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2024 Report The Event The Mission The Work The Goalkeepers Introduction Solutions The Next Frontier Afterword Explore The Data Download the Report THE WORLD'S WORST CHILD HEALTH CRISIS IS MALNUTRITION. NO COUNTRY, HOWEVER RICH, IS IMMUNE. MORE THAN 400 MILLION CHILDREN AREN’T GETTING THE NUTRIENTS THEY NEED TO GROW AND THRIVE. CLIMATE CHANGE IS MAKING IT EVEN HARDER TO SOLVE. WE HAVE NEW TOOLS AND PROMISING RESEARCH TO ENSURE KIDS GET HEALTHIER EVEN AS THE WORLD GETS HOTTER. THE RACE TO NOURISH A WARMING WORLD THE WORLD'S WORST CHILD HEALTH CRISIS IS MALNUTRITION. CLIMATE CHANGE IS MAKING IT EVEN HARDER TO SOLVE. TO PROTECT THE WORLD’S CHILDREN FROM HUNGER’S WORST EFFECTS, WE MUST INVEST IN GLOBAL HEALTH. by Bill Gates Co-chair, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation When historians write about the first quarter of the 21st century, I think they may sum it up this way: Twenty years of unprecedented progress followed by five years of stagnation. This is true for nearly every issue the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation works on, from poverty reduction to primary school enrollment. But nowhere is the contrast more stark or tragic than in health. Between 2000 and 2020, the world witnessed a “global health boom.” Child mortality fell by 50%. In 2000, more than 10 million children died every year, and now that number is down to fewer than five million children. The prevalence of the world's deadliest infectious diseases fell by half, too. Best of all, the progress was happening in regions where the disease burden had been the highest. Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia saw the most improvement. This health boom had many causes. A new generation of political leaders embraced humanitarianism. Hundreds of thousands of health workers fanned out across the globe, bringing the latest medicine to places that doctors had rarely visited. But one often overlooked factor was a small—yet crucial—increase in funding. Starting in 2000, the world's wealthiest countries began steadily increasing their funding to supplement low-income countries as they increased their own investments in health. This funding fueled the work of organizations like Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, and the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis, and Malaria, which gave poorer nations access to life-saving vaccines, drugs, and other medical breakthroughs. Aid is relatively small. By 2020, wealthy countries were spending less than one quarter of 1% of their budgets on aid. That’s an average of $10.47 on health per person in the poorest countries. But that $10.47 made a remarkable difference. Then COVID-19 hit, and progress came to a screeching halt. STALLED FINANCING THREATENS DECADES OF HEALTH PROGRESS Legend DAH, excluding COVID-19 funding DAH projection Child mortality Development assistance for health (DAH) (2022 $USD) Under-5 deaths per 1,000 live births A line graph showing the decline in child deaths from 2000 to 2030, which halved from 2000 to 2019, stalled from 2020 to 2023, and is expected to decline up to 2030. This is juxtaposed by a bar chart showing an increase in development assistance for health from 2000 to 2019, with slower growth from 2020 to 2023, and stalling up to 2030. 2000 2020 2024 2030 $0 $10bn $20bn $30bn $40bn $50bn $60bn 0 20 40 60 80 31 Annualized growth: 6.6% 2.3% -0.2% Development assistance for health is provided by governments and private organizations in high-income countries to low- and middle-income countries. Download Share Today, the world is contending with more challenges than at any point in my adult life: inflation, debt, new wars. Unfortunately, aid isn’t keeping pace with these needs, particularly in the places that need it the most. For instance, more than half of all child deaths still occur in sub-Saharan Africa. Since 2010, the percentage of the world’s poor living in the region has also increased by more than 20 percentage points. Despite this, during the same period, the share of total foreign aid to Africa has dropped from nearly 40% to only 25%—the lowest percentage in 20 years. Fewer resources mean more children will die of preventable causes. The global health boom is over. But for how long? That's the question I have been wrestling with for the past five years: Will we look back on this period as the end of a golden era? Or is it just a brief intermission before another global health boom begins? I’m still an optimist. I think we can give global health a second act—even in a world where competing challenges require governments to stretch their budgets. To do this, we’ll need a two-pronged approach. First, the world has to recommit to the work that drove the progress in the early 2000s, especially investments in crucial vaccines and medicines. They’re still saving millions of lives each year, and we can't afford to backslide. But we also need to look forward. The R&D pipeline is brimming with powerful—and surprisingly cost-effective—new breakthroughs. Now we just need to put them to work fighting the world’s most pervasive health crises. And it starts with good nutrition. Every now and then, somebody will ask me what I would do if I had a magic wand. For years, I’ve given the same answer: I would solve malnutrition. This summer, UNICEF released its first report on child food poverty. The findings were stark. Two-thirds of the world’s children—more than 400 million kids—are not getting enough nutrients to grow and thrive, putting them at higher risk for malnutrition. In 2023, the WHO estimated that 148 million children experienced stunting, and 45 million children experienced wasting—the most severe forms of chronic and acute malnutrition. It prevents them from growing to their full potential—and, in the worst cases, from growing up at all. When a child dies, half the time the underlying cause is malnutrition. And now a significant headwind is making malnutrition harder to solve: climate change. We worked with our partners at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation to better understand how difficult the headwind is: Between 2024 and 2050, climate change will mean 40 million additional children will be stunted, and 28 million additional children will be wasted. It’s an important projection, and it should inform where country leaders devote their aid money to reverse the current trends and the growing burden of malnutrition. Obviously, fighting climate change is crucial. But what these data show is that the health crisis and the climate crisis are the same thing in the poorest countries near the equator. In fact, the best way to fight the impacts of climate change is by investing in nutrition. NATIONS CAN’T GROW IF THEIR PEOPLE CAN’T Clockwise: © Getty Images, Bali © Gates Archive/ Mansi Midha, India © UNICEF/UN0856865/Abdou, Niger Most people associate malnutrition with hunger. We’ve all seen the awful photos of starving children. That’s the most visible kind of malnutrition—but it’s not the only kind. Malnutrition also includes what doctors call “hidden hunger.” Kids can be eating enough calories and still not getting the right nutrients. When this happens to very young children, it interrupts the development of their bodies and brains. The effects are irreversible. With most serious childhood diseases, the kids who survive eventually grow up fine. But the kids who survive malnutrition never truly escape it. It follows them to school. A child who has a severe brush with malnutrition before the age of three will complete five fewer years of schooling than well-nourished kids. And the malnourished kids who do remain in school tend to do poorly and take longer to complete each grade than their peers. As these kids become adults, it continues to haunt them. Studies show that people who went hungry as kids earn 10% less over their lifetimes and are 33% less likely to escape poverty. Nations can’t grow if their people can’t. The economic costs of undernutrition are significant: It is estimated that every year, the cost of undernutrition is US$3 trillion in productivity loss because malnutrition has stunted people’s physical and cognitive abilities. In low-income countries, that loss ranges from 3 to 16 percent (or more) of GDP. It’s the equivalent of a permanent 2008-level global recession. Today, one in every five of the world’s children suffers from stunting, and climate change threatens to increase that number. We should ask: What will that mean for the global economy in 20 years when these children are in the prime of their working lives? Few economists think of the malnutrition rate as a critical economic data point—but they should start. Nutritional deficits quickly translate into financial deficits. WE HAVE NEW TOOLS TO HELP SOLVE MALNUTRITION By now, it’s clear: Malnutrition makes every forward step our species wants to take heavier and harder. But the inverse is also true. If we solve malnutrition, we make it easier to solve every other problem. We solve extreme poverty. Vaccines are more effective. And deadly diseases like malaria and pneumonia become far less fatal. That’s why I believe we can jumpstart a second global health boom by getting kids the right nutrients. This is especially true now, because we have more tools to ensure kids gets healthier even as the world gets hotter. The science of nutrition has experienced a renaissance over the past decade. Animal scientists have discovered how to breed more productive livestock, while food scientists have found new ways to fortify more nutrients into the staples of people’s diets—like salt, flour, and bouillon cubes. Doctors are even beginning to unlock the mysteries of the microbiome, the teeming universe of bacteria that lives inside our digestive tracts. As you read on, you’ll hear from people on the front line of nourishing people around the world. Together, they’re showing us how we can jumpstart another golden age for health: with a lot of grit, creativity, and enormous generosity toward their fellow human beings. BILL GATES: JUMPSTARTING A GLOBAL HEALTH BOOM STARTS WITH NUTRITION. WE HAVE THE TOOLS TO SOLVE MALNUTRITION —AND MAKE PEOPLE HEALTHIER AND MORE CLIMATE-RESILIENT. A RECIPE FOR PROGRESS: 4 SOLUTIONS TO NOURISH OUR PLANET NO OTHER GLOBAL HEALTH PROBLEM REQUIRES A LARGER-SCALE SOLUTION THAN MALNUTRITION. THESE PROVEN SOLUTIONS CAN MAKE A DIFFERENCE NOW. One of the hardest things to do in global health is scaling a solution. No global health problem requires a larger-scale solution than malnutrition. Every single person on the planet needs to eat a healthy, nutritious diet every day. Brazil, India, Kenya, Rwanda, and dozens of other emerging nations have leaned into this challenge. They’ve found gaps in their food systems and are repairing them to deliver the right macro- and micronutrients to as much of the population as possible. For these countries, building a more nutritious food system produces a double benefit. It lowers the malnutrition rate, improving health outcomes. It also can lead to a remarkable amount of economic growth. 6X MORE MILK PRODUCED BY COWS New agricultural technologies are being developed to increase the amount of milk that cows produce in Kenya. 109 MILLION STUNTING CASES PREVENTED Improving dairy productivity and supply in just five countries—Ethiopia, India, Kenya, Nigeria, and Tanzania—could prevent millions of cases of childhood stunting between 2020 and 2050. 16.6 MILLION ANEMIA CASES PREVENTED PER YEAR In Nigeria, fortifying bouillon cubes wouldn't just prevent anemia, it would also avert more than 11,000 deaths from neural tube defects. 5,000 LIVES SAVED EACH YEAR Ethiopia is exploring adding folic acid to iodized salt. This “double-fortified” salt could eliminate nearly 75% of all deaths and stillbirths due to neural tube defects each year. 500,000 LIVES SAVED If low- and middle-income countries adopted Multiple Micronutrient Supplements, the world’s most complete prenatal vitamins, almost half a million lives could be saved by 2040. $2.60 FOR AN ENTIRE PREGNANCY Now, throughout the world, it costs only a few dollars to take MMS, which contains 15 vitamins and minerals proven to significantly reduce the risk of adverse birth outcomes. ENSURING MORE PRODUCTIVE COWS AND SAFER MILK Milk is a nutrient-rich food that addresses many of the nutritional deficits children face, including calcium, vitamins (including A and B12), protein, and healthy fats—it makes them healthier and even more climate-resilient over the long term. But producing enough of it, ensuring it is affordable, and preventing it from spoiling remains a challenge in low-income regions. But new agriculture technologies are changing that. Some technologies use DNA and data to select cows that give birth to more productive offspring. Others help farmers produce more high-quality forage or repurpose crop waste for nutritious cow feed. As a result, Kenyan cows are now producing 6 to 10 times more milk than before. That’s more milk to drink at home and more income for dairy farmers and vendors, most of whom are women. It’s also better health for children: New analysis from the International Food Policy Research Institute shows that improving dairy productivity and consumption in five countries—Ethiopia, India, Kenya, Nigeria, and Tanzania—could prevent as many as 109 million cases of childhood stunting by 2050. And training is an essential part. Programs like Livestock Enhancement and Advancement Programme (LEAP) and MoreMilk are helping dairy farmers and market sellers learn and follow best practices for safe storage and handling. Sushama Das, Odisha, India Coletta Kemboi, Maili Nne, Kenya Read their stories Close © Gates Archive / Ryan Lobo, India Sushama Das, a dairy farmer in Astaranga, in the Indian state of Odisha, shared how easier access to government subsidies, training, and services has helped her family expand their farm and earn more money: I was married at a very young age. My new husband was a farmer; he grew crops. After we had our three children, we realized that it would be better to have both of us working on the farm. I had always had affection for cows, so I took up dairy farming. I have never seen this as a business. Rather, it’s a way of sustaining my family. I do my work for them. After about a decade of working with just two cows, my son-in-law helped me apply for a government subsidy online, which allowed me to purchase more cows. And over the years, I have been able to participate in several training schemes targeted toward dairy farmers like me, which have helped me improve the health of the cows and the productivity of my farm. Once I expanded my herd using the government subsidy, I participated in a program called LEAP. Local livestock inspectors taught me how to keep our cow shed clean and how to properly sterilize the drum where we collect our milk. Veterinarians with a mobile clinic have stopped by our shed and given my cows free vaccinations; they have not fallen sick ever since. And now I can go online to book artificial insemination services for the cows, which is helping me expand my herd. Today, we have eight cows, and they are producing 60 liters of milk every day. I am able to employ someone who helps me with the milking; we do one milking in the morning and one in the evening. And then workers from a local milk processing company come directly to our shed to pick up the milk drum and sell it to the community. The subsidies and training schemes have helped our family earn more money—our monthly income is now five times as much as it used to be. Before, I felt a sense of emptiness whenever I wanted to spend any money. Now, there is a sense of fullness. I can spend money on things that give me happiness. © Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation / Bryan Jaybee, Kenya Coletta Kemboi, a dairy farmer in Maili Nne, Kenya, leveraged new skills to care for her cows, expand her business, and provide for her family. My husband, Daniel, and I started dairy farming 15 years ago, with just two cows. When we started our business, it was hard to find customers. Sometimes our milk spoiled, and the customers we did have would complain. When I took a training with MoreMilk, I learned about how to improve hygiene across the dairy farm. I learned where to keep your cows, how to clean them, and how to prevent transferring bacteria from the cows to the milk. And I learned that the containers used to collect the milk should be very clean, not reused from cooking—something I have taught our customers as well. Since then, we have not had any complaints about spoilage. The milk we produce, about 110 liters per day, is high quality. And that has helped us recruit new customers because once one of them buys our milk, he goes and tells others. We’ve gotten at least 20 new customers since I did the training, including people who work in hotels. When the inspectors from the dairy board visit our shop in Maili Nne, they take tests of our milk. Before, there were some traces of unclean milk, but since I went through the training, they have come to our shop around three times. And their tests are proof that our milk is good. Our cows have also been more productive because I now know how to feed them better and make sure they have water. And I learned that when there is excess milk, there is added value. I started making mala, a malted milk, with the excess. No milk is wasted. And I can sell mala in the shop for 100 shillings per liter, while fresh milk sells for 70 shillings per liter. The extra money we are earning goes to the farm—we are planting beans—and to our house. And we are able to pay my three children’s school fees, including for my daughter, who will join university this year. So I am proud and happy, and I thank God for the training I received. FORTIFYING THE GLOBAL PANTRY AGAINST MICRONUTRIENT DEFICIENCIES Large-scale food fortification is an old technology—but we’re unlocking new ways of using it to increase micronutrients in the food found in pantries all over the world. After all, micronutrient deficiencies have an outsized impact on health. For example, vitamin A deficiencies are the leading cause of childhood blindness, while folate deficiencies are the leading cause of neural tube defects. In the United States and Switzerland, iodized salt has been sold in supermarkets since the 1920s, which has led to the virtual elimination of iodine deficiency and the improvement of IQ scores. Leveraging that success, Ethiopia is now exploring adding another critical nutrient, folic acid, to iodized salt. They are testing a way to produce this “double-fortified” salt. This pioneering approach holds the potential to eliminate half of all deaths and stillbirths due to neural tube defects, up to 5,000 per year in Ethiopia, and helping to reduce anemia up to 4% across the country. And now leaders at the Nigerian Ministry of Health and Social Welfare are leading a large-scale effort to fortify bouillon, already a common item in Nigerian kitchens. Ladidi Bako-Aiyegbusi, Nigeria Read her story Close © Gates Archive / Nyancho NwaNri, Nigeria In West Africa, leaders like Ladidi Bako-Aiyegbusi,mni, director of nutrition at the Nigerian Ministry of Health and Social Welfare, are spearheading a large-scale effort towards the first guided voluntary fortification of condiment, bouillon cubes, a staple of local cuisine in Nigeria. It is estimated that fortified bouillon cubes could halve deaths and stillbirths from neural tube defects—up to 11,000 per year—and avert up to 16.6 million cases of anemia each year in Nigeria. What you might not know is that simple bouillon seasoning cubes, made up of dehydrated broth and filled with salt and spices, are one of the ingredients found in most kitchens across my country of Nigeria, irrespective of the geographical location, economy, or educational status of the family. As the director of nutrition at the Ministry of Health, my job is to monitor and improve the nutritional status of the Nigerian people. Without access to the essential nutrients the children under 5 years need to grow, thrive, and lead healthy lives, they are being robbed of their future. Available evidence shows that although we have made some progress over the past few decades, malnutrition is still an underlying cause of nearly half of the deaths of children under 5 years old. According to the 2018 Nigeria Demographic Health Survey, Nigeria has the second-highest burden of stunted children in the world, with 37%—or 6 million children—that are stunted annually, and 7% of children diagnosed with wasting each year. Moreover, the prevalence of folate deficiency remains alarmingly high, contributing to serious health outcomes such as still births due to neural tube defects and anemia. That is the reason our government is investing in comprehensive nutrition services throughout the country—efforts that we believe will prevent more than 11 million children, or one in every three children under 5 years of age, from experiencing severe child food poverty. Hence, as part of our nutrition program, we are working in collaboration with the Nigeria Country Working Group on Bouillon Fortification, which includes public and private partners, the National Agency for Food and Drug Administration and Control, Standard Organisation of Nigeria, Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission, Dangote, Promasidor, and Sweet Nutrition. This group is exploring the feasibility of fortifying the bouillon cubes to include the nutrients that individuals, especially vulnerable children and women, need most—such as iron, folic acid, zinc, and vitamin B12. Given the high prevalence of folate deficiency in Nigeria, fortifying staple foods like rice, wheat and bouillon cubes represents a critical opportunity to address this public health challenge. Leaning heavily on what has made iodized salt programs successful, we believe that these bouillon cubes can help to reduce devastating ailments caused by micronutrient deficiencies and needs to be aligned with our Ministry’s efforts to reduce salt and sodium intake. Fortifying bouillon cubes would support ongoing strategies to combat micronutrient deficiencies “hidden hunger” here. While we all value a more nutritious diet filled with fresh fruits and vegetables, and rich-in-protein animal products, fortified bouillon can contribute to meeting the micronutrients needs of families as we continue to strengthen our overall food system for the future. If we’re successful, that would mean that the fortified bouillon seasoning cubes in so many Nigerian dishes would also contribute to improving the micronutrient content of the dishes in my country. The project impact is improvement of the nutritional status of all Nigerians, with particular emphasis on the vulnerable groups—namely children, women, and the elderly. EXPANDING ACCESS TO BETTER PRENATAL VITAMINS Healthy diets are crucial for good nutrition. But, in different stages of life with different needs, they’re not always sufficient. Doctors know that mothers need extra nourishment during pregnancy and the critical days that follow to stay healthy and give their children the best start in life. These increased needs make it difficult for pregnant women all over the world to consume the full range of necessary nutrients, especially in countries where healthy foods are out of budget or out of reach. One solution is the United Nations International Multiple Micronutrient Antenatal Preparation Multiple Micronutrient Supplements—the world’s most complete prenatal vitamin. It contains 15 vitamins and minerals proven to significantly reduce the risk of adverse birth outcomes. It is more effective and powerful than the iron and folic acid supplements that many women typically receive in low- and middle-income countries. If all low- and middle-income countries switched to MMS, which costs only $2.60 for an entire pregnancy, almost half a million lives would be saved and 25 million babies would have improved birth outcomes by 2040. Dr. Sabin Nsanzimana, Rwanda Read his story Close © UNICEF/UNI504353/Iyakaremye, Rwanda Dr. Sabin Nsanzimana, the minister of health in Rwanda, is leading the effort to ensure pregnant women in his country have access to these supplements: Prenatal vitamins save lives. That’s why you can find them on grocery store shelves in wealthy nations. But for women in low- and middle-income countries, like Rwanda, they are at once more essential and harder to find. That’s because the nutrients that build a baby’s brain—folic acid, iron, zinc, and iodine, as well as protein and fatty acids—are often limited in our local food supply. And when pregnant women do get nutrition supplementation, it's likely just folic acid and iron. The consequences are real and tragic. Here in Rwanda, nearly a quarter of pregnant women are anemic—which can lead to deadly complications for both mother and baby. Neonatal mortality is common. And for the babies who survive, around one-third will experience stunting. That means too many children don’t get the chance to grow up and realize their potential—and Rwanda doesn’t get to benefit from the full expression of their talents. In partnership with UNICEF, my colleagues at the Ministry of Health and the Rwanda Biomedical Centre set out to do something about it. In the seven districts with the highest rates of stunted growth, we have started giving expectant mothers [multiple] micronutrient supplementation (MMS) with 15 essential micronutrients proven to reduce low birthweight, anemia, infant mortality, and stillbirths. Health care workers are providing women with the one pill that can help them stay healthy during pregnancy and give their children a better start in life. Since we started distributing MMS in January, we’ve already reached over 50,000 women. Down the line, MMS+, which adds in two other nutrients that promote fetal growth, has the potential to accelerate our progress even further. When we set a child on a trajectory for healthy growth, we do the same for our whole country. MMS, and soon MMS+, help us all thrive. FINANCING PROGRESS THROUGH THE CHILD NUTRITION FUND Although all of the interventions we’ve covered have life-saving potential on a global scale, without resources and extensible plans for implementation behind them, they would be little more than good ideas. That’s why the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation worked with UNICEF and other partners to launch the Child Nutrition Fund—a new financing mechanism designed to bring these innovative solutions to life and transform the way the world addresses child malnutrition. Before the Child Nutrition Fund, there was no dedicated platform to coordinate efforts to address child malnutrition, to encourage domestic funding, or to support local production of the nutrient-rich foods and food supplements children need most. The Child Nutrition Fund provides solutions to all three of these problems, in one place. And we know it will be effective, because we’ve already seen these financing mechanisms in action—the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis, and Malaria is a great example. It is one of the fastest-scaling, most effective institutions ever created. The interventions it has funded and deployed have saved nearly 60 million lives. Now, the Child Nutrition Fund is using a similar approach to attack child malnutrition, head-on, in partnership with countries around the world. Dr. Víctor Aguayo, UNICEF Read his story Close © Getty Images, Bangladesh Dr. Victor Aguayo, director of child nutrition and development, UNICEF, leads that organization’s nutrition efforts to ensure children not only survive, but thrive: The Child Nutrition Fund could be a game changer. It holds the potential to address the child malnutrition crisis and transform philanthropy for maternal and child nutrition. Historically, the world of maternal and child nutrition has been overly reliant on the generosity of global donors. This strategy has created a boom to address some nutrition challenges but has also left critical areas of work inevitably neglected, particularly those related to the early prevention of malnutrition among the most vulnerable children: the youngest, the poorest, and those left behind by socio-economic inequities. Public and private donors have their hearts in the right place, but that doesn’t mean they always know how to put their resources in the right place. Some nutrition programs receive most of the global funding, while other nutrition interventions can’t get off the ground in key geographic areas or for critical population groups where the early prevention, detection, and treatment of child malnutrition is urgent. Simply put, we have long needed a different approach to accelerate our response to the global child malnutrition crisis and a way to fund global maternal and child nutrition efforts sustainably at scale. The Child Nutrition Fund is that new approach. It’s targeted, it’s sustainable—and most importantly, it works. Since launching last year, we’ve already seen it drive remarkable progress. For example, in Mauritania, it was able to support and complement national efforts and resources to cover 100% of the financial needs for ready-to-use therapeutic foods for the treatment of severe wasting in young children. And in Bangladesh and Indonesia, it will allow national programs to progressively reach universal coverage of all pregnant women with multiple micronutrient supplements—in what would become two of the largest maternal nutrition programs for the prevention of maternal anemia and low birthweight in the world. That early success is truly incredible—as is the immediate buy-in by the host governments we work with. It’s why I’ve never been more hopeful about our chances of solving child malnutrition around the world for good, thanks to the Child Nutrition Fund. IN RICH COUNTRIES AND POOR ONES, THE FUTURE OF HUMAN PROGRESS DEPENDS ON WHAT’S HAPPENING IN OUR GUTS. THE MICROBIOME: THE NEXT NUTRITION FRONTIER A FINAL WORD FROM BILL GATES “A pregnant woman eats for two” is a common saying. But doctors have realized it needs updating. A pregnant woman is actually eating for three ... trillion: herself, her child, and the vast network of microorganisms that lives inside her digestive tract. Around 15 years ago, researchers began to suspect that the bacteria that live in your gut—your microbiome—may play a crucial role in health after noticing that oral childhood vaccines like polio weren’t as effective in places with high rates of malnutrition. A series of succeeding studies revealed the fundamental problem: When undernourished children are exposed to too many pathogens in their environment, they can get what we call “environmental enteric dysfunction.” To oversimplify a very complex set of processes: Their guts become inflamed, their intestines get blunted, and they struggle to absorb nutrients. In other words, a child with an unhealthy microbiome can eat a full and healthy diet—but still be undernourished. This discovery has changed the way the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation thinks about nutrition. We still support work in agricultural development and a diversity of nutritious, affordable food for a healthy diet because making sure there is enough food to eat has to be the starting point. But it’s no longer the end point. Today, we are also thinking about how to improve gut health to make sure children can absorb nutrients, develop strong immune systems, and grow as they should to thrive. Clockwise: © Gates Archive / Ryan Lobo, India © Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation / Patrick Meinhardt, Kenya © Gates Archive / Diana Zeyneb Alhindawi, Rwanda Just a few years ago, researchers hoped to identify a gold-standard microbiome: the precise contents of a healthy gut that applied to everyone, everywhere. We know now that what we really need to understand is how these metabolic networks function and design diets to complement and feed our gut bacteria. For example, we know that certain locally appropriate therapeutic foods, like specific sugars in green bananas in Bangladesh, appear to work especially well because they feed not only the child, but also the bacteria in their gut. There is still so much we don’t know about these networks, but the good news is that they might be relatively easy to understand in children relative to adults. Compared to the adult microbiome, which contains 100 trillion cells, the infant microbiome starts out simple. We now know that early-in-life microbes need to colonize the gut in a very specific sequence to pave the way for healthy growth, development, and immune function. During this early life stage, the infant microbiome is more easily molded. And once it sets, it impacts us for the rest of our lives. This research isn’t just useful for addressing malnutrition in low-income nations. It has huge implications for the overnutrition problem in wealthy countries. In the United States, an estimated 60% of the population is overweight or obese, often because of high-fat, high-sugar diets. These diets alter the biology of the gut and lead to inflammation. In rich countries and poor ones, we’re realizing that the future of human progress depends on what’s happening in our guts. It’s a thrilling time to be standing at the frontier of nutrition. We’re on the cusp of unlocking not only a deeper understanding of the microbiome—but with it, solutions that could forever change how the world treats malnutrition, our most pervasive health crisis. But this will only be possible if the world commits to funding the progress of the future today. That starts with a commitment that no child should die before their fifth birthday. That’s a commitment the world has made before. Halving the rate of under-5 child mortality was perhaps humanity’s most important achievement—and we can do it again, if countries around the world do three things. First, they must maintain their global health funding. Second, they must commit to fully replenishing Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, and the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis, and Malaria—organizations that have the hard-earned know-how to distribute vaccines, drugs, and other medical breakthroughs to the people who need them most. And third, they must immediately address the growing threat of child malnutrition. We have a new funding mechanism, the Child Nutrition Fund, that has great potential to focus resources where they are needed most. If we do these three things, we won’t just usher in a new global health boom and save millions of lives—we’ll also prove that humanity can still rise to meet our greatest challenges. A SPECIAL NOTE FROM MARCUS SAMUELSSON, AWARD-WINNING CHEF AND PHILANTHROPIST © Samuelsson Group, New York City, NY I was born in Ethiopia, in a small farming village called Abrugandana. When I was two, a tuberculosis outbreak hit. My mother got sick, I got sick, and so did my sister Fantaye. When our health took a turn for the worse, the three of us made the 75-mile journey to the hospital in Addis Ababa, on foot. I don’t know how my mother managed to get us there while barely able to breathe—but I do know that she never left the hospital alive. And I also know that Fantaye’s and my survival was a miracle, especially because tuberculosis was not the only thing ravaging my body. Long before the outbreak, Ethiopia had been plagued by malnutrition. And because we were extremely poor, without access to the milk, food, or nutrients my growing body needed, I was not immune. At 2 1/2 years old, I weighed just 22 pounds—the average size of a 12-month-old child. Today, there are still millions of malnourished children around the world, just like I was. But I was lucky. Because I was given a rare chance at a better life—and a better, more nutritious diet. After being adopted by two incredible parents, my sister and I were raised in Sweden. In our house, taste and nutrition went hand in hand. And over time, I grew to understand that it’s not just about how much you eat, it’s also about what you eat. That knowledge formed the foundation of my personal journey through food. It’s why, in my restaurants, our menus feature locally grown and nutrient-rich ingredients. And it’s why I believe my responsibility as a chef is bigger than just making good food. It’s also about giving voice to the idea that having access to a nutritious diet is a basic human right. For millions of children around the world, that right is being denied. They are not getting the nutrients they need to grow, develop, and thrive—a reality that will only get worse as the effects of climate change intensify. That is both an outrage and a tragedy, because malnutrition is so thoroughly preventable. That’s why I’m grateful that The Gates Foundation is confronting this crisis head-on. The work they’re doing is critical. It will help ensure that millions of children can unlock their full potential—just as I was able to. EXPLORE THE DATA Each year, Goalkeepers share the latest estimates on 18 indicators, ranging from poverty to education. These indicators help us understand the progress toward the Sustainable Development Goals—where innovation and investment are creating bright spots, and where we’re collectively falling short. These data remind us that progress is possible but not inevitable. But with just six years remaining, the world is off track. Urgent action is needed to meet the SDG targets and create a more equitable and safe future for all by 2030. No Poverty POVERTY Population below the international poverty line Line chart showing the percentage of the global population living below the international poverty line (US$2.15/day), also known as extreme poverty, from 1981 to 2022. Rates of extreme poverty have declined from 44% in 1981 to 9% in 2022. 1981 2022 2022 8.95% 8.95% Close No Poverty POVERTY SDG TARGET 1.1 Eradicate extreme poverty for all people everywhere. Zero Hunger STUNTING Stunting among children under age 5 Line chart showing the global prevalence of stunting among children under age five from 1990 to 2023, with projected scenarios to 2030. In 2023, an estimated 24% of children under 5 are stunted; at the current pace of progress, the 2030 projection estimates that 23% of children will be stunted—missing the target of 15% by 2030. 1990 2023 2030 Target 24% 24% 15%21% 23% 25% Close Zero Hunger STUNTING SDG TARGET 2.2 End all forms of malnutrition, including achieving, by 2025, the internationally agreed-upon targets on stunting and wasting in children under 5. Zero Hunger AGRICULTURE Rate of income growth of small-scale producers, 2014–2019 Bar chart showing the average annual income growth rate from agriculture for smallholder food producers in 14 selected countries. 0.5x 1.5x 2x Target 1x No growth 1x No growth 1x No growth 1x No growth Close Zero Hunger AGRICULTURE SDG TARGET 2.3 Double the agricultural productivity and incomes of smallholder food producers, in particular women, indigenous peoples, family farmers, pastoralists, and fishers. Good Health & Well-Being MATERNAL MORTALITY Maternal deaths per 100,000 live births Line chart showing the global maternal mortality ratio from 1990 to 2023, with projected scenarios to 2030. In 2023, an estimated 139 maternal deaths per 100,000 live births occurred; at the current pace of progress, the 2030 projection estimates 125 maternal deaths per 100,000 live births—missing the target of 70 maternal deaths per 100,000 live births by 2030. 1990 2023 2030 Target 139 139 70101 125 174 Close Good Health & Well-Being MATERNAL MORTALITY SDG TARGET 3.1 Reduce the global maternal mortality ratio to less than 70 per 100,000 live births. Good Health & Well-Being UNDER-5 MORTALITY Under-5 deaths per 1,000 live births Line chart showing the global under-5 mortality rate from 1990 to 2023, with projected scenarios to 2030. In 2023, an estimated 36 under-5 deaths per 1,000 live births occurred; the 2030 projection estimates 31 under-5 deaths per 1,000 live births—missing the target of 25 under-5 deaths per 1,000 live births by 2030. 1990 2023 2030 Target 36 36 2527 31 35 Close Good Health & Well-Being UNDER-5 MORTALITY SDG TARGET 3.2 End preventable deaths of children under 5 years of age, with all countries aiming to reduce under-5 mortality to at least as low as 25 per 1,000 live births. Good Health & Well-Being NEONATAL MORTALITY Neonatal deaths per 1,000 live births Line chart showing the global neonatal mortality rate from 1990 to 2023, with projected scenarios to 2030. In 2023, an estimated 17 neonatal deaths per 1,000 live births occurred; the 2030 projection estimates 15 neonatal deaths per 1,000 live births—missing the target of 12 neonatal deaths per 1,000 live births by 2030. 1990 2023 2030 Target 17 17 1213 15 17 Close Good Health & Well-Being NEONATAL MORTALITY SDG TARGET 3.2 End preventable deaths of newborns, with all countries aiming to reduce neonatal mortality to at least as low as 12 per 1,000 live births. Good Health & Well-Being HIV New cases of HIV per 1,000 people Line chart showing the new global cases of HIV per 1,000 people from 1990 to 2023, with projected scenarios to 2030. The 2023 global estimate is 0.23 new cases of HIV per 1,000 people; the 2030 projection estimates 0.21 new cases of HIV per 1,000 people—missing the target of 0.02 new cases of HIV per 1,000 people. 1990 2023 2030 Target 0.23 0.23 0.020.16 0.21 0.23 Close Good Health & Well-Being HIV SDG TARGET 3.3 End the epidemics of AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria, and neglected tropical diseases and combat hepatitis, water-borne diseases, and other communicable diseases. Good Health & Well-Being TUBERCULOSIS New cases of tuberculosis per 100,000 people Line chart showing new global cases of tuberculosis per 100,000 people from 1990 to 2023, with projected scenarios to 2030. The 2023 global estimate is 119 new cases of tuberculosis per 100,000 people; at the current pace of progress, the 2030 projection estimates 107 new cases of tuberculosis per 100,000 people—missing the target of 20 new cases per 100,000 people. 1990 2023 2030 Target 119 119 2095 107 120 Close Good Health & Well-Being TUBERCULOSIS SDG TARGET 3.3 End the epidemics of AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria, and neglected tropical diseases and combat hepatitis, water-borne diseases, and other communicable diseases. Good Health & Well-Being MALARIA New cases of malaria per 1,000 people Line chart showing new global cases of malaria per 1,000 people from 1990 to 2023, with projected scenarios to 2030. The 2023 global estimate is 32 new cases of malaria per 1,000 people; the 2030 projection estimates new cases will remain unchanged until 2030—missing the target of nine new cases per 1,000 people. 1990 2023 2030 Target 32 32 925 31 35 Close Good Health & Well-Being MALARIA SDG TARGET 3.3 End the epidemics of AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria, and neglected tropical diseases and combat hepatitis, water-borne diseases, and other communicable diseases. Good Health & Well-Being NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES Prevalence of 15 NTDs per 100,000 people Line chart showing the global prevalence of 15 neglected tropical diseases (NTDs) per 100,000 people from 1990 to 2023, with projected scenarios to 2030. The 2023 global estimate is 13,277 cases of 15 NTDs per 100,000 people; the 2030 projection estimates 10,604 cases of 15 NTDs per 100,000 people. 1990 2023 2030 13.3k 13.3k 9.2k 10.6k 13.4k Close Good Health & Well-Being NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES SDG TARGET 3.3 End the epidemics of AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria, and neglected tropical diseases (NTDs) and combat hepatitis, water-borne diseases, and other communicable diseases. Good Health & Well-Being FAMILY PLANNING Percentage of family planning needs met with modern methods Line chart showing the global percentage of women of reproductive age (ages 15 to 49), who have their need for family planning satisfied with modern methods from 1990 to 2023, with projected scenarios to 2030. The 2023 global estimate is 78% of women have their need for family planning satisfied; the 2030 projection estimates the percentage of women who have their need for family planning met increases slightly to 79% by 2030—missing the target of ensure all women of reproductive age have their need for family planning satisfied with modern methods. 1990 2023 2030 Target 78% 78% 76% 79% 81% 100% Close Good Health & Well-Being FAMILY PLANNING SDG TARGET 3.7 Ensure universal access to sexual and reproductive health care services, including those for family planning. Good Health & Well-Being UNIVERSAL HEALTH COVERAGE UHC effective coverage index score Line chart showing the global performance score of the universal health coverage (UHC) effective coverage index from 1990 to 2023, with projected scenarios to 2030. The 2023 global estimate is a performance score of 61; the 2030 projection estimates a performance score of 63 by 2030—missing the target of 100. 1990 2023 2030 Target 61 61 61 63 65 100 Close Good Health & Well-Being UNIVERSAL HEALTH COVERAGE SDG TARGET 3.8 Achieve universal health coverage for all. Good Health & Well-Being SMOKING Prevalence among people ages 15 and older Line chart showing global age-standardized smoking prevalence among people ages 15 and older from 1990 to 2023, with projected scenarios to 2030. In 2023, smoking prevalence among people ages 15 and older was 18%; the 2030 projection estimates 17% smoking prevalence among people ages 15 and older. 1990 2023 2030 18% 18% 16% 17% 18% Close Good Health & Well-Being SMOKING SDG TARGET 3.A Strengthen the implementation of the World Health Organization Framework Convention on Tobacco Control in all countries. Good Health & Well-Being VACCINES Coverage of DTP (third dose) Line chart showing the global coverage for diphtheria, tetanus, and pertussis (DTP) third-dose vaccine from 1990 to 2023, with projected scenarios to 2030. The 2023 global estimate is 80% coverage. At the current pace of progress, the 2030 projection estimates 84% coverage by 2030. 1990 2023 2030 80% 80% 74% 84% 93% Close Good Health & Well-Being VACCINES SDG TARGET 3.B Support the research and development of vaccines and medicines for the communicable and noncommunicable diseases that primarily affect developing countries and provide access to affordable essential medicines and vaccines. Quality Education EDUCATION Children who cannot read and understand a simple text by age 10 Line chart showing global and regional rates of learning poverty for pre-pandemic years 2015 and 2019, with post-pandemic simulations for the year 2022. Pre-pandemic, learning poverty rates in low- and middle-income countries were 53% in 2015 and 57% in 2019. Simulations for 2022 estimate learning poverty rates in low- and middle-income countries have increased to 70%. 2015 2019 2022 48% 48% 51.9% 51.9% 62.4%64.3%65.5% Close Quality Education EDUCATION SDG TARGET 4.1 Ensure that all girls and boys complete free, equitable, and quality primary and secondary education leading to relevant and effective learning outcomes. Gender Equality GENDER EQUALITY SDG Gender Index score Line chart showing the global SDG Gender Index score from 2015 to 2022 with projections to 2030. In 2022, the score was 66, with a 2030 projection of 69—with global gender equality only achieved in the 22nd century. 2015 2019 2022 2030 64 65 66 69 Close Gender Equality GENDER EQUALITY SDG TARGET 5 Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls. Clean Water and Sanitation SANITATION Population using safely managed sanitation Line chart showing the global proportion of the population using safely managed sanitation from 1990 to 2023, with projected scenarios to 2030. The 2023 global estimate is 63% of the population using safely managed sanitation; the 2030 projection estimates 68% of the population using safely managed sanitation—missing the target of 100%. 1990 2023 2030 Target 63% 63% 66% 68% 70% 100% Close Clean Water and Sanitation SANITATION SDG TARGET 6.2 Achieve access to adequate and equitable sanitation and hygiene for all and end open defecation, paying special attention to the needs of women and girls and those in vulnerable situations. Decent Work and Economic Growth INCLUSIVE FINANCIAL SYSTEMS Adult financial account ownership Line chart showing the percentage of adults (ages 15 and older) with an account at a financial institution or with a mobile-money service provider, aggregated by country-level income and gender, for the years 2011, 2014, 2017, and 2021. Global estimates for account ownership by adults increased from 51% in 2011 to 76% in 2021. 2011 2014 2017 2021 51% 62% 69% 76% Close Decent Work and Economic Growth INCLUSIVE FINANCIAL SYSTEMS SDG TARGET 8.10 Strengthen the capacity of domestic financial institutions to encourage and expand access to banking, insurance, and financial services for all. Read the full methodology description and data sources Sign up for The Optimist newsletter Subscribe to The Optimist to get weekly updates on the latest in global health, gender equality, education, and more. 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