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NEWSOM RECALL ELECTION: MILLIONS OF VOTES…


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BREAKING NEWS

WHICH CITIES IN SANTA CLARA COUNTY ARE SAVING THE MOST AND THE LEAST WATER

NEWS

POLITICS

CALIFORNIA POLITICS

NewsNews Based on facts, either observed and verified directly by the reporter,
or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources.


NEWSOM RECALL ELECTION: MILLIONS OF VOTES ALREADY IN AS LAST WEEK OF CAMPAIGNING
RAMPS UP


AROUND 28% OF BALLOTS HAVE ALREADY BEEN RETURNED AHEAD OF THE SEPT. 14 RECALL
ELECTION


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Karl Mondon/Bay Area News Group
California Gov. Gavin Newsom during his statewide, anti-recall campaign, Friday,
Aug. 13, 2021, at a stop in San Francisco. (Karl Mondon/Bay Area News Group)
By Emily DeRuy | ederuy@bayareanewsgroup.com | Bay Area News Group
PUBLISHED: September 7, 2021 at 12:34 p.m. | UPDATED: September 8, 2021 at 4:21
a.m.

With a week to go until Election Day on Sept. 14, more than a quarter of
California’s 22 million voters have already weighed in on whether Gov. Gavin
Newsom should keep his job or be recalled.

According to Political Data Inc., which tracks voter turnout in the Golden
State, around 6.1 million Californians — or about 28% of registered voters —
have sent in their recall election ballots as of Tuesday afternoon.

Surprisingly, that’s not too far behind turnout during the historic 2020 general
election, which was largely conducted by mail, and which brought out more voters
than ever before. In 2020, 6.4 million people, or 29%, had voted with about 10
days left before the election, said company Vice President Paul Mitchell, in a
weekend email update.





The strong turnout could be good news for Newsom’s campaign, which needs to get
ambivalent Democrats to participate in the election to win. Every active
registered voter in California should have received a ballot in the mail, with
47% going to Democrats, 24% going to Republicans and 29% going to Independents
or other parties.

As of Tuesday, Political Data Inc.’s tracker showed that about 32% of Democrats,
28% of Republicans and 21% of independent and other party voters had cast their
ballots.

Overall, Democrats account for 53% of the returned ballots, while Republicans
account for about 24%.

In 2020, with then-President Donald Trump falsely suggesting that voting by mail
is rife with fraud, many GOP voters waited to cast their votes in person at
voting centers. Despite local party officials encouraging members to mail in
their recall ballots, some Republican voters have said they plan to again vote
in person, meaning GOP turnout could surge as more vote centers open.

While 46% of voters 65 and up have cast their ballots, just 22% of those 35-49
have weighed in and only 14% of voters in the 18-34 age bracket have sent in
their ballots. About 32% of White voters have already participated, while just
18% of Latino voters have voted. Around 28% of Asian voters and 27% of African
American voters have cast ballots.


File photo of “I Voted Early” stickers awaiting voters on a table at the
Cornerstone Baptist Church in Martinez, Calif., on Friday, Oct. 30, 2020. With a
week to go until Election Day on Sept. 14, more than a quarter of California’s
22 million voters have already weighed in on whether Gov. Gavin Newsom should
keep his job or be recalled.(Jose Carlos Fajardo/Bay Area News Group) 

While Newsom’s team has targeted Latino voters and rolled out campaign ads
featuring popular supporters like Bernie Sanders, leading challenger Larry
Elder, a conservative radio host, has also launched a major outreach campaign
highlighting his support for charter schools, among other things, and touting
the endorsement of former state Senate leader and Democrat Gloria Romero.

Whether it will be enough to affect the results remains to be seen. Recent
polling from the Public Policy Institute of California suggests a majority of
likely voters will vote no on the recall, making Newsom’s ouster appear
unlikely.

“Democrats, young people and Latinos are underperforming relative to the 2020
General,” Mitchell wrote in his email. “But, again, that’s not really the
required mark – the recall effort will need a much deeper tanking from these
more progressive parts of the electorate, and a simultaneous spike in Republican
turnout, to be successful.”

In a bid to rally his base, Newsom will campaign with Vice President Kamala
Harris Wednesday in the Bay Area. He campaigned with Massachusetts Sen.
Elizabeth Warren over the weekend and made a stop in San Francisco’s heavily
Latino Mission District Tuesday. Harris, the former California senator and East
Bay native, is well-liked in the area and, political analysts say, may do a
better job of rallying young people, Latinos and other progressives who don’t
feel particularly excited about supporting a relatively wealthy, White man who
just months ago was dining at the exclusive French Laundry restaurant in
violation of his own coronavirus pandemic rules.

On Tuesday, California Sen. Alex Padilla, who was appointed to the job by his
longtime ally Newsom, sent an email to California Democrats calling his friend
“one of the most pro-Latino governors in California history.”




RELATED ARTICLES

 * Fact check: How voter fraud is or isn’t shaping the Newsom recall
 * Skelton: The math is simple — GOP probably won’t pull off Newsom recall
 * Letters: Climate deadline | Smoking ban | No to recall | Farcical recall | No
   nuclear panacea | Republican mess
 * Letters: Food insecurity | Disregard for democracy | Keep leadership |
   Outdoor venues | Support voting rights | Old lesson retaught
 * Biden to travel to California ‘early next week’ to campaign for Gov. Newsom
   ahead of recall vote

But the governor’s team isn’t the only campaign pulling out all the stops to get
pandemic-weary voters to the polls. Former San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer was
scheduled to hold a press conference Tuesday with Marc Klaas, the father of
murder victim Polly Klaas, touting his plan to be tougher on violent crime. And
Elder was in the San Gabriel Valley the same morning blaming Newsom for the
rising cost of living in the Golden State.



On Tuesday, John Cox, a certified public accountant who ran and lost against
Newsom in 2018, released a new ad featuring digs at both Newsom and Elder.

“I may not be as pretty,” Cox, who in the past campaigned with a live bear, says
in the spot. “I’m not a cable tv personality or an entertainer like Larry. I’m
the businessman.”





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EMILY DERUY | REPORTER

Emily DeRuy covers the coronavirus pandemic and politics for the Bay Area News
Group. Prior to that, she covered housing and the city of San Jose. Earlier in
her career she wrote about education for The Atlantic in Washington, D.C.
ederuy@bayareanewsgroup.com
Follow Emily DeRuy @Emily_DeRuy

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