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HURRICANE LEE FORECAST TO GET LARGER, INCREASING THE RISK TO LAND IN ITS
UNCERTAIN PATH

By Eric Zerkel, Taylor Ward and Jason Hanna, CNN
Updated 4:41 AM EDT, Tue September 12, 2023
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CNN  — 

Major Hurricane Lee will continue to grow in size after a crucial northward turn
midweek which will determine the extent and severity of its impact on the
Northeast, New England, Bermuda and Canada.

Lee was a Category 3 hurricane on Monday, located well north of the Leeward
Islands and Puerto Rico in the Atlantic Ocean with maximum sustained winds of
115 mph, according to the 5 p.m. ET update from the National Hurricane Center.
It is expected to weaken, grow in size and speed up after it makes its northward
turn in the coming days.

Although it may be weaker, a larger storm has the potential to impact a more
widespread area, increasing the likelihood that Lee will affect the Eastern
Seaboard – even it’s not in the form of a direct landfall.

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“Even as the peak winds come down, the wind field of Lee is going to continue to
grow in size,” National Hurricane Center Director Michael Brennan said in a
Monday storm briefing. “We could see the tropical storm-force winds expand by 50
to 60 to 70%.”



As of Monday, hurricane-force winds extended 75 miles from Lee’s center, up from
45 miles on Sunday. Tropical storm-force winds extended 185 miles from its core.
Those tropical storm-force winds could extend over 300 miles from Lee’s center
later this week, Brennan said.

“There’s still a lot of uncertainty as to the exact track of how close it will
get to the coast of New England and Atlantic Canada over the next several days,”
Brennan said, “but certainly the chance for significant impacts with a growing
storm.”

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Lee’s exact track, even if it stays off the coast of the US, will be crucial.
The storm’s the large wind field means that oscillations east or west will
affect the storm’s severity on land. Even if Lee stays a couple hundred miles
off the coast, it could still lash the coast with strong winds, rain and coastal
flooding.

The final track of the storm after it passes by Bermuda on Thursday or Friday
remains highly uncertain because its current slowdown is also delaying key
forecast details. Exactly when, where and how fast Lee makes its northward turn
will determine how close it tracks to the East Coast on its nearest approach
over the weekend – details that could come more into focus as soon as Wednesday.


CNN Weather

Lee adds to a growing trend of intense hurricanes powered by warmer oceans

If Lee tracks farther to the west before its northward turn, areas north of the
Carolinas – particularly eastern New England and Atlantic Canada – could be more
at risk of rain, wind and coastal flooding. If the storm turns more abruptly, it
would track more to the east and lessen the risk to the entire Eastern Seaboard.

Bermuda could be spared a direct hit, but may still experience strong winds and
heavy rain as Lee tracks just to its west. Brennan said watches could be issued
for the island as soon as Tuesday.

Regardless of its final track, the storm will send big waves to a growing area
of the East Coast throughout the week as it tracks northward off the coast. This
will cause coastal erosion, dangerous surf and life-threatening rip currents at
beaches.

Dangerous surf was already happening along the Florida coast and on many of the
far eastern Caribbean islands as well as the British and US Virgin Islands,
Puerto Rico, Hispanola, the Turks and Caicos, the Bahamas and Bermuda.

Rip currents have already killed 71 people in the US this year, preliminary
National Weather Service data shows. Three people in New Jersey died in rip
currents kicked up in the wake of Hurricane Franklin last week.

Lee, which was a Category 1 storm Thursday, intensified with exceptional speed
into rare Category 5 status as it moved west across the Atlantic, more than
doubling its wind speeds to 165 mph in just a day.




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Cookies, device identifiers, or other information can be stored or accessed on
your device for the purposes presented to you.

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SELECT BASIC ADS

Select basic ads

Ads can be shown to you based on the content you’re viewing, the app you’re
using, your approximate location, or your device type.

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SELECT PERSONALISED ADS

Select personalised ads

Personalised ads can be shown to you based on a profile about you.

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CREATE A PERSONALISED ADS PROFILE

Create a personalised ads profile

A profile can be built about you and your interests to show you personalised ads
that are relevant to you.

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SELECT PERSONALISED CONTENT

Select personalised content

Personalised content can be shown to you based on a profile about you.

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CREATE A PERSONALISED CONTENT PROFILE

Create a personalised content profile

A profile can be built about you and your interests to show you personalised
content that is relevant to you.

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MEASURE AD PERFORMANCE

Measure ad performance

The performance and effectiveness of ads that you see or interact with can be
measured.

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MEASURE CONTENT PERFORMANCE

Measure content performance

The performance and effectiveness of content that you see or interact with can
be measured.

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APPLY MARKET RESEARCH TO GENERATE AUDIENCE INSIGHTS

Apply market research to generate audience insights

Market research can be used to learn more about the audiences who visit
sites/apps and view ads.

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DEVELOP AND IMPROVE PRODUCTS

Develop and improve products

Your data can be used to improve existing systems and software, and to develop
new products

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ENSURE SECURITY, PREVENT FRAUD, AND DEBUG

Always Active

Your data can be used to monitor for and prevent fraudulent activity, and ensure
systems and processes work properly and securely.

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TECHNICALLY DELIVER ADS OR CONTENT

Always Active

Your device can receive and send information that allows you to see and interact
with ads and content.

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MATCH AND COMBINE OFFLINE DATA SOURCES

Always Active

Data from offline data sources can be combined with your online activity in
support of one or more purposes

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LINK DIFFERENT DEVICES

Always Active

Different devices can be determined as belonging to you or your household in
support of one or more of purposes.

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RECEIVE AND USE AUTOMATICALLY-SENT DEVICE CHARACTERISTICS FOR IDENTIFICATION

Always Active

Your device might be distinguished from other devices based on information it
automatically sends, such as IP address or browser type.

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STRICTLY NECESSARY COOKIES

Always Active

These cookies are necessary for the website to function and cannot be switched
off in our systems. You can set your browser to block or alert you about these
cookies, but some parts of the site will not work.

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COOKIE LIST



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