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Text Content

OVERVIEW

Title: Drop-In: UK Outlook – Rates to rise to 3.00% to rein in price
expectations

Date: Thursday, May 05, 2022

Time: 03:30 PM British Summer Time

Duration: 30 minutes

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Summary

 Our Drop-In events are informal, online conversations between our economists.
They last around 20 minutes, including plenty of time for questions.

Our Q2 UK Economic Outlook maps out why we’re below consensus on UK growth this
year but think inflation will rise more than most expect – and explains why the
Bank of England will raise rates more than anticipated.

Join Paul Dales, our Chief UK Economist, and Senior UK Economist Ruth Gregory
shortly after the May Bank of England meeting on Thursday for a discussion about
the UK economic outlook in light of the MPC’s latest policy decision. Paul and
Ruth will be answering your questions as they address key takeaways from
including:

 * Why inflation could reach double digits and what this could mean for
   households;
 * Why the threat of recession won’t deter the Bank of England;
 * What all this means for sterling and gilt yields.

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For any other queries, please contact events@capitaleconomics.com.

 


Speakers
Paul Dales
Chief UK Economist



Paul Dales is our Chief UK Economist, with overall responsibility for our UK
Economics and UK Markets services. Paul joined Capital Economics soon after it
was founded in 1999. He’s spent 10 years covering the UK economy, six years as a
senior member of our US economics team and four years as our Chief Australia &
New Zealand Economist.

He holds degrees in Banking & Finance and Economics from Loughborough and London
universities and the UK FSA recognised Securities Institute Diploma. In 2016,
the Australian Financial Review judged him to be Australia’s economist of the
year as “he made all the right calls in a market that most chief economists
found hard to read”. In 2011, Paul was named Bloomberg’s US house price
forecaster of the year. And in 2010, he was part of the US team that was named
Wall Street Journal US forecaster of the year.

Jennifer McKeown
Head of Global Economics Service



Jennifer McKeown is Head of the Global Economics Service at Capital Economics.
She leads a team of economists focusing on global themes and oversees the
research published within the Global Economics Service. She also works closely
with the Chief Economists of our various regional services to shape the global
view and to draw out the key implications of our forecasts.

Previously, Jennifer held responsibility for our Europe and Nordic and Swiss
Services. She has 18 years’ experience as a professional economist, having
joined us after five years at the Bank of England. She has degrees in economics
from University College London and the University of East Anglia.

Ruth Gregory
Senior UK Economist



Ruth Gregory is Capital Economics’ Senior UK Economist. She has over 10 years’
experience analysing the UK economy, having worked as an economist at the CBI,
Office for Budget Responsibility and HM Treasury.

Ruth regularly presents to clients on the UK economic and financial market
outlook and comments on economic developments in the media. She holds an
undergraduate degree in Economics from the University of Bath.