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Wednesday, May 15, 2024
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Russia-Ukraine War

 * Mapping Russia’s Offensive
 * Photos
 * A Crack in Ukraine’s Line
 * Using Frozen Russian Assets
 * Ukraine’s Air Defenses

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WHITE HOUSE WORRIES RUSSIA’S MOMENTUM IS CHANGING TRAJECTORY OF UKRAINE WAR

Multiple factors are helping Russia’s military advance, including a delay in
American weaponry and Moscow’s technological innovations on the battlefield.

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In recent days, Moscow’s troops have opened a new push against the country’s
second-biggest city, Kharkiv, forcing Ukraine to divert its already thinned-out
troops to defend an area that it took back from Russian forces in a stunning
victory in the fall of 2022. Credit...Nanna Heitmann for The New York Times

By David E. Sanger, Julian E. Barnes and Kim Barker

Reporting from Washington

Published May 14, 2024Updated May 15, 2024, 8:19 a.m. ET
Get it sent to your inbox.

Just 18 months ago, White House and Pentagon officials debated whether Russia’s
forces in Ukraine might collapse and be pushed out of the country entirely.

Now, after months of slow Russian ground advances and technological leaps in
countering American-provided arms, the Biden administration is increasingly
concerned that President Vladimir V. Putin is gathering enough momentum to
change the trajectory of the war, and perhaps reverse his once-bleak prospects.

In recent days, Moscow’s troops have opened a new push near the country’s
second-biggest city, Kharkiv, forcing Ukraine to divert its already thinned-out
troops to defend an area that it took back from Russian forces in a stunning
victory in the fall of 2022.

Artillery and drones provided by the United States and NATO have been taken out
by Russian electronic warfare techniques, which came to the battlefield late but
have proven surprisingly effective. And a monthslong debate in Washington about
whether to send Ukraine a $61 billion package of arms and ammunition created an
opening that Russia has clearly exploited, even though Congress ultimately
passed the legislation.




In interviews, American officials express confidence that many of these Russian
gains are reversible once the spigot of new arms is fully opened, most likely
sometime in July, and President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine finds ways to
bring more — and younger — troops to the front lines. But they are hesitant to
offer predictions of where the battle lines may stand even a few months from
now, or whether Mr. Zelensky will be able to mount his long-delayed
counteroffensive next year, after one last spring fizzled.

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David E. Sanger covers the Biden administration and national security. He has
been a Times journalist for more than four decades and has written several books
on challenges to American national security. More about David E. Sanger

Julian E. Barnes covers the U.S. intelligence agencies and international
security matters for The Times. He has written about security issues for more
than two decades. More about Julian E. Barnes

Kim Barker is a Times reporter writing in-depth stories about national issues.
More about Kim Barker

A version of this article appears in print on May 15, 2024, Section A, Page 1 of
the New York edition with the headline: Russia’s Gains In War Worry U.S.
Officials. Order Reprints | Today’s Paper | Subscribe
See more on: U.S. Politics, Russia-Ukraine War, President Joe Biden, Vladimir
Putin
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