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   RUSSIA’S SU-57 FIFTH GENERATION FLEET WILL BE 50 STRONG IN 2026 - SIX YEARS
   BEHIND SCHEDULE
   
   September 14, 2022
   
   
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RUSSIA’S SU-57 FIFTH GENERATION FLEET WILL BE 50 STRONG IN 2026 - SIX YEARS
BEHIND SCHEDULE

byDaily_Defence •September 14, 2022
0

The Russian Air Force has now received six serially produced Su-57 fifth
generation fighter jets, the first of which was delivered in December 2020, with
production lines at the  Komsomolsk-on-Amur aircraft plant in the country’s Far
East continuing to expand to accommodate a larger capacity. Despite the fleet’s
small size, the fighter has been deployed for combat in the past including
prototypes launching cruise missiles at Islamist insurgent positions in Syria,
and more recently serial production models deploying a range of standoff
missiles for strike and air defence suppression missions in Ukraine. Although
this has made it the first fighter of its generation to use such standoff
weapons in combat, the Su-57 program nevertheless remains far behind schedule.
Its entry into service was initially scheduled for 2015, while a fleet size of
50 fighters was previously expected to be reached in 2020 alongside further
production for export. The fleet was then scheduled to reach 200 aircraft by
2025. 

Also read :New Communications Suite to Boost Su-57’s Network Centric Warfare
Capabilities



Also read :Mystery New Chinese J-10 Fighter With Enlarged Spine Revealed:
Electronic Attack, Export or Another Purpose?

The contrast between prior plans for the Su-57's induction and those of today
are significant, with the fleet scheduled to reach 22 fighters by the end of
2024 and 76 fighters by the end of 2027 indicating it will receive an average of
18 fighters per year from 2024-2027. This would represent a higher rate of
production than any existing Russian fighter, although it could be partly
fulfilled by aircraft produced earlier which may take longer to be made ready
for service. Such a production rate could facilitate deliveries to the Air Force
of 14-18 fighters per year after 2027 depending on export demand, with exports
in the 2030s expected to be considerable. At current estimates the Russian Air
Force’s Su-57 fleet will reach 50 fighters only sometime in 2026. Such delays
would be far from unprecedented for a fifth generation program, with the
American F-22 and F-35 suffering from similar delays periods. It will
nevertheless contrast to the Chinese J-20 program which was made ready slightly
earlier than expected and first delivered to the Air Force in 2016. It also
falls far short of expectations for the Soviet Air Force which was expected to
field approximately 50 MiG 1.42 fifth generation fighters by 2005 if not
earlier. 



Also read :Scholar A. B Abrams Outlines How North Korea Could Handle an F-35
Attack

A primary issue stemming from delays to the Su-57 program is that by the time it
is fielded in meaningful numbers, China and the United States are expected to
already have begun fielding sixth generation fighters that are expected to
become operational around 2030. A secondary issue is that much of the Russian
fighter fleet inherited from the Soviet Union comprised of MiG-29s and Su-27s,
has already been replaced by Su-35, Su-30SM/SM2 and Su-30M2 fighters - all of
them enhanced Su-27 derivatives - leaving much less room in the fleet for new
Su-57 units. Serving as a direct successor to the Soviet Su-27 fourth generation
heavyweight air superiority fighter which first entered service in 1985, the
Su-57 and its derivatives are expected to see a similarly long production run
and to integrate a wide range of sixth generation technologies to remain
relevant as new American and Chinese programs lead the field.


Also read :World War II’s Most Dangerous Fighter First Flew 80 Years Ago: How
the Allies Tackled the Messerschmitt Me 262


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