transforme.cl
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URL:
https://transforme.cl/tres-predicciones-para-la-ia-generativa-el-2024/
Submission: On January 25 via api from ES — Scanned from ES
Submission: On January 25 via api from ES — Scanned from ES
Form analysis 34 forms found in the DOM
GET https://transforme.cl/
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<div class="searchform-fields">
<span class="text"><input name="s" type="text" value="" placeholder="Search…" autocomplete="off"></span>
<span class="button-wrap">
<button class="btn btn-special" title="Search" type="submit">
<i class="porto-icon-magnifier"></i>
</button>
</span>
</div>
<div class="live-search-list"></div>
</form>GET https://transforme.cl/
<form action="https://transforme.cl/" method="get" class="searchform search-layout-simple">
<div class="searchform-fields">
<span class="text"><input name="s" type="text" value="" placeholder="Search…" autocomplete="off"></span>
<span class="button-wrap">
<button class="btn btn-special" title="Search" type="submit">
<i class="porto-icon-magnifier"></i>
</button>
</span>
</div>
<div class="live-search-list"></div>
</form>GET https://transforme.cl/
<form action="https://transforme.cl/" method="get" class="searchform search-layout-simple">
<div class="searchform-fields">
<span class="text"><input name="s" type="text" value="" placeholder="Search…" autocomplete="off"></span>
<span class="button-wrap">
<button class="btn btn-special" title="Search" type="submit">
<i class="porto-icon-magnifier"></i>
</button>
</span>
</div>
</form>POST /tres-predicciones-para-la-ia-generativa-el-2024/#wpcf7-f3856-o1
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</form>POST /tres-predicciones-para-la-ia-generativa-el-2024/#wpcf7-f3126-o2
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</form>POST /tres-predicciones-para-la-ia-generativa-el-2024/#wpcf7-f3118-o3
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TRES PREDICCIONES PARA LA IA GENERATIVA EL 2024
Guillermo A. Beuchat2023-12-22T10:02:16-03:00
Por Guillermo A. Beuchat –
La Inteligencia Artificial convive con nosotros desde hace décadas en varias de
sus formas (visión computacional, procesamiento de lenguaje natural, analítica
predictiva, machine learning, etc), sin embargo el año 2023 fuimos testigos de
una explosión de la IA Generativa. La generación de texto, imágenes, videos y
sonidos originales en base a “prompts” está revolucionando muchas industrias,
reemplazando trabajos y rompiendo paradigmas. Gartner ya ubicó la IA Generativa
en la cúspide de altas expectativas en su “Hype Cycle”, por lo que algunos
expertos predicen un 2024 menos entusiasta, pero con una consolidación de los
casos de uso efectivos que esta tecnología habilita en las actividades de las
personas.
Hype Cycle de Gartner publicado en Agosto de 2023 muestra la IA Generativa en la
cúspide de las expectativas.
¿QUÉ OCURRIRÁ CON LA IA GENERATIVA EN 2024? ¿CÓMO AFECTARÁ A LAS PERSONAS Y LAS
EMPRESAS?
Estas son nuestras tres predicciones de la Inteligencia Artificial Generativa
para el 2024.
1. 2023 fue el año de IA personales, 2024 será el año de Copilots
empresariales. Uno de los obstáculos de adopción de IA Generativa en las
empresas tiene que ver con la seguridad y privacidad de datos. Si necesitas
escribir un correo o hacer una presentación de trabajo, la aplicación
pública de ChatGPT no te sirve pues no tiene acceso a los datos de tu
empresa. Y cargar dichos datos en ChatGPT suele constituir una violación de
las políticas de ciberseguridad de las empresas. Por eso 2024 será el año de
los “Copilots”: agentes con IA conversacional que habitan dentro del
ecosistema cerrado de cada empresa, y se integran con software empresarial
como GSuite o MSOffice 365. Algunos desarrolladores de software ya están
vendiendo agentes de IA conversacional customizados, pero sin duda la
masificación llegará con los Copilots anunciados por Microsoft y Google.
Estos Copilots tendrán acceso a tu email, tus archivos, presentaciones y
planillas, con el mismo estándar de seguridad de cualquier aplicación
empresarial, y prometen ser significativamente más útiles y seguros que una
aplicación externa. Incluso pueden asistir a reuniones por tí, escribir tus
minutas y agendar los compromisos.
2. Competencia y Comoditización de los modelos de lenguaje. Prácticamente todas
las grandes empresas tecnológicas han lanzado sus propios modelos
fundacionales con APIs de conexión. La mayoría de los modelos disponibles
manejan muy bien el lenguaje, los códigos y los distintos idiomas. Algunos
desarrolladores muestran preferencia por GPT4 (de openAI y disponible en
plataformas y cloud Microsoft), otros por Gemini (de Google), otros por
Llama (de Meta), otros por Claude (de Anthropic, financiado por Amazon). Al
final, no será tan relevante quién provee el modelo y costará identificar
las respuestas de uno u otro. Se rumorea eso sí, que los precios con los que
operan actualmente los modelos son insuficientes para cubrir los costos
operacionales y la mayoría de los modelos operan a pérdida, quemando capital
de los grandes inversionistas. Ante un escenario no sustentable, es probable
que los precios converjan a niveles un poco mayores a los actuales en el
corto plazo (asumiendo que no hay algún salto tecnológico que permita
mejoras sustantivas de eficiencia).
3. Impulso de regulaciones y leyes sobre IA. En 2023 hemos observado un fuerte
impulso por regular la IA en varias regiones del mundo, con diversos niveles
de avance y profundidad. El poder ejecutivo de EEUU lanzó oficialmente su AI
US Act y Europa ya publicó su regulación AI EU Act (la más avanzada y
detallada del mundo). En total más de una treintena de países han pasado
regulaciones locales de IA y otros cuantos están aún discutiéndolo. En
Latinoamérica podemos mencionar a Perú, que aprobó un documento ley “marco”
con los principales lineamientos, y a Chile, que lleva adelante mesas
técnicas de trabajo y cuenta con un proyecto de ley en discusión. Aún no
está claro el alcance y el impacto que estas normas tendrán en el desarrollo
de la industria, pero vaticinamos algunos conflictos por los avances
tecnológicos que desafiarán los límites de la regulación. Sí, probablemente
la tecnología avanzará más rápido que la legislación.
Al margen de estas predicciones, hay un consenso generalizado en que la IA
cambiará el mundo a ritmo muy acelerado. Por eso resulta fundamental “tomar el
tren”, no dejarlo pasar, y aprovechar las nuevas oportunidades que se abren con
la tecnología.
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OTRAS COLUMNAS DE OPINIÓN
Tres predicciones para la IA Generativa el 2024
CroissantGPT y el FOMO
Cómo derribar barreras para gestionar programas de innovación
Nuestro propósito es cerrar la brecha de capacidades de gestión de la innovación
en Latinoamérica, impulsando el desarrollo regional con creatividad y
disciplina.
Guillermo Beuchat, Socio
+56 9 9873 0717
Jorge Vásquez, Socio
+56 9 8294 2481
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