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FBI FINDS VIOLENT CRIME DECLINED IN 2023. HERE’S WHAT TO KNOW ABOUT THE REPORT

FILE - An FBI seal is seen on a wall on Aug. 10, 2022, in Omaha, Neb. Violent
crime in the US dropped again in 2023, according to FBI statistics that show a
continued trend downward after a coronavirus pandemic-era crime spike. The
report released Monday shows overall violent crime ticked down an estimated 3%
in 2023 from the year before, according to the FBI. (AP Photo/Charlie
Neibergall, File)

Read More
By  ALANNA DURKIN RICHER
Updated [hour]:[minute] [AMPM] [timezone], [monthFull] [day], [year] Updated
7:59 PM MESZ, September 23, 2024
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WASHINGTON (AP) — Violent crime in the U.S. dropped in 2023, according to FBI
statistics that show a continued trend downward after a coronavirus pandemic-era
crime spike.

Overall violent crime declined an estimated 3% in 2023 from the year before,
according to the FBI report Monday. Murders and non-negligent manslaughter
dropped nearly 12%.

Violent crime has become a focal point in the 2024 presidential race, with
former President Donald Trump recently claiming that crime is “through the roof”
under President Joe Biden’s administration. Even with the 2020 pandemic surge,
violent crime is down dramatically from the 1990s.

Here’s what to know about the FBI’s report and the state of crime in the U.S.:

_____


THE NUMBERS

Crime surged during the coronavirus pandemic, with homicides increasing nearly
30% in 2020 over the previous year — the largest one-year jump since the FBI
began keeping records. The rise defied easy explanation, though experts said
possible contributors included the massive disruption of the pandemic, gun
violence, worries about the economy and intense stress.



Violent crime across the U.S. dipped to near pre-pandemic levels in 2022,
according to the FBI’s data. It continued to tick down last year, with the rate
falling from about 377 violent crimes per 100,000 people to in 2022 to about 364
per 100,000 people in 2023. That’s just slightly higher than the 2019 rate,
according to Deputy Assistant Director Brian Griffith of the FBI’s Criminal
Justice Information Services Division.

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images

“Are we looking at crime rates at a return to pre-pandemic levels? I think a
reasonable person would look at that and say, ‘Yes, that’s what has happened,’”
Griffith said in an interview with The Associated Press.



Law enforcement agencies in the biggest municipalities in the U.S. — communities
with at least 1,000,000 people — showed the biggest drop in violent crime last
year — nearly 7%. Agencies in communities between 250,000 and 499,999 people
reported a slight increase — 0.3%— between 2022 and 2023.



Rapes decreased more than 9% while aggravated assault decreased nearly 3%.
Overall property crime decreased more than 2%, but motor vehicle theft shot up
nearly 13%. The motor vehicle theft rate — nearly 319 per 100,000 people — was
the highest last year since 2007.


THE LIMITATIONS OF THE FBI’S DATA

The FBI collects data through its Uniform Crime Reporting Program, and not all
law enforcement agencies in the U.S. participate. The 2023 report is based on
data from more than 16,000 agencies, or more than 85 percent of those agencies
in the FBI’s program. The agencies included in the report protect nearly 316
million people across the U.S. And every agency with at least 1 million people
in its jurisdiction provided a full year of data to the FBI, according to the
report.

“What you’re not seeing in that number are a lot of very small agencies,”
Griffith said.


OTHER CRIME REPORTS

The FBI’s report is in line with the findings of the nonpartisan Council on
Criminal Justice, which earlier this year analyzed crimes rates across 39 U.S
cities, and found that most violent crimes are at or below 2019 levels. That
group found there were 13 percent fewer homicides across 29 cities that provided
data during the first half of 2024 compared the same period the year before.



On the campaign trail, Trump has cited another recent Justice Department survey
to suggest the crime is out of control under the Biden administration.

That National Crime Victimization Survey, released earlier this month, shows
that the violent crime victimization rate rose from about 16 per 1,000 people in
2020 to 22.5 in 2023. But the report notes that the rate last year was not
statistically different from the rate in 2019 — when Trump was president. And
the rate has declined dramatically overall since the 1990s.

The FBI’s report and the National Crime Victimization Survey use different
methodologies and capture different things.

The victimization survey is conducted every year through interviews with about
240,000 people to determine whether they were victims of crimes. While the FBI’s
data only includes crimes reported to police, the victimization survey also aims
to capture crimes that were not.



Because it’s done through interviews with victims, the victimization survey
doesn’t include data on murders. And it only captures crimes against people ages
12 and over.


    
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