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automatically

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interaction dataUser-provided dataNon-precise location dataPrecise location
dataUsers’ profilesPrivacy choices

AdGearIAB TCFOff

AdGear stores cookies with a maximum duration of about 395 Day(s). This vendor
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FeaturesMatch and combine data from other data sourcesLink different
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Special featuresUse precise geolocation data

Data categoriesIP addressesDevice characteristicsDevice identifiersProbabilistic
identifiersAuthentication-derived identifiersBrowsing and interaction
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FeaturesIdentify devices based on information transmitted automatically

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Special purposesRetentionEnsure security, prevent and detect fraud, and fix
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FeaturesIdentify devices based on information transmitted automatically

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advertising365 day(s)Use profiles to select personalised advertising365
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statistics or combinations of data from different sources365 day(s)Develop and
improve services365 day(s)

FeaturesMatch and combine data from other data sourcesLink different
devicesIdentify devices based on information transmitted automatically

Special featuresUse precise geolocation dataActively scan device characteristics
for identification

Data categoriesIP addressesDevice characteristicsDevice identifiersProbabilistic
identifiersNon-precise location dataPrecise location dataPrivacy choices

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Many small houses sit side by side in the Elm Trails subdivision from Lennar
Homes in San Antonio.Credit...Josh Huskin for The New York Times
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THE GREAT COMPRESSION

Thanks to soaring housing prices, the era of the 400-square-foot subdivision
house is upon us.

Many small houses sit side by side in the Elm Trails subdivision from Lennar
Homes in San Antonio.Credit...Josh Huskin for The New York Times

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By Conor Dougherty

 * Feb. 17, 2024

Robert Lanter lives in a 600-square-foot house that can be traversed in five
seconds and vacuumed from a single outlet. He doesn’t have a coffee table in the
living room because it would obstruct the front door. When relatives come to
visit, Mr. Lanter says jokingly, but only partly, they have to tour one at time.

Each of these details amounts to something bigger, for Mr. Lanter’s life and the
U.S. housing market: a house under $300,000, something increasingly hard to
find. That price allowed Mr. Lanter, a 63-year-old retired nurse, to buy a new
single-family home in a subdivision in Redmond, Ore., about 30 minutes outside
Bend, where he is from and which is, along with its surrounding area, one of
Oregon’s most expensive housing markets.

Mr. Lanter’s house could easily fit on a flatbed truck, and is dwarfed by the
two-story suburban homes that prevail on the blocks around him. But, in fact,
there are even smaller homes in his subdivision, Cinder Butte, which was
developed by a local builder called Hayden Homes. Some of his neighbors live in
houses that total just 400 square feet — a 20-by-20-foot house attached to a
20-by-20-foot garage.

This is not a colony of “tiny houses,” popular among minimalists and aesthetes
looking to simplify their lives. For Mr. Lanter and his neighbors, it’s a chance
to hold on to ownership.



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Mr. Lanter, who is recently divorced, came back to central Oregon from a
condominium in Portland only to discover that home prices had surged beyond his
reach. He has owned several larger homes over the years and said he began his
recent search looking for a three-bedroom house.


Image
Robert Lanter outside his 600-square-foot home in Redmond, Ore.Credit...Ivan
McClellan for The New York Times


“I did not want to rent,” he said after a five-minute tour of his “media room”
(a small desk with a laptop) and bedroom (barely fits a queen). After being an
owner for 40 years, the idea of being a tenant felt like a backslide.

And after living on the 17th floor of a Portland condominium, he had ruled out
attached and high-rise buildings, which he described as a series of rules and
awkward interactions that made him feel as though he never really owned the
place.

There was the time he sold a sofa and the front desk attendant scolded him for
moving it down the elevator without alerting management a day in advance. Or the
times he came home to find someone parked in the spot he owned and paid property
taxes on. Try to imagine a random driver parking in a house’s driveway, he said
— there’s no way.



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A single-family home means “less people’s hands in your life,” Mr. Lanter said.

He wanted the four unshared walls of the American idyll, even if those walls had
minimal space between them and were a couch length from his neighbor.


A CHANCE AT OWNERSHIP

Several colliding trends — economic, demographic and regulatory — have made
smaller units like Mr. Lanter’s the future of American housing, or at least a
more significant part of it. Over the past decade, as the cost of housing
exploded, home builders have methodically nipped their dwellings to keep prices
in reach of buyers. The downsizing accelerated last year, when the interest rate
on a 30-year fixed rate mortgage reached a two-decade high, just shy of 8
percent.

Mortgage rates have fallen since, and sales, especially of new homes, are
beginning to thaw from the anemic pace of last year. Even so, a move toward
smaller, affordable homes — in some cases smaller than a studio apartment —
seems poised to outlast the mortgage spike, reshaping the housing market for
years to come and changing notions of what a middle-class life looks like.

“This is the front end of what we are going to see,” said Ken Perlman, a
managing principal at John Burns Research and Consulting.

Extremely small homes have long been an object of curiosity and fodder for
internet content; their tight proportions seem to say large things about their
occupants. On social media and blogs, influencers swipe at American gluttony and
extol the virtues of a life with less carbon and clutter than the standard
two-car suburb.



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Now, in the same way décor trends make their way from design magazines to Ikea,
mini homes are showing up in the kinds of subdivisions and exurbs where buyers
used to travel for maximum space.



The shift is a response to conditions that are found in cities across America:
Neighborhoods that used to be affordable are being gentrified, while new
condominiums and subdivisions mostly target the upper end of the market,
endangering the supply of “starter homes” in reach of first-time buyers. That
developers are addressing this conundrum with very small homes could be viewed
as yet another example of middle-class diminishment. But buyers say it has
helped them get on the first rung of the housing market.

“They should help out more people that are young like us to buy houses,” said
Caleb Rodriguez, a 22-year-old in San Antonio.

Mr. Rodriguez recently moved into a new community outside San Antonio called Elm
Trails, which was developed by Lennar Corporation, one of the country’s largest
homebuilders. His house sits in a line of mini dwellings, the smallest of which
is just 350 square feet.

On a recent evening after work, neighbors were walking dogs and chatting along a
row of beige, gray and olive-green two-story homes of the same shape. The
development has a pond where residents picnic and catch bass and catfish. The
houses do not have garages, and their driveways are wide enough for one vehicle
or two motorcycles — proportions that pushed the sale prices to well under
$200,000.



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“I wanted to own, and this was the cheapest I could get,” said Mr. Rodriguez,
who moved in this month and works at a poultry processing plant in nearby
Seguin, Texas. He paid $145,000 and hopes the house can be a step toward wealth
building. Maybe in a few years he will move and rent it out, Mr. Rodriguez said.

Homes under 500 square feet are not taking over anytime soon: They are less than
1 percent of the new homes built in America, according to Zonda, a housing data
and consulting firm. Even Mr. Lanter, who evangelizes about his newly low
heating bill and the freedom of shedding stuff, said he would have preferred
something bigger, around 800 square feet, if he could find it.

While these floor plans might be an edge-case offering reserved for certain
kinds of buyers — “Divorced … divorced … really divorced,” Mr. Lanter said as he
pointed to the small homes around him — they are part of a clear trend. Various
surveys from private consultants and organizations like the National Association
of Home Builders, along with interviews with architects and developers, all show
a push toward much smaller designs.

“Their existence is telling,” said Ali Wolf, chief economist of Zonda. “All the
uncertainty over the past few years has just reinforced the desire for
homeownership, but land and material prices have gone up too much. So something
has to give, and what builders are doing now is testing the market and asking
what is going to work.”


Image

Elm Trails subdivision from Lennar Homes in San Antonio.Credit...Josh Huskin for
The New York Times


Builders are substituting side yards for backyards, kitchen bars for dining
rooms. Suburban neighborhoods have seen a boom in adjoined townhouses, along
with small-lot single family homes that often have shared yards and no more than
a few feet between them — a kind of mash-up of the suburb and the urban
rowhouse.



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The great compression is being encouraged by state and local governments. To
reduce housing costs, or at least keep them from rising so fast, governments
around the country have passed hundreds of new bills that make it easier for
builders to erect smaller units at greater densities. Some cities and states —
like Oregon — have essentially banned single-family zoning rules that for
generations defined the suburban form.

These new rules have been rolled out gradually over years and with varying
degrees of effectiveness. What has changed recently is that builders are much
more willing to push smaller dwellings because they have no other way to reach a
large swath of buyers.

“There is a market opportunity and people are using it,” said Michael Andersen,
a senior researcher at Sightline Institute, a Seattle think tank focused on
housing and sustainability.


A BIG HOUSE ON A LITTLE LOT

American homes have long been larger on average than those in other developed
countries. For most of the past century, the country’s appetite for size has
only grown.



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The iconic Cape Cods in Levittown, N.Y. — often considered the model post-World
War II suburb — were typically about 750 square feet, roomy for a one-bedroom
apartment but small for a free-standing house with two bedrooms. Today, though,
the median American home size is about 2,200 square feet, up from around 1,500
in the 1960s. Lot sizes have remained more or less the same, which means the
typical home is built to maximize the size of the kitchen and bedrooms even as
its yard contracts and its proximity to neighbors increases.

The expansion came despite a profound shift in household composition. Over the
past half-century, America has gone from a country in which the predominant home
buyer was a nuclear family with about three children to one in which singles,
empty nesters and couples without children have become a much larger share of
the population. Meanwhile, housing costs shot up in recent years as cities
around the nation grappled with a persistent housing shortage and a surge in
demand from millennial and Gen Z buyers.

This has created a mismatched market in which members of the Baby Boom
generation are disproportionately living in larger homes without children, while
many millennial couples with children are cramped into smaller houses or in
rental apartments, struggling to buy their first home.

Even buyers who are willing to move across state lines are finding that
affordable housing markets are increasingly hard to find. In the Bend area where
Mr. Lanter lives, housing costs have been pushed up by out-of-state buyers, many
from California, who have flocked to the area to buy second homes or work there
remotely.

The influx of money has helped raise the median home price to almost $700,000
from a little over $400,000 in 2020, according to Redfin. Driving through the
downtown on a snowy afternoon recently, Deborah Flagan, a vice president at
Hayden Homes, pointed left and right at storefronts that used to be boarded and
are now part of a vibrant ecosystem of retailers that includes numerous high-end
coffee shops, a “foot spa” and a bar where people drink craft beer and throw
axes at wall-mounted targets.



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The upscaling extends well beyond downtown to adjacent neighborhoods, where the
small-footprint “mill houses” that once served a blue-collar work force now sit
on land that is so valuable they are being slowly erased by two-story moderns
with seven-figure sales prices. Toward the end of the snowy driving tour, Ms.
Flagan pointed toward one of those old mill houses — a compact, ranch-style home
with fading yellow paint and a white picket fence pocked with broken boards. She
estimated it was no more than 800 square feet, and framed it as an example of
the small and affordably priced housing whose stock needs to be rebuilt.

“What we are doing now is what they were doing then,” she said.


FOUR WALLS, CLOSE TOGETHER


Image

The view from the front entrance of Mr. Lanter’s small home.Credit...Ivan
McClellan for The New York Times


Hayden builds about 2,000 homes a year throughout the Pacific Northwest. Its
business model is to deliver middle-income housing that local workers can
afford, Ms. Flagan said, and it does this by skipping larger cities like
Portland and Seattle in favor of lower-cost exurbs like Redmond (where the
company is based).

Like a lot of builders, Hayden has spent the past few years whittling back sizes
on its bread-and-butter offering of one- and two-story homes between 1,400 and
2,500 square feet. But because its buyers are so price-sensitive, it decided to
go further. After rates began rising, Hayden redesigned a portion of Cinder
Butte — the Redmond subdivision where Mr. Lanter lives — for homes between 400
and 880 square feet.

Most of Cinder Butte looks like any subdivision anywhere: A mix of one- and
two-story homes that have faux exterior shutters and fill out their lots. The
corner where Mr. Lanter lives is strikingly different, however, with a line of
cinched homes that front the main road into the development and have driveways
in a back alley.



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The alley is where neighbors say hi and bye, Mr. Lanter said. And because nobody
has much space, people often throw parties in their garages.

The smaller houses sold well, so Hayden has now expanded on the idea. It
recently began a new development in Albany, Ore., in which a third of the 176
homes are planned to be under 1,000 square feet. “Our buyers would rather live
in a small home than rent,” Ms. Flagan said.

A decade ago, Jesse Russell was a former reality TV producer looking to get
started in real estate. He had just moved back to Bend (his hometown) from Los
Angeles, and began with a plot of two dozen 500-square-foot cottages sprinkled
around a pond and common gardens. When he pitched it at community meetings, “the
overwhelming sentiment was ‘nobody is going to live in a house that small,’” he
said.

Then the units sold out, and his investors nearly doubled their money in two
years.

Mr. Russell’s company, Hiatus Homes, has since built about three dozen more
homes that range from 400 square feet to 900 square feet, and he has 100 more in
development — a thriving business. How does he feel about subdivision builders
getting into a product that used to belong to smaller companies like his?

“I love it!” he said. “I hope that at some point a tiny house just becomes
another thing. It’s like, ‘Oh, that’s a duplex, that’s a townhouse, that’s a
single-family house, and that over there is a cottage.’ It just becomes another
type of housing you get to select.”

Additional reporting by David Montgomery.



Conor Dougherty is an economics reporter and the author of “Golden Gates:
Fighting for Housing in America.” His work focuses on the West Coast, real
estate and wage stagnation among U.S. workers. More about Conor Dougherty

A version of this article appears in print on Feb. 18, 2024, Section BU, Page 4
of the New York edition with the headline: The Shrinking of the American Home.
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