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Economic Outlook * Request for Subscription * Login 10-YEAR G-SEC YIELD (%) 7.31 06 Oct 2023 INR/USD REFERENCE RATE 83.25 09 Oct 2023 ECONOMICS FOR BUSINESS JARGON FREE INTERPRETATION OF CURRENT AND PROSPECTIVE TRENDS A C-SUITE COMPANION YOUR ASSISTANT TO DECIPHER THE INDIAN ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT INDEPENDENT AND FACT-BASED 45+ YEARS REPUTATION AS A RELIABLE AND CREDIBLE PARTNER Inflation in CPI (YoY %) 6.83 Aug 2023 Unemployment rate (%) 7.09 Sep 2023 KNOW WHERE THE INDIAN ECONOMY STANDS AND WHERE IT IS LIKELY HEADED Bankers and Investors CEOs, CFOs and all CXOs Researchers, Faculty, Students Government and Media 3.2 MILLION TIME-SERIES * Summary Indicators * National Accounts * Base Year 2004-05 * Household Financial Assets and Liabilities * Base Year 2011-12 * Professional Forecasters Survey * Inflation * Wholesale Price Index * Consumer Price Indices * Commodity Prices * Inflation Expectations Survey of Households (RBI) * House Price Index * Money and Banking * Money * Banking * Interest Rates * Public Finance * Combined Finances of Central and State Governments * Central Government Finances * State Government Finances * Central and State Government Assets and Liabilities * Central and State Government Borrowings * External Sector * Balance of Payments * Foreign Investments * Foreign Currency Markets * External Debt * External Assistance * International Investment * Foreign Trade * Exports, Imports and Trade Balance * Exports by Commodity Composition * Exports by region * Imports by Commodity Composition * Imports by region * Agriculture * Procurement, Stocks and Offtake * FRP and SAP of Sugarcane * Animal Husbandry * Agricultural Production * Cost of Cultivation * Land Use and Irrigation * Rainfall and Reservoir Level * Minimum Support Price * Agricultural Census * Energy * Electricity * Coal & Lignite * Crude Oil, Natural Gas & Petroleum Products * Infrastructure * Services and Infrastructure Outlook Survey (RBI) * Railways * Roadways * Ports & Shipping * Civil Aviation * Telecommunications * Post * Industry * Index of Industrial Production * IHS Markit India Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) * Eight Core Industries * Performance of Select Industries * OBICUS (RBI Survey) * Aggregate Order Backlog & New Order Books * Industrial Outlook Survey (RBI) * Annual Survey of Industries * Economic Census * Industrial Disputes * Investments * Investment by All Projects * Investment Projects by Ownership * Investment Projects by Industry * Investment Projects by Status * Investment Ratios * IEMs Filed and Implemented * Corporate Sector * Non-banking Financial Companies (NBFC) * Insurance * Companies Registered with MCA * Shareholding Pattern * Financial Performance * Ratings * Mergers & Acquisitions * Corporate Loan Assets under Restructuring * Capital Market * Corporate Bonds * Primary Capital Market * Institutional Investment Activities * Secondary Capital Market * Consumer Sentiments * CMIE Consumer Pyramids Household Survey * RBI Consumer Confidence Survey * Employment and Wages * Wages * Annual Survey of Industries : Employment & Labour Cost * Employment * Labour Market Surveys * Population, Demography and Households * Demographics * Social & Cultural Patterns * Houses, Amenities and Assets * Tourism * Education * Health * Life Expectancy * Covid-19 Cases & Vaccination * Status of Health * Human Resources & Infrastructure * Population Distribution, Birth and Mortality Rates * Fertility Rates * Crime * Incidence of crime * Disposal of Cases by Police & Courts * Strength of Police * Election * General Elections Sameeksha Kumar 09 Oct 2023 06:17 PM G-SEC YIELDS SPIKE Medium and long-term g-secs react to RBI's announcementDate%Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 09 Oct 202325 Sep 2327 Sep 2329 Sep 2304 Oct 2306 Oct 237.127.147.167.187.207.227.247.267.287.307.327.347.367.383-year g-secs5-year g-secs10-year g-secsBond auction announced (Oct 06) Janaki Samant 09 Oct 2023 04:41 PM CAD-TO-GDP RATIO TO DETERIORATE CAD-to-GDP ratio to remain highQuarter-ended%Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 09 Oct 2023Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 240.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.41.61.82.02.22.40.21.11.92.21.5CAD-to-GDP ratioCMIE forecastCMIE estimate Mahesh Vyas 06 Oct 2023 05:17 PM A FUTILE RISE IN CONSUMER EXPECTATIONS Consumer expectations lead current conditionsMonthIndex nosCentre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 06 Oct 2023Mar 22May 22Jul 22Sep 22Nov 22Jan 23Mar 23May 23Jul 23Sep 236065707580859095100105Index of Current Economic Conditions (ICC)Index of Consumer Expectations (ICE) Kaustubh Jadhav 05 Oct 2023 02:43 PM UPTICK IN CONSUMPTION OF PETROLEUM PRODUCTS IN AUGUST Buoyant and bumpy petro products' consumptionMonthMillion tonnesCentre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 05 Oct 2023MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar16.5017.0017.5018.0018.5019.0019.5020.0020.5021.0021.502022-232023-24 Mahesh Vyas 04 Oct 2023 10:44 AM PROJECT COMPLETIONS PLUMMET Project completions stagnant since 2016Quarter endedRs.trillionCentre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 03 Oct 2023M-06D-07S-09J-11M-13D-14S-16J-18M-20D-21S-230.000.200.400.600.801.001.201.401.601.802.002.202.402.602.803.003.20Project completions4-qtr moving average Mahesh Vyas 02 Oct 2023 11:27 PM SUBDUED INVESTMENT CLIMATE Sharp fall in rate of net addition of new projectsQuarter-endRate (%)Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 02 Oct 2023J-14J-15J-16J-17J-18J-19J-20J-21J-22S-230.000.200.400.600.801.001.201.401.601.802.002.202.402.602.803.003.20Project additions/Project exits Natasha Somayya K 26 Sep 2023 06:45 PM YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT SHOCKINGLY HIGH Youth unemployment on the riseYear%Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 26 Sep 20232016-172017-182018-192019-202020-212021-222022-231618202224262830323436384042444648Labour participation rate Unemployment rate Labour statistics for youth (15-24 years) Sameeksha Kumar 25 Sep 2023 01:02 PM BULLS ON A BREAK Short-term yields surpass their long-term counterpartWeek ended%Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 25 Sep 202330 Jun 2314 Jul 2328 Jul 2311 Aug 2325 Aug 2308 Sep 2322 Sep 236.987.007.027.047.067.087.107.127.147.167.187.207.227.247.263-year5-year10-yearG-secs (by period of residual maturity) Sameeksha Kumar 22 Sep 2023 03:29 PM WPI REMAINS DEFLATED Tomato inflation: The snake and ladder conundrumMonth%Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 22 Sep 2023Aug 22Oct 22Dec 22Feb 23Apr 23Jun 23Aug 23-100-50050100150200250300350DPIITCMIE expectationTomato inflation in WPI Natasha Somayya K 09 Oct 2023 04:53 PM GDP TO GROW BY 6.3% IN FY24 GDP growth in FY24 to be lower than average%Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 09 Oct 2023GDPPFCEGFCEGFCF 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0Average annual growth between 2005-06 and 2019-20CMIE's growth forecast for 2023-24 Mahesh Vyas 09 Oct 2023 02:48 PM CORPORATE VOLUMES GROWTH FACES HEADWINDS Volumes growth fall below averageQuarter ended%Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 09 Oct 2023Mar 07Dec 08Sep 10Jun 12Mar 14Dec 15Sep 17Jun 19Mar 21Jun 23-15-10-505101520254-quarter average moving average real sales growthAverage real sales growth since March 2007 Sameeksha Kumar 05 Oct 2023 06:13 PM OCTOBER 2023 REVIEW OF INDIAN ECONOMY: FINANCIAL MARKET PERFORMANCE FPIs flipMonthUSD millionCentre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 05 Oct 2023Sep 22Nov 22Jan 23Mar 23May 23Jul 23Sep 23-3,000-2,000-1,00001,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,000FPI/FII investment in India Sameeksha Kumar 04 Oct 2023 07:04 PM INFLATION TO BE TOLERABLE AGAIN Core inflation moving towards the targetMonth%Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 04 Oct 2023Sep 22Nov 22Jan 23Mar 23May 23Jul 23Sep 23 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 5.50 6.00 6.50 7.00 7.50 8.00 8.50 9.00 9.50 10.00 10.50 11.00Core indexNon-core indexCPI (Y-o-Y % change)RBI's upper tolerance for inflationRBI's target inflation Natasha Somayya K 03 Oct 2023 06:33 PM RURAL LABOUR MARKET IMPROVES IN SEPTEMBER Regional divergence in labour participation ratesCentre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 03 Oct 2023Month(%)Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23 36.0 36.5 37.0 37.5 38.0 38.5 39.0 39.5 40.0 40.5 41.0 41.5 42.0 42.5Urban IndiaLabour participation rateMonth(%)Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23 36.0 36.5 37.0 37.5 38.0 38.5 39.0 39.5 40.0 40.5 41.0 41.5 42.0 42.5Rural IndiaLabour participation rate Sameeksha Kumar 02 Oct 2023 05:45 PM 10-YEAR G-SEC YIELDS SURPRISINGLY FLAT Gold prices slumpWeek endedUSD/troy ounceCentre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 02 Oct 202311 Mar 2315 Apr 2320 May 2324 Jun 2329 Jul 2330 Sep 231,8201,8401,8601,8801,9001,9201,9401,9601,9802,0002,0202,040Gold prices (LBMA) Kaustubh Jadhav 25 Sep 2023 07:19 PM PORTS TRAFFIC MAINTAINS STEADY GROWTH IN AUGUST Iron ore's big influence on change in ports trafficMillion tonnesCentre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 25 Sep 2023Aug 22Oct 22Dec 22Feb 23Apr 23Jun 23Aug 23-3-2-10123456789Rest of cargoIron oreY-o-Y change in traffic Kaustubh Jadhav 23 Sep 2023 04:01 PM SEPTEMBER 2023 REVIEW OF INDIAN ECONOMY: SECTORAL PERFORMANCE Southwest monsoon still below normalWeek endedMillimetresCentre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 23 Sep 202307 Jun21 Jun05 Jul19 Jul02 Aug16 Aug30 Aug20 Sep0100200300400500600700800900NormalActualCumulative rainfall from 1 June 2023 Sameeksha Kumar 20 Sep 2023 04:50 PM RUPEE TO REMAIN UNFAZED INR bonked by rising US yields and crude pricesDayINR/USDCentre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd., 20 Sep 202314 Aug 2321 Aug 2325 Aug 2331 Aug 2306 Sep 2312 Sep 2319 Sep 2382.5082.5582.6082.6582.7082.7582.8082.8582.9082.9583.0083.0583.1083.1583.2083.2583.30INR per USD A Product by Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. Ltd. Use of CMIE Product implies acceptance of the usage agreement & privacy policy ♦ FAQs ♦ Diagnosis USER LOGIN × Login Forgot Password | Register USER LOGIN × Login Forgot Password | Register Thank You! We appreciate your interest in Economic Outlook If you are a subscriber, please login to read the article or access data. If you are not a subscriber, please note that some of our insights and data are available freely on cmie.com. The more up-to-date and detailed content of Economic Outlook is available only as a subscription-fee-based service. If you are not a subscriber already, we'd be delighted to add you to our distinguished list of subscribers. 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