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World Central Asia


WASHINGTON VS ASTANA: COMPARISON OF THE NATO AND SCO DECLARATIONS





WASHINGTON VS ASTANA: COMPARISON OF THE NATO AND SCO DECLARATIONS

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the Shanghai Cooperation
Organization (SCO) are two significant international organizations that play
pivotal roles in global geopolitics. NATO, established in 1949, is a military
alliance of primarily Western countries committed to mutual defense and
security. It aims to ensure the freedom and security of its member states
through political and military means, with a strong emphasis on collective
defense as outlined in Article 5 of the Washington Treaty. NATO's influence
extends beyond its member states, often involving itself in global security
issues, crisis management, and cooperative security.

Map showing NATO members and partnersBritannica

On the other hand, the SCO, founded in 2001, primarily includes countries from
Eurasia, focusing on political, economic, and security-related cooperation. The
organization promotes regional stability, counterterrorism, and economic
development among its member states. The SCO emphasizes non-interference in
internal affairs, respect for sovereignty, and mutual benefit, fostering a
multipolar world order. It aims to counterbalance Western influence and provide
a platform for member states to address regional issues collaboratively.


Map showing the SCO members and observersChina Fund

The NATO Washington Summit 2024 marked the 75th anniversary of the alliance on
July 9-11, 2024. Key discussions focused on the strategic realignment in
response to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, NATO's expansion, and increased
defense spending among member nations.

The SCO Summit in Astana on July 4, 2024 centered on regional cooperation,
political stability, and economic development. On this day Belarus became a
member of the organization.



At the end of both events, declarations were adopted: the Washington Declaration
for NATO and the Astana Declaration for the SCO. Both documents outline the
plans, areas of activity and principles of work of the organizations. The
contents of both documents are compared in this article.

Relevance of Comparing NATO and SCO Declarations

Comparing the declarations from NATO and SCO summits provides valuable insights
into the strategic orientations, priorities, and geopolitical stances of these
two major organizations. The declarations reflect their respective approaches to
global security, international relations, and regional stability. By analyzing
these documents, we can better understand the contrasting and sometimes
converging narratives that shape the policies and actions of NATO and SCO member
states.

This comparison is particularly relevant in the current geopolitical landscape,
where tensions between major powers and regional conflicts are prevalent. The
NATO declaration, for example, underscores a strong commitment to collective
defense, democratic values, and countering threats from specific countries like
Russia and China. In contrast, the SCO declaration focuses on promoting a
multipolar world order, non-interference, and mutual respect among states.

By using R for text analysis, we can systematically analyze the language,
themes, and sentiment of the declarations, providing a data-driven perspective
on the strategic narratives of NATO and the SCO. This approach not only enhances
the rigor of the analysis but also offers visual insights through graphs and
charts, making the comparison more accessible and compelling for readers.

Strategic Focus and Orientation: for the NATO - common security, for the SCO –
cooperation among members

The NATO declaration emphasizes collective defense and security, particularly in
response to perceived threats from Russia and terrorism. It highlights the
importance of the transatlantic bond and the integration of new member states
such as Sweden and Finland. The declaration focuses on deterrence, defense,
crisis prevention, and cooperative security while stressing adherence to
democratic values, human rights, and the rule of law. NATO also concentrates on
strengthening military capabilities and readiness, including nuclear and missile
defense, and integrating advanced technologies.

In contrast, the SCO declaration emphasizes the creation of a multipolar world
order and strengthening global peace, security, and stability. It advocates for
non-interference in internal affairs, respect for sovereignty, and mutual
benefit. The declaration stresses the importance of economic cooperation,
cultural ties, and environmental sustainability. The SCO focuses on combating
terrorism, separatism, and extremism, along with drug trafficking and organized
crime. It highlights regional stability, particularly in Central Asia, and
promotes cooperation in various fields, including the digital economy,
agriculture, and energy security.

This is demonstrated quite vividly by wordclouds that have been plotted through
the R programming language.

Word clouds showing word frequency of both the NATO and SCO declarations.Eldaniz
Gusseinov

Key Themes and Priorities

As a result of defining the terms that appear most frequently in the texts of
both declarations, it is possible to identify the themes that are most
emphasized. NATO's declarations emphasize security, defence, military readiness,
and support for Ukraine and allies, reflecting its traditional role as a
security alliance. In contrast, the SCO focuses more on cooperation,
development, and economic aspects, with significant attention to terrorism,
principles, and sustainability. Both organizations recognize global challenges
and the importance of emerging technologies, but their approaches and priorities
differ markedly.

NATO places a significant emphasis on security, with 69 mentions, indicating its
commitment to ensuring member states' safety and addressing various security
threats. In contrast, the SCO highlights cooperation, with 54 mentions,
suggesting a strong emphasis on collaborative efforts among member states.

Regarding defence and military, NATO mentions defence 55 times and military 20
times, underlining its role in collective defense and military readiness.
Conversely, the SCO has no mentions of defence or military, which may indicate a
different approach or less emphasis on military aspects compared to NATO.

Number of mentions of key words in the NATO and SCO declarationsEldaniz
Gusseinov

In terms of development and economic focus, NATO has only 4 mentions of
development, reflecting a lesser focus on development activities within the NATO
framework. The SCO, on the other hand, prominently mentions development 47
times, highlighting a significant focus on economic and developmental
cooperation among its member states.

Ukraine and allies are key terms for NATO, with 45 and 54 mentions respectively,
reflecting NATO's support for Ukraine amid ongoing conflicts and the importance
of alliance solidarity. The SCO does not mention Ukraine or allies, indicating
these terms are not central to its current narrative.

Both organizations address threats and stability, with NATO mentioning threat 27
times and stability 10 times, indicating ongoing security concerns and efforts
to maintain regional stability. The SCO mentions threat 10 times and stability
also 10 times, showing a balanced approach to these issues.

NATO's focus on global security and collective defense mechanisms is evident
from the 7 mentions of global and 16 mentions of collective. The SCO, however,
mentions global 10 times and collective only once, indicating a slightly more
global perspective but less emphasis on collective actions compared to NATO.

Terrorism and challenges are ongoing concerns for NATO, with 4 mentions of
terrorism and 10 mentions of challenges. The SCO places more emphasis on
terrorism with 13 mentions, reflecting a significant focus on counter-terrorism
efforts, while challenges are mentioned 5 times, indicating recognition of
various difficulties.

NATO's commitment to core values and long-term strategic planning is shown
through 4 mentions of principles and 14 mentions of strategic. The SCO discusses
principles more frequently, with 11 mentions, suggesting a strong emphasis on
foundational values, while strategic is mentioned only once.

Emerging technologies and sustainability receive some attention from NATO, with
3 mentions each of technologies and sustainable, but they are not primary
focuses. The SCO, however, significantly mentions technologies 11 times and
sustainable 11 times, indicating a strong emphasis on technological advancements
and sustainability initiatives.

In terms of cyber and digital transformation, NATO mentions cyber 8 times and
digital once, reflecting concerns about cybersecurity and digital
transformation. The SCO has less focus on cyber with only 1 mention, but places
a strong emphasis on digital transformation with 12 mentions.

NATO's declaration places a strong emphasis on collective defense, underscoring
Article 5 of the Washington Treaty and the commitment to defend each other.
There is an extensive focus on the threat posed by Russia, the military conflict
in Ukraine, and support for Ukraine's defense. The declaration also emphasizes
the modernization of defense capabilities, increased defense spending, and
large-scale military exercises. Additionally, NATO highlights the adoption of
new technologies, including AI, cyber defense, and space capabilities, while
maintaining and modernizing nuclear capabilities as a cornerstone of security.

The SCO declaration advocates for a more representative, democratic, and
multipolar world order, emphasizing the principles of sovereignty, territorial
integrity, and non-interference. It focuses on stability and development in
Central Asia and broader Eurasia, with coordinated efforts against terrorism,
separatism, extremism, and organized crime. The declaration promotes economic
cooperation, cultural exchanges, and environmental protection as key areas of
collaboration among member states.

Geopolitical Context: detailed breakdown

NATO's declaration identifies Russia as the most significant and direct threat,
with concerns about China's policies and its partnership with Russia. It
addresses strategic competition, instability in Africa and the Middle East, and
threats from hybrid and cyber activities. NATO also emphasizes strengthening
ties with global partners like the EU, Australia, Japan, and others to address
common security challenges.

Washington NATO Summit Declaration: "Russia remains the most significant and
direct threat to Allies’ security."

Washington NATO Summit Declaration: "The People’s Republic of China’s (PRC)
stated ambitions and coercive policies continue to challenge our interests,
security and values."

The SCO declaration recognizes tectonic shifts in world politics and the
emergence of a more just and multipolar world order. It calls for comprehensive
UN reform to enhance the representation of developing countries. The SCO
promotes joint efforts in various fields, including the economy, technology,
environmental protection, and cultural exchanges, reflecting a collaborative
approach to addressing global challenges.

Astana SCO Summit Declaration: "The use of force is intensifying, international
law is being systematically violated, geopolitical confrontation and conflicts
are growing, and risks to stability in the world and the SCO region are
multiplying."

Astana SCO Summit Declaration: "Member States emphasize the key role of the UN
in countering threats in the information space, creating a safe information
space built on the principles of respect for state sovereignty and
non-interference in the internal affairs of other countries."

Terroristic threat:

Both NATO and SCO emphasize the threats from terrorism, cyber threats, and
geopolitical instability.

Washington NATO Summit Declaration: "Terrorism, in all its forms and
manifestations, is the most direct asymmetric threat to the security of our
citizens and to international peace and prosperity. "

Astana SCO Summit Declaration: "Member States emphasize that double standards
are unacceptable in the fight against terrorism. Terrorism in any form and
manifestation cannot be justified; condoning and harboring terrorists must be
resolutely condemned by the entire world community."

Hybrid threats:

NATO faces hybrid, cyber, space, and other threats from state and non-state
actors. The declaration emphasizes the need "to prepare for, deter, defend
against, and counter these hybrid threats", including through the establishment
of the NATO Integrated Cyber Defence Centre. This centre aims to enhance network
protection, situational awareness, and the implementation of cyberspace as an
operational domain. Additionally, NATO stresses the importance of developing
capacity to analyze and counter hostile disinformation and misinformation
operations.

Cyber threats are also a concern for the SCO, with efforts focused on countering
cyber propaganda and disinformation campaigns by international terrorist
organizations. The SCO emphasizes the key role of the UN in creating a safe
information space based on respect for state sovereignty and non-interference in
internal affairs.

Washington NATO Summit Declaration: "Establishing the NATO Integrated Cyber
Defence Centre to enhance network protection, situational awareness, and the
implementation of cyberspace as an operational domain throughout peacetime,
crisis and conflict."

Astana SCO Summit Declaration: "They will counter cyber propaganda and
disinformation campaigns against SCO Member States carried out by international
terrorist organizations."

Nuclear Weapons and Nonprolifiration Regime

The NATO declaration emphasizes the importance of nuclear deterrence as a
cornerstone of Alliance security. It outlines the need for a credible and
effective nuclear capability to preserve peace, prevent coercion, and deter
aggression. The declaration also highlights concerns about Russia’s
irresponsible nuclear rhetoric and its actions in Belarus, which are seen as
strategic intimidation. Additionally, NATO remains committed to its nuclear
capabilities as long as nuclear weapons exist and stresses the importance of
compliance with arms control agreements to ensure strategic stability.

The SCO declaration focuses on the importance of nuclear non-proliferation and
the strict compliance with relevant treaties. It advocates for the early entry
into force of the Protocol on Security Assurances to the Treaty on a Nuclear
Weapon-Free Zone in Central Asia and emphasizes the need for comprehensive and
balanced promotion of the goals of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of
Nuclear Weapons. The declaration also calls for cooperation in the peaceful use
of atomic energy and stresses the importance of nuclear disarmament and the
global non-proliferation regime.

Washington NATO Summit Declaration: "Nuclear deterrence is the cornerstone of
Alliance security. The fundamental purpose of NATO’s nuclear capability is to
preserve peace, prevent coercion and deter aggression."

"As long as nuclear weapons exist, NATO will remain a nuclear alliance. "

Astana SCO Summit Declaration: "Member States believe that the early entry into
force of the Protocol on Security Assurances to the Treaty on a Nuclear
Weapon-Free Zone in Central Asia (New York, May 6, 2014) for all signatory
states will make a significant contribution to ensuring regional security and
strengthening the nuclear non-proliferation regime."

NATO and SCO: Divergent Paths in Global Security and Cooperation

The comparative analysis of the NATO and SCO declarations reveals distinct
strategic orientations and priorities shaped by their unique geopolitical
contexts and foundational principles. NATO, with its long-standing emphasis on
collective defense, prioritizes military readiness, deterrence, and the defense
of democratic values against perceived threats, particularly from Russia and
terrorism. Its focus remains firmly on security, technological advancements in
defense, and maintaining a robust nuclear deterrent.

Conversely, the SCO champions a multipolar world order characterized by
non-interference, respect for sovereignty, and mutual benefit. Its declarations
underscore regional stability, economic cooperation, and combating terrorism and
extremism within a framework of mutual respect and collaboration. The SCO's
approach reflects a broader emphasis on economic development, cultural ties, and
environmental sustainability, aiming to balance Western influence and foster a
cooperative regional order.

Both organizations recognize the critical importance of addressing emerging
global challenges such as cyber threats, terrorism, and geopolitical
instability. However, their strategies diverge significantly: NATO's
militaristic and defensive posture contrasts with the SCO's cooperative and
development-oriented stance.

Written by: Eldaniz Gusseinov

Eldaniz Gusseinov, is a Non-Resident Research Fellow at Haydar Aliyev Center for
Eurasian Studies of the Ibn Haldun University, Istanbul.

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