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Submission: On September 02 via manual from IN — Scanned from DE
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Skip to main content SEARCH FORM Search * Home * Who We Are * Research * Publications * Get Involved * Planned Giving * Donate Iran, Russia, and the Syrian Regime are Coordinating to Expel US Forces from Syria A new report on the situation in Syria by Andie Parry, Ashka Jhaveri, Johanna Moore, and Brian Carter August 3, 2023 How the Ukraine Counteroffensive Can Still Succeed The situation in Ukraine still favors Kyiv despite limited progress made in the counteroffensive so far. Read ISW's latest op-ed in TIME. Follow ISW on social media Keep up to date with all of ISW's daily updates, reports, and Briefing Room videos by follow us on our social media platforms: Coalition Defense of Taiwan This page collects links to products and other resources related to the Coalition Defense of Taiwan, a new collaboration between the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI) Interactive Time Lapse - One Year of War See ISW’s archive of interactive time-lapse maps of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. These maps complement the static control-of-terrain maps that ISW produces daily by showing a dynamic frontline. ISW will add new time-lapses to our on a monthly basis. 12345 LATEST FROM ISW IRAN UPDATE, SEPTEMBER 1, 2023 Sep 1, 2023 - Press ISW Key Takeaways Iran and the Syrian regime are exploiting instability in eastern Syria to pose a greater threat to US forces there. The Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps and Lebanese Hezbollah (LH) trained Russian forces in Syria to operate Iranian-made drones. Iranian Foreign Affairs Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian discussed anti-Israel operations with leaders from the Axis of Resistance in Beirut. The Ebrahim Raisi administration is continuing to set conditions to resume nuclear negotiations with the West to achieve a comprehensive deal. * Read more about Iran Update, September 1, 2023 CHINA-TAIWAN WEEKLY UPDATE, AUGUST 31, 2023 Sep 1, 2023 - Press ISW Key Takeaways Foxconn founder Guo Taiming (Terry Gou) announced his campaign for president of the Republic of China (ROC) as an independent candidate. His entrance will likely further divide non-Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) voters, thereby increasing the chance of the DPP candidate Lai Ching-te (William Lai) winning the race. The Central American Parliament expelled the ROC as an observer. This advances a CCP coercion campaign to politically control Taiwan. The People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) began employing new flight patterns on August 24 in the Republic of China (Taiwan) air defense identification zone (ADIZ) likely to complicate and reduce Taiwan’s decision response timeline. * Read more about China-Taiwan Weekly Update, August 31, 2023 RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, SEPTEMBER 1, 2023 Sep 1, 2023 - Press ISW Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence (GUR) Head Kyrylo Budanov reported that the Russian military deployed elements of a newly created “reserve army” (the 25th CAA) to enable units currently on the frontline in Luhansk Oblast to laterally redeploy to defend against the Ukrainian counteroffensive in southern Ukraine. Budanov stated on August 31 that the Russian military deployed elements of the newly formed 25th Combined Arms Army (reportedly formed under the Eastern Military District) to replace elements of the 41st Combined Arms Army (Central Military District) in the Kupyansk direction, and that these elements of the 41st Combined Arms Army (CAA) began a “slow” redeployment to an unspecified area in southern Ukraine. Elements of the 41st CAA’s 35th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade and 90th Tank Division participated in the failed Russian winter 2023 offensive operation in Luhansk Oblast and have continued limited offensive activity along the Svatove-Kreminna line through now. These units are likely degraded and have been operating without brigade and regiment level rotations like many frontline Russian units throughout the theater. ISW previously assessed that a lack of operational reserves would force the Russian command to conduct further lateral redeployments and make tough decisions about what sectors of the front to prioritize.The Russian military command appears to have deployed elements of the newly formed and likely low quality or understrength 25th CAA to Luhansk Oblast to free up the relatively more effective 41st CAA elements for southern Ukraine. Budanov added that elements of the 25th CAA are already participating in hostilities in Luhansk Oblast. * Read more about Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 1, 2023 SALAFI-JIHADI MOVEMENT WEEKLY UPDATE, AUGUST 31, 2023 Aug 31, 2023 - Press ISW Iraq and Syria. Local tribes are resisting the Syrian Democratic Forces’ (SDF) campaign against the Deir ez Zor Military Council (DMC), which could enable ISIS to re-embed itself into in local Sunni Deir ez Zor tribes. Pakistan. Pakistan deployed security forces to protect state energy infrastructure from ongoing protests. The protests may continue through mid-September because the Pakistani government cannot address the issues that prompted them. Deploying additional police to address the protests could disrupt Pakistan’s counterterrorism operations against Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). Afghanistan. The Afghan Taliban are conducting an information campaign that frames Tajikistan as responsible for the actions of Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP). The framing aims to deflect responsibility for the Taliban’s inability to defeat ISKP and prevent attacks beyond Afghanistan. * Read more about Salafi-Jihadi Movement Weekly Update, August 31, 2023 IRAN UPDATE, AUGUST 31, 2023 Aug 31, 2023 - Press ISW Key Takeaways Iranian-backed militias have continued to deploy into territory held by the US-backed SDF in northeastern Syria to conduct assassinations and fuel tribal disputes. These efforts support the Iranian campaign to expel the United States from Syria. Iranian-backed militias have reportedly deployed from Iraq to Damascus for protest suppression. These deployments highlight the capacity of the IRGC to manage multiple efforts in Syria simultaneously. The Iranian foreign affairs minister affirmed Tehran's intent to maintain a long-term military presence in Syria. A senior Iranian nuclear official downplayed the threat of the Iranian nuclear program during an Arabic-language interview with Al Jazeera, possibly to assuage Saudi concerns about Iranian nuclear activities and discourage Saudi leaders from building their own program. * Read more about Iran Update, August 31, 2023 RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, AUGUST 31, 2023 Aug 31, 2023 - Press ISW Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations near Bakhmut in Donetsk Oblast and in western Zaporizhia Oblast on August 31 and reportedly advanced in both sectors of the front. The Ukrainian General Staff and Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Malyar reported that Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations in the Bakhmut and Melitopol (western Zaporizhia Oblast) directions and achieved unspecified success in the direction of Novodanylivka-Novoprokopivka (5km to 13km south of Orikhiv) in western Zaporizhia Oblast. Malyar also stated that Ukrainian forces achieved unspecified success in the Bakhmut direction. Ukrainian Chief of the Main Directorate of Missile Forces and Artillery and Unmanned Systems of the General Staff Brigadier General Serhiy Baranov stated that Ukrainian forces have reached parity in counterbattery capabilities with Russian forces. Baranov stated that NATO-provided artillery systems with ranges of 30km to 40km allow Ukrainian forces to destroy Russian artillery systems and force Russian forces to move their artillery further from the frontline. Ukrainian officials previously made statements in late July indicating that Ukraine’s interdiction campaign is successfully degrading Russian counterbattery capabilities. Russian sources have repeatedly expressed concerns since mid-July over the lack of Russian counterbattery artillery capabilities, particularly in southern Ukraine. * Read more about Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 31, 2023 SUPPORT ISW Your support makes our work possible, and helps spread a better understanding of current conflicts and emerging threats. DONATE TO ISW THE ISW BRIEFING ROOM FEATURED REPORT Ukraine Conflict Updates Aug 15, 2022 This page collects ISW and CTP's updates on the conflict in Ukraine. In late February 2022, ISW began publishing daily synthetic products covering key events related to renewed Russian aggression against Ukraine. 1400 16th Street NW, Suite 515 Washington, DC 20036 ph (202) 293-5550 ©2007 – 2023 THE INSTITUTE FOR THE STUDY OF WAR ShareThis Copy and Paste