www.fitchsolutions.com Open in urlscan Pro
52.2.153.51 Public Scan

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Submitted URL:
https://goto.fitchsolutions.com/NzMyLUNLSC03NjcAAAGBitv15lIU-GtsW0c5W8uY3Aw9QonY274zWB5HWP5MracYjDgAHIcRSb6u4ygfdhLKhfSFpGs=
Effective URL:
https://www.fitchsolutions.com/country-risk/china-taiwan-conflict-scenarios-part-3-how-hypothetical-conflict-could-end-and-its-...
Submission: On December 24 via api (December 24th 2021, 10:23:33 am UTC) from IE — Scanned from DE

Form analysis
8 forms found in the DOM

GET /search

<form action="/search" method="get" id="views-exposed-form-search-page-search" accept-charset="UTF-8">
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    <input data-bef-auto-submit-exclude="" data-drupal-selector="edit-search-api-fulltext" data-search-api-autocomplete-search="search" class="form-autocomplete form-text ui-autocomplete-input"
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          <label for="edit-type-all" class="option">- Any -</label>
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        <div class="js-form-item form-item js-form-type-radio form-item-type js-form-item-type">
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        <div class="js-form-item form-item js-form-type-radio form-item-type js-form-item-type">
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      <div class="mktoFieldWrap mktoRequiredField"><label for="Email" id="LblEmail" class="mktoLabel">
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          <option value="British Indian Ocean Territory">British Indian Ocean Territory</option>
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<form data-form-name="Article" data-form-type="dynamic" id="mktoForm_1476">&nbsp;</form>

<form data-form-name="White Paper" data-form-type="dynamic" id="mktoForm_2051" novalidate="novalidate" class="mktoForm mktoLayoutLeft">&nbsp;<div class="mktoFormRow">
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          <option value="United Kingdom">United Kingdom</option>
          <option value="United States">United States</option>
          <option value="France">France</option>
          <option value="Germany">Germany</option>
          <option value="Afghanistan">Afghanistan</option>
          <option value="Aland Islands">Aland Islands</option>
          <option value="Albania">Albania</option>
          <option value="Algeria">Algeria</option>
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          <option value="Bahamas">Bahamas</option>
          <option value="Bahrain">Bahrain</option>
          <option value="Bangladesh">Bangladesh</option>
          <option value="Barbados">Barbados</option>
          <option value="Belarus">Belarus</option>
          <option value="Belgium">Belgium</option>
          <option value="Belize">Belize</option>
          <option value="Benin">Benin</option>
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          <option value="Bhutan">Bhutan</option>
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          <option value="Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba">Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba</option>
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          <option value="Botswana">Botswana</option>
          <option value="Bouvet Island">Bouvet Island</option>
          <option value="Brazil">Brazil</option>
          <option value="British Indian Ocean Territory">British Indian Ocean Territory</option>
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          <option value="Cambodia">Cambodia</option>
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          <option value="Chile">Chile</option>
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          <option value="Costa Rica">Costa Rica</option>
          <option value="Cote d'Ivoire">Cote d'Ivoire</option>
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          <option value="Cuba">Cuba</option>
          <option value="Curaçao">Curaçao</option>
          <option value="Cyprus">Cyprus</option>
          <option value="Czech Republic">Czech Republic</option>
          <option value="Denmark">Denmark</option>
          <option value="Djibouti">Djibouti</option>
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          <option value="Dominican Republic">Dominican Republic</option>
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          <option value="Egypt">Egypt</option>
          <option value="El Salvador">El Salvador</option>
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          <option value="Finland">Finland</option>
          <option value="French Guiana">French Guiana</option>
          <option value="French Polynesia">French Polynesia</option>
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          <option value="Georgia">Georgia</option>
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          <option value="Greece">Greece</option>
          <option value="Greenland">Greenland</option>
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          <option value="Guinea-Bissau">Guinea-Bissau</option>
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          <option value="Heard Island and McDonald Islands">Heard Island and McDonald Islands</option>
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          <option value="Hungary">Hungary</option>
          <option value="Iceland">Iceland</option>
          <option value="India">India</option>
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          <option value="Ireland">Ireland</option>
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          <option value="Israel">Israel</option>
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          <option value="Jamaica">Jamaica</option>
          <option value="Japan">Japan</option>
          <option value="Jersey">Jersey</option>
          <option value="Jordan">Jordan</option>
          <option value="Kazakhstan">Kazakhstan</option>
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          <option value="Kiribati">Kiribati</option>
          <option value="Kosovo">Kosovo</option>
          <option value="Kuwait">Kuwait</option>
          <option value="Kyrgyzstan">Kyrgyzstan</option>
          <option value="Lao People's Democratic Republic">Lao People's Democratic Republic</option>
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          <option value="Lebanon">Lebanon</option>
          <option value="Lesotho">Lesotho</option>
          <option value="Liberia">Liberia</option>
          <option value="Libyan Arab Jamahiriya">Libyan Arab Jamahiriya</option>
          <option value="Liechtenstein">Liechtenstein</option>
          <option value="Lithuania">Lithuania</option>
          <option value="Luxembourg">Luxembourg</option>
          <option value="Macao">Macao</option>
          <option value="Macedonia, the former Yugoslav Republic of">Macedonia, the former Yugoslav Republic of</option>
          <option value="Madagascar">Madagascar</option>
          <option value="Malawi">Malawi</option>
          <option value="Malaysia">Malaysia</option>
          <option value="Maldives">Maldives</option>
          <option value="Mali">Mali</option>
          <option value="Malta">Malta</option>
          <option value="MARSHALL ISLANDS">MARSHALL ISLANDS</option>
          <option value="Martinique">Martinique</option>
          <option value="Mauritania">Mauritania</option>
          <option value="Mauritius">Mauritius</option>
          <option value="Mayotte">Mayotte</option>
          <option value="Mexico">Mexico</option>
          <option value="Micronesia">Micronesia</option>
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          <option value="Monaco">Monaco</option>
          <option value="Mongolia">Mongolia</option>
          <option value="Montenegro">Montenegro</option>
          <option value="Montserrat">Montserrat</option>
          <option value="Morocco">Morocco</option>
          <option value="Mozambique">Mozambique</option>
          <option value="Myanmar">Myanmar</option>
          <option value="Namibia">Namibia</option>
          <option value="Nauru">Nauru</option>
          <option value="Nepal">Nepal</option>
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          <option value="New Caledonia">New Caledonia</option>
          <option value="New Zealand">New Zealand</option>
          <option value="Nicaragua">Nicaragua</option>
          <option value="Niger">Niger</option>
          <option value="Nigeria">Nigeria</option>
          <option value="Niue">Niue</option>
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          <option value="Puerto Rico">Puerto Rico</option>
          <option value="Qatar">Qatar</option>
          <option value="Republic of Chad">Republic of Chad</option>
          <option value="Reunion">Reunion</option>
          <option value="Romania">Romania</option>
          <option value="Russian Federation">Russian Federation</option>
          <option value="Rwanda">Rwanda</option>
          <option value="Saint Barthélemy">Saint Barthélemy</option>
          <option value="Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha">Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha</option>
          <option value="Saint Kitts and Nevis">Saint Kitts and Nevis</option>
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          <option value="Saint Martin (French part)">Saint Martin (French part)</option>
          <option value="Saint Pierre and Miquelon">Saint Pierre and Miquelon</option>
          <option value="Saint Vincent and the Grenadines">Saint Vincent and the Grenadines</option>
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          <option value="Sao Tome and Principe">Sao Tome and Principe</option>
          <option value="Saudi Arabia">Saudi Arabia</option>
          <option value="Senegal">Senegal</option>
          <option value="Serbia">Serbia</option>
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          <option value="Sierra Leone">Sierra Leone</option>
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  <div class="mktoFormRow"><input type="hidden" name="recentUTMSource" class="mktoField mktoFieldDescriptor mktoFormCol" value="" style=""></div>
  <div class="mktoFormRow"><input type="hidden" name="recentUTMMedium" class="mktoField mktoFieldDescriptor mktoFormCol" value="" style=""></div>
  <div class="mktoFormRow"><input type="hidden" name="recentUTMCampaign" class="mktoField mktoFieldDescriptor mktoFormCol" value="" style=""></div>
  <div class="mktoFormRow"><input type="hidden" name="honeypot" class="mktoField mktoFieldDescriptor mktoFormCol" value="" style=""></div>
  <div class="mktoFormRow"><input type="hidden" name="gCLID" class="mktoField mktoFieldDescriptor mktoFormCol" value="" style=""></div>
  <div class="mktoButtonRow"><span class="mktoButtonWrap mktoSimple"><button type="submit" class="mktoButton">Submit</button></span></div><input type="hidden" name="formid" class="mktoField mktoFieldDescriptor" value="2051"><input type="hidden"
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<form data-form-name="Content Download" data-form-type="dynamic" id="mktoForm_3850" novalidate="novalidate" class="mktoForm mktoLayoutLeft">&nbsp;<div class="mktoFormRow">
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Article


CHINA-TAIWAN CONFLICT SCENARIOS PART 3: HOW A HYPOTHETICAL CONFLICT COULD END,
AND ITS AFTERMATH

Fitch Solutions / Country Risk / Global / Thu 21 Oct, 2021

Scenario Introduction

Our core view at Fitch Solutions is that China and Taiwan will avoid full-scale
conflict over the next five years, as both sides grudgingly accept the status
quo in cross-Strait relations. Despite China’s growing dissatisfaction with
Taiwan’s de facto independence, it will refrain from an attack on the island, as
the risks of failing to coerce Taiwan to accept Chinese control are too high for
the leadership in Beijing. For its part, Taiwan will avoid steps towards
declaring independence, for fear of provoking a sharp Chinese response.
Nevertheless, for the purposes of risk analysis a...


Read the full article

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Ratings. Copyright © 2021 Fitch Solutions Group Limited. © Fitch Solutions Group
Limited All rights reserved. 30 North Colonnade, London E14 5GN, UK.

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