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Scope Ratings



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ITALIAN BANK QUARTERLY: BENIGN OPERATING CONDITIONS SUPPORT PERFORMANCE

With better-than-expected operating conditions, 2024 looks favourable for
Italian banks. However, latent risks persist, as evidenced by developments
around eco tax credits.

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UNITED KINGDOM: RISING DEBT A KEY LONG-TERM RATING RISK

The UK likely faces rising public-debt levels after forthcoming general
elections, given a lack of priority to change policy. Even though the UK
benefits from among the world’s most-significant debt tolerance, rising debt
poses a long-term rating risk.

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BANK CAPITAL QUARTERLY: DEALING WITH THE TBTF DILEMMA

Significant efforts have been made since the GFC to improve the supervision of
systemically important banks and address the issue of too-big-to-fail. But on
this and the effectiveness of AT1s in supporting G-SIB recovery, there is room
for improvement.

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HUNGARIAN CORPORATE BONDS: CLIFF RISK RISES FOR HIGH-YIELD ISSUERS AMID TOUGH
OPERATING CONDITIONS

Bondholders in the Hungarian National Bank’s Bond Funding for Growth programme
(‘NKP’) face a covenant-related credit challenge amid difficult domestic
economic conditions, says Scope Ratings.

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31/5/2024 Rating announcement

SCOPE DOWNGRADES VIAN’S ISSUER RATING TO BB- FROM BB AND REVISES THE OUTLOOK TO
NEGATIVE

The downgrade is driven by deteriorating credit metrics due to the demerger and
weaker operating performance. The Outlook change reflects uncertainties around
the refinancing of the unsecured bonds maturing in November 2024.

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31/5/2024 Monitoring note

SCOPE HAS COMPLETED THE MONITORING REVIEW FOR POP NPLS 2020 S.R.L. - ITALIAN NPL
ABS

No action has been taken on Class A and Class B notes issued by POP NPLs 2020
S.r.l. following the monitoring review.

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31/5/2024 Monitoring note

SCOPE PROVIDES UPDATE ON ARAGORN NPL 2018 S.R.L. AFTER SERVICER REPLACEMENT -
ITALIAN NPL ABS

The servicer’s replacement, will not result in a rating action or withdrawal of
the current class A and B notes ratings.

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31/5/2024 Research

SCOPE RATINGS PUBLISHES NEW RMBS RATING METHODOLOGY AND CALLS FOR COMMENTS

The new structured finance methodology is specific to residential
mortgage-backed securities, mainly in Europe. Scope is calling for comments
until the 1st of July 2024.

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31/5/2024 Research

RISING DEBT, GRADUAL DE-DOLLARISATION ARE GROWING RISKS FOR US SOVEREIGN RATING

The challenges of dealing with structurally rising debt and gradual
de-dollarisation, which might both accelerate after this year’s presidential
election, constitute growing pressure points for the sovereign credit rating of
the United States.

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30/5/2024 Rating announcement

SCOPE AFFIRMS PROGRESS ÉTTEREMHÁLÓZAT KFT.’S BB/STABLE ISSUER RATING

The affirmation reflects improved leverage metrics due to a successful EBITDA
ramp-up after a period of heavy investment, good operating profitability and
cash flow generation resilient to inflationary pressures.

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30/5/2024 Research

SPANISH BANKS QUARTERLY: PROFITABILITY BETTER THAN EXPECTED; COMPETITIVE
DYNAMICS SHIFTING

Spanish banks saw record net interest income in Q1 while the cost of deposits
likely reached its peak. BBVA’s bid for Sabadell could herald a period of
consolidation in a dynamic economy offering growth opportunities that could
benefit pricing power.

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29/5/2024 Monitoring note

SCOPE HAS UPDATED ITS ANALYTICAL REPORT ON AIR LIQUIDE S.A.

Following the recent affirmation of the A/Positive issuer rating, Scope has
updated its analytical report on Air Liquide S.A.

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29/5/2024 Rating announcement

SCOPE AFFIRMS THE RATINGS ON THE NOTES ISSUED BY SANTANDER CONSUMER SPAIN AUTO
2020-1

The notes are issued by Santander Consumer Spain Auto 2020-1, FT, a static EUR
520m cash securitisation of auto loans granted by Santander Consumer Finance SA
to private individuals and retail commercial clients in Spain.

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29/5/2024 Rating announcement

SCOPE WITHDRAWS THE RATINGS ON CLASS A NOTES OF CAIXABANK PYMES 10, FT - SPANISH
SME ABS

Class A notes have been fully repaid.

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