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NEW DRAFT TOP 150 LIST: UNPRECEDENTED 1ST ROUND?

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PIPELINE


NEW DRAFT TOP 150 LIST: UNPRECEDENTED 1ST ROUND?

1:16 AM GMT

Jim Callis

@JimCallisMLB
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Quality crops of high school and college position players and a stunning number
of sidelined pitching prospects could lead to a first round of the Draft that's
much more one-sided than usual.

It's possible that the first 10 picks -- or more -- could be spent on hitters,
something that never has happened since the Draft began in 1965. It's also
likely that no college pitcher will crack the top 15 selections for the first
time since 1969, when the rules were much different and many collegians were
diverted to January drafts or a secondary phase in June.

"I can't remember anything like this," said a scouting executive with an
American League club, noting that the 2019 Draft led off with six straight
hitters but featured impact college arms such as Nick Lodolo, Alek Manoah and
George Kirby later in the first round. "There's no one like that this year. This
is truly unprecedented."



Top 10:
Druw Jones, OF (Wesleyan, Ga.)
Elijah Green, OF (IMG Academy, Fla.)
Termarr Johnson, 2B (Mays, Ga.)
Jackson Holliday, SS (Stillwater, Ok.)
Brooks Lee, SS (Cal Poly)
Jacob Berry, 3B/OF (Louisiana State)
Jace Jung, 2B (Texas Tech)
Kevin Parada, C (Georgia Tech)
Dylan Lesko, RHP (Buford, Ga.)
Daniel Susac, C (Arizona)
Complete list »

High school bats occupy the first four spots on MLB Pipeline's newly updated
Draft Top 150. Wesleyan HS (Peachtree Corners, Ga.) outfielder Druw Jones, the
son of five-time All-Star Andruw Jones, remains at No. 1 with tools reminiscent
of his father's and a more consistent offensive approach this spring. He's
followed by IMG Academy (Bradenton, Fla.) outfielder Elijah Green, who has the
highest ceiling in this Draft; Mays HS (Atlanta) second baseman Termarr Johnson,
the best pure prep hitter in recent memory; and Stillwater (Okla.) HS shortstop
Jackson Holliday, who has solid to plus tools across the board.

• 2022 Draft order »

Green and Holliday also come from notable athletic connections. Green's father
Eric was a two-time Pro Bowl tight end and Holliday's dad Matt played in seven
MLB All-Star Games.

The college position players also have a number of potential candidates for the
No. 1 overall choice, which belongs to the Orioles for the first time since they
grabbed Rutschman in 2019. Cal Poly second baseman Brooks Lee, Louisiana State
third baseman/outfielder Jacob Berry, Texas Tech second baseman Jace Jung and
Georgia Tech catcher Kevin Parada are all advanced hitters if so-so defenders.
College bats are the deepest demographic in terms of first-round candidates and
could produce half of the top 30 selections.



"The hitters will go high," a scouting official with a National League team
said. "Druw Jones is the best talent, and then there's a debate. Elijah Green
has improved this spring. Termarr Johnson has a great swing. Jackson Holliday is
flying up boards. Brooks Lee, Jacob Berry, Jace Jung, Kevin Parada . . . There's
a lot to choose from."




Meanwhile, college pitchers have been ravaged by injuries. Alabama left-hander
Connor Prielipp won't pitch in a game this season after having Tommy John
surgery last May, though he'll be able to throw for teams before the Draft and
still could go in the first round. Right-handers Peyton Pallette (Arkansas) and
Henry Williams (Duke) had their elbows reconstructed before the season began,
and Mississippi State righty Landon Sims met the same fate after just three
starts.

Tennessee right-hander Blade Tidwell missed the first six weeks with shoulder
issues and didn't make his first weekend start until Saturday. Florida
left-hander Hunter Barco is out indefinitely with elbow soreness. That's six
potential college first-round arms with health concerns without counting righty
Kumar Rocker, who didn't return to Vanderbilt after the Mets took him 10th
overall last July and walked away from a $6 million agreement when they didn't
like the result from a post-Draft physical.

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Rocker has yet to pitch anywhere this spring. Nor has East Carolina left-hander
Carson Whisenhunt, who's healthy but drew a yearlong suspension from the NCAA
after testing positive for a performance-enhancing drug he said came from a
supplement he bought at a national nutrition store chain. Gonzaga right-hander
Gabriel Hughes is the lone active college arm without health issues ranked in
the first 45 spots on the Draft Top 150.

High school hurlers haven't gone unscathed either. Buford (Ga.) HS right-hander
Dylan Lesko, the top prep pitcher and the first junior ever to win Gatorade's
national baseball player of the year award, hasn't pitched since early April
because of a sore arm. Oswego (Ill.) East left-hander Noah Schultz came down
with mononucleosis after one impressive two-inning outing in late March and his
return is uncertain, while Boerne (Texas) HS righty Cole Phillips hit 100 mph
with his fastball in March only to undergo Tommy John surgery a month later.

Though Schultz's and Phillips' first-round aspirations have been dashed, Lesko
still should factor into the first 30 selections. So could four other prep arms:
Orchard Lake (Mich.) St. Mary's Prep right-hander Brock Porter, Brebeuf Jesuit
Prep (Indianapolis) righty Andrew Dutkanych, IMG Academy left-hander Jackson
Ferris and American Heritage HS (Plantation, Fla.) lefty Brandon Barriera. 

"It's a very challenging Draft after the first few picks," an NL scouting
director said. "It's loaded down with hitters and a couple of high school
pitchers. When in doubt, we as an industry take college pitchers, and you can't
this year. There might be four or five high school pitchers who slide into the
first round and blow past the college pitchers. The first round could look a
little weird."

Did you like this story?


Jim Callis is a reporter for MLB.com. Follow @jimcallisMLB on Twitter. Listen to
him on the weekly MLB Pipeline Podcast.


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