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Industry News


AN ENCOURAGING OUTLOOK FOR THE STONE FRUIT EXPORT SEASON OF 2024/2025

 * 28 October, 2024
 * Elise-Marie Steenkamp
 * Industry News, News, News Room Industry News

Growers are positive about the crop for the 2024/2025 export season. Early
indications are that overall volumes will increase compared to last year. This
comes after a challenging 2023/2024 season that included extreme weather events
(storms, fog, strong winds in the Port of Cape Town) and continued logistical
disruptions at the port.

Weather impact and recovery

This past winter brought much-needed rainfall, filling irrigation dams. However,
a long, cold, wet spring impacted flowering and fruit set in certain areas.  In
early October specific parts of the Western Cape were hit by sleet, hail and
frost, with early nectarine and peach varieties most affected. The Berg River
region also experienced a brief heatwave during the flowering of some plum
varieties. Despite these weather challenges, the increased hectares coming into
production are expected to contribute to year-on-year volume growth. There were
no major weather events in the Klein Karoo, the main apricot production region,
resulting in a slight increase in apricot volumes compared to last year.

Hectare trends and varietal developments

Total nectarine hectares continue to expand, with a +2% y-o-y increase,
especially in higher-yielding varieties. Peach hectares are on a downward trend,
with both cling and dessert peaches decreasing by 8% and 10% year-on-year. Total
hectares for plums have stabilized and hectares planted (over the past five to
six years) are now coming into production contributing to an increase in
exports, estimated to be above the two-year average.

Logistical considerations

Although we believe that we have reached the turning point of the logistical
crisis, specifically in the Port of Cape Town, we foresee another challenging
season from a logistical point of view. Growers, exporters and logistical
service providers will have to make use of alternative modes of shipping to
alleviate the pressure at the CT Container Terminal. Although more costly, this
will ensure timeous shipping and quality fruit upon arrival, thereby fulfilling
the servicing of clients and programmes.

Transnet has started implementing the strategic replacement and refurbishment of
equipment and machinery at the Port of Cape Town, contracting maintenance and
related services, and the appointment of additional staff. Some productivity
improvements are therefore anticipated but we need to prepare for challenges
such as downtime on equipment and wind delays. The alternative modes and nodes
of shipping include the use of Specialized Reefer Vessels (SRVs) and other ports
(Eastern Cape and Durban) to ensure on-time arrivals with high-quality fruit,
albeit at a higher cost.

As collective fruit industries, we continue to work closely with the management
of the Port of Cape Town and will do everything within our reach to ensure a
smooth logistical operation. The weekly engagement between Transnet management
and the industry including logistics service providers and shipping companies
will continue.

Initial stone fruit export estimates:

 * Apricots: Projected to increase by 9%, with an estimated crop of 523,000
   cartons (4.75 kg equivalent).
 * Peaches: Expected to decline slightly by 1%, with a crop of 1.85 million
   cartons (2.5 kg).
 * Nectarines: Although the total forecast is to rise by 4%, reaching 9.12
   million cartons (2.5 kg), driven by high-yielding varieties coming into
   production, early nectarines have been affected negatively by the weather.
   Early varieties are set to be down 8% compared to the previous season.
 * Plums: Projected to grow by 12%, with exports reaching 13.7 million cartons
   (5.25 kg), a recovery in export volumes due to more favourable weather
   conditions comparable to the previous two seasons.

Stone fruit export crop estimation (Nina Viljoen)

Market expectations

South African stone fruit will continue to meet the market’s expectations for
high-quality and great-tasting produce. While consumers worldwide face economic
pressures due to high inflation and limited spending power, the demand for fresh
fruit remains steady.

In conclusion, South African growers are positive about the 2024/2025 harvest
and export season. Fair and just returns are what is expected as growers have
been under severe price pressure coupled with adverse weather events, over the
past few years. Continuous delivery of top-quality, great-tasting fruit remains
the aim which will lead to repeat sales.

 Vind asseblief die Afrikaanse en Engelse weergawe van die oesskatting
hier:South African Stone Fruit Outlook 2024-25 season_FINAL_28 Oct 24

estimatesexportforecastfruitSouth Africastone fruitvolumes


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