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Skip to main content Exclusive news, data and analytics for financial market professionalsLearn more aboutRefinitiv * World Browse World * Africa * Americas * Asia Pacific * China * Europe * India * Israel and Hamas at War * Japan * Middle East * Ukraine and Russia at War * United Kingdom * United States * Reuters NEXT * US Election * Business Browse Business * Aerospace & Defense * Autos & Transportation * Davos * Energy * Environment * Finance * Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals * Media & Telecom * Retail & Consumer * Future of Health * Future of Money * Take Five * World at Work * Markets Browse Markets * Asian Markets * Carbon Markets * Commodities * Currencies * Deals * Emerging Markets * ETFs * European Markets * Funds * Global Market Data * Rates & Bonds * Stocks * U.S. Markets * Wealth * Macro Matters * Sustainability Browse Sustainability * Boards, Policy & Regulation * Climate & Energy * Land Use & Biodiversity * Society & Equity * Sustainable Finance & Reporting * The Switch * Reuters Impact * COP29 * Legal Browse Legal * Government * Legal Industry * Litigation * Transactional * US Supreme Court * Breakingviews Browse Breakingviews * Breakingviews Predictions * Technology Browse Technology * Artificial Intelligence * Cybersecurity * Space * Disrupted * More Investigations Sports * Athletics * Baseball * Basketball * Cricket * Cycling * Formula 1 * Golf * NFL * NHL * Soccer * Tennis Science Lifestyle Graphics Pictures Wider Image Podcasts Fact Check Video Sponsored Content * Reuters Plus * Press Releases Live My News Sign InSubscribe OECD URGES JAPAN'S CENTRAL BANK TO GRADUALLY RAISE INTEREST RATES By Leika Kihara January 11, 20245:31 AM GMT+1Updated a year ago Text * Small Text * Medium Text * Large Text Share * X * Facebook * Linkedin * Email * Link Staff members of Bank of Japan walk between the BOJ headquarters buildings in Tokyo, Japan September 20, 2023. REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab * Summary * BOJ should continue efforts to make YCC flexible - OECD * Japan is at 'turning point' with durable 2% inflation in sight * Monetary policy can gradually, modestly begin tightening - OECD TOKYO, Jan 11 (Reuters) - The Bank of Japan should gradually raise short-term interest rates and make its bond yield control policy more flexible, if inflation stays around its 2% target and is accompanied by sustained wage growth, the OECD said on Thursday. While the BOJ made tweaks to its yield curve control (YCC) last year to loosen its tight grip on long-term interest rates, markets could challenge the policy again if inflation remains above its 2% target and global yields go up, it said. Advertisement · Scroll to continue The central bank should thus continue efforts to make YCC more flexible, such as by raising the 10-year bond yield target or moving to a short-term yield target, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said. The BOJ should also gradually raise short-term rates from early 2024 if inflation stays around its 2% target, wage growth accelerates and the output gap closes, the OECD said in its 2024 report on Japan. Advertisement · Scroll to continue "Japan is at a turning point, with inflation more likely to settle durably around the 2% inflation target than at any time since its inception," the report said on the prospects for achieving the BOJ's price target, which was introduced in 2013. "Greater flexibility in the conduct of yield curve control and a gradual modest increase in the short-term policy interest rate are warranted, based on projections of sustained inflation and wage dynamics," it said. With inflation having exceeded 2% for well over a year, many market players expect the BOJ to pull short-term interest rates out of negative territory this year in a historic shift away from its prolonged ultra-loose monetary policy. Any such move would follow steps the BOJ took last year to phase out YCC, a policy that sets a 0% target for the 10-year government bond yield, such as by watering down a rigid 1% cap set for the yield to a loose reference. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda has stressed the bank's resolve to keep ultra-loose policy settings intact until sustained achievement of 2% inflation, accompanied by durable wage rises, comes into sight. OECD Secretary-General Mathias Cormann said it was understandable that the BOJ would be keen to gather as much data as possible in judging whether Japan is ready for higher rates. But he said the OECD was "perhaps more optimistic that inflation will more durably settle around 2%", even though the pace of price growth will likely slow somewhat this year. "Monetary policy can gradually and modestly begin tightening," he told a news conference. In the event of a rate hike by the BOJ, policymakers must be vigilant about potential spillovers on domestic and global financial stability, the OECD said in the report. "Communicating the current and future monetary stance clearly and in a timely manner is also key," it added. Get a look at the day ahead in Asian and global markets with the Morning Bid Asia newsletter. Sign up here. Reporting by Leika Kihara; Editing by Kim Coghill and Edmund Klamann Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab * Suggested Topics: * Asian Markets * Asian Markets Share * X * Facebook * Linkedin * Email * Link Purchase Licensing Rights READ NEXT * Asian MarketscategoryChina Nov factory activity expands for second month as Trump threats loom * Russia's Rosneft may delay refinery modernisation due to high interest rates, taxes * EnergycategoryRussia's Gazprom swings to Q3 loss on one-off tax as 9-month income surges * India pins growth hopes on Trump keeping crude prices low * India's October infrastructure output grows 3.1% on year * Macro MatterscategoryIndia economy grows 5.4% in July-Sept quarter MARKETS * BRAZIL'S FINANCE MINISTER, CONGRESS LEADERS SEEK TO CALM MARKETS ON TAX CHANGE CONCERNS Marketscategory · November 30, 2024 Brazil's currency rebounded on Friday from record intraday lows after congressional leaders said they would put the brakes on government income tax reform, and the finance minister stressed that fiscal commitment goes beyond a new spending cuts package. * MarketscategoryTSX climbs 'wall of worry' to gain 6.2% in NovemberNovember 29, 2024 * MarketscategoryStocks rally, dollar droops in abbreviated sessionNovember 29, 2024 * MarketscategoryColombia 12-month inflation through November seen at 5.13%November 29, 2024 * Macro MatterscategoryCanada's economy expands by just 1%, chances of big rate cut jumpNovember 29, 2024 SITE INDEX LATEST * Home * Authors * Topic Sitemap * Archive * Article Sitemap BROWSE * World * Business * Markets * Sustainability * Legal * Breakingviews * Technology * Investigations * Sports * Science * Lifestyle MEDIA * Videos * Pictures * Graphics * Podcasts ABOUT REUTERS * About Reuters, opens new tab * Careers, opens new tab * Reuters News Agency, opens new tab * Brand Attribution Guidelines, opens new tab * Reuters and AI, opens new tab * Reuters Leadership, opens new tab * Reuters Fact Check * Reuters Diversity Report, opens new tab STAY INFORMED * Download the App (iOS), opens new tab * Download the App (Android), opens new tab * Newsletters INFORMATION YOU CAN TRUST Reuters, the news and media division of Thomson Reuters, is the world’s largest multimedia news provider, reaching billions of people worldwide every day. 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