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China's efforts to sway the U.S. are bigger than TikTok Intelligence officials
and lawmakers describe the Chinese-owned social media app as a national security
threat. But they haven't shared that evidence with the public.
Special Series


UNTANGLING DISINFORMATION


CHINA'S INFLUENCE OPERATIONS AGAINST THE U.S. ARE BIGGER THAN TIKTOK

April 26, 20245:00 AM ET
Heard on Morning Edition

Shannon Bond

CHINA'S INFLUENCE OPERATIONS AGAINST THE U.S. ARE BIGGER THAN TIKTOK

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Enlarge this image

A newly signed law requires that the Chinese-owned TikTok app be sold to satisfy
national security concerns. Joe Raedle/Getty Images hide caption

toggle caption
Joe Raedle/Getty Images


A newly signed law requires that the Chinese-owned TikTok app be sold to satisfy
national security concerns.

Joe Raedle/Getty Images

A new law passed this week would ban TikTok in the United States unless
ByteDance, its Chinese owner, sells the popular video app.

National security is at the heart of bipartisan concerns in Washington
motivating the law. Lawmakers say they're worried the Chinese government could
lean on ByteDance in order to use TikTok to suck up Americans' data, surveil
them, and spread false and misleading claims to U.S. voters.


TECHNOLOGY


PRESIDENT BIDEN SIGNS LAW TO BAN TIKTOK NATIONWIDE UNLESS IT IS SOLD

"It's not hard to imagine how a platform that facilitates so much commerce,
political discourse and social debate could be covertly manipulated to serve the
goals of an authoritarian regime," Sen. Mark Warner, D-Va., said this week.

Many lawmakers who supported the bill said classified intelligence briefings
have raised alarms about TikTok — but have not yet made that information
available for public scrutiny. Some members of Congress have pushed back,
including Sen. Edward Markey of Massachusetts, who said while he has concerns
about many social networks' collection of user data, he had seen "no credible
evidence" that TikTok presents a threat just because its parent company is based
in China.

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So what do we know about China's efforts to manipulate Americans using social
media, and what role does TikTok play?


CHINA'S GROWING INFORMATION OPERATIONS

While much of the discussion about foreign interference in elections has focused
on Russia since 2016, China presents a growing threat, according to the
intelligence community, tech companies and independent researchers.


UNTANGLING DISINFORMATION


META WARNS THAT CHINA IS STEPPING UP ITS ONLINE SOCIAL MEDIA INFLUENCE
OPERATIONS

Beijing has stepped up its online information operations in recent years in
support of its broader goals, experts say. China "aims to sow doubts about U.S.
leadership, undermine democracy, and extend Beijing's influence," the Office of
the Director of National Intelligence wrote in its annual threat assessment
earlier this year.

In past cycles, that took the form of trying to shape U.S. policy toward China.
For example, in a handful of 2022 midterm races, Beijing sought to boost
candidates seen as pro-China and counter those seen as opposing its interests,
according to a December report from the ODNI.

More recently, those efforts have shifted to exploiting existing partisan
divides in the U.S. That includes "the Chinese actually going into U.S. audience
spaces, masquerading as Americans, and posting inflammatory content around
current events or social issues or political issues," said Clint Watts, general
manager of Microsoft's Threat Analysis Center.



Researchers at Microsoft as well as the nonprofit Institute for Strategic
Dialogue have identified accounts on X, formerly known as Twitter, posing as
Donald Trump supporters, attacking President Biden, and seizing on hot-button
topics such as immigration. Microsoft said some accounts even seemed to be
polling American voters on what issues divided them most.

"Joe Biden 'belongs in a nursing home' not the White House," one account posted
— but the post also included Mandarin characters, apparently due to an incorrect
browser setting, ISD said.


UNTANGLING DISINFORMATION


HOW RUMORS AND CONSPIRACY THEORIES GOT IN THE WAY OF MAUI'S FIRE RECOVERY

Other China-linked accounts used AI-generated images to spread a baseless
conspiracy theory that the U.S. government deliberately set last year's Maui
wildfires to test a military "weather weapon," Microsoft said.

Microsoft and ISD both linked the posts they identified to Spamouflage, a
long-running Chinese network of fake accounts across social networks including
Facebook, X and TikTok. Spamouflage accounts have previously pushed attacks on
pro-democracy protesters in Hong Kong, praised China's COVID-19 response, and
posted videos with AI-generated news anchors promoting Chinese leadership.


UNTANGLING DISINFORMATION


META SAYS CHINESE, RUSSIAN INFLUENCE OPERATIONS ARE AMONG THE BIGGEST IT'S TAKEN
DOWN

Last year, Facebook owner Meta said Spamouflage is the largest covert influence
operation it's ever disrupted — and linked it to Chinese law enforcement.
Despite their breadth, however, these efforts have failed to gain many followers
or have significant impact.

"The vast scale of Spamouflage has previously been offset by its ineffectual
tactics and uncompelling content; if the operators find a strategy which works,
potentially augmented by generative AI, it could start to become a real
problem," wrote Elise Thomas, ISD senior analyst.

TikTok has been used in these publicly identified Chinese operations, but
researchers say they have not seen a particular focus on the app that goes
beyond other popular platforms such as Facebook, Instagram and YouTube. (TikTok
is also difficult for researchers to access.)

Enlarge this image

Election workers in Taipei, Taiwan, inspect boxes containing ballots as counting
got underway on Jan. 13, 2024. China unsuccessfully sought to influence Taiwan's
elections via social media, including TikTok. Annabelle Chih/Getty Images hide
caption

toggle caption
Annabelle Chih/Getty Images


Election workers in Taipei, Taiwan, inspect boxes containing ballots as counting
got underway on Jan. 13, 2024. China unsuccessfully sought to influence Taiwan's
elections via social media, including TikTok.

Annabelle Chih/Getty Images


CHINA'S INFORMATION CAMPAIGN AGAINST TAIWAN

One place where China has more aggressively attempted to use TikTok to influence
politics is Taiwan, which held its own presidential election in January.



As in the U.S., China's goal is to undermine democracy, said Chihhao Yu,
co-director of the Taiwan Information Environment Research Center (IORG).

He said the strategy is to "create an alternative worldview for Mandarin readers
in Taiwan, of course, but also around the world for Mandarin-speaking
communities."


WORLD


TAIWAN DEALS WITH LOTS OF MISINFORMATION, AND IT'S HARDER TO TRACK DOWN

Yu's group has found what it calls proxy accounts on TikTok and YouTube that
share videos identical to those posted on official state-controlled accounts on
Douyin, China's version of TikTok, without any disclosure of their origins.
Sometimes the videos even appear on TikTok before they are posted to the
official Douyin accounts.

"That is saying that the [Chinese government] does not necessarily need its
official footprint on TikTok to have an influence on TikTok," Yu said.

Other researchers in Taiwan have identified TikTok influencers who appear to be
using the same scripts to talk about divisive issues like migrant workers. Some
influencers who typically post videos about fashion and beauty posted seemingly
scripted videos alleging election fraud.

Still, there's no suggestion that the Chinese government was coordinating with
ByteDance in its use of TikTok influencers and proxy accounts.

And ultimately, these efforts to sway Taiwanese voters were unsuccessful: The
incumbent pro-independence candidate opposed by Beijing won reelection.

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