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 * Middle East
 * Israel and Hamas at War


HOW MIGHT ISRAEL STRIKE BACK AGAINST IRAN?

By Reuters
October 4, 20244:34 PM GMT+2Updated a day ago
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Item 1 of 2 Israel's Iron Dome anti-missile system intercepts rockets after Iran
fired a salvo of ballistic missiles, as seen from Ashkelon, Israel, October 1,
2024 REUTERS/Amir Cohen/File Photo
[1/2]Israel's Iron Dome anti-missile system intercepts rockets after Iran fired
a salvo of ballistic missiles, as seen from Ashkelon, Israel, October 1, 2024
REUTERS/Amir Cohen/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab

WASHINGTON, Oct 3 (Reuters) - Israel has sworn it will retaliate for Iran's
missile barrage on Tuesday, which involved more than 180 ballistic missiles and
was largely thwarted by Israel's air defense systems.
Below are some ways Israel, backed by the United States, could strike back.


GO AFTER IRAN'S MILITARY INSTALLATIONS

Some analysts believe Israel is most likely to respond by targeting Iranian
military installations, especially those that produce ballistic missiles like
the ones used in Tuesday's attacks. It could also take out Iranian air defense
systems and missile-launching facilities.
Advertisement · Scroll to continue

Washington has accused Tehran of supplying short-range ballistic missiles to
Russia for use against Ukraine. Both countries deny that allegation.
Analysts said that would be seen as the most in-kind response to Iran's attack.
ATTACK IRAN'S NUCLEAR FACILITIES, opens new tab
Strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities could delay Tehran's ability to
produce a nuclear weapon. Iran's nuclear program is spread over many locations,
only some of which are built underground.
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However, a major attack on its nuclear infrastructure would likely provoke
serious consequences, potentially including a sprint by Iran to build a nuclear
weapon. Washington has said it would not support such an action by Israel.
Richard Hooker, a retired U.S. Army officer who served in the U.S. National
Security Council under Republican and Democratic presidents, said it was a
"distinct possibility" that Israel could strike Iran's nuclear facilities but
not a probability "because when you do something like that you put the Iranian
leadership in a position to do something pretty dramatic in response."

The Islamic Republic denies ever having had a nuclear weapons program or
planning to have one.
The U.N. nuclear watchdog, the IAEA, and the U.S. intelligence community
concluded that Iran pursued a coordinated nuclear weapons program until 2003,
and experts say that with the collapse of the 2015 nuclear deal, it could
produce enough weapons-grade uranium for a bomb in a matter of weeks.
ATTACK IRAN'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION INFRASTRUCTURE, opens new tab

Israel could also hit Iran's petroleum industry, which would hurt its economy.
Such an attack could provoke Iran in turn to strike oil production facilities in
Saudi Arabia and other Gulf Arab states. That could send the price of fuel,
always a major U.S. campaign issue, soaring before Americans pick a new
president and Congress in the Nov. 5 elections.
"I'm not sure that (a hike in world oil prices) would restrain the Israelis,"
said David Des Roches, a former Department of Defense official involved in Gulf
policy now with the U.S. National Defense University’s Near East-South Asia
Center. Israel, he added, might view a hike in world oil prices as a benefit for
former President Donald Trump's re-election campaign.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu recently has been more aligned with
Trump's Republicans than with Democrats.


ECONOMIC, CYBER OPTIONS

A military response is considered the most likely, but there are options that do
not involve missile strikes or commando raids.
U.S. President Joe Biden has said he would impose more sanctions on Iran.
Washington's sanctions on Iran already ban nearly all U.S. trade with the
country, block its government's assets in the U.S. and prohibit U.S. foreign
assistance and arms sales.
Analysts said Israel could also use its cyber warfare abilities to respond to
the Iranian strikes.
Israel's recent mass pager attack against Hezbollah in Lebanon turned the
spotlight on its secretive Unit 8200, the Israel Defense Forces' specialist
cyber warfare and intelligence unit, which Western security sources said was
involved in planning the operation.

The Reuters Daily Briefing newsletter provides all the news you need to start
your day. Sign up here.

Reporting by Jonathan Landay, Patricia Zengerle and Matt Spetalnick; Writing by
Patricia Zengerle, editing by Don Durfee and Matthew Lewis

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab

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