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ON THE PATH TO POLICY NORMALIZATION

The report discusses how public finances have fluctuated with multiple shocks
since the pandemic, characterized by atypical growth, inflation dynamics, and
fiscal support to mitigate the shocks. The recent financial turmoil aggravated
an already uncertain and complex outlook with tight financing conditions and
mounting concerns for debt vulnerabilities.

READ MORE




TRADE INTEGRATION IN AFRICA: UNLEASHING THE CONTINENT'S POTENTIAL IN A CHANGING
WORLD

Trade integration through the African Continental Free Trade Area could increase
real GDP per capita, reduce poverty, and raise living standards. But unlocking
these benefits will require investment in physical and human capital, a robust
private sector, and social safety nets that support vulnerable communities.
Greater regional trade integration and policy reforms are required in this
changing world.

READ MORE




SAFEGUARDING MACROECONOMIC STABILITY AMID CONTINUED UNCERTAINTY

The economies of the Middle East and Central Asia proved resilient in 2022,
despite a series of global shocks. However, this year—and potentially
next—growth is expected to slow in the Middle East and North Africa as tight
policies to fight inflation, reduce vulnerabilities, and rebuild buffers start
to dent economic activity in many countries, and agreed oil production cuts curb
growth in oil exporters. Inflation is projected to remain persistent.

READ MORE




RECOVERY UNABATED AMID UNCERTAINTY

Economic growth has tumbled across Europe, inflation remains too high, and
financial sector risks have materialized. Taming sticky inflation while avoiding
financial stress and a recession will require tighter macroeconomic
policies—tailored to changing financial conditions, stronger financial
regulation and supervision, and bolder supply-side reforms that heal scars from
the COVID-19 and energy crises.

READ MORE




EUROPE'S BALANCING ACT: TAMING INFLATION WITHOUT A RECESSION

Economic growth has tumbled across Europe, inflation remains too high, and
financial sector risks have materialized. Taming sticky inflation while avoiding
financial stress and a recession will require tighter macroeconomic
policies—tailored to changing financial conditions, stronger financial
regulation and supervision, and bolder supply-side reforms that heal scars from
the COVID-19 and energy crises.

READ MORE




A FUNDING SQUEEZE HAS HIT THE REGION HARD

Persistent global inflation and tighter monetary policies have led to higher
borrowing costs for sub-Saharan African countries and have placed greater
pressure on exchange rates. Indeed, no country has been able to issue a Eurobond
since spring 2022. The interest burden on public debt is rising, owing to a
greater reliance on expensive market-based funding combined with a long-term
decline in aid budgets.

READ MORE




A ROCKY RECOVERY

The baseline forecast is for growth to fall from 3.4 percent in 2022 to 2.8
percent in 2023, before settling at 3.0 percent in 2024. Advanced economies are
expected to see an especially pronounced growth slowdown, from 2.7 percent in
2022 to 1.3 percent in 2023. In a plausible alternative scenario with further
financial sector stress, global growth declines to about 2.5 percent in 2023
with advanced economy growth falling below 1 percent.

READ MORE




SAFEGUARD ECONOMIC STABILITY, SUPPORT VULNERABLE COUNTRIES, SUSTAIN OUR FUTURE
PROSPERITY

The Managing Director’s latest Global Policy Agenda states the global economy is
at another highly uncertain moment. Tentative signs of stabilization earlier
this year have receded, and the outlook is increasingly risky and uncertain.

READ MORE




SAFEGUARDING FINANCIAL STABILITY AMID HIGH INFLATION AND GEOPOLITICAL RISKS

Financial stability risks have increased rapidly as the resilience of the global
financial system has been tested by higher inflation and fragmentation risks.
Chapter 1 analyzes the recent turmoil in the banking sector and the challenges
posed by the interaction between tighter monetary and financial conditions and
the buildup in vulnerabilities since the global financial crisis. Chapter 2
examines nonbank financial intermediaries (NBFIs) and the vulnerabilities that
can emerge from elevated leverage, liquidity mismatches, and high levels of
interconnectedness.

READ MORE




ON THE PATH TO POLICY NORMALIZATION

The report discusses how public finances have fluctuated with multiple shocks
since the pandemic, characterized by atypical growth, inflation dynamics, and
fiscal support to mitigate the shocks. The recent financial turmoil aggravated
an already uncertain and complex outlook with tight financing conditions and
mounting concerns for debt vulnerabilities.

READ MORE




TRADE INTEGRATION IN AFRICA: UNLEASHING THE CONTINENT'S POTENTIAL IN A CHANGING
WORLD

Trade integration through the African Continental Free Trade Area could increase
real GDP per capita, reduce poverty, and raise living standards. But unlocking
these benefits will require investment in physical and human capital, a robust
private sector, and social safety nets that support vulnerable communities.
Greater regional trade integration and policy reforms are required in this
changing world.

READ MORE


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