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Senate
Dems


50
1
49
House
GOP leads

208
10
217
Live updates

Your races



ARE TRUMP'S RISKIEST PICKS WINNING OR LOSING?

Amid a sea of safe choices, the former president backed some candidates that
could deeply dent his endorsement reputation. Here's how they're doing.

Last updated: Nov. 16, 2022 3:54 p.m. GMT

Victories
9
Defeats
9

3 races remaining




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THE SENATE

Trump's preferred Senate candidates have won in Ohio and North Carolina, while
Johnson eked out a win in Wisconsin. But in the contests that really put his
endorsement power to the test — Georgia's upcoming runoff among them — decisive
victories are still far out of reach.

POLITICO predicts

Lean Democratic

No endorsements.

POLITICO predicts

Toss-up

Total wins:1 out of 3

CandidateResult


Ron Johnson

WI Senate

R+1


Blake Masters

AZ Senate

D+5


Mehmet Oz

PA Senate

D+4


Herschel Walker

GA Senate


Goes to
runoff

POLITICO predicts

Lean Republican

Total wins:2 out of 2

CandidateResult


JD Vance

OH Senate

R+7


Ted Budd

NC Senate

R+4

Tracking endorsements made before Oct. 1, 2022.

As Walker heads to a runoff, Trump's record with his more unpredictable
candidates remains up in the air. Though three out of his seven risky Senate
endorsements have won, votes are still trickling in for Arizona and Nevada.



Marissa Martinez, State policy & politics reporter




THE HOUSE

By stacking the endorsements deck in his favor with plenty of incumbents and
open seat races, Trump’s fingerprints are all over the House races. But even as
vote counts continue to roll in, he already notched more definitive losses than
wins last night — and the remaining races still show slim margins.

POLITICO predicts

Lean Democratic

Total wins:0 out of 3

CandidateResult


J.R. Majewski

OH-09

D+13


John Gibbs

MI-03

D+13


Steve Chabot

OH-01

D+5


Sarah Palin

AK-AL



POLITICO predicts

Toss-up

Total wins:0 out of 3

CandidateResult


Madison Gesiotto Gilbert

OH-13

D+5


Bo Hines

NC-13

D+3


Jim Bognet

PA-08

D+3

POLITICO predicts

Lean Republican

Total wins:6 out of 7

CandidateResult


Monica De La Cruz

TX-15

R+9


Ashley Hinson

IA-02

R+8


Eli Crane

AZ-02

R+8


Ken Calvert

CA-41

R+4


David Schweikert

AZ-01

R+1


Zach Nunn

IA-03

R+1


Joe Kent

WA-03

D+1

Tracking endorsements made before Oct. 1, 2022.

Nunn's Wednesday call makes things a little easier on Trump's record, which took
a bruising last night: All of the toss-ups have gone to Dems here, and we'll
still be waiting on CA and AZ's returns for a while.



Marissa Martinez, State policy & politics reporter



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RACES WE’RE WATCHING

U.S. SENATOR, GEORGIA



CandidateVotesPct.

Warnock* (D)1,943,27449.4%

Walker (R)1,906,98248.5%

Oliver (Libertarian Party)81,2532.1%

*Incumbent

99% of vote in

Steve Shepard, Politics editor: 

Trump's early backing of Herschel Walker forced D.C. Republicans to accept the
former football star, despite a history of domestic violence, threats against
police officers and allegedly paying for his then-girlfriend's abortion.


Collapse

U.S. SENATOR, PENNSYLVANIA



CandidateVotesPct.

Fetterman (D)2,714,41951.0%

Oz (R)2,475,14046.5%

Gerhardt (Libertarian Party)72,3421.4%

Other candidates
56,3561.1%


98% of vote in

Why this race matters

U.S. SENATOR, OHIO



CandidateVotesPct.

Vance (R)2,147,89853.3%

Ryan (D)1,883,22346.7%


99% of vote in

Why this race matters

U.S. SENATOR, ALASKA



CandidateVotesPct.

Tshibaka (R)103,97243.3%

Murkowski* (R)103,40743.1%

Chesbro (D)24,01310.0%

Other candidates
8,4833.5%

*Incumbent

90% of vote in

Why this race matters

U.S. SENATOR, ARIZONA



CandidateVotesPct.

Kelly* (D)1,310,45451.4%

Masters (R)1,185,84146.5%

Victor (Libertarian Party)53,2662.1%

*Incumbent

99% of vote in

Why this race matters

U.S. SENATOR, NORTH CAROLINA



CandidateVotesPct.

Budd (R)1,892,86950.7%

Beasley (D)1,760,99247.2%

Bray (Libertarian Party)50,9281.4%

Hoh (Green Party)29,3010.8%


99% of vote in

Why this race matters

ALASKA’S AT-LARGE DISTRICT



CandidateVotesPct.

Peltola* (D)116,32248.1%

Palin (R)63,02526.1%

Begich (R)57,43723.8%

Other candidates
4,9152.0%

*Incumbent

90% of vote in

Why this race matters

MICHIGAN’S 3RD DISTRICT



CandidateVotesPct.

Scholten (D)186,10954.8%

Gibbs (R)142,32141.9%

Lewis (Libertarian Party)6,7182.0%

Palus 4,1921.2%


99% of vote in

Why this race matters

NORTH CAROLINA’S 13TH DISTRICT



CandidateVotesPct.

Nickel (D)140,53151.3%

Hines (R)133,29148.7%


99% of vote in

Why this race matters

OHIO’S 13TH DISTRICT



CandidateVotesPct.

Sykes (D)146,62152.6%

Gesiotto Gilbert (R)132,18147.4%


99% of vote in

Why this race matters



WHAT WE'RE WATCHING ON ELECTION DAY

How redistricting is shaping Election Night
Re-drawn congressional districts shuffled the seats in play. We’re watching
who’s getting a boost.

Donald Trump’s personal midterm scorecard
Are followers of “Trumpism” winning their elections? We have a live tally.

How and when states vote on Nov. 8
Our list of voting laws and poll closing times in every state.
Nationwide governors results
How races for each state's highest office are shaking out.
Ballot measures across the country
As power shifts to the states, voter referendums matter more than ever. We’re
tracking them all.
U.S. Senate race calls
We're watching every cable network to mark when they call a race for a Senate
candidate.
State-by-state results
AlabamaAlaskaArizonaArkansasCaliforniaColoradoConnecticutDelawareFloridaGeorgia
HawaiiIdahoIllinoisIndianaIowaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMaineMaryland
MassachusettsMichiganMinnesotaMississippiMissouriMontanaNebraskaNevadaNew
HampshireNew Jersey
New MexicoNew YorkNorth CarolinaNorth DakotaOhioOklahomaOregonPennsylvaniaRhode
IslandSouth Carolina
South DakotaTennesseeTexasUtahVermontVirginiaWashingtonWest
VirginiaWisconsinWyoming

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS?

Contact our team at interactives@politico.com.

DATA SOURCES

Associated Press, Federal Election Commission, House of Representatives clerk’s
office, MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Census Bureau

DESIGN AND DEVELOPMENT

Project lead: Allan James Vestal

Editing: Andrew Briz, Andrew McGill, Lily Mihalik Bhandari, Allan James Vestal

Design & engineering: Aaron Albright, Kai Elwood-Dieu, Paula Friedrich, Beatrice
Jin, Rashida Kamal, Andrew Milligan

STAFF ANALYSIS

Scott Bland, Annette Choi, Rishika Dugyala, Marissa Martinez, Zach Montellaro,
Steve Shepard, Jessica Piper, Mackenzie Wilkes

LEGAL

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