www.geegeez.co.uk Open in urlscan Pro
77.95.113.18  Public Scan

Form analysis
1 forms found in the DOM

POST https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-login.php

<form method="post" action="https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-login.php" class="ws-plugin--s2member-pro-login-widget-form">
  <div class="ws-plugin--s2member-pro-login-widget-username">
    <label for="ws-plugin--s2member-pro-login-widget-username">Username or Email:</label><br>
    <input type="text" name="log" id="ws-plugin--s2member-pro-login-widget-username" class="form-control" title="Username">
  </div>
  <div class="ws-plugin--s2member-pro-login-widget-password">
    <label for="ws-plugin--s2member-pro-login-widget-password">Password:</label><br>
    <input type="password" name="pwd" id="ws-plugin--s2member-pro-login-widget-password" class="form-control" title="Password">
  </div>
  <div class="ws-plugin--s2member-pro-login-widget-lost-password">
    <a href="https://www.geegeez.co.uk/invest-in-gold-a/" tabindex="-1">signup now</a> | <a href="https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-login.php?action=lostpassword" tabindex="-1">forgot password?</a>
  </div>
  <div class="ws-plugin--s2member-pro-login-widget-remember-me">
    <label><input type="checkbox" name="rememberme" value="forever">Remember Me</label>
  </div>
  <div class="ws-plugin--s2member-pro-login-widget-submit">
    <input type="submit" class="btn btn-primary" value="Log Me In">
  </div>
  <input type="hidden" id="apbct_visible_fields_0" name="apbct_visible_fields"
    value="eyIwIjp7InZpc2libGVfZmllbGRzIjoibG9nIHB3ZCIsInZpc2libGVfZmllbGRzX2NvdW50IjoyLCJpbnZpc2libGVfZmllbGRzIjoiY3Rfbm9fY29va2llX2hpZGRlbl9maWVsZCIsImludmlzaWJsZV9maWVsZHNfY291bnQiOjF9fQ=="><input name="ct_no_cookie_hidden_field"
    value="_ct_no_cookie_data_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"
    type="hidden" class="apbct_special_field ct_no_cookie_hidden_field">
</form>

Text Content

MEMBERSHIP LOGIN

Username or Email:

Password:

signup now | forgot password?
Remember Me



 * Courses / Fixtures ▼
   * UK Race Courses
   * UK Horse Racing Fixtures 2024
   * Irish Race Courses
   * Race Course Characteristics
 * FAQ
   * Geegeez FAQ
   * Geegeez Gold User Guide
   * Video Guides
   * Rule 4 Deductions
 * Articles
 * Blog
 * Pointers
   * Racing Insights
   * Trends
   * Big Race Previews
   * Racing Bulletin
 * News

 * Join
   * Register
   * Compare Features
   * Testimonials
   * Short Term Subscriptions
 * Racecards
 * Results
 * Reports
 * Tools
   * Tracker
   * Query Tool
   * Profiler
   * Draw Analyser
   * Pace Analyser
   * Bet Finder
   * Bet Tracker
   * Bet Calculator
 * Login
 * Search
 * Menu Menu




2024 DRAW BIAS: QATAR ‘GLORIOUS’ GOODWOOD FESTIVAL

29 July 2024/in Geegeez Gold, Horse Racing Blog/by Matt Bisogno

As we prepare to turn the calendar from July to August, so the 2024 Qatar
'Glorious' Goodwood Festival heaves into view on the rolling Sussex Downs. To
emerge victorious from a festival meeting contested on such a quintessentially
quirky configuration requires more than a 'mere' understanding of the form.
Preparations for those serious about the week will start with an awareness of
the layout of the circuit and the implications on race shape.

Draw is rarely as simple - and occasionally not as complicated - as the pundits
will tell you in their one line summaries. Let's review the course.

These are Goodwood's helter-skelter pistes:

 







 

If you're confused, you'll not be alone. There is a tight right-hand loop, and a
straight of a little shy of half a mile from which point the run in is pretty
much all downhill - having been largely uphill to the turn.

Goodwood is normally a front-runner's track for a couple of reasons. Firstly,
when horses get to the turn into the straight, they tend to fan wide, giving up
ground, just at the moment the pacemaking railer is stealing a length or two.
Secondly, horses held up for a later run often get caught in a pocket, with the
far rail of the home straight cambering away from the grandstands. That said, a
cutaway has been introduced more recently to try to offer patiently ridden
runners an outlet close to the far rail and this has made life fairer for all
that the clearest passage is usually in front or wide.

So that's the complicated layout of the track. Now what of the weather? The
going is currently good, good to soft in places after plenty of rain in the lead
up the meeting; but with two warm dry days before the gates open on day one,
it's reasonable to work on the basis of good, perhaps even good to firm in
places. The forecast for later in the week is less clear cut and the latest
going and weather station news can be found here.

GOODWOOD 5F AND 6F DRAW / RUN STYLE BIAS

The five and six furlong races at Goodwood are run on a straight track. As
regular readers will know, using the Percentage of Rivals Beaten (PRB) metric
can be a lot more instructive than simple win and place percentages, especially
when the sample sizes are smaller. PRB gives a score to every runner in every
race, with the exception of last placed finishers who beat 0% of their rivals.
Here's how the PRB draw / run style heat map looks for Goodwood straight track
sprints on soft or heavy ground in fields of 7-11 runners:

 



 

Pretty fair, though held up high draws (and similarly patiently ridden middle
draws) are at a disadvantage.

In handicap fields of 12+ runners on good or faster ground, the heat map looks
like this:

 



 

That implies a similar story, with low and/or a front-running style having had
the best of it since 2009. In the last couple of years, however, high numbers
have performed better and that's something to keep an eye on.

 

GOODWOOD 7F DRAW / RUN STYLE BIAS

As we move onto the round course and races of seven furlongs or a mile, things
get a lot more clear cut. Let's start by looking at 7f handicaps on good or
quicker, 12+ runners. Here's the table showing wins, places and PRB amongst
other things specifically for fast ground 7f handicaps since 2009:

 



 

Low is strongly favoured with high at a notable disadvantage regardless of your
preferred metric. Breaking that down further, the PRB3* graph and draw/run style
heat map are just as unequivocal:

*PRB3 takes the average percentage of rivals beaten of a stall and its immediate
neighbours and is a sensible way of 'smoothing the curve' of draw charts

 



 

Low is definitely the best place to be, followed by a pace presser / forward
goer from a middle draw. High draws have found it very tough regardless of run
style on fast ground over seven furlongs.

 

GOODWOOD 1 MILE DRAW / RUN STYLE BIAS

Looking at mile handicaps through the same field size/going prism reveals a
similar, though slightly weaker, profile:

 





 

It is still tough to win from out wide, but middle draws have been somewhat
competitive against those posted inside them at the get go.







The Golden Mile itself typically has a strong low draw bias - indeed, it's one
of the strongest draw bias races in the calendar, with just two winners exiting
a stall higher than ten from the rail since 2009 when our database starts:

 



 

One of that pair of wide drawn winners was Johan last year, drawn 18, when the
going was soft. The year before, in 2022, stall 2 beat stall 1 (£173.50 exacta).

 

SUMMARY: GOODWOOD DRAW AND RUN STYLE BIAS ON GOOD OR QUICKER GROUND

At sprint trips on the straight track, it has usually been a disadvantage to be
on the lead and/or drawn low to middle.

Over seven furlongs and a mile, low is mainly where it's at, particularly over
seven furlongs and in the huge field Goodwood Mile handicap.

 

Stay lucky!

Matt

 

OTHER RECENT POSTS BY THIS AUTHOR:

 * Galway 2024: Flat Race Draw and Run Style Bias
 * Royal Ascot 2024: Day 4 (Friday) Preview, Tips
 * Royal Ascot 2024: Day 3 (Thursday) Preview, Tips
 * Royal Ascot 2024: Day 2 (Wednesday) Preview, Tips
 * Royal Ascot 2024: Day One Preview, Tips






Tags: 2023 Qatar Goodwood Festival draw bias, Glorious Goodwood draw bias

SHARE THIS ENTRY

 * Share on Facebook
 * Share on X
 * Share on WhatsApp
 * Share on LinkedIn
 * Share by Mail
 * Link to Youtube



https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/goodwoodglorious.jpg 320
829 Matt Bisogno
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.png
Matt Bisogno2024-07-29 09:20:392024-07-29 11:29:182024 Draw Bias: Qatar
‘Glorious’ Goodwood Festival



YOU MIGHT ALSO LIKE

Gold Nuggets: Flat Fez Draw & Pace Research
10 replies
 1. Al says:
    30 July 2018 at 9:54 am
    
    A good reading
    Thanks
    
    Log in to Reply
    
 2. bilko says:
    29 July 2019 at 10:26 am
    
    Good info on the 9f races, surely the last 31/2f are level though
    
    Log in to Reply
    
 3. David Varnam says:
    29 July 2019 at 10:55 pm
    
    Hi Matt, How does Goodwood suit Jamie Spencer’s style of riding?
    David
    
    Log in to Reply
    * Matt Bisogno says:
      30 July 2019 at 7:44 am
      
      Hi David
      
      Spencer doesn’t have to ride from the back, though I assume this is what
      you meant.
      
      No jockey has a dominant performance at Goodwood in bigger field
      handicaps. And riding hold up style generally is unsuited in the main to
      the track.
      
      RS Runs Wins Places Win % EW % Win PL EW PL ROI A/E IV
      Heldup 445 16 69 3.6 15.51 -298.5 -436.75 -67.08 0.51 0.6
      MidDiv 422 22 83 5.21 19.67 -178.67 -261.46 -42.34 0.7 0.87
      Prom 301 26 77 8.64 25.58 5 5.75 1.66 1.1 1.44
      Led 106 14 40 13.21 37.74 114.13 181.16 107.67 1.59 2.21
      
      Matt
      
      Log in to Reply
      
    
 4. David Varnam says:
    30 July 2019 at 3:31 pm
    
    Thanks very much, Matt, for the data trawl.
    David
    
    Log in to Reply
    
 5. lazyhazy says:
    30 July 2023 at 2:10 pm
    
    Hi Matt,
    
    This article seems to have overwritten the older ‘Draw Biases at Galway and
    Goodowood’ article. Is that still available anywhere or will the Galway info
    also be updated this year? I only ask as I’m going to Galway!! Cheers Lee
    
    Log in to Reply
    * Matt Bisogno says:
      30 July 2023 at 5:18 pm
      
      Hi Lee, was planning to create a Galway specific piece but running out of
      time to do that :-/
      
      Matt
      
      Log in to Reply
      
    
 6. lazyhazy says:
    30 July 2023 at 7:08 pm
    
    Cheers Matt, looks like you managed it, great stuff.
    
    Log in to Reply
    * Matt Bisogno says:
      31 July 2023 at 6:45 am
      
      Not that it’s especially useful on wet turf, but yes, I did have a look!
      
      Matt
      
      Log in to Reply
      
    
 7. Michael1955 says:
    31 July 2023 at 10:38 am
    
    Hi Matt
    An enjoyable read as usual.
    Trying to find winners with that info should make it easier.
    
    Log in to Reply
    


LEAVE A REPLY

Want to join the discussion?
Feel free to contribute!


LEAVE A REPLY CANCEL REPLY

You must be logged in to post a comment.

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.


LATEST ARTICLES

 * Examining the Final Market Rank of Morning Favourites31 July 2024 - 7:39 am
 * 2024 Draw Bias: Qatar ‘Glorious’ Goodwood Festival29 July 2024 - 9:20 am
 * Galway 2024: Flat Race Draw and Run Style Bias29 July 2024 - 7:37 am
 * Monday Musings: Beaten by Sepsis29 July 2024 - 6:44 am
 * A day in the life of the Tote Placepot: Part 223 July 2024 - 8:09 pm
 * Monday Musings: Of Cups and Plates22 July 2024 - 5:50 am


LATEST TIPS

 * 2024 Glorious Goodwood Trends – Day Two (Weds 31st July)31 July 2024 - 7:30
   am
 * 2024 Galway Plate Trends31 July 2024 - 6:13 am
 * 2024 Galway Hurdle Trends31 July 2024 - 4:24 am


Galway 2024: Flat Race Draw and Run Style BiasEvergreen Kinross hunting third
Lennox Stakes victory
Scroll to top

geegeez.co.uk uses cookies to improve your experience. We assume that's OK, but
you may opt-out from the settings. Cookie settingsACCEPT
Privacy & Cookies Policy
Close

PRIVACY OVERVIEW

This website uses cookies to improve your experience while you navigate through
the website. Out of these cookies, the cookies that are categorized as necessary
are stored on your browser as they are essential for the working of basic
functionalities...
Necessary
Necessary
Always Enabled
Necessary cookies are absolutely essential for the website to function properly.
This category only includes cookies that ensures basic functionalities and
security features of the website. These cookies do not store any personal
information.
Non-necessary
Non-necessary
Any cookies that may not be particularly necessary for the website to function
and is used specifically to collect user personal data via analytics, ads, other
embedded contents are termed as non-necessary cookies. It is mandatory to
procure user consent prior to running these cookies on your website.
SAVE & ACCEPT