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TESLA'S SELF-DRIVING BID FOR CHINA FACES RIVALS RACING AHEAD

By Reuters
April 30, 20247:11 AM GMT+2Updated 18 hours ago
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Item 1 of 2 A Tesla Model 3 vehicle warns the driver to keep their hands on the
wheel and be prepared to take over at anytime while driving using FSD (Full
Self-Driving) in Encinitas, California, U.S., October 18, 2023. REUTERS/Mike
Blake/File Photo
[1/2]A Tesla Model 3 vehicle warns the driver to keep their hands on the wheel
and be prepared to take over at anytime while driving using FSD (Full
Self-Driving) in Encinitas, California, U.S., October 18, 2023. REUTERS/Mike
Blake/File Photo Purchase Licensing RightsNew Tab, opens new tab
ChevronChevron
 * Summary
 * Companies

 * Chinese tech giants juice up smart car competition
 * In China, even cheaper cars have self-driving features
 * Tesla autonomous EVs may spur 'catfish effect'
 * China data transfer key to Tesla getting ahead

SHANGHAI/BEIJING, April 30 (Reuters) - If Tesla succeeds in bringing its "Full
Self-Driving" system to China, the world's largest car market, the U.S.
electric-car pioneer will be shifting into the fast lane of the global race
toward autonomous vehicles.
On a whirlwind trip to Beijing starting Sunday, Musk came to discuss the
potential rollout of its FSD driver-assistance system and the possibility of
securing government approvals for overseas transfers of data from Tesla
(TSLA.O)New Tab, opens new tab vehicles in China, according to a source with
knowledge of the trip.
Advertisement · Scroll to continue

Such data, used to train self-driving systems, would boost Tesla's long-term
efforts to produce fully autonomous vehicles.
As it did with electric cars, Tesla could prove a fierce competitor in China's
autonomous-vehicle segment, industry analysts and executives say, citing its
early lead in developing driver-assistance systems with some autonomous
features.
But Tesla faces potent rivals including BYD (002594.SZ)New Tab, opens new tab,
China's largest EV maker, and Huawei (HWT.UL), a smartphone maker emerging as a
national tech champion, that have rolled out systems designed to navigate
China's densely packed urban landscapes.
Advertisement · Scroll to continue

Those two giants are among at least 10 automakers and suppliers that have
unveiled driver-assistance systems over the past two years that can navigate
city streets and make turns at intersections. Others include EV makers Xpeng
(9868.HK)New Tab, opens new tab and Li Auto (2015.HK)New Tab, opens new tab, and
Xiaomi (1810.HK)New Tab, opens new tab, the smartphone maker that recently
introduced its first car, an instant hit.
Any new model priced at more than $30,000 in China now needs advanced
driver-assistance features to compete, said Maxwell Zhou, co-founder of
DeepRoute.ai, a China-based startup selling software for advanced
driver-assistance systems.

"You must have a high-level driving solution to prove you have a smart car, not
a stupid car," Zhou told Reuters.
Xpeng has said it plans to launch a new mass-market brand, Mona, with
self-driving features on a car priced below $21,000. That's more than $10,000
cheaper than the China price of Tesla's Model 3.
Many industry experts expect it will take years before fully autonomous cars are
commonplace, but predictions vary widely.
Advertisement · Scroll to continue

Driver-assistance features now offered in China are "level two" systems, meaning
they require a driver ready to take over. Tesla's FSD and its less-advanced
options of Autopilot, are also level-two systems requiring attentive drivers.
More fully automated vehicle fleets operated by Baidu (9888.HK)New Tab, opens
new tab, China's biggest search engine operator, and Pony.ai, an autonomous
driving startup, run in limited test zones.



'CATFISH EFFECT'

Tesla's push to roll out FSD in China would "pressure the other EV startups to
accelerate their research and development", said Yale Zhang, managing director
at Shanghai-based consultancy Automotive Foresight.
China saw the same dynamic in electric-vehicle development when its government
approved Tesla to open a Shanghai plant in 2018. At the time, officials hoped
for what they called a "catfish effect" - that dropping a big catfish, Tesla, in
the tank would make the other fish, China EV makers, swim faster.
China's industry responded. BYD, the nation's EV leader, has since introduced a
slew of models at all price points - starting below $10,000 - as its China EV
sales exploded from just over 105,000 in 2018 to more than 1.5 million last
year.
Zhang said Tesla's autonomous-vehicle development in China could have the same
impact: "It would be the 'catfish effect' for the second half of the game."


'INNOVATIVE AND DISRUPTIVE'

At the Beijing auto show that opened last week, Chinese automakers and suppliers
touted "level-two-plus" driver-assistance systems with more advanced sensors and
displays. While they are not cleared by regulators for hands-off-the-wheel
driving, some are designed to be with future software upgrades.
While Tesla relies only on cameras to detect hazards around self-driving cars,
other automakers are rolling out systems that include lidar, which uses pulses
of light to detect objects.
Huawei showed off components from telematics receivers that work with both the
U.S.-backed GPS system and China’s rival BeiDou satellite system, along with
lidar and optical sensors, for advanced driving systems.
The Chinese tech giant aims to compete with other major suppliers of such
systems including Bosch and Continental (CONG.DE)New Tab, opens new tab. Bosch
welcomes the competition, said Markus Heyn, the Bosch board member who runs the
German auto supplier's mobility unit.
"It's good for the market," he said. "We love doing innovative and disruptive
stuff."
Tesla could be among the toughest competitors, in part because of its ability to
collect data from its vehicles - the world's largest fleet of EVs currently on
roads. However, under Beijing's data security rules, it cannot transfer data
from its cars in China offshore without approvals.
Musk has pushed for that data to be able to be made available for training its
self-driving technology outside China, people familiar with Musk’s discussions
with Chinese officials have said. It's not clear what progress, if any, Musk
made on data transfers with Chinese officials he visited in Beijing, including
Premier Li Qiang.
Musk did leave China with signals that Tesla (TSLA.O)New Tab, opens new tab is
closer to delivering FSD in China, which would open a source of new revenue at a
time when its EV sales and pricing are under intense pressure from Chinese
rivals.
Wins for Tesla from the trip included an endorsement from China's auto industry
group that Tesla's best-selling models comply with China's data-privacy
regulations and the announcement of a deal with Baidu allowing Tesla to use its
mapping license to collect data.
Xpeng Motors CEO He Xiaopeng said in a statement on LinkedIn that a move by
Tesla to launch FSD in China could intensify what he predicted would be a
decade-long battle for dominance of "smart EVs".
China won't be the only battlefield. It's critical for China's self-driving
technology industry, He said, to start "making its mark on international markets
outside its own turf."

Stay up to date with the latest news, trends and innovations that are driving
the global automotive industry with the Reuters Auto File newsletter. Sign up
here.

Reporting by Zhang Yan in Shanghai and Kevin Krolicki in Beijing; Editing by
Brian Thevenot and Sonali Paul

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.New Tab, opens new tab

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