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THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION – STRATEGIC INTELLIGENCE
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Published: November 27, 2024 Report Code: GDTMT-TR-S574-TH
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Report Overview
* Report Overview
* Key Players
* Table of Contents
THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION STRATEGIC INTELLIGENCE REPORT OVERVIEW
The demographic transition model captures the global transition from high birth
and death rates to low birth and death rates as societies advance. Under this
model, all countries are heading toward an aging population. The model posits
that globally, societies shift from high birth and death rates to low birth and
death rates as advances in technology, education, and economic development
occur.
The demographic transition strategic intelligence market research report allows
us to predict the most likely future demographic trends.
Demographic Transition Model
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Key Stages · High Stationary
· Early Expanding
· Late Expanding
· Low Stationary
Industries Covered in the Report · Medical Devices
· Pharmaceuticals
· Heavy Industry
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STAGES OF THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION MODEL
The key stages of the demographic transition model are high stationary, early
expanding, late expanding, and low stationary. Furthermore, a few of the
recurring trends impacting the demographic transition model are migration flows,
current and future conflicts, and the climate crisis. As countries develop, they
experience a fall in birth and death rates as predicted by the demographic
transition model. This results in either a falling or stable population size
depending on whether birth rates maintain or dip below the replacement fertility
rate.
High Stationary: Beliefs that promote childbirth and prohibit contraception,
limited access to or demand for family planning, and a high infant mortality
rate are the primary causes of a high birth rate.
Late Expanding: Acceptance of family planning, lower infant mortality rate,
increased mechanization, and the changing status of women in society are the
primary causes of falling birth rate.
Countries Placed in the Demographic Transition Model
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Model, Download a Free Report Sample
RESPONSE TO THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION BY KEY INDUSTRIES
The demographic transition model allows to predict the most likely future
demographic trends. An aging population is inevitable for all nations. With this
knowledge, businesses have a sustainable window of opportunity to act. This
could mean investing in emerging technologies, launching new products, or
enacting specific employment policies. The primary industries covered in this
report are medical devices, pharmaceuticals, and heavy industry.
The Medical Devices Industry: With populations aging globally, the care of older
populations has become a growing priority. As people age, they often need
assistance with daily activities from cooking to cleaning to getting dressed.
Addressing such requirements have become very crucial, henceforth care robots
have been introduced by the medical devices industry. Care robots are a sub-type
of medical robots that help care for patients in hospitals, care homes, or
private homes by lifting them and providing medicine at the correct time. For
instance, Paro, the therapeutic robot seal was initially designed to provide
psychological support and enrichment to older users with dementia. Its role has
since expanded, and it is used by patients of all ages, including people with
autism and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD).
The Pharmaceutical Industry: A rise in multimorbidity and age-related diseases
increases the burden on healthcare systems globally. As populations age, both
the care needs of individuals and the expenditures of healthcare systems will
substantially rise. For the pharma industry, cancer drug discovery and
development is a lucrative industry with plenty of governmental and public
support. Breakthroughs in cancer treatment will be vital in addressing the
burdens of an aging population. Companies that prioritize illnesses associated
with old age within their corporate strategies will be in the strongest
positions. A few of the latest developments in cancer treatment are
Antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs), Adeno-associated viruses (AAVs) for gene
therapy, and Personalized mRNA cancer vaccines among others.
The Heavy Industry: As the mining workforce ages and fewer workers are willing
or able to carry out hazardous exploration and extraction tasks, autonomous
vehicles (AVs) present a significant opportunity to improve safety and
productivity. For example, AVs can be used in warehouses and distribution
centers for material handling.
Buy the Full Report for More Insights into the Key Industries in the Demographic
Transition Model, Download a Free Report Sample
WHAT ARE THE KEY STAGES OF THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION MODEL?
The key stages of the demographic transition model are high stationary, early
expanding, late expanding, and low stationary.
WHAT ARE THE RECURRING TRENDS IMPACTING THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION MODEL?
A few of the recurring trends impacting the demographic transition model are
migration flows, current and future conflicts, and the climate crisis.
WHAT ARE THE MAIN CAUSES OF HIGH BIRTH RATE?
Beliefs that promote childbirth and prohibit contraception, limited access to or
demand for family planning, and a high infant mortality rate are the primary
causes of a high birth rate.
SCOPE
* The demographic transition model allows us to predict the most likely future
demographic trends. An aging population is inevitable for all nations. With
this knowledge, businesses have a sustainable window of opportunity to act.
This could mean investing in emerging technologies, launching new products,
or enacting specific employment policies.
* The aging population presents threats and opportunities for all industries.
This report looks closely at the medical devices, pharmaceuticals, and heavy
industries (including manufacturing, construction, mining, power, and
agriculture).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
* Beyond the global trend towards decreasing birth and death rates, national
and regional demographics are directly impacted by four factors: migration
flows, conflict and related displacement, climate change, and national
policies, primarily those focused on fertility and childcare.
* With this forewarning of an aging population, businesses have a significant
window of opportunity to act. The aging population presents threats and
opportunities for all industries. Companies that invest in technologies such
as artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics and those that automate much of
their operations will be in the strongest positions.
REASONS TO BUY
* Demographics will be one of the most impactful themes of the next decade and
beyond. Changes in population size and distribution, the rise in financial
power of Gen Z, and the deepening problem of aging populations in developed
economies will create winners and losers across all sectors. This report
looks specifically at the issue of aging populations and how organizations
can use technology to mitigate the impact of this trend.
ABB
AIST
Astellas Pharma
AstraZeneca
Autolus Therapeutics
BHP
BioNTech
Bristol-Myers Squibb
Caterpillar
Daiichi Sankyo
DESiN
Fortescue Metals Group
Gilead
Immatics
Moderna
Pfizer
Rio Tinto
Roche
Toyota
Yankuang Energy Group
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Executive Summary
The Demographic Transition Model Explained
How Key Industries Should Respond to the Demographic Transition
Glossary
Further Reading
Thematic Research Methodology
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* ZAR — South African Rand
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