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Effective URL: https://abcnews.go.com/538
Submission: On May 19 via api from NL — Scanned from NL
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ABC NEWS VIDEO LIVE SHOWS ELECTIONS 538 SHOP Interest Successfully Added We'll notify you here with news about Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? OffOn STREAM ON IRAN PRESIDENT HELICOPTER LANDING SEAN "DIDDY" COMBS BLUE ORIGIN LAUNCH LIVE UPDATES:ISRAEL-GAZA FRONTIER AIRLINES 'RAUCOUS' CONGRESSIONAL HEARING Democracy is a top concern for many voters. We asked them why. May 17 Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images, FILE * BIDEN’S PATH TO WINNING THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE RUNS THROUGH THE MIDWEST He's polling just short of Trump in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. May 15, 2024 * WHICH STATES COULD GET NEW CONGRESSIONAL MAPS IN 2024? An updating tracker of developments in midcycle redistricting. May 16, 2024 * MARYLAND, WEST VIRGINIA AND NEBRASKA PRIMARIES 2024: ALSOBROOKS BEATS TRONE 538 tracked over 10 competitive primaries for Senate, House and governor. May 14, 2024 * ABC News Photo Illustration WHAT WOULD IT TAKE TO TURN RED STATES BLUE OR BLUE STATES RED? How demographic swings in party choice and turnout could affect the election. April 04, 2024 LATEST 538 VIDEO * 3:07 WHAT POTENTIAL THREATS ARE EXPERTS AND VOTERS CONCERNED ABOUT? May 16, 2024 * 3:43 POLLS SHOW SOME AMERICANS ARE LOSING FAITH IN OUR ELECTIONS May 16, 2024 * 3:34 WHY ARE VOTERS WORRIED ABOUT DEMOCRACY? May 16, 2024 * 3:02 MARYLAND'S CONTENTIOUS SENATE RACE May 14, 2024 * 2:22 CONSOLIDATING THE DEMOCRATIC BASE May 14, 2024 * 4:38 HAS INFLATION BEEN BIDEN'S BIGGEST POLITICAL PROBLEM? May 14, 2024 * 3:19 BIDEN STILL TRAILS TRUMP IN VARIOUS POLLS May 14, 2024 * 4:20 WHAT ARE THE ODDS OF A TRUMP WIN THIS NOVEMBER? May 09, 2024 * 1:58 WHAT ARE THE ODDS DEMOCRATS WILL WIN THE POPULAR VOTE? May 09, 2024 * 3:12 COULD WE SEE A BIDEN-TRUMP DEBATE? May 09, 2024 * 3:49 ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. SAYS POLL SHOWS HE COULD BEAT TRUMP May 07, 2024 * 3:29 WILL BIDEN'S HANDLING OF GAZA IMPACT THE 2024 ELECTION? May 07, 2024 LATEST 538 HEADLINES May 17 DEMOCRACY IS A TOP CONCERN FOR MANY VOTERS. WE ASKED THEM WHY. Fear of another Trump presidency is pushing some undecided voters toward Biden. May 17 May 16 WHAT POTENTIAL THREATS ARE EXPERTS AND VOTERS CONCERNED ABOUT? "Experts placed a really high probability on a number of very concerning norm breaking scenarios occurring," about a second Trump term, according to Gretchen Helmke. May 16 May 16 POLLS SHOW SOME AMERICANS ARE LOSING FAITH IN OUR ELECTIONS Gretchen Helmke of Bright Line Watch discusses how Americans feel about our voting systems and American Democracy. May 16 May 16 WHY ARE VOTERS WORRIED ABOUT DEMOCRACY? In the latest polling from The New York Times/Siena College, 14% of voters said the economic and political system needs to be torn down entirely, while 55% said it needs major changes. May 16 May 15 BIDEN’S PATH TO WINNING THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE RUNS THROUGH THE MIDWEST He's polling just short of Trump in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. May 15 May 15 ARE 'SOCCER MOMS' ACTUALLY SWING VOTERS? The second episode of our podcast miniseries "Campaign Throwback." May 15 May 14 MARYLAND'S CONTENTIOUS SENATE RACE The 538 crew dive into Tuesday's Democratic primary election in Maryland. May 14 May 14 HAS INFLATION BEEN BIDEN'S BIGGEST POLITICAL PROBLEM? Polling shows that President Joe Biden has a negligible lead over former President Donald Trump when it comes to job creation, infrastructure and the economy. May 14 May 14 CONSOLIDATING THE DEMOCRATIC BASE 538 Senior Elections Analyst Nathaniel Rakich discusses what can be done to consolidate the Democratic vote behind President Joe Biden. May 14 May 14 BIDEN STILL TRAILS TRUMP IN VARIOUS POLLS In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew asks why the end of the primaries, weeks of Biden campaigning and millions spent on advertising have changed the polls so little. May 14 May 13 10 PRIMARIES TO WATCH IN MARYLAND, NEBRASKA AND WEST VIRGINIA Maryland's Democratic primary for Senate is flush with cash and intrigue. May 13 May 10 DON’T WRITE OFF LAUREN BOEBERT JUST YET After a terrible year, she's one win away from a House seat for life. May 10 May 09 WHAT ARE THE ODDS OF A TRUMP WIN THIS NOVEMBER? The betting markets place the likelihood of Trump winning the 2024 election at 47% — but does 538 agree? May 09 May 09 WHAT ARE THE ODDS DEMOCRATS WILL WIN THE POPULAR VOTE? The 538 crew plays a game of “Buy, Sell, Hold” and puts their wisdom to the test. May 09 May 09 COULD WE SEE A BIDEN-TRUMP DEBATE? In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we play a game of “Buy, Sell, Hold” and look at where the betting markets place the likelihood of certain events this election season. May 09 May 08 WHY NOEM BLAMING SHOOTING HER DOG ON THE REALITIES OF RURAL LIFE DOESN’T ADD UP As a rural dog owner, I know Noem's story is far from normal. May 08 May 08 IS IT STILL THE ECONOMY, STUPID? In a new series, we look back at political wisdom from past campaigns. May 08 May 07 ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. SAYS POLL SHOWS HE COULD BEAT TRUMP In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we ask if a new poll from the Robert F. Kennedy Jr. campaign is a good or bad use of polling. May 07 May 07 WILL BIDEN'S HANDLING OF GAZA IMPACT THE 2024 ELECTION? In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we dig into how campus protests over the war in Gaza could shape Americans' votes this fall. May 07 May 07 YOUTH POLLING SHOWS ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR IS NOT A TOP ISSUE FOR 2024 ELECTION 538 Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley breaks down which issues are most important to America’s youth. May 07 May 06 5 PRIMARIES TO WATCH IN INDIANA An indecisive Republican representative could lose renomination. May 06 May 03 YOUNG PEOPLE DISAPPROVE OF BIDEN’S ISRAEL POLICY. IT MAY NOT MEAN MUCH FOR NOVEMBER. Despite campus protests, young people say other issues are more important. May 03 May 03 538 ALGORITHM GROUPS HOUSE MEMBERS BY HOW THEY ACTUALLY VOTE 538 researcher and editor Cooper Burton joins the podcast to break down a new algorithm built to cluster House members into “quiet caucuses” based on their voting trends. May 03 May 03 HOW VOTERS VIEW THE ECONOMY DEPENDS ON THEIR POLITICS — AND PERSONAL LIVES 538 senior politics reporter Monica Potts joins the podcast to discuss the results from a focus group with undecided voters. May 03 May 02 FOCUS GROUP SHOWS VOTERS ARE DOWN ON THE ECONOMY 538 senior politics reporter Monica Potts joins the 538 Politics podcast to discuss the results from a focus group with undecided voters. May 02 May 02 HOW TRUMP'S HUSH MONEY TRIAL IS AFFECTING HIS STANDING IN THE POLLS 538’s Galen Druke discusses how voters are reacting to the former president’s criminal trial. May 02 May 02 HOW TRUMP'S TRIAL IS (NOT) CHANGING THE POLLS Plus, the latest polling on campus protests and marijuana legalization. May 02 May 01 THE 8 TYPES OF DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS IN THE HOUSE We analyzed voting patterns to see if members actually vote with their caucuses. May 01 April 30 VOTERS DON'T LIKE BIDEN'S ECONOMY — BUT WHY? In focus groups, we asked undecided voters about their views on the economy. April 30 April 29 JUDGE HAS FEW OPTIONS TO ADDRESS TRUMP’S ALLEGED GAG ORDER VIOLATIONS Law professor Jessica Roth joins the 538 Politics podcast to discuss the latest developments in Donald Trump’s hush money trial. April 29 April 29 TRUMP’S JAN. 6 TRIAL MIGHT NOT START ANYTIME SOON Law professor Jessica Roth joins the 538 Politics podcast to discuss how the Supreme Court could rule on presidential immunity. April 29 April 29 WHO COULD TESTIFY AT TRUMP’S TRIAL THIS WEEK? In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, law professor Jessica Roth discusses what comes next in Donald Trump’s hush money trial. April 29 April 25 538'S NEW POLLING AVERAGES SHOW CLOSE PRESIDENTIAL RACE The 538 presidential general election polling averages are officially live! April 25 April 25 TRUMP LEADS IN SWING-STATE POLLS AND IS TIED WITH BIDEN NATIONALLY How 538's new 2024 presidential general election polling averages work. April 25 April 23 ARE MIKE JOHNSON’S DAYS AS HOUSE SPEAKER NUMBERED? | 538 POLITICS PODCAST After months of conflict over whether or how to aid American allies abroad, the House passed a slate of bills providing funding for Ukraine, Israel, Gazan humanitarian assistance and Taiwan. April 23 April 18 IN TRUMP TRIAL, JURY SELECTION IS PART POLITICS | 538 POLITICS PODCAST The jury selection process is still underway in former President Donald Trump's Manhattan criminal trial. April 18 April 16 THE POLITICAL STAKES OF TRUMP'S HUSH MONEY TRIAL How this trial could impact the 2024 campaign. April 16 April 11 WHAT'S UP WITH THE KIDS THESE DAYS? Young voters showed up for Biden in 2020. Will they in 2024? April 11 SUGGESTED INTERESTS Want the latest politics news? Get it in your inbox. Sign up for our emails to get the latest politics news from 538. 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