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AGING, OUTDATED TECHNOLOGY LEAVES AIR TRAVEL AT RISK OF MELTDOWN

By Brian Fung, CNN
Updated 3:53 PM EST, Fri January 13, 2023
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Washington CNN  — 

The massively disruptive computer outage at the Federal Aviation Administration
this week that caused thousands of cancelled or delayed flights has put
Americans uncomfortably face-to-face with the technology behind US air travel —
for at least the second time in a month.

As the country once again picks up the pieces, beleaguered air travelers may be
wondering why flying suddenly seems so vulnerable to devastating IT problems.

A United Airlines plane departs Newark Liberty International Airport on January
11, 2023.
Kena Betancur/AFP/Getty Images

US air travel is slowly getting back to normal after a day of chaos

The answer involves not just aging hardware and software, but also institutional
failures that have made updating the technology more challenging, according to
current and former industry officials, government reports and outside analysts.

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Over the years — and in the face of exploding demand for air travel —
bureaucratic snafus and deferred maintenance have contributed to an increasingly
brittle system, even as it grows ever more sophisticated with far more points of
failure than many consumers may realize.

Southwest Airlines’ recent days-long collapse of its entire system — in the
middle of a winter storm and during the most critical travel period of the year,
no less — and Wednesday’s widespread flight disruptions may have put many of
these problems front and center for US passengers, but they are just the latest
manifestation of a longstanding and enormously complicated issue.


AIRLINE TRAVELERS GET A MONTH FROM HELL

The glitch at the center of this week’s headache was a corrupted database file
in a pilots’ advisory system that issues warnings, known as NOTAMs, of various
hazards that could affect a flight, ranging from notices of closed runways to
the presence of nearby construction equipment. The damaged file was also present
in the FAA’s backup system, a source familiar with the matter told CNN, which
first reported the detail on Wednesday.

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Officials moved to reboot the main NOTAM system early Wednesday morning, but it
failed to be completely restored by the time rush hour began on the East Coast,
leading to the FAA ground stop. A senior US official told CNN Wednesday there
was no evidence of foul play in the incident, a detail the FAA later publicly
confirmed.

A Southwest Airlines passenger jet takes off from Chicago's Midway Airport as
flight delays stemming from a computer outage at the Federal Aviation
Administration brought departures to a standstill across the U.S earlier
Wednesday, Jan. 11, 2023, in Chicago.
Charles Rex Arbogast/AP

“The FAA is continuing a thorough review to determine the root cause of the
Notice to Air Missions (NOTAM) system outage,” the agency said in a statement
Wednesday evening. “Our preliminary work has traced the outage to a damaged
database file. At this time, there is no evidence of a cyberattack. The FAA is
working diligently to further pinpoint the causes of this issue and take all
needed steps to prevent this kind of disruption from happening again.”

The FAA said Thursday evening that the data file “was damaged by personnel who
failed to follow procedures.”

The NOTAM issue occurred just days after the FAA had said an “air traffic
computer issue” was responsible for hours-long flight delays to Florida airports
on Jan. 2. That system, known as ERAM, is responsible for tracking hundreds of
flights at a time and is considered a critical component of the FAA’s efforts to
modernize the US airspace.

In the case of Southwest, outdated scheduling systems that could not
automatically adjust to disruptions caused by severe winter weather required
painstaking manual intervention, which made the weather-related problems at that
airline particularly pronounced.


‘OLD, OLD SYSTEMS’

Despite moving to modernize their equipment, in some cases airlines and the US
government may still be reliant on technology that could be years or even
decades old.

The FAA software that failed this week is 30 years old and at least six years
away from being updated, a US government official told CNN on Thursday, though
Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has pushed to accelerate that timeline
since the meltdown, the official said.

Travelers walk as a video board shows flight delays and cancellations at Ronald
Reagan Washington National Airport in Arlington, Va., Wednesday, Jan. 11, 2023.
Patrick Semansky/AP

FAA is years away from upgrading the system that grounded all US flights

The notices issued by FAA’s NOTAM system are “Jurassic,” said Kathleen Bangs, a
former airline pilot and aviation expert. “It’s a clumsy system that often
over-burdens pilots with pages and pages of less-than-urgent notices, written in
archaic code that sometimes buries that one, critical piece of safety
information a pilot really needs.”

The FAA has acknowledged the NOTAM system’s age. In its most recent budget
request to Congress, the agency called for money to help “eliminate the failing
vintage hardware” behind it.

As early as 2012, the FAA decided it wanted to replace aging legacy voice
switches used in air traffic control communications with new, internet-based
communications technology. But thanks to a contracting dispute, the FAA now
intends to keep using the old switches until at least 2030, according to a
Transportation Department Inspector General report last year.

A traveler looks at a flight information board at Ronald Reagan Washington
National Airport on January 11, 2023 in Arlington, Virginia.
Alex Wong/Getty Images

The ERAM air traffic system at the center of the disruptions on Jan. 2 is much
younger, and only became fully operational in 2015. But according to a 2020
Inspector General report, the system was supposed to have been fully implemented
five years prior, as a replacement to another system that had already been
running for more than 40 years. The FAA is currently working to update ERAM’s
hardware and software, following at least seven ERAM failures since 2014, a
track record that has prompted congressional scrutiny. But it may not be until
2026 that the ERAM upgrade is complete, according to the 2020 report.

Meanwhile, many of the IT systems that airlines depend upon were custom-built
long ago, with some running on legacy mainframe computers, and weren’t designed
to handle enormous surges of incoming information, aviation experts said.

“This is not your standard Windows server or modern VMware architecture,” said
Seth Miller, an IT consultant, aviation journalist and editor of the travel
publication PaxExAero. “These are old, old systems.”

As a result, acute crises can easily overwhelm these fragile setups, according
to an aviation industry official, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss
the issue more freely.

“These systems were built at a time when the airlines may have been smaller, and
they weren’t necessarily built to handle so much data coming in at once,” the
official said. “When you have something like the massive winter storm over the
holidays, it cannot handle the volume of changes coming in at one time, because
it’s on a system that wasn’t built to handle that large of a moving dataset.”

It’s not always that the technology’s age is inherently a problem, industry
experts said. It’s what the age implies: An inability to scale to meet new
demand, and a lack of proper support as the rest of the world moves on. The use
of custom-built technology, as opposed to off-the-shelf solutions, exacerbates
the problem, Miller said, as maintaining it requires increasingly specialized
parts and know-how.

Trying to integrate old systems with newer ones — always in real time, because
the global aviation industry never sleeps — can also create its own
opportunities for catastrophic mistakes.


MANY WAYS TO FAIL

While all flight delays and cancellations tend to result in a similar experience
for the air traveler, the underlying source of an outage can vary wildly. Many
more things can go wrong than you might expect — highlighting the sheer
complexity of the aviation industry, and underscoring how there isn’t a quick
easy fix for IT-related travel disruptions.

Getting a flight off the ground involves a complex stew of information, industry
experts say, and disruptions in any part of that information supply chain can
cause delays.

The vulnerabilities are magnified due to the tremendous number of companies
involved in the ecosystem — not just the airlines, but their vendors, and their
vendors’ vendors.

“There’s so many various systems speaking to each other,” said Ross Feinstein, a
former spokesperson for American Airlines and the Transportation Security
Administration.

Passengers wait for their flights at LaGuardia airport in New York on January
11, 2023.
Ed Jones/AFP/Getty Images

For example, Feinstein said, the TSA vets airline manifests. “If TSA has an
outage, it halts the vetting process for reservations, which means passengers
can’t check in, and they can’t retrieve a boarding pass. It could be the weather
company has a disruption, and pilots can’t retrieve the latest weather data for
their departure, en route, or arrival.”

In 2019, computer issues at a third-party company whose flight-planning tools
help airlines calculate weight and balance for their aircraft led to delays for
multiple airlines nationwide.

In 2021, an outage at Sabre, one of the world’s largest airline reservation
companies, caused disruptions globally.

The interconnected nature of the aviation sector, involving dozens of countries,
companies, agencies and databases creates multiple points of failure. Backups
and redundancies can help, but it is still a massively complex system of
systems.


BUREAUCRATIC CHALLENGES

Beneath the surface-level symptoms of the aviation sector’s IT problems are
deeper, messier and more human challenges.

Take the FAA’s attempt to replace its air traffic voice switches. According to
the Inspector General report, a major source of the breakdown came when the FAA
and its potential vendor got into a dispute over the contract requirements. The
dispute focused on possible software defects in the new switches, and whether
the vendor could still deliver a good product on time.

Travelers looks at a flight information display listing cancelled and delayed
flights due to an FAA outage that grounded flights across the US at Ronald
Reagan Washington National Airport in Arlington, Virginia, January 11, 2023. -
The US Federal Aviation Authority said Wednesday that normal flight operations
"are resuming gradually" across the country following an overnight systems
outage that grounded departures. (Photo by SAUL LOEB / AFP) (Photo by SAUL
LOEB/AFP via Getty Images)
Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images

A corrupt file led to the FAA ground stoppage. It was also found in the backup
system

The root of the issue was not, in itself, a technological problem. It was a
procurement problem. But it has had lasting effects on FAA technology. The
contract’s eventual termination means the FAA will need to spend more than $270
million through 2030 to keep using its aging legacy voice switches, the report
said.

“Continued reliance on these switches creates the risk that communication will
be disrupted,” the report concluded.

A similar dynamic has played out in the debate over 5G wireless technology near
airports, which last year threatened to cause major disruptions. Bureaucratic
divisions and years of deferred avionics upgrades led to a crisis where US
aircraft were not equipped with technology that could handle potential 5G
interference.

Meanwhile, the FAA continues to be led by an acting administrator, and lacks a
Senate-confirmed chief. That has real-world consequences for IT upgrades and
other projects, according to a person familiar with the agency, speaking on
condition of anonymity to discuss the matter more freely.

“It’s really hard to set direction and vision when you don’t know if you’re
going to be there for a week or you’re going to be there for 18 months,” the
person said.

Much of the aviation industry’s unpaid technical debt, meanwhile, can be traced
to a spate of mergers and bankruptcies in the wake of 9/11, when many airlines
were more focused on finances than technological upgrades, said the industry
official.

That bureaucratic myopia is its own cause of today’s technological malaise in
the aviation industry. In some situations, institutional inertia and commercial
priorities have outranked investments in costly and boring infrastructure.

But the increasingly interconnected and digitized nature of the system now means
that when things go wrong, they can do so in ever more disastrous ways.

Aviation experts say only more investment, and better planning, can meet the
challenge.

“[The FAA] is doing more with less resources, and they need more funding to
modernize,” Feinstein said. “In Washington, we’ll talk about it for the next 24
to 48 hours, forget about it, and it’ll be a fight again when the FAA
reauthorization bill comes up.”

-- CNN’s Pete Muntean, Gregory Wallace and Marnie Hunter contributed to this
report


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