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CONTEMPORARY SOUTHEAST ASIA VOL. 46/2 (AUGUST 2024)

Date of publication:  August 2024
Publisher:  ISEAS – Yusof Ishak Institute
Number of pages:  170
Code:  CS46/2
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Journal Details


Soft Cover
ISSN: 0129797X
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CONTENTS

 * Contemporary Southeast Asia Vol. 46/2 (August 2024)
   [Whole Publication, ISSN: 1793284X]
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 * Preliminary pages
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 * ARTICLES
 * 1. Jokowi’s Pyrrhic Victory: Indonesia’s 2024 Elections and the Political
   Reinvention of Prabowo Subianto, by Marcus Mietzner, author see abstract
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   Prabowo Subianto’s victory in Indonesia’s 2024 presidential elections was
   decisive, and it is widely accepted that incumbent President Joko Widodo’s de
   facto endorsement of him played a significant role in this outcome. But the
   motivations of Widodo (commonly known as “Jokowi”) for picking his former
   adversary as his heir, and the reasons for his determination to get Prabowo
   elected in a landslide, remain poorly understood. This article demonstrates
   that Jokowi selected Prabowo after other options had fallen through, and that
   he made his choice with full awareness of the risks and uncertainties
   involved. By implication, he also tolerated the danger a Prabowo presidency
   could pose to Indonesian democracy. Tempted by Prabowo’s offer to make
   Jokowi’s son, Gibran Rakabuming Raka, his vice-presidential candidate, Jokowi
   went all-in and mobilized state resources to secure their triumph. Based on
   interviews with key actors, this article delivers a detailed picture of the
   factors that made Prabowo president—and that gave Jokowi few guarantees of
   continued influence.
 * 2. Towards a “Modern Monarchical Welfare Regime”: Identifying the Welfare
   Regime of Brunei Darussalam, by Aris Ananta, Siti Fatimahwati Pehin Dato
   Musa, Evi Nurvidya Arifin, Chang-Yau Hoon, authors see abstract
   Check Price
   What sort of welfare regime does Brunei have? How does it compare to other
   countries’ welfare schemes? How will it change as Brunei seeks to diversify
   away from its dependency on hydrocarbon resources? Using the “welfare
   diamond” framework, this article argues thatBrunei currently operates a
   “protective welfare regime”. However, if it succeeds in reducing its reliance
   on hydrocarbon resources, that system will transition towards a modern
   monarchical welfare-regime model wherein self-reliant individuals and
   resilient communities will play an increasingly significant role while the
   role of the state will diminish.
 * 3. Presidential Agency and Indonesia’s Ratification of the ASEAN Agreement on
   Transboundary Haze Pollution, by Pia Dannhauer, author see abstract
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   Indonesia, the leading source of haze in Southeast Asia, signed the ASEAN
   Agreement on Transboundary Haze Pollution (AATHP) in 2002 to demonstrate its
   commitment to regional cooperation. However, it took another 12 years for the
   country to ratify the accord, hindering effective collaboration. This delay
   is puzzling, especially since Indonesia faced pressure from its ASEAN
   neighbours to take action. At the same time, President Susilo Bambang
   Yudhoyono (2004–14), as the key decision-maker in Indonesia’s foreign policy,
   wanted his country to play a leadership role within the bloc. While ASEAN’s
   norms of noninterference and consensus may explain why the regional bloc
   struggled to pressure Jakarta to ratify the agreement, they do not fully
   explain why it took Indonesia 12 years to do so. Domestic resistance and
   institutional obstacles are alternative explanations, but they overlook the
   agency of the Indonesian president in pushing for ratification. Instead, this
   article uses role theory to argue that domestic contestation prevented
   President Yudhoyono from mobilizing his power for regional leadership and
   that he only asserted his institutional authority and resources to support
   the AATHP once he no longer depended on domestic political support. Thus,
   this article offers new empirical insights into the role of the Indonesian
   president in shaping foreign policy and ASEAN decision-making, as well as new
   theoretical insights on how leaders influence their country’s international
   roles.
 * 4. No Regime Change in Myanmar, So Far: Exploring the Conceptual Chains
   between Civil Resistance and Junta Repression, by Seohee Kwak, author
   see abstract
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   The 2021 military coup in Myanmar incited widespread civil resistance,
   including mass street protests, a civil disobedience movement, labour strikes
   and armed rebellions. Despite more than three years of conflict, the junta
   maintains power in certain areas of the country. This article employs an
   outcome-explaining, process-tracing approach to elucidate the junta’s
   persistence. The analysis reveals that civil resistance activities are highly
   fragmented, with minimal convergence in their operations or long-term
   visions. This fragmentation stems from divergent views within the movement
   regarding non-violent versus armed resistance and the varied objectives of
   different armed ethnic organizations opposing the military. Concurrently, the
   junta has bolstered its repressive capabilities by developing
   institutionalized methods for countering adversarial forces. These methods
   are deeply intertwined with Myanmar’s ethnicpolitical history and the
   military’s entrenched dominance over political institutions. Consequently,
   this article contends that the evolution of both resistance efforts and the
   junta’s repressive strategies has been markedly asymmetrical.
 * 5. Strengthening or Weakening Political Parties? Party Financing in Thailand
   after the 2014 Military Coup, by Punchada Sirivunnabood, author see abstract
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   Thailand’s Political Party Development Fund (PPDF) was created in 1998 to
   provide state subsidies to political parties. Primarily designed to reduce
   the influence of business conglomerates over parties by providing subvention
   from the state and to support their development by requiring them to
   establish local branches and recruit members, unintentionally it has also
   encouraged small and new parties to maximize their funding by creating
   inactive branches and registering fake members. In the wake of the 2014
   military coup, the junta-appointed drafters of a new Constitution
   (promulgated in 2017) attempted to solve those problems through new
   regulations that allowed the state to control and limit parties’ freedom over
   financial management. This article examines these new laws. It finds that
   they have failed to curb corrupt practices among small parties while creating
   new obstacles for parties when trying to abide by the onerous reporting and
   compliance requirements. Thus, the new regulations have not promoted party
   development and are counterproductive for established parties.
 * 6. Education Reform in Post-Coup Myanmar: Federalizing or Federating?,
   by Ashley South, Emily Stenning, Tim Schroeder, authors see abstract
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   Since Myanmar transitioned from direct military rule in 2011, successive
   governments have attempted to decentralize the primary and higher education
   systems through top-down “federalizing” initiatives. However, these efforts
   have largely failed. However, following the February 2021 military coup, the
   absence of a credible central education authority has led ethnic armed
   organizations (EAOs) and non-state actors, including local communities, to
   provide education to up to one million of the most vulnerable and
   conflict-affected children. This represents a new “federating” moment for
   education in Myanmar, where capacity and alliances are built from the bottom
   up and which could potentially endure after the ongoing conflict ends. This
   article explores Myanmar’s complex and contested education system since the
   coup, analysing the difference between “federalizing” and “federating”
   approaches. It compares the pre- and post-coup approaches to illustrate the
   importance of an adaptive, bottom-up approach based on local ownership and
   resilience.
 * BOOK REVIEWS
 * BOOK REVIEW: Asian Military Evolutions: Civil-Military Relations in Asia,
   edited by Alan Chong and Nicole Jenne, by Tim Huxley, author
   Download
 * BOOK REVIEW: The Peaceful Resolution of Territorial and Maritime Disputes, by
   Emilia Justyna Powell and Krista E. Wiegand, by Gilang Kembara, author
   Download
 * BOOK REVIEW: The Coalitions Presidents Make: Presidential Power and Its
   Limits in Democratic Indonesia, by Marcus Mietzner, by Dewi Fortuna Anwar,
   author
   Download
 * BOOK REVIEW: Cambodia’s Trials: Contrasting Visions of Truth, Transitional
   Justice, and National Recovery, edited by Robin Biddulph and Alexandra Kent,
   by Sophal Ear, author
   Download
 * BOOK REVIEW: Central Asia and Southeast Asia: Exploring the Dynamics of
   Greater Engagement, by Paradorn Rangsimaporn, by Raffaello Pantucci, author
   Download


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Contemporary Southeast Asia Vol. 38/2 (August 2016)
SOJOURN: Journal of Social Issues in Southeast Asia Vol. 35/1 (March 2020)
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