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 1. Home
 2. Breaking News
 3. Russian default no longer ‘improbable’, but no trigger for global financial
    crisis: IMF


RUSSIAN DEFAULT NO LONGER ‘IMPROBABLE’, BUT NO TRIGGER FOR GLOBAL FINANCIAL
CRISIS: IMF


 * March 13, 2022
 * 



WASHINGTON: Russia may default on its debts in the wake of unprecedented
sanctions over its invasion of Ukraine, but that would not trigger a global
financial crisis, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina
Georgieva said on Sunday (Mar 13).

Georgieva told CBS’s Face the Nation programme that sanctions imposed by the
United States and other democracies were already having a “severe” impact on the
Russian economy and would trigger a deep recession there this year.

The war and the sanctions would also have significant spillover effects on
neighbouring countries that depended on Russia energy supplies, and had already
resulted in a wave of refugees compared to that seen during World War Two, she
said.

Russia calls its actions in Ukraine a “special operation”.

The sanctions were also limiting Russia’s ability to access its resources and
service its debts, which meant a default was no longer viewed as “improbable,”
Georgieva said.

Asked if such a default could trigger a financial crisis around the world, she
said, “For now, no”.

The total exposure of banks to Russia amounted to around US$120 billion, an
amount that while not insignificant, was “not systematically relevant,” she
said.

Georgieva last week said the IMF would downgrade previous forecast for 4.4 per
cent global economic growth in 2022 as a result of the war, but said the overall
trajectory remained positive.

Growth remained robust in countries like the United States that had been fast to
recover from COVID-19 pandemic, she told CBS.

The impact would be most severe in terms of driving up commodity prices and
inflation, potentially leading to hunger and food insecurity in parts of Africa,
she said.

Article source:
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/world/russian-default-no-longer-improbable-no-trigger-global-financial-crisis-imf-2561691


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