US relationship — geographically,
politically and economically.



Rather than continue to fight yesterday’s conflicts and ignore today’s
achievements (perhaps focused on distancing himself from Trump’s policies),
Biden should craft policy based on the reality that the Middle East is
transitioning from a 20th century defined by conflict and insecurity to a 21st
century where the Silk Road is once again the social, economic, cultural, and
political center of the world.

This is a future into which the Middle East is rapidly progressing. Three of the
top five countries with the most Covid vaccinations (excluding the Seychelles
and Maldives) are in the Middle East — namely the UAE, Israel, and Bahrain. In
addition to a successful vaccination campaign, total death rates in these
countries and others in the region have remained low. All this while key
industries, including tourism, have often remained open. 

Saudi Arabia has been working to almost triple its non-oil revenues, and is
investing billions into futuristic cities like NEOM and “The Line.” The UAE
successfully completed a mission to Mars during the pandemic and recently
announced plans to double Dubai’s population, all while commentators in London
and New York discuss the “death of cities.”

Gulf economies also benefit from a low debt to GDP ratio, which will allow them
to maintain growth while more developed and leveraged economies struggle in the
wake of the pandemic. The US currently has a debt to GDP ratio of over 100
percent; in Saudi Arabia and the UAE, the debt to GDP ratio is only 20 percent,
meaning those governments will have spending power well into the future for
public and private projects.



China is busy building deeper links in the region, where doing business is more
important than talking politics. It is important to Biden’s legacy that US
policymakers and investors do the same, and foster both cultural and economic
connections to the new Middle East rather than allowing themselves to be crowded
out.

To this day, too many American political and business leaders are driven by the
impulses that impacted actions between them and the Middle East at the start of
the millennium. Twenty years on, the White House should look to the future. It
must adapt to the rise of China by utilizing the Middle East’s neutral ground to
increase cooperation with Beijing. 


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   Steadman

It’s high time an American president looked to the Middle East for its
entrepreneurship, adaptability and its e-governance, rather than simply for its
oil.



Joshua Jahani is a Cornell alum, public speaker and investment banker with a
focus on the Middle East and Africa


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1/1HOW BIDEN CAN ACTUALLY CHANGE HIS RELATIONS WITH CHINA


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