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Economy


HOW USEFUL ARE RBI’S INFLATION SURVEYS?

Deepa Vasudevan 3 min read 05 Jun 2023, 11:33 PM IST
Inflation


SUMMARY

The RBI conducts a bimonthly survey to assess how households perceive inflation.
But households tend to severely overestimate inflation. Since inflation
perceptions shape decisions to spend and invest, it’s important for the surveys
to hold greater meaning.

When the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raised interest rates last year, its aim
was to curb inflation. The key link in the transmission from rate hikes to lower
prices is inflation expectations: households and corporates have to be convinced
that inflation will be brought under control, so that they are motivated to
consume and invest. To this end, the RBI conducts a bi-monthly Inflation
Expectations Survey of Households (IESH), in which it asks a sample of
households about their views on current and future price movements.
Unfortunately, the results have not served this purpose very well.

 

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