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Research

Global Real Estate Perspective May 2024
United States
 * Americas
   * Argentina
   * Brazil
   * Canada
   * Chile
   * Colombia
   * Mexico
   * Peru
   * United States
 * Europe Middle East and Africa
   * Belgium
   * Finland
   * France
   * Germany
   * Ireland
   * Israel
   * Italy
   * Luxembourg
   * Netherlands
   * Poland
   * Portugal
   * Saudi Arabia
   * Spain
   * Sub-Saharan Africa
   * Sweden
   * Switzerland
   * United Arab Emirates
   * United Kingdom
 * Asia Pacific
   * Australia
   * China (Mainland)
   * Chinese Taipei (Taiwan)
   * Hong Kong SAR, China
   * India
   * Indonesia
   * Japan
   * Korea
   * Macau SAR, China
   * Malaysia
   * New Zealand
   * Philippines
   * Singapore
   * Sri Lanka
   * Thailand
   * Vietnam



United States
 * Americas
   * Argentina
   * Brazil
   * Canada
   * Chile
   * Colombia
   * Mexico
   * Peru
   * United States
 * Europe Middle East and Africa
   * Belgium
   * Finland
   * France
   * Germany
   * Ireland
   * Israel
   * Italy
   * Luxembourg
   * Netherlands
   * Poland
   * Portugal
   * Saudi Arabia
   * Spain
   * Sub-Saharan Africa
   * Sweden
   * Switzerland
   * United Arab Emirates
   * United Kingdom
 * Asia Pacific
   * Australia
   * China (Mainland)
   * Chinese Taipei (Taiwan)
   * Hong Kong SAR, China
   * India
   * Indonesia
   * Japan
   * Korea
   * Macau SAR, China
   * Malaysia
   * New Zealand
   * Philippines
   * Singapore
   * Sri Lanka
   * Thailand
   * Vietnam

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GLOBAL REAL ESTATE PERSPECTIVE MAY 2024




A MIXED OUTLOOK, WITH MOMENTUM GRADUALLY BUILDING THROUGH THE REST OF THE YEAR

EXPLORE PROPERTY SECTORS AND THE OUTLOOK FOR GLOBAL REAL ESTATE MARKETS

Explore Sectors


The global economy’s resilience continued in the first quarter of 2024, despite
geopolitical uncertainty and shifts to the interest rate outlook. Growth remains
subdued by historic standards, but as inflation eases further and the timing of
policy rate reductions becomes clearer, momentum should build through the second
half of the year and into 2025.  

Signs of a continued gradual improvement in activity were evident in office
markets, with global leasing volumes rising by 7% from the previous year. In the
logistics sector fundamentals cooled across regions during the quarter as
occupiers remain cautious, although the outlook for the full year is positive,
with rising inquiries in major markets. Robust retail and hospitality demand has
carried over into early 2024, boosted by growing international travel and rising
real wages. 




GLOBAL REAL ESTATE HEALTH MONITOR





PRICE DISCOVERY CONTINUES BUT IS BELIEVED TO BE STABILIZING IN SELECT MARKETS

EXPLORE MORE ABOUT GLOBAL CAPITAL MARKETS

Investment


Investor sentiment has been relatively mixed but stable, with some improvement
evident during the first quarter. Debt market conditions continued to improve in
early 2024, both in pricing and liquidity. Markets saw notable evidence of
spread compression during the first quarter across the U.S. and parts of Europe
and Asia. However, since the close of the quarter, the release of the March
inflation numbers in the U.S. are putting into question when and if the Fed will
cut rates this year. Rate cuts in Europe could begin as early as June, an early
signal of a divergent rate policy relative to the Fed.

Investor propensity to transact is greater in markets where price adjustments
are more transparent. Pricing is believed to be stabilizing in the U.S. and UK
for core product. In Asia Pacific and parts of Europe, investors remain
concerned about further price adjustments, in particular where there is less
alignment between buyers’ and sellers’ expectations and a lack of transactional
evidence. Price adjustments in Asia Pacific to-date are coming through most
quickly in Australia and South Korea.

More buyers are active in the U.S. and UK markets, a function of increasing
confidence in pricing levels and a fear of missing out on opportunities. While
less evident in closed transactions to date, an uptick in cross-border interest
is evident in bidding activity. As a result, there has been an increase in JLL’s
Global Bid Intensity Index across most sectors in early 2024, with dynamics
stronger for the logistics and living sectors. However, the bid-ask spread
remains, indicating the need for further price discovery and an increase in
transaction activity to close the value gap.






EXPLORE SECTORS



Investment

Closed deal activity remained below potential in Q1

Office

Gradual improvement in demand continues

Retail

Mixed performance across global retail markets

Logistics

Positive outlook despite slowdown in early 2024

Hotels

Hotel performance continues to strengthen

Living

Tentative signs of improving investment activity

Global Office Market Dynamics

The latest global office market dynamics

Summary

Return to the Global Real Estate Perspective homepage


DOWNLOAD REPORT



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report is available on request, please contact the team below to find out more.


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